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2018 FIFA World Cup Risk Summary

The 2018 FIFA World Cup is set to begin in Russia on 14 June 2018. Travel to the country brings a unique set of challenges and issues to overcome. For more on the Games, how to prepare and, what to expect when travelling to Russia, please take a look at our risk summary below or download this information as a PDF from the following link: 2018 FIFA Football World Cup Risk Summary – Event Advisory
  • Estimated Population: 144.3 million (Russia, 2016 estimated)
  • Geographic Area: 17.1 million Km²
  • Language: Russian and 27 other regional languages
  • Religion: Christianity, non-religious, Islam, and other beliefs
  • Climate: Varied dependent on location.
  • GMT: +2 to +12
  • Capital: Moscow
  • Currency: Russian Ruble
  • Emergency Services: 112

2018 FIFA WORLD CUP KEY FACTS

COUNTRIES: 32 31 countries and territories have qualified for the 2018 FIFA Football World Cup and are joined by Russia as the host nation. 20 teams are making back-to-back appearances while Panama and Iceland are making their debuts at the event. ATHLETES: 23 Each team is limited to a final squad of 23 players submitted by 04 June 2018. A provisional squad of 35 players must be submitted by 14 May 2018. SPECTATORS: 2.5MILLION A total of 2.5 million tickets will be made available for the 64 matches at the World Cup. The event is oversubscribed with more than four million ticket applications in the second round alone. More than 1.5 million tickets have been allocated as of 03 April 2018. SECURITY: 40,000  40,000 personnel from the Emergencies Ministry are to be deployed to ensure safety and security during  World Cup matches across the country. A tourist police force has also been created for the event. HOST CITIES: 11 There are 12 venues hosting matches for the World Cup in 11 host cities. These are: Moscow, St Petersburg, Kaliningrad, Kazan, Nizhny Novgorod, Samara, Volgograd, Saransk, Sochi, Rostov-on-Don, and Yekaterinburg. All 32 competing countries will also have training camps.

SECURITY CONCERNS

Criminality: Low-level criminality is a long-term challenge for travellers to Russia and the largest potential threat posed to travel. In host cities, especially Moscow and St Petersburg, travellers are at a heightened risk of petty crime in busy areas and are actively targeted. Theft from hotel rooms is also not uncommon. Kidnappings are uncommon and usually personal in nature. Foreigners should be particularly aware in bars and nightclubs, where violent crime is often reported. Moreover, criminals have drugged some travellers at bars or taken strangers back to their lodgings only to be drugged, robbed, and/or assaulted. Hooliganism: During the European Football Championships in 2016, Russian fans were at the centre of troubles and violence which led to a suspended disqualification and a €150,000 ($167,392) fine for the Russian Football Union. Hooliganism is a longstanding issue in Russian football. As recently as February 2018, a police officer died as Athletic Bilbao and Spartak Moscow fans clashed before a Europa League match in the Spanish city; several other injuries were also reported. At least nine people were subsequently arrested as some fans arrived with batons and knives. Russian football hooligans, known as ultras, are described as being very effective and well organised. While most countries, notably England, have issues with hooliganism, Russian fans are often singled out for their serious intent to carry out barbaric violence. Commentators have suggested that the Russian political leadership has historically encouraged far-right hooliganism. Russian authorities have begun cracking down on hooliganism, with strong penalties for minor offenses; ‘ultras’ have complained of harassment by security forces ahead of the World Cup. Foreign hooligans, or those in their presence, are likely to face a firm response from police. Corruption: Corruption is endemic in Russia, with strong ties between politicians and business. Public officials and police officers may demand bribes from travellers, including traffic police. Moreover, criminals and police frequently work together and act with near impunity. Reports suggest that the average bribe has increased substantially in recent years. Russia was ranked 135 of 180 countries on Transparency International’s 2017 Corruption Perceptions Index. Corruption scandals involving state-owned or state-linked enterprises may bring civil unrest. Terrorism: Historically, Russia has been threatened by Islamic militancy from a number of sources. Chechnyan terrorists have previously conducted attacks in the Caucuses region and further afield, including Moscow. It is highly like that terror groups such as Islamic State or Al Qaeda will seek to conduct attacks before and during World Cup events. In 2017, Islamic State published propaganda directly targeted at the World Cup. Russia has an advanced security apparatus and is likely to prioritise anti-terror operations to mitigate any threats. Indeed, on 27 April 2018, it was announced that the FSB security service had thwarted a planned Islamic State attack in an area of Moscow where World Cup matches are due to take place. Russia, like countries in the West, is dealing with the threat of returning fighters as Islamic State’s territorial losses mount in the Middle East. Cyber Security: Cybercrime is a well-documented threat of travel to Russia. Hackers based in Russia have been accused of interfering in the US 2016 elections, as well as targeted attacks on companies including Yahoo. There is a significant risk that cyber criminals or ‘cyber-activists’ will target underprepared foreign travellers to Russia. Unsecured WiFi hotspots are especially at risk and should be avoided. Politics and International Relations: Russia’s degrading relationship with the West is continually present in the media. Over the past six to 12 months, tensions have increased dramatically, with the poisoning of a former Russia spy, Sergei Skripal, in the UK and coalition airstrikes against Syrian government targets just brief highlights in 2018 alone. However, the effects on individual travellers to Russia for the World Cup are unlikely to be significant. As with the Winter Olympics in 2014, the World Cup forms an aspect of Russia’s soft power initiative. Moreover, the event is expected to generate significant income for Russian industry. It is therefore in Russia’s interest to ensure that foreigners have a positive experience. Foreign travellers may experience some xenophobia when visiting the event. Domestically, President Putin and his supporters maintain a strict control over the political process in Russia and have crushed most forms of dissent. Political protests are possible during the Games, possibly led by anti-corruption campaigner Alexei Navalny, but are unlikely to reach the size, scale, or impact of unrest in Brazil four years ago. Cultural Differences: Within Russian society, there are vocal nationalistic, reactionary tendencies. Hate crimes and racist murders have risen in recent years, often targeting those from the Caucasus or Central Asia. Russian football has commonly been associated with racism. In March 2018, FIFA opened an investigation into racist abuse of French players by Russian fans. In 2013, a law banning the promotion of ‘non-traditional sexual relations’ came into force. The law is purposely vague and may lead to the arrest, imprisonment, or deportation of foreign nationals. LGBT travellers may face harassment and acts of violence, instances of which have reportedly increased since the law came into force.

EVENT LOCATION INFORMATION

There are 12 stadiums for the 2018 World Cup in 11 host cities: 1. Moscow, Russia’s capital, is home to two stadiums which are set to host World Cup matches. The final will be held at the Luzhniki Stadium on 15 July 2018. 2. St Petersburg is Russia’s second largest city and will host a semi-final match and the third place play-off. 3. Kaliningrad is the westernmost host location and a Russian enclave between Lithuania and Poland. It is difficult to reach without air travel. 4. Kazan is known as the ‘Sports Capital of Russia’ and will host a quarter-final match. 5. Nizhny Novgorod, Russia’s fifth largest city, will host one quarter-final and a handful of group games. 6. Samara is Russia sixth largest city and will host six games in total. 7. Volgograd, formerly named Stalingrad, will host four group games but none in the knockout stages. 8. Saransk, in the Republic of Mordovia, will host four games. 9. Sochi hosted the 2014 Olympic Games and will host a quarter-final game. 10. Rostov-on-Don is the closest host city to Ukraine, where an insurgency by Russian-backed rebels is ongoing. 11. Yekaterinburg is the easternmost host city and will only hold four group games.

GENERAL TRAVEL ADVICE

  • All travel to Russia should be planned carefully in advance.
  • Travellers to Russia should maintain a low-profile, a slightly heightened level of situational awareness. and sensible security precautions at all times.
  • Travellers should be especially vigilant in crowded areas.
  • Take extra care of passports, credit cards, and wallets/purses when in crowded or tourist areas. Take extra care when travelling alone, at night, or on public transport, due to the greater potential for crime.
  • Be sure to carry a form of ID as well as details of your next of kin. Avoid carrying any valuables in a backpack as this is an easy target for thieves.
  • Road safety in Russia is poor. Russians are known to drive aggressively and routinely ignore road signs. If driving, a defensive style should be implemented. Due to the different culture and language, travellers should consider the use of a prearranged driver for all travel.
  • Russia is generally a cash-based economy. Outside of Moscow and St Petersburg, ATMs may be difficult to find.
  • On entering Russia, travellers are required to sign a migrant card which is needed when exiting Russia. All passports should be signed; those with unsigned passports may not be permitted entry into Russia.
  • You can be arrested for attempting to leave the country with antiques, even if they were purchased legally. Certificates should be sought from the Russia Ministry of Culture.
  • Photographing military establishments and strategically important sites (such as airports) is not permitted and may lead to detention or arrest.

SECURITY CONCERNS

Russian security authorities have experience of hosting global events, having held the 2014 Winter Olympics and the Football Confederations Cup in 2017. Security at these events was notably tight. Russian police practice intelligence-led security, with a focus of being proactive rather than reactive. A series of regulations are set to be in place for the World Cup:
  • Road closures and high security on trains and planes which transport competitors between venues.
  • Controlled and prohibited zones in venue cities.
  • Total bans of planes and ‘flying devices’, such as drones around World Cup stadiums.
  • Rigorous ID checks ensuring that the identities of fans are known in advance.
  • Bans on maritime movements close to stadiums.
  • There will be strong restrictions on sales of arms, explosives, poisons, and narcotics near venue locations.
  • Factories manufacturing dangerous goods are set to be closed for the duration of the event.
  • Severe constraints on selling and consuming of alcoholic beverages in venue cities before and after matches.

SCAMS

  • ATM Skimmer: Skimmers on ATM machines are not uncommon. Always make sure the slot where you insert your card has nothing attached to it. These devices may be disguised to look like regular parts of an ATM, so check carefully. Try to use ATMs inside banks if possible.
  • The Money Drop: This scam is especially common around Red Square in Moscow. Although there are variations, it looks like the following. Somebody is going past you and “accidentally” drops some cash, another individual sees it as well. He starts picking up the money and offers to share it 50-50. You look for the owner of the money, and he is long gone. You take your share of it and walk away. A minute later, the real owner of the money asks for the full amount back and is not alone. As you only have half, you will need to visit the closest ATM to make up the amount to get away unhurt. The best advice is to ignore items which are dropped.
  • Fake Tickets: In this situation, scammers prey on desires to see World Cup games. Often fake websites for ‘free tickets’ will be found online in advertisement boxes or via an email. These require the user to put in their credit card details for ‘security purposes’. Always search the website of the company offering free tickets, such as Coca-Cola, rather than following a link or an advert.
  • The Airport Pickup: Fake drivers work at the airport. As you walk out of your gate you unexpectedly see a driver with your name on a board and knowledge of your hotel (information which has probably been fed to them by a member of cabin crew). En route to your hotel, your driver stops and demands money as fare, which you feel obliged to pay. Travellers should not accept unexpected trips and should follow journey management plans if pre-arranged drivers have been organised.
  • Taxis Parked in Front of Your Hotel: Many four and five-star hotels have taxis waiting outside all day. Despite appearances, these taxis are not associated with the hotel. These drivers may not switch on their meters when picking up passengers and instead insist on an excessive charge whilst already in motion. Travellers should avoid taxis waiting outside of hotels. Ask your hotel to order one for you from a reputable company and ensure they meter your journey. If the vehicle has a meter, it should be used. Taxi drivers have also been reported as taking intentionally extended journeys in order to overcharge fares.

MEDICAL CONCERNS

  • All travellers to the World Cup should visit their doctor at least six to eight weeks before arriving in Russia.
  • Travellers should ensure that they are up to date with all routine vaccinations before travelling, this includes tetanus, tuberculosis, polio, and measles, mumps and rubella. Other recommended vaccinations may include: hepatitis A and B, Japanese encephalitis, rabies, and tick-borne encephalitis.
  • Certain travellers may also be required to provide a yellow fever vaccination certificate.
  • Travellers to the World Cup should take the necessary precaution against sun- and heat-related illnesses. Sun creams with a sun protection factor (SPF) of 30 or above and 4 or 5 star UVA (ultraviolet A) protection should be used. Travellers should also ensure that they drink plenty of non-alcoholic fluids.
  • If taking long-term prescribed medication, travellers should contact their local Russian diplomatic mission to ensure that the import of such medication does not contravene any local laws. Travellers should also ensure that they maintain the original prescription, consider having it notarised and translated, and that they have more than enough to cover the length of their stay.
  • Health facilities in Russian cities are generally adequate with some private hospitals offering western-level care. However, such care can be expensive. Travellers should ensure that they have adequate medical insurance to also cover repatriations.
  • Travellers should avoid drinking tap water, drinks with ice, or uncooked food such as salads. Bottled water is widely available.

KEY DATES

14 May
  • Preliminary World Cup squads must be named
04 June
  • Final 23-man squad must be submitted to FIFA
14 June
  • Group stages of the World Cup begin as Russia plays Saudi Arabia in Moscow
  • Eight groups of four teams compete in a total of 48 matches
30 June
  • The second round begins
  • 16 teams compete in eight games between 30 June and 03 July
06 July
  • Quarter-finals begin
  • Four matches will be played on 06 and 07 JulY
10 July
  • Semi-finals begin
  • The final four teams compete in two games from 10 to 11 July, with matches held in Moscow and St Petersburg
14 July
  • Third-place playoff
  • The two losing semi-finalists compete for third place in St Petersburg
15 July
  • The World Cup final
  • The two victorious semi-finalists compete at Moscow’s Luzhniki Stadium.

LOCAL ETIQUETTE

  • Many Russian are very patriotic. It is advisable to avoid criticism of Russia or discussion of current political events. Topics including ethnic minorities and the holocaust should also be avoided.
  • Russians are considered to be reserved, which may be confused with rudeness at times. Staring is common while ‘excuse me’ and ‘thank you’ are not.
  • Punctuality to social events or business meetings is considered important in Russia.
  • Communication is typically direct.
  • Putting your thumb through your index and middle fingers or making the “OK” sign are considered very rude gestures in Russia.
  • Russians love entertaining guests in their homes. They will often put more food on the table than can be eaten to indicate there is an abundance of food (whether there is or not). Guests who leave food on their plates honour their host. It means they have eaten well.
  • Business dress remains formal; for meetings, men generally wear shirts and jackets, and women, typically modest dresses. Wearing very light or bright colours might make you appear lazy or unreliable to a Russian.
  • Greetings and introductions are often carried out with handshakes and on first-name terms. The use of titles and family names is unlikely in the majority of situations, and insisting on their use may come across negatively. Shaking hands should not be undertaken over a threshold as this is considered bad luck.
  • Business cards are important to Russian business culture and are given out liberally. The ceremony of presenting and receiving business cards is important.
  • Learning Russian, even just a small amount, will go a long way to helping you in a business or social situation.
  • Drinking alcohol is an important cultural pastime in Russia. When drinking occurs, it is rarely done in moderation; it is advisable to be prepared for an all-or-nothing affair. After a toast, Russians like to clink glasses. This should not be done with a non-alcoholic drink.
  • Tipping is not mandatory, but a tip of approximately 10 per cent is common in restaurants. In less formal settings, such as shops or cafés, servers may simply be told to “keep the change”.
  • An overtly masculine culture still exists to a degree. Men will be expected to hold open the door for women, pay for meals etc.
  • Never show the soles of your shoes as it is considered rude and they are considered dirty; do not let them come in contact with a seat.

SOLACE GLOBAL SERVICES

Solace Global remains available to provide the full range of Travel Risk Management services to clients. Solace Global is also able to provide comprehensive travel tracking, crisis management, in-country journey management, meet and greet, 24/7 monitoring, response, and evacuation services. For further details please contact +44 (0)1202 795 801 or email sgr@localhost.

Solace Global – Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 23

Headlines From This Week 

  • Volcan de Fuego – A series of eruptions of the Guatemalan Volcan de Fuego has resulted in at least 99 fatalities, numerous injuries, and disruption to air travel across the country. Some reports suggest over 1000 people remain unaccounted for, and evacuation orders remain in place for a number of villages in the vicinity of the volcano. The closest of these has been almost entirely buried by ash from the eruption.
  • Jordanian PM Resigns – The prime minister of Jordan was forced to resign on 04 June following several days of widening protests across Amman, and other major Jordanian cities. The protests were initiated by a series of proposed reforms to the tax, benefits, and subsidies system which supports a significant proportion of the Jordanian population; and seen principally to benefit the elite. King Abdullah spoke in favour of the protesters, whilst emphasising that some reforms remained necessary. It remains to be seen if an appropriate compromise can be reached.
  • Zimbabwean Opposition Protests – Members of the Movement for Democratic Change, Zimbabwe’s dominant opposition party, held large protests in Harare on 05 June. They focused on allegations the ruling party has manipulated voter rolls ahead of the July 2018 election and were seeking to use intimidation or ballot tampering to swing the election. Whilst these protests occurred peacefully, the first election since the departure of the former dictator, Robert Mugabe, is highly likely to see further protests, and outbreaks of violence are a realistic probability. 
  • Sadr City Explosion – At least 18 people were killed, and 38 were wounded when an explosion tore apart a Shiite mosque and 20 residential buildings in Baghdad’s Sadr City on 07 June. Preliminary investigations suggested that the blast occurred when a paramilitary group’s weapons cache, stored in the mosque, was accidentally detonated. The blast demonstrates that the highly pervasive nature of explosives and weapons ownership in Iraq remains a significant threat to life, even when those weapons are not being intentionally used.
  • Madagascar PM Resigns – The Madagascan prime minister (PM) was forced to resign on 06 June, following persistent, violent, and widespread unrest against the introduction of laws seen to prevent opposition candidates from contesting elections. The new PM, Christian Ntsay, was appointed by the president as a consensus candidate, although a history of defections between parliamentary parties since the last election threatens to undermine the balance of power within the legislature and may prevent a resolution to the crisis.

What To Look Out For Next Week

  • Singapore Nuclear Summit – On 12 June, US President, Donald Trump, is scheduled to meet the North Korean leader, Kim Jong-Un, for a summit concerning North Korea’s nuclear programme and elevated tensions on the Korean peninsula. The summit is scheduled to be held on an island off the Singapore coast. Those in the city should expect significantly heightened security measures to be in place throughout the duration of the summit, and travel disruption is highly likely. The relative success or failure of the summit will have significant political and military effects on the Asia-Pacific region.
  • South Korean General Elections – South Korean citizens will head to the polls to elect local officials and to fill a series of seats vacant in the national assembly. Elections in South Korea are generally peaceful in nature, however, their proximity to the North Korea Summit, representing key issues in South Korean foreign and domestic politics, may lead to a higher level of unrest than is typical.
  • FIFA World Cup – The first match of the football world cup is due to kick off on Thursday 14 June in Moscow, Russia. The Russian government has announced a sweeping range of security measures to be implemented across the country, centred on the cities where games are to be held. Those in Russia are advised to remain aware of games scheduled in their vicinity and plan their journeys accordingly; a large transient population and significantly increased security are likely to impact the host cities on days surrounding each match.
  • Eid-al-Fitr – The festivals marking the end of the Islamic holy month of Ramadan is scheduled to begin on 14 June. The celebrations may occur on this date or shortly after, as there is no consensus among the international Muslim community as to the exact rules concerning the lunar observations which set the festival’s date. Travellers throughout the Middle East, and other countries with significant Muslim populations, should expect widespread disruption to travel and the provision of essential services as it is typically observed as a national holiday.
  • US Pride Parades – Major cities across the United States are due to hold Gay Pride parades on 09 June. These parades vary in size and may include numerous other official events related to the main parade. LGBT rights remain contentious in many locations across the US, with a number of political and religious groups staunchly opposed to the ongoing liberalisation of laws and society in relation to LGBT relationships. It is therefore likely that parades will attract counter-protesters, and there remains potential that some limited instances of violence may occur.

 Significant Dates and Events

  • 09 June – Uganda – National Heroes Day
  • 09 June – Bulgaria – Pride parade and counter-protests to be held in Sofia
  • 09 June – United States – Pride parades to be held in major cities
  • 09 June – DR Congo – Opposition rallies to be held in Kinshasa
  • 09 June – Austria – Anti-Israeli groups to rally at Vienna’s Bundeslanderplaz
  • 10 June – DR Congo – Reconciliation Day
  • 10 June – Portugal – National Day
  • 10 June – Georgia – Protests scheduled in Tbilisi in response to murder acquittal
  • 11 June – South Africa – Civil servants to conduct nationwide strike
  • 11-12 June – Bangladesh – Night of Destiny (national holiday)
  • 11 June – Colombia – Sacred Heart (national holiday)
  • 11-12 June – Russia – National Day
  • 11 June – Paraguay – Chaco Armistice Day
  • 11-14 June – Haiti – Workers to strike and protest in Port-au-Prince
  • 12 June – Philippines – Independence Day
  • 12 June – Sri Lanka – Railway workers to begin nationwide indefinite strike
  • 12-13 June – Portugal – Rail workers’ strike
  • 13 June – South Korea – Local elections
  • 14 June – Eid al-Fitr – National holiday in many Muslim-majority countries
  • 15 June – Azerbaijan – National Salvation Day
  • 15 June – Bangladesh – Jumatul Bidah
  • 16 June – Austria – Pride parade to be held in Vienna
  • 16 June – Malaysia – Hari Raya Puasa holiday
  • 16 June – South Africa – Youth day
  • 17 June – Argentina – Martin Miguel de Guemes day
  • 17 June – Iceland – Independence Day
  • 18 June – Bermuda – National Heroes Day
  • 18 June – Cambodia – King Mother’s birthday
  • 18 June – Seychelles – Constitution Day
  • 19 June – Trinidad and Tobago – Labour day
Click the following link to download this report as a PDF:  Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 23 The Weekly Risk Roundup highlights significant events from the last week and what to look out for next week. Week 23 Weekly Risk Roundup was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

Solace Global – Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 22

Headlines From This Week 

  • Terror in Belgium – Islamic State has claimed responsibility for a terror attack which left two police officers and a bystander dead in the Belgian city of Liege on 29 May. The attacker was reportedly radicalised in prison, from where he had been temporarily released on 28 May.
  • Armed Attack in Saudi Arabia – A police officer was killed by two assailants who then stole his weapons in the Saudi Arabian city of Taif on 31 May. The assailants subsequently attacked a National Guard facility, injuring several. One of the attackers was wounded and arrested, while the other escaped.
  • First Storm of Atlantic Hurricane Season – Tropical Storm Alberto, the first storm of the Atlantic hurricane season, made landfall in the Caribbean and the United States this week. At least eight people were killed including four in Cuba and four in North Carolina, USA. Flooding conditions have been reported across the United States in Florida, Alabama, Tennessee, Kentucky, the Carolinas, West Virginia and Illinois. Four North Carolina Dams are close to rupturing and are being assessed by state authorities.
  • Brazil Strikes – Brazil has been beset by strikes over the past two weeks which have caused significant disruption. Truck drivers began their strike on 20 May and were joined by oil workers on 30 June. The strikes and related protests led to a significantly reduced supply of fuel, food, and essential items nationwide, as well as significant travel disruption. The economy, still emerging from a devastating recession, is set to be hard hit by these strikes.
  • Government Formed in Italy – Months after inconclusive election results, a government has been formed in Italy. The government will be led by the independent Giuseppe Conte with ministries headed by officials from the Five Star Movement and the League, both are populist, Eurosceptic parties. There are fears of what this could mean for the EU as Italy is the bloc’s fourth largest economy.
  • Jihadist Attack in Mozambique – At least 10 people have been beheaded by Islamic militants in the northern Mozambique region of Cabo Delgado. The attack, which took place on 29 May, appears to have targeted those involved in extractive industries. Islamists groups have conducted sporadic attacks over the past year.
  • Political Change in Spain – Spanish Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy of the People’s Party lost a vote of no-confidence on 01 June brought about after corruption allegations. He has been replaced by Socialist Party leader Pedro Sanchez, but political instability remains as no party has a majority in parliament.

What To Look Out For Next Week

  • Tiananmen Square Commemorations – Activists are set to gather in Taipei, Hong Kong, and other locations on 04 June to commemorate 29 years since protesters in Tiananmen Square, Beijing were brutally crushed by Chinese security forces. Chinese censors and authorities are kept on alert for any signs of commemorations; expect higher than usual levels of security within the vicinity of Tiananmen Square.
  • G7 Summit – Charlevoix, Canada plays host to the 44th Summit of the Group of Seven (G7) nations on 08-09 June 2018. Disruption is probable and serious unrest possible due to planned protests. All heads of state/government of the G7 nations are set to attend, as well as EU leaders and especially invited guests.
  • Naksa and International Quds Day – 05 June marks the “day of the setback” or Naksa which commemorates the displacement of Palestinians after Israel’s victory in 1967 Six-Day War. Clashes between Israeli forces and Palestinian protesters are common on this day and all border regions should be avoided. International Quds day, a day of solidarity with the Palestinian people, takes place on 08 June. Rallies should be expected around the world in the days surrounding this date.
  • Peru Strike – Truck and coach drivers are set to strike in Peru from 05 June after talks between unions and the government broke down. The strike does not have an end date at this time. Travellers are advised to take the necessary provisions for travel and ensure that they have plenty of non-perishable food prepared as any strike may make the availability of foodstuffs limited.
  • Madrid Metro Strikes – After striking on 01 June, Madrid metro workers have announced plans to strike on 04, 08, and 15 June. The strikes will all begin at 06:05 to last until 10:15 and then restart at 13:20 and finish at 21:30. A minimum of 69 per cent of services will be running on the morning strike and 55 percent on the afternoon strike. Travellers should note there is the potential for protests alongside the strikes.
  • New York Gun Control March – Saturday 02 June is anticipated to see large numbers of demonstrators rallying in support of further gun control measures following a recent series of school shootings, and inaction from state and federal legislators. The protestors have announced their intent to rally at the Korean War Veterans’ Memorial in Brooklyn, before moving to Foley Square in Manhattan. Gun control remains an emotive topic across the United States, and the event may attract counter-protests from pro-Second Amendment groups. Violence remains unlikely, but some disruption should be anticipated.

 Significant Dates and Events

  • 02 June – Brunei – Nuzul Al-Quran
  • 02 June – Macedonia (FYROM) – Opposition plan protest in Skopje
  • 02 June – Sweden – Stockholm Marathon
  • 02 June – Mali – Opposition rally in Bamako
  • 02 June – Spain – Pro-Spanish language group to protest in Valencia
  • 02 June – United Kingdom – Marriage equality march in Belfast
  • 02 June – Israel – Anti-Netanyahu rally in Tel Aviv
  • 02 June – United States – Rally for hurricane victims in New York City
  • 02 June – Italy – Republic Day
  • 02 June – Jordan – Protest planned over income tax law
  • 03 June – Uganda – Martyrs’ Day
  • 03 June – Slovenia – Legislative Elections
  • 04 June – Mexico – Teaching union to launch indefinite strike
  • 4-5 June – Bolivia – University strike, El Alto
  • 05 June – France – Activists plan rally against the visit of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu
  • 05 June – Zimbabwe – Opposition plans nationwide protest
  • 06 June – Chile – Student march planned in Santiago
  • 06 June – Iran – Martyrdom of Imam Ali
  • 08 June – France – RATP workers plan rally in Paris
  • 09 June – Uganda – National Heroes Day
  • 10 June – Congo – Reconciliation Day
  • 10 June – Portugal – National Day
  • 11-12 June – Bangladesh – Night of Destiny (national holiday)
  • 11 June – Colombia – Sacred Heart (national holiday)
  • 11 June – Russia – National Day
  • 12 June – Philippines – Independence Day
  • 12-13 June – Portugal – Rail workers’ strike
  • 13 June – South Korea – Local elections
  • 14 June – Eid al-Fitr – National holiday in many Muslim-majority countries.
Click the following link to download this report as a PDF:  Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 22 The Weekly Risk Roundup highlights significant events from the last week and what to look out for next week. Week 21 Weekly Risk Roundup was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

Week 21 – Maritime Security Weekly Snapshot

Indian Ocean HRA – Maritime Security Incidents

24-27 May 18: Cyclone Mekunu. Cyclone Mekunu crossed between Socotra and Salalah during 24-27 May. The storm resulted in extreme weather conditions, making landfall at Salalah as a category three storm. Disruption to air travel was widespread, and significant flooding was also reported, severely limiting land travel. At least 50 people were reported missing or killed. 30 May 18: Suspicious Approach near Merca, Somalia. A merchant vessel at 01°38’N, 044°42’E reported an approach by six skiffs carrying an unspecified number of persons onboard. No attempted boarding was reported, and the vessel and crew remain safe.

Gulf of Guinea – Maritime Security Incidents

13 April 18: – LATE REPORT – Stores Stolen from Vessel at Apapa Port, Nigeria. Four men aboard a skiff boarded a container ship anchored at 06°26’N 003°24’E. Crew members raised the alarm and the robbers fled. Upon searching, bosun stores lock was found to be broken, and stores were missing. 22 May 18: Attempted Boarding Against Tanker 130 NM South of Lome, Togo. Seven pirates in a skiff attempted to board a drifting tanker at 03°46’N 001°30’E. They aborted their attempt when the alarm was raised. The tanker’s master reported a potential mothership near their location. 23 April 18: Attempted Robbery in Lagos. A lone intruder was reported on the deck on a merchant vessel at 06°16’N 003°12’E. The intruder jumped overboard when challenged. 25 May 18: Tanker boarded near Lagos, Nigeria. Two men boarded a tanker at  06°18’N 003°20’E. They fled empty handed when the alarm was raised. 26 May 18: Robbery from Ro-Ro Vessel in Lagos, Nigeria. Seven men boarded a Ro-Ro vessel berthed at 06°27’N 003°22’E. The duty crewman was tied up and his radio taken. The robbers then broke into the paint store and escaped with ship’s properties. Crew & vessel reported safe.

South East Asia – Maritime Security Incidents

05 May 18: – LATE REPORT – Theft at Anchor near Bintan Island, Indonesia. Stores were discovered missing from a tanker anchored at 01°24’N, 104°36’E. The theft was discovered during routine emergency drills. 15 May 18: Theft at Anchor Reported in Uban, Indonesia. Stores were discovered missing from a product tanker anchored at 01°06’N, 104°11’E. The theft was discovered during routine rounds.
Click link to Download PDF:  Solace Global Maritime Security Snapshot – Week 21 A roundup of maritime security incidents – an easy to read format collating suspicious approaches, vessel attacks, boardings, hijacks and media reports. The week 21 Maritime Security Snapshot was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

Solace Global – Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 21

Headlines From This Week 

  • Bombay Bhel Bombing – At least 15 people were wounded, three critically, when an improvised explosive device was detonated in an Indian restaurant in Mississauga, Canada, in the evening of 24 May. Two males, believed to have built and detonated the device, remain wanted by police. No links to terror or criminal groups has yet been confirmed, however the city has experienced a significant rise in hate crimes over the past two years.
  • Sandinista Clashes in Leon – Members of Nicaraguan Sandinista groups clashed with students staging a sit-in protest in Leon. At least 59 people were reported wounded during the violence. This marked the most recent development in the ongoing violence between supporters of the Ortega regime and a diverse mix of anti-government groups which has stretched on since mid-April. A Church-sponsored dialogue between the two sides also broke down on 24 May; violence and unrest appear likely to continue.
  • Armed Clashes and Kidnappings in Nigeria – Nigeria experienced a series of armed clashes over the past week, with unidentified gunmen clashing with security forces and attacking civilians in both Logo and Kaduna. In addition, on 20 May, at least 47 people were reported kidnapped on the highway between Birnin-Gwari and Kano. Despite Nigeria’s ongoing issues with the Boko Haram insurgency, these attacks have occurred in regions in which the group is not generally active. It appears likely that the incidents are the result of tribal tensions caused by friction between nomadic groups and settled communities.
  • Singapore Summit Cancelled – US President Trump withdrew from the proposed summit with North Korea’s Kim Jong Un, scheduled to be held in Singapore on 12 June. The withdrawal appears to have been due to recent disclosures that China and North Korea have been engaged in significant talks prior to the summit, potentially in order to establish a unified stance against the US-South Korean alliance. This announcement followed North Korea’s highly publicised demolition of part of its nuclear test facility, although the destruction was not overseen by weapons experts.
  • Indian Ocean Cyclones – The Indian Ocean has experienced two significant cyclones during the last week, with Mekuna presently headed north for Salalah on the Omani coast, whilst Sagar struck Djibouti on 19 May, having moved through the Gulf of Aden. These storms have caused significant disruption to air and maritime traffic across the region, with Salalah airport remaining closed since 24 May. Cyclone Sagar’s landfall in Somaliland and Djibouti led to widespread damage and over 50 confirmed deaths, due primarily to widespread flash flooding.

What To Look Out For Next Week

  • Anti-Macron Protests – Protests against French President Emmanuel Macron’s policies are due to be held across a number of major cities on 26 May. The protests are being carried out by a loose coalition of opposition and industry groups opposed to Macron’s sweeping reforms to state industries and labour policy. Protests related to this movement have previously turned violent, and police may use forceful measures to restore order.
  • AfD Protests – The German far-right Alternative fur Deutschland party is scheduled to hold a demonstration in Berlin on 27 May. Anti-fascist groups intend to launch counter-protests with several thousand people, and 2,000 police officers have been assigned to secure the protests. The AfD are due to rally at Berlin central station at midday, before marching to the Brandenburg Gate. With such large crowds expected, and an array of disparate groups participating, isolated instances of violence are likely, despite the large police presence. Widespread violence, however, remains unlikely. Despite this, travellers are advised to avoid the area if possible.
  • Colombian Presidential Elections – The first round of the Colombian presidential election is due to take place on 27 May. If no single candidate wins an out-right majority, a second round will be held on 17 June. At present, of the six candidates contesting the vote, Ivan Duque is leading with 35 per cent in most polls, 10 per cent ahead of his closest rival. It appears unlikely, however, that he will secure a first-round win. In this case, the second-round outcome is less certain, as it remains unclear how those who supported discarded candidates in the first round will vote.
  • Armenian Republic Day – Armenia will celebrate Republic Day on 28 May, an event typically marked with fireworks, concerts, and parades to celebrate the country’s founding in 1918. The event this year is likely to lead to heightened levels of disruption as both the centenary of the nation’s foundation, and also due to the recent bout of political unrest, which essentially led to a bloodless revolution. Although unrest appears to have significantly reduced, there remains a possibility that violence may occur among large groups of people celebrating under the influence of alcohol.
  • French Open – The French Open tennis tournament is due to begin on 27 May and continue until 10 July. The event is held in the Stade Roland-Garros in Paris and is likely to lead to travel disruption throughout the surrounding area due to an influx of spectators. Enhanced security measures likely to be deployed to any significant sporting event.

 Significant Dates and Events

  • 26 May – Iceland – Municipal Elections
  • 25-27 May – Monaco – Formula One weekend
  • 26 May – Ukraine – UEFA Champion’s League Final, Kiev
  • 26 May – Georgia – Day of First Republic
  • 26 May – Italy – Air and rail workers to strike in Milan
  • 26 May – Albania – Anti-government protests due in Tirana
  • 26 May – Madagascar – Pro-government rallies planned in Antananarivo
  • 28 May – Azerbaijan – Republic Day
  • 28 May – Ethiopia – Downfall of the Derg – national holiday
  • 28 May – USA – Memorial Day
  • 29 May – Indonesia – Buddha’s birthday
  • 29 May – Malaysia – Wesak Day
  • 29 May – Nigeria – Democracy Day
  • 30 May – Anguilla – Anguilla national day
  • 30 May – Trinidad and Tobago – Indian Arrival Day, national holiday
  • 30–31 May – Greece – Bus workers to strike in Athens
  • 30 May – Nicaragua – “Mother’s of April” group seek to march in Managua
  • 31 May – Brunei – Armed Forces Day
  • 31 May – Togo – Opposition groups plan sit-ins in Lome
  • 31 May – Italy – Diamond League athletics to be hosted in Rome
  • 01 June – Bahamas – Labour Day
  • 01 June – Indonesia – Pancasila Day
  • 01 June – Kenya – Madaraka Day
  • 01 June – Samoa – Independence Day
  • 02 June – Brunei – Nuzul Al-Quran
  • 02 June – Italy – Republic Day
  • 04 June – Hong Kong – Tiananmen vigil to be held in Victoria Park
  • 04 June – Mexico – Teaching union to launch indefinite strike
Click the following link to download this report as a PDF:  Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 21 The Weekly Risk Roundup highlights significant events from the last week and what to look out for next week. Week 21 Weekly Risk Roundup was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

Week 20 – Maritime Security Weekly Snapshot

Indian Ocean HRA – Maritime Security Incidents

18-19 May 18: Tropical Storm Sagar. Tropical storm Sagar moved west across the Gulf of Aden, causing severe sea conditions, before making landfall near Djibouti and Somalia. The official toll has not been confirmed, however several dozen are likely to have been killed across Yemen, Somalia, and Djibouti. Economic difficulties resulting from the storm may result in an increase in pirate activity. “Operation Red Thunder”. The Saudi-led coalition operating in Yemen is presently conducting Operation Red Thunder, a concerted effort to seize control of Al Hudaydah from the Houthi rebels. It is possible that the Houthi may seek to target Saudi and coalition shipping in response to this offensive.

Gulf of Guinea – Maritime Security Incidents

19 May 18: Crew Kidnapped near Bonny, Nigeria. An offshore supply vessel was attacked in position 03°54’N 006°42’E, in Okwori field. The attackers destroyed communications equipment and stole crew possessions. Four crew members remain missing, remaining crew unharmed. 19 May 18: Attempted Boarding, Lagos Anchorage. Seven persons sought to board a bulk carrier anchored at 06°26’N 003°23’E, in Lagos Anchorage. Crew members spotted the boarding and raised the alarm. The robbers abandoned their attempted attack. 21 May 18: Attempted Boarding, Lome, Togo. One man sought to board an anchored merchant vessel at 03°46’N 001°30’E, in Lome. A crew member raised the alarm and the robber fled in a skiff with six others onboard.

South East Asia – Maritime Security Incidents

Abu Sayyaf Released hostages in Sulu, Philippines. The Abu Sayyaf Islamist group released at least three hostages recently taken in the Sulu region, including two female police officers. It remains unclear if a ransom was paid, or the group submitted to military pressure. 19 May 18: Tanker Boarded near Karimun Kecil, Indonesia. Six men boarded a tanker underway at 01°10’N 103°27’E at the western end of the Singapore Strait. The crew raised the alarm, causing the robbers to flee empty handed. 19 May 18: Theft at Anchor Reported in Merak, Indonesia. Three men carrying knives boarded a merchant vessel anchored at 05°52’S, 106°05’E. A crew member was threatened, whilst the thieves made away with engine room spares.
Click link to Download PDF: Solace Global Maritime Security Snapshot – Week 20 A roundup of maritime security incidents – an easy to read format collating suspicious approaches, vessel attacks, boardings, hijacks and media reports. The week 20 Maritime Security Snapshot was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

Solace Global – Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 20

Headlines From This Week 

  • Gaza Unrest – At least 62 people were killed by Israeli Defence Forces (IDF) when violent clashes erupted on the Israel-Gaza border as the relocated US Embassy opened in Jerusalem on 14 July. Tensions were already heightened as Palestinians commemorate ‘Nakba’, or ‘catastrophe’ of 70 years of the Israeli state on the same date. IDF troops have been accused of being overly aggressive towards protesters, with the use of live ammunition. Further clashes are likely throughout Ramadan.
  • Terror Attack in France – Two people, including the attacker, were killed after a suspected terror attack in Paris’s Opera district. Several others were injured in the stabbing attack on the evening of 12 May 2018. Islamic State claimed that one of its “soldiers” carried out the attack. The attacker was believed to have been born in Chechnya, a restive, Muslim majority region of Russia, before moving to France.
  • Multiple Bombings in Indonesia – On the morning of 13 May, Islamist militants attacked three churches in Surabaya, Indonesia’s second city. A later attack occurred the following morning outside a police station, just south of the city. In total, at least 26 people were killed, including 13 of the suspected bombers; the attackers were reportedly from two families and included children. The attacks have been described as the most coordinated terror events in the country’s history. Indonesian prosecutors are seeking the death sentence for the cleric accused of planning the attacks from jail.
  • Korea Complications – This week saw a cooling of relations on the Korean Peninsula. Pyongyang broke off high-level talks with Seoul due to joint US-South Korea military exercises, a speech made by a North Korean defector at the Seoul National Assembly, and the proposal that North Korea could follow the ‘Libya Model’. This proposal by National Security Advisor John Bolton, suggests that denuclearisation and the lifting of sanctions could eventually lead to the overthrow of the North Korean regime as it did in Libya. President Trump has denied this aim but it is clear that Pyongyang is seeking to extract concessions from South Korea and the US.
  • Evacuations in Colombia – Tens of thousands of people have been ordered to evacuate their homes after heavy floods at Hidroituango dam on the river Cuaca. Flooding at the partially complete dam, Colombia’s largest hydroelectric project, had already displaced hundreds before evacuation orders were issued. Colombia’s army, police, and disaster management agency have been dispatched to the site in the north-western Antioquia province. At present no casualties have been reported.

What To Look Out For Next Week

  • Venezuela Elections – Venezuela is set to go to the polls on 20 May 2018. Elections were initially scheduled for December 2018 but were then moved to 22 April before being pushed back to the 20 May. The incumbent President Maduro is widely expected to win either legitimately or through fraudulent means. Many opposition figures and parties have been barred from running against him, while others have decided to boycott the vote. Many of the populous are expected to abstain from the vote, assisting President Maduro. It is unclear if popular, political unrest will reach the levels seen in Venezuela in 2014 and 2017 as voter apathy is high.
  • Africa Day – An annual commemoration of the Organisation of African Unity (OAU) (now the African Union), is set to take place on 25 May. The OAU was founded on 25 May 1963. The day is celebrated with a public holiday in many African nations including Zimbabwe and Ghana. Celebrations may stretch over a number of days in certain locations, travellers should follow local media to understand how they may be impacted by events.
  • UEFA Champions League Final – The final of the world’s premier club football competition is set to be held at 1845UTC on 26 May 2018 in Kiev, Ukraine. Liverpool from the United Kingdom and Real Madrid from Spain are set to face each other. Security for the match is set to be tight, with Ukrainian police looking to prevent any potential terror attacks or clashes between fans, as have previously been seen at European competition fixtures this year.
  • Constitutional Referendum in Ireland – Irish voters will go to the polls on 25 May 2018 for a proposed amendment to the Irish constitution which would permit the Oireachtas (parliament) to legislate on the legalisation of abortion. At present, the ‘yes’ vote is expected to win with a double-digit lead in recent polls. The two largest parties in Ireland, Fine Gael and Fianna Fail, officially remain neutral but the Fine Gael Prime Minister Leo Varadkar is publicly supporting a ‘yes’ vote.
  • Further Rail Disruption in France – Domestic, Eurostar, and Thalys rail services face disruptions on 18-19 May and 23-24 May due to further strikes by French rail workers. Delays and cancellations are to be expected on these days. These are the latest set of strikes which have been ongoing for more than a month. Trains running on high-speed lines (TGVs), the Transilien network (Greater Paris region), TER networks (regional trains), and Intercités (inter-city) networks will all be affected, with only one out of four trains operating on some lines. Additional rail strikes will take place on 28-29 May;2, 3, 7, 8, 12, 13, 17, 18, 22, 23, 27, and 28 June.

 Significant Dates and Events

  • 19 May – Turkey – Ataturk Commemoration and Youth and Sports Day
  • 19-21 May – Judaism – Shavuot begins
  • 19 May – United Kingdom – English and Scottish FA Cup Finals
  • 19 May – Nicaragua – Opposition Marches Planned
  • 20 May – Cameroon – National Day
  • 20 May – Christianity – Whit Sunday (Pentecost)
  • 20 May – Timor-Leste – Independence Restoration Day
  • 20 May – Cambodia – Day of Remembrance
  • 21 May – Canada – Victoria Day
  • 21 May – Cayman Islands – Discovery Day
  • 21 May – Chile – Navy Day
  • 21 May – Montenegro – Independence Day
  • 22 May – Yemen – National Unity Day
  • 23 May – Macedonia – Vlach’s National Day
  • 24 May – Belize – Sovereign’s Day
  • 24 May – Bulgaria and Macedonia – Saints Cyril and Methodius Day
  • 24 May – Ecuador – Battle of Pichincha Day
  • 24 May – Eritrea – Independence Day
  • 24 May – Barbados – General Election
  • 25 May – Argentina – Anniversary of 1810 Revolution
  • 25 May – Bermuda – Bermuda Day
  • 25 May – Bolivia – Sucre Local Festival
  • 25 May – Jordan – Independence Day
  • 26 May – Iceland – Municipal Elections
  • 25-27 May – Monaco – Formula One weekend
  • 26 May – Ukraine – UEFA Champion’s League Final, Kiev
  • 26 May – Georgia – Day of First Republic
  • 26 May – Italy – Air and rail workers to strike in Milan
  • 27 May – Colombia – Presidential Election
  • 27 May – 10 June – France – French Open Tennis
Click the following link to download this report as a PDF: Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 20 The Weekly Risk Roundup highlights significant events from the last week and what to look out for next week. Week 19 Weekly Risk Roundup was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

Week 19 – Maritime Security Weekly Snapshot

Indian Ocean HRA – Maritime Security Incidents

12 May 18: Merchant Vessel Attacked near Eritrea. A bulk carrier reported coming under attack at 14°40’N 041°45’E, off the Eritrean coast. Crew and vessel reported safe, the vessel was reportedly carrying grain to the Yemeni port of Saleef. Vessels seeking entry to Yemen are advised to comply with all instructions from UN or Saudi coalition vessels.

Gulf of Guinea – Maritime Security Incidents

08 May 18: Attempted Boarding near Brass, Nigeria. Six persons onboard a skiff attempted to board a merchant vessel at 03°37’N, 006°16’E. The attackers hooked a ladder over the MV’s sides, but were prevented from boarding by hardening measures and evasive manoeuvres. Vessel and crew safe. 11 May 18: Tug with Stolen Cargo Seized, Bonny, Nigeria. Nigerian naval forces reported the seize of a 1,000 tonne barge containing stolen diesel fuel.  Six suspected thieves were also detained from aboard the tug boat.

South East Asia – Maritime Security Incidents

Abu Sayyaf Clashed with Troops in Sulu, Philippines. Philippine troops clashed with suspected members of the Islamist group Abu Sayyaf whilst seeking to recover hostages taken by the group. This marks the most recent attack by the terror organisation which has previously directly targeted seafarers in kidnap-for-ransom attacks.
Click link to Download PDF: Solace Global Maritime Security Snapshot – Week 19 A roundup of maritime security incidents – an easy to read format collating suspicious approaches, vessel attacks, boardings, hijacks and media reports. The week 19 Maritime Security Snapshot was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

Solace Global – Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 19

Headlines From This Week 

  • Patel Dam Collapse – At least 49 people have been killed and many more are missing after a dam collapsed in Kenya. Water burst through the banks of the Patel Dam in Kenya’s Rift Valley on the evening of 09 May. So far 41 people have been rescued from the mud and 500 families have been displaced.
  • US Withdraws from the Iran Nuclear Deal – On 08 May, President Trump announced that the US would be withdrawing from the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), widely referred to as the ‘Iran Nuclear Deal’. The other members of the deal, including the United States’ European allies, have criticised the move and stated their intent to uphold their obligations under the treaty. This is likely to lead to destabilisation in the Middle East. Indeed, overnight on 09 to 10 May, the Iranian military directly targeted Israel Defence Forces (IDF) in the disputed Golan Heights with ‘around 20 missiles’. In response, the IDF launched its most intensive attack on Iranian positions in Syria since the beginning of the civil war in 2011.
  • US-North Korea Summit Announced – President Trump announced over twitter that he will be meeting with North Korean leader Kim Jong-un on 12 June in Singapore, the first meeting ever between the leaders of the US and North Korea. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo was in North Korea this week, returning to the United States with three imprisoned Americans, released as a ‘goodwill gesture’ by Pyongyang.
  • Ebola Reported in DRC – The World Health Organisation (WHO) has reported a new Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of Congo. 17 fatalities have been attributed to the virus in the northwest of the country, with two confirmed cases. Officials from the WHO and Médecins Sans Frontières (MSF) have been deployed to the region.
  • South Africa Mosque Attack – An imam was killed, and two others injured, after three assailants armed with knives and guns attacked a Shia mosque in Verulam, 27km north of Durban on 10 May. The attackers proceeded to set fire to the mosque with a petrol bomb before escaping; at the time of writing, they are still on the run. The reason for the attack is unclear, however, commentators have reported that there has been a rise in anti-Shia rhetoric over the past few years
  • Protests in Munich – At least 30,000 people took to the streets of the German city of Munich on 10 May to voice their opposition to a proposed bill which would grant the police sweeping new powers. The rally in Odeonsplatz was one of the largest rallies in Munich for years. The vote on the proposed bill is set to take place on 15 May.

What To Look Out For Next Week

  • Ramadan Begins – The Islamic festival of Ramadan is predicted to begin on 15 May, depending on the lunar cycle. The festival involves fasting during daylight hours, with no eating, drinking, or smoking allowed in public areas. In the past, the holy month of Ramadan has seen an increased frequency of Jihadi terror attacks. Travellers to Muslim-majority countries are advised to respect the traditions of the month of Ramadan and prepare for travel disruptions.
  • Referendum in Burundi – A constitutional referendum is due to be held in Burundi on 17 May. The proposed changes would reintroduce the role of Prime Minister and reduce the number of Vice-Presidents to one. The proposals would also increase the presidential term from five to seven years and restrict a president to two consecutive terms. Changes would also allow incumbent President Pierre Nkurunziza, in office since 2005, to stand for re-election, despite having already served three terms. The country has seen a political and security crisis since 2015 when Nkurunziza successfully ran for a third term. Violent clashes between the state and opposition supporters have been reported during the campaign period.
  • International Day Against Homophobia, Transphobia, and Biphobia – 17 May marks the International Day against homophobia. It is a major event for pro-LGBTQI campaigners, commemorating a 1990 decision by the World Health Organisation to declassify homosexuality as a mental disorder. Events are planned in countries around the world. For more see this link – https://dayagainsthomophobia.org/events-by-country/.
  • General Strike in Guinea – Opposition parties delayed a planned general strike from 09 May until 14 May. Protesters are calling for the government to release opposition members from prison and are also rallying to denounce the results of local elections in February. Travellers in Guinea, and the capital city Conakry in particular, should expect travel disruption and should avoid all large gatherings as violent clashes between security forces and protesters may occur.
  • Opposition March in Poland – The Civic Platform opposition party and other activist groups are set to rally in Warsaw on 12 May. Protesters are set to gather at the Rondo de Gaulle from 1300hrs local time. Exact participant numbers are unclear, but thousands may attend to voice support for shared European values and to oppose the policies of the ruling Law and Justice Party. Travellers can expect localised travel disruption and heightened security measures.

 Significant Dates and Events

  • 11-13 May – Spain – Formula One weekend in Barcelona
  • 12 May – Timor-Leste – General election
  • 12 May – Georgia – St Andrew’s Day
  • 12 May – Iraq – National Elections
  • 12-14 May – France – Air traffic controllers at Marseille Airport to go on strike
  • 12-13 May – Israel – Yom Yerushalayim (Jerusalem Day)
  • 13-15 May – Cambodia – King Sihamoni’s Birthday
  • 14 May – Israel – New US Embassy in Israel to open in Jerusalem
  • 14 May – Philippines – Local and Regional Elections
  • 14 May – Liberia – National Unification Day
  • 14 May – Malawi – President Kamuzu Banda’s Birthday
  • 14 May – Greece – Metro strike in Athens
  • 14 May – Algeria – Demonstrations in Béjaïa
  • 15 May – Paraguay – Independence Day
  • 15 May – Spain – San Isidro Feast Day
  • 17 May – Democratic Republic of Congo – National Liberation Day
  • 17 May – Malaysia – Wesak Day
  • 17 May – Norway – Constitution Day
  • 17 May – Uruguay – Battle of Las Piedras
  • 18 May – Haiti – Flag Day / University Day
  • 18 May – Somaliland – Independence Day
  • 18 May – Turkmenistan – Constitution Day
  • 18 May – India – Anniversary of 2007 bombing of Mecca Masjid in Hyderabad
  • 19 May – Turkey – Ataturk Commemoration and Youth and Sports Day
  • 19-21 May – Judaism – Shavuot begins
  • 20 May – Cameroon – National Day
  • 20 May – Christianity – Whit Sunday (Pentecost)
  • 20 May – Timor-Leste – Independence Restoration Day
  • 20 May – Venezuela – Presidential elections
  • 20 May – Cambodia – Day of Remembrance
Click the following link to download this report as a PDF: Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 19 The Weekly Risk Roundup highlights significant events from the last week and what to look out for next week. Week 19 Weekly Risk Roundup was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

Week 18 – Maritime Security Weekly Snapshot

Indian Ocean HRA – Maritime Security Incidents

CTF 151 Seeks to Engage Non-Commercial Seafarers. Combined Task Force 151 has launched an effort to actively engage with non-commercial vessels transiting the HRA. Previous efforts have focused on countering piracy towards commercial shipping, and the new effort is aimed at filling a perceived gap in coverage. Pakistani Vessels Provide Logistical Support. Pakistani warships assigned to CTF 151 reported providing assistance to both a stranded fishing boat with a mechanical issue, and a yacht which ran out of fuel and food due to recent adverse conditions in the region.

Gulf of Guinea – Maritime Security Incidents

06 May 18: Attempted Boarding near Port Harcourt, Nigeria. Six persons onboard a skiff attempted to board a merchant vessel at 03°37’N, 006° 16’E. Vessel and crew reported safe.

South East Asia – Maritime Security Incidents

06 May 18: Attempted Boarding at Chittagong, Bangladesh. Robbers aboard a small wooden boat boarded a bulk carrier at 22°15’N 091°45’E using a rope and hook. The crew raised the alarm and robbers left the vessel empty handed. 06 May 18: Attempted Robbery at Muara Berau, Indonesia. Robbers aboard a small boat boarded a bulk carrier at 00°14’S 117°34’E. The crew raised the alarm and   robbers left the vessel empty handed. 29 Apr 18: Vessel Boarded at Tanjung Berakit, Indonesia. Robbers successfully boarded a heavy lift vessel anchored at 01°25’N, 104°47’E. They broke several stores throughout the vessel, but investigation reported nothing stolen.
Click link to Download PDF: Solace Global Maritime Security Snapshot – Week 18 A roundup of maritime security incidents – an easy to read format collating suspicious approaches, vessel attacks, boardings, hijacks and media reports. The week 18 Maritime Security Snapshot was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

Solace Global – Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 18

Headlines From This Week 

  • Dust Storms in India – At least 125 fatalities have been reported after dust storms hit northern India, notably Uttar Pradesh and Rajasthan. High-speed winds and lightning have brought down buildings and led to dozens of injuries. Dust storms are expected to continue, and the death toll is predicted to rise.
  •  Terror Attack in Tripoli – On 02 May, Islamic State militants attacked Libya’s electoral commission headquarters in Tripoli. At least 12 people have been confirmed dead as gunmen and suicide bombers attacked while officials registered voters for elections that it is scheduled to be held this year.
  •  Dozens Dead in Boko Haram Attack – Reports suggest that 60 people were killed in a twin suicide attacks on a mosque in Mubi, Adamawa state while afternoon prayer was being held. Dozens more were injured in the Boko Haram attack. Violence by the terror group has killed around 20,000 people since 2009.
  •  17 Dead in Mali Islamist Attack – At least 17 people were killed after Islamist militants attacked two villages in Menaka region, Mali on 01 May. The local affiliate of Islamic state has been blamed for the attack which targeted members of the Taureg community. This incident is a further example of Mali’s instability at this time.
  •  Morocco Cuts Ties with Iran – On 02 May, Morocco severed diplomatic relations with Iran after reporting evidence of their support for rebels in the disputed Western Sahara region. Morocco claims that the Iranian-backed Hezbollah militant group has provided training and financial support to Polisario Front independence fighters. This is further evidence of the battle lines being drawn in Middle East and North Africa.
  •  Terror Attacks in Afghanistan – Jihadists launched a series of deadly attacks across the country after the Afghan Taliban announced its annual spring offensive. On 30 April, a coordinated double suicide bombing killed at least 25 people, ten of whom were journalists. The initial suicide bombing near the NATO headquarters and US Embassy was followed 20 minutes later as another attack targeted first responders. Dozens of other terror incidents have occurred across the country this week.
  •  Evacuations in Hawaii – Mandatory evacuations have been issued in areas of the island of Hawaii after Kilauea volcano erupted, spewing lava into a residential area on 03 May. At present 1,700 people of Leilani Estates are affected by the evacuation order but this may increase depending on the activity of the volcano which is unpredictable at this time, according to officials. More than 6300 hectares have been closed off to the public due to volcanic activity.

What To Look Out For Next Week

  • Malaysia General Election – Malaysians are set to go to the polls to elect a new parliament on 09 May. The 2013 vote was met with cases of violence, including an improvised explosive device at a rally for the ruling party. Opposition parties also criticised the fairness of the election claiming that the ruling party enjoyed an unfair advantage, with opposition rallies disrupted and internet speeds slowed down for those critical of the government.
  • Giro d’Italia Begins – The annual tour of Italy begins on 04 May. The first stage takes place in Jerusalem with two further race days in Israel before the race reaches Italy on 08 May. The final stage takes place in Rome on 27 May. Travel disruption should be expected during this period.
  • Lebanon Legislative Elections – Elections are set to occur on 06 May after years of delays. The political system has historically been unstable, and this looks set to continue. Prime Minister Saad Hariri recently resigned before retracting his resignation. Religious and ethnic traditions influence the political system. There is the potential for unrest or terror incidents, especially given regional tensions and active terror groups.
  • Iraq Elections – Parliamentary elections are due to be held on 12 May 2018. The vote is being held against the backdrop of a defeat of Islamic State in Iraq. However, ethnic strife, criminality, and terrorism continue to blight the country’s security profile. It is also unclear what involvement Iraqi Kurdistan, which voted for independence in late 2017, will have in the election. In 2014, as members of the security forces voted, six polling stations were hit by suicide bombers with at least 27 deaths recorded. Violent unrest and terror attacks are highly likely in the election period.
  • Anti-Macron Protests – On 05 May, protesters will take to the streets of Paris and Lyon to voice opposition to President Macron and the French government. In Paris, demonstrators are expected to rally from 1200hrs at Place de l’Opéra, before marching to Place de la Bastille. Protesters in Lyon will gather at 1400hrs at Place des Terreau. Security is set to stepped up as violence occurred at 01 May protests and 109 people were arrested. Macron has so far been reluctant to make any concessions to continuing protesters.
  • Unrest to Continue in Israel – Yom Yerushalayim or Jerusalem Day on 12-13 May is an Israeli national holiday which celebrates the establishment of Israeli control over the city after the June 1967 Six-Day War. This celebration, with the planned opening of the US Embassy in Jerusalem on 14 May, means that violent unrest is set to continue.

 Significant Dates and Events

  • 04-20 May – Denmark – World Ice Hockey Championships
  • 05 May – Ethiopia – Patriots’ Victory Day
  • 05 May – Israel – Anti-government protests in Tel Aviv
  • 05 May – Peru – Anti-abortion rally to be held in Lima
  • 05 May – Ireland – Pro-Palestinian rally planned in Dublin
  • 05 May – Guyana – Arrival Day
  • 05 May – United Kingdom – Pro-independence rally in Glasgow
  • 05 May – Kazakhstan – Constitution Day
  • 05 May – United States – Kentucky Derby
  • 05 May – Japan – Constitution Memorial Day and Children’s Day
  • 05 May – Kyrgyzstan – Constitution Day
  • 05 May – Mexico – Cinco de Mayo (Victory Over French, 1867)
  • 05 May – Spain – Nationwide protests over pension reform
  • 05-07 May – France – Transport strikes affecting Marseille Province Airport
  • 06 May – Russia – Left Front activists to rally in Moscow
  • 06 May – Canada – Toronto Marathon
  • 06 May – Bulgaria – George’s Day
  • 06 May – Tunisia – Municipal Elections
  • 06 May – Thailand – Environmental activists to protest in Chiang Mai
  • 06 May – United States – Anti-National Rifle Association rally in Dallas, Texas
  • 07 May – Kazakhstan – Defender of the Fatherland Day
  • 08 May – Georgia – St Andrew’s Day
  • 08 May – Turkmenistan – National Heroes Commemoration Day
  • 08 May – Italy – National air traffic control strike
  • 08-09 May – Various – Victory in Europe Day
  • 08-19 May – France – Cannes Film Festival
  • 09 May – Kosovo – Europe Day
  • 09 May – Uzbekistan – Day of Remembrance of the Victims of Political Repressions
  • 10 May – Various – Christian festival of the Ascension
  • 11-13 May – Spain – Formula One weekend in Barcelona
  • 12 May – Timor-Leste – General election
Click the following link to download this report as a PDF: Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 18 The Weekly Risk Roundup highlights significant events from the last week and what to look out for next week. Week 18 Weekly Risk Roundup was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

Solace Global – Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 17

Headlines From This Week 

  • Ramming Attack in Toronto – On 23 April, a lone individual killed ten people, and left a further 15 wounded, when he crashed a hired van through pedestrians in Toronto. A disproportionate number of victims were female. The attacker had an extensive history of mental health and learning difficulties, in addition to a discharge from the Canadian army 16 days into training. Present evidence suggests that the attacker was self-radicalised based on active participation in a range of alternative and misogynistic online communities.
  • Nicaraguan Protests – Anti-government protests, triggered by proposed changes to social security measures, expanded and widened even after the government submitted to initial demands. Tens of thousands continued to protest daily in Managua, now apparently focused on breaking President Ortega’s 30-year monopoly on power. Violence occurred frequently as pro-government counter protesters and police sought to quell the unrest, and residents near the protests sought to defend their properties. Unrest is highly likely to continue.
  • Kenya Flood Risk – Severe rains in western Kenya have led to widespread flooding, forcing approximately 200,000 people to evacuate their homes. Key highways have been submerged, hindering emergency responses. Numerous landslides have been reported. The rainfall was sufficient that two dams near Mount Kenya, the Masinga and Kamburu, are at risk of failure. Significant populations down-river from them have been advised to evacuate to high ground.
  • Madagascar Protests – Madagascar has seen a series of opposition-led protests against the Government’s attempt to implement new electoral laws which are likely to bar a number of candidates from the upcoming presidential election. At present, opposition leaders remain steadfast in their refusal to re-enter negotiations and the government has relied on security forces to disperse protests. At least two people have been killed, and tear gas has frequently been employed to scatter crowds.
  • Greek Ultranationalists beat Migrants – Supporters of Greek far-right political groups clashed with a crowd of migrants in the main square of Mytilene on Lesbos overnight on 20 April. The migrants had been peacefully protesting the poor living standards in official government-run refugee camps, and persistent delays in the processing of asylum claims. Over 30 people were hospitalised following the clash, which involved thrown bricks and flares; and police detained over 120 people before evacuating the migrants back to an official camp.
  • Leaders of North and South Korea Met in South Korea – President Kim became the first North Korean leader since the war to cross the Demarcation line into South Korea during a diplomatic meeting with the South’s President Moon. The meeting, on 27 April, resulted in a declaration that the two states would seek complete denuclearisation of the Korean Peninsula and a phased reduction in conventional arms. North Korea has routinely discarded earlier treaties; this meeting goes toward setting the stage for the meeting between Kim and US President Trump before the end of June 2018.

What To Look Out For Next Week

  • Mayday or Labour Day – Known by several names, depending on region, most Western and former-Soviet states hold a public holiday in early May. The specific date of the celebration may vary from country to country, however travellers should expect disruption to travel caused by rallies, parades, or protests which typically accompany the celebrations. The date’s affiliation with labour movements in many countries may lead to strike action or industrial disputes around these dates. Monitoring of local media is recommended in order to minimise disruption.
  • Rallies for former President in Seoul – Supporters of the ousted South Korean President Park are due to hold rallies in Seoul on 28 April. These rallies are likely to be extensive as Park’s conservative party also directly opposes the foreign policy priorities of the governing Democratic Party, which have come to a head with the recent face-to-face meetings with the North Korean Leader, Kim Jong-Un, and South Korean President Moon. Previous protests by the Conservative Party resulted in thousands of protesters obstructing the streets of Seoul and a series of violent clashes with riot police which left at least one person dead, and many in hospital.
  • Saleh al-Sammad’s Funeral in Sanaa – The funeral of Saleh al-Sammad, the leader of the Houthi rebel’s Political Council, is due to be held in Sanaa, Yemen’s capital, which is presently under rebel control. The Houthi group have previously been known to launch rocket, drone, and mortar attacks against Saudi assets in response to attacks on their territory or personnel. The killing of such a prominent figure in their organisation by a Saudi airstrike is likely to elicit a similar response. Saudi-flagged vessels in the Red Sea, or major cities in Saudi Arabia may be directly targeted with missiles during or immediately after the funeral.
  • Indian National Congress Rally in New Delhi – The Indian National Congress (INC) opposition party has scheduled a national rally in New Delhi’s Ramlila Maidan. The INC is affiliated with a wide number of trade and labour groups, which it intends to leverage to create maximum attendance at the rally. The chosen venue has a capacity of approximately 100,000 people, however estimates of crowd size range from 30,000 to 60,000. Significant travel disruption in the immediate area of the rally should be expected. Although the INC has no intention of inciting violence, increasingly polarised national politics means that isolated clashes with counter protesters are probable.
  • More Protests Likely in Armenia – Talks between the Armenian government and the de-facto leader of the recent protest broke down when the acting prime minister allegedly refused to meet directly with the opposition leader. The Armenian Parliament is due to select its new Prime Minister on 01 May through an internal ballot; opposition leaders have renounced this in favour of a new general election, provided it were certified as free of the voting discrepancies reported in previous polls. Earlier protests saw small numbers of troops joining the demonstrators, however as the protests continue, there remains a realistic probability that violent clashes may occur.

 Significant Dates and Events

  • 27 April to 08 May – Thailand – Disruption at Phuket Airport due to maintenance work
  • 28 April – Afghanistan – Mujahideen Victory Day
  • 28 April – Ukraine – Memorial marches to the World War Two-era “Galica” division planned in Lviv
  • 28 April – Gabon – Legislative Elections
  • 28 April – Barbados – National Heroes Day
  • 28 April – Italy – Sardinia’s Day
  • 29 April – Japan – Showa Day
  • 30 April – Mexico – Teachers to commence a 72 hour strike and protest action
  • 30 April – Sri Lanka – Vesak Full Moon Poya Holiday
  • 30 April – Vietnam – Reunification Day
  • 01 May – Various – Mayday or Labour Day, frequently a public holiday
  • 01 May – Marshall Islands – Constitution Day
  • 01 May – Poland – National airline workers due to strike
  • 01 May – Denmark – Anti-fascist groups to rally in Copenhagen
  • 01 May – Greece – Trade unions to rally in Athens
  • 01 May – Bangladesh – BNP trade union affiliates to rally in Dhaka
  • 02 May – Iran – Imam Mahdi’s birthday, national holiday
  • 02 May – Bangladesh & India – Shab e-Barat
  • 03 May – Poland – Constitution Day
  • 03 May – Japan – Constitution Memorial Day
  • 03 May – Cambodia – Royal Ploughing Ceremony, national holiday
  • 04 May – Japan – Greenery Day, national holiday.
  • 04 May – Latvia – Declaration of Independence Day
  • 04 May – Namibia – Cassinga Day
  • 04-20 May – Denmark – World Ice Hockey Championships
  • 05 May – Ethiopia – Patriots’ Victory Day
  • 05 May – Guyana – Arrival Day
  • 05 May – Kazakhstan – Constitution Day
  • 05 May – USA – Kentucky Derby
  • 05 May – Czechia – March planned in Prague supporting Marijuana legalisation
  • 06 May – Russia – Left Front activists to rally in Moscow
  • 06 May – Canada – Toronto Marathon
 Click the following link to download this report as a PDF: Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 17 The Weekly Risk Roundup highlights significant events from the last week and what to look out for next week. Week 17 Weekly Risk Roundup was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

Weeks 15 & 16 – Maritime Security Weekly Snapshot

Indian Ocean HRA – Maritime Security Incidents

Apr-May 18: Coalition Preparing Operations Against Al-Hudaydah. Yemeni government forces, supported by the Saudi-led Gulf coalition appear to be preparing for a direct offensive against the Houthi-held port of Al Hudaydah. Previous operations in the area have been countered by attacks against Saudi shipping by shore-based missile systems, and waterborne IEDs. It is highly likely  that future offensives will see a similar response.

Gulf of Guinea – Maritime Security Incidents

21 Apr 18: Vessel Boarded off Bonny Island, Nigeria. Preliminary reports suggest a merchant vessel was attacked and boarded at 03°33’N 007°02’E, approximately 40nm south of Bonny Island.

South East Asia – Maritime Security Incidents

18 Apr 18: Robbery At Anchor  in Samarinda Indonesia. A vessel anchored at 00°15’S 117°38’E discovered the forecastle store had been broken into. Robbers were believed to have boarded via the anchor chain. 17 Apr 18: Attempted Theft at Anchor in Chittagong, Bangladesh. Six robbers attempted to board a vessel at 22°11’N 091°42’E. One crew member was threatened with a knife before the alarm was raised and the attackers fled. 12 Apr 18: Theft at Anchor in Chittagong, Bangladesh. Robbers boarded a vessel at 22°13’N 091°45’E, assaulted the vessel’s watchkeeper, and fled with ship’s stores. 05 Apr 18: Suspicious Approach against Sailing Vessel, South China Sea. A small vessel containing two men approached a 14m catamaran at speed to within 200m at 17°16’N 111°16’E. The catamaran issued a Mayday and was responded to by a cruise liner. The suspect vessel moved away.
Click link to Download PDF:  Solace Global Maritime Security Snapshot – Week 15 & 16 A roundup of maritime security incidents – an easy to read format collating suspicious approaches, vessel attacks, boardings, hijacks and media reports. The week 15 & 16 Maritime Security Snapshot was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

Solace Global – Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 16

Headlines From This Week 

  • US Attacks Syrian Government Targets – On 14 April 2018, the United States, with the support of France and the United Kingdom, launched a missile attack on Syrian government targets. The attack was ostensibly in response to a chemical attack on civilians in Douma, east of Damascus, believed to have been conducted by the Syrian government. This attack is likely to have significant implications for global and regional relations, further damaging the relationship between the West and Russia.
  • Protests in Armenia – Protests broke out on 13 April in Yerevan, Armenia’s capital, in response to parliament’s decision to appoint former President Serzh Sargysan as prime minister. Due to significant constitutional reform in 2015, the position of prime minister has become more significant than the presidency. Thousands have taken to the streets and dozens have required hospitalisation. Further protests are planned.
  • Pompeo Visits Kim Jong-un – It was revealed this week that President Trump’s nominee to take over as Secretary of State, Mike Pompeo, visited Kim Jong-un in North Korea to lay the groundwork for a summit between the US and North Korea. According to South Korea’s President Moon, Kim has dropped his longstanding demand for US forces to be removed from the Peninsula in exchange for denuclearisation.
  • Labour Unrest in France – Unions have continued their disruptive protests in France in opposition to planned reforms by President Macron. Scuffles were reported in a number of locations but largely remained non-violent. Dates for further four-day strikes by railway workers from April to June have been released. Attendance at this week’s rallies were down compared to previous stoppages in April.
  • Deadly Attack in Timbuktu – 15 Islamist militants were killed after attacking a United Nations military base in Timbuktu, Mali. The attack, on 14 April, led to the death of one UN peacekeeper with seven others wounded as well as two civilians. The attackers reportedly infiltrated the base dressed in UN uniforms.
  • President Erdogan Calls Snap Polls – Turkey’s next general election has been moved forward by around 18 months after Turkey’s President Recep Tayyip Erdogan announced snap elections on 18 April. The next general election will take place on 24 June. The elections will be the first since a referendum in 2017 gave the presidency new, sweeping powers. Turkey is still in a state of emergency which was implemented in July 2016 in response to a failed military coup.

What To Look Out For Next Week

  • Anzac Day – Anzac Day 2018 will be observed on 25 April and marks the contribution of servicemen and women from Australia and New Zealand. The national day of remembrance is also observed in the Cook Islands, Niue, Pitcairn Islands, and Tonga. Commemorative events are also set to take place in Gallipoli in Turkey and Villers-Bretonneux in France. Travellers should expect enhanced security measures around these events.
  • Earth Day 2018 – 2018’s Earth Day is set to take place on 22 April 2018. Rallies will be held across the globe, for the 48th anniversary of the event, with organisers predicting as many as one billion people could be involved in events in more than 192 countries and territories. The largest events are set to take place in the United States. For more, see https://www.earthday.org/ or social media sites.
  • Elections in Paraguay – Paraguayans are due to elect a new president, legislature, and local representatives on 22 April 2018. Incumbent President Horacio Cartes has announced he will not run again. Previously, there has been known to be political violence conducted against members of the press and political opponents, due to a close relationship between politicians and organised crime. Observers judged the 2013 election to be fair.
  • Hitler’s Birthday – 20 April 2018 marks Adolf Hitler’s birthday. This day is often commemorated by far-right, Neo-Nazi marches around the world. A notable rally is set to take place in the town of Newnan in Georgia, USA on 20 to 21 April. This rally is expected to be greeted by a substantial security provision and counter rallies, with significant potential for violence. Another Neo-Nazi event is taking place in Ostritz in Germany. Similar conditions should be expected at both events.
  • Unrest in Togo Continues – Opposition groups have called for further protests in Togo between 23 and 27 April. Among other things, protesters are demanding a return to the 1992 constitution. Dates and locations of protests have not been released. Reports suggest that in the 11-14 April wave of protests, one person was killed and 174 more were wounded. Expect heightened security measures in Lomé especially.
  • National Assembly Elections in Gabon – The members of Gabon’s National Assembly are due to be elected on 28 April. Elections were previously planned for December 2016 and July 2017 but were postponed due to a lack of funds, and to further enable political dialogue. After the presidential elections in August 2016, widespread protests occurred. Supporters of opposition leader, Jean Ping, clashed with police believing that they had achieved victory. At least five people were killed and more than 1,000 arrested. During the unrest, authorities blocked the internet in Libreville. Further unrest is likely around this election.

 Significant Dates and Events

  • 21 April – Brazil – Tiradentes Day
  • 21 April – Spain – Copa del Rey Football Final in Madrid
  • 21 April – Ghana – Anti-US protest planned in Tamale
  • 21 April – Hungary – Anti-government protest in Budapest
  • 21 April – Israel – Anti-corruption march in Tel Aviv
  • 21 April – New Zealand – Nurses to rally in Palmerston
  • 21 April – Madagascar – Opposition protest to be held in Antananarivo
  • 22 to 27 April – Senegal – Saint Louis International Jazz Festival
  • 22 April – United Kingdom – London Marathon
  • 22 April – Chile – Nationwide No + AFP marches
  • 23 April – United Kingdom – St George’s Day (England)
  • 23 April – Spain – Castile and León Community Day
  • 23 April – Turkey – National Sovereignty and Children’s Day
  • 23 April – Namibia – Taxi drivers in Windhoek plan to strike
  • 23 April – India – DMK activists to rally across Tamil Nadu
  • 24 April – Armenia – Genocide Memorial Day
  • 24 April – Niger – Concord Day
  • 25 April – Costa Rica – Union leaders plan general strike
  • 25 April – Italy – Liberation Day
  • 25 April – Egypt – Sinai Liberation Day
  • 25 April – North Korea – Military Foundation Day
  • 25 April – Portugal – Freedom Day
  • 26 April – Tanzania – Union Day
  • 27 April – Denmark – General Prayer Day
  • 27 April – Netherlands – King’s Birthday
  • 27 April – Slovenia – Resistance Day
  • 27 April – South Africa – Freedom Day
  • 27 April – Togo – Independence Day
  • 27 April – Finland – National Veteran’s Day
  • 27 April – Sierra Leone – Independence Day
  • 27 to 29 April – Azerbaijan – Formula one race weekend (road closures to occur in Baku)
  • 27 April to 08 May – Thailand – Disruption at Phuket Airport due to maintenance work
 Click the following link to download this report as a PDF: Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 16 The Weekly Risk Roundup highlights significant events from the last week and what to look out for next week. Week 16 Weekly Risk Roundup was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

Solace Global announces further expansion of its US footprint

Solace Global are proud to announce we are now registered in the United States as Solace Global Risk Inc. Due to ever increasing demand for our services in the Americas, Solace Global are now better placed to service our customers through our US business entity, a 24-hour US dedicated phone number and New York address.

With many US based clients, Solace have been providing security solutions to the US market for over 5 years.

Dave Peach, CEO of Solace Global commented: “We provide an array of security services to our US based clients, some have thousands of travellers they’re looking to protect, while others with just a few travellers have bespoke requirements like travelling to high-risk locations. Our further expansion into the United States indicates how seriously employers are taking their duty of care responsibility to their employees, and this is especially true of the US market.”

As well as response, intelligence and tracking technology, Solace provide a comprehensive range of security services including; a fully managed risk management service, high end monitoring of personnel in complex locations, counter-surveillance, TSCM (technical surveillance counter measures), online and deployed threat assessments and in-country close protection. As a ‘just-in-case’ solution, Solace crisis manage and respond if an incident were to occur, for example if a traveller was a victim of crime, caught up in an earthquake, terror attack or road traffic accident.

Duty of Care

With Duty of Care and safe travel management becoming a major concern for organisations with a travelling workforce, Solace Global have been successful in offering comprehensive risk management solutions to global corporates, media companies, NGOs, universities, high-net worth families, oil & gas majors and insurers.

Services include our proprietary travel tracking and intelligence app, 24/7 response services, consultancy, intelligence services, journey management, in-country security and pre-travel advisories and training, contact Solace Global for further information.

Solace Global US contact details

Address: 418 Broadway, #5011 Albany, NY 12207

Website: solaceglobal.com

Email: info@solaceglobal.com

Week 14 – Maritime Security Weekly Snapshot

Indian Ocean HRA – Maritime Security Incidents

03 Apr 18: Houthi Rebel Missile Attack on Saudi Tanker. A Saudi tanker transiting near Al Hudaydah was struck by Yemen’s Houthi rebels using a missile launched from a land-based site near Al Hudaydah. No casualties were reported and the vessel remained seaworthy. The tanker was under escort by a Saudi warship at the time of the attack. There is no indication of Houthi intent to target non-Saudi shipping.

Gulf of Guinea – Maritime Security Incidents

07 Apr 18: Vessel Boarded near Bonny, Nigeria. Four armed pirates boarded an underway merchant vessel at 03°37’N 007°07’E. The crew mustered in the citadel and were reported safe. 03 Apr 18: Vessel Fired Upon near Bonny, Nigeria. Up to 12 armed pirates aboard a speedboat chased and fired upon a product tanker at 03°29’N 006°36’E. Onboard armed security and the tanker’s evasive manoeuvres prevented boarding. All crew reported safe. 01 Apr 18: Vessel Approached near Takoradi, Ghana. A container ship was approached by two small boats, carrying up to nine people, at 04°31’N 001°21’E. The small boats ceased pursuit following the container ship’s evasive actions.

South East Asia – Maritime Security Incidents

04 Apr 18: Theft at Anchor in Muara Berau Anchorage, Indonesia. Robbers boarded a vessel at 00°15’S 117°34’E, broke into the forepeak store, and escaped with ship’s stores. The crew noted a suspicious vessel in the vicinity and raised the alarm before discovering the theft.  
Click link to Download PDF:  Solace Global Maritime Security Snapshot – Week 14 A roundup of maritime security incidents – an easy to read format collating suspicious approaches, vessel attacks, boardings, hijacks and media reports. The week 14 Maritime Security Snapshot was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.