Week 27 – Maritime Security Weekly Snapshot

Indian Ocean HRA – Maritime Security Incidents

04 July 18: Suspicious Approach ENE of Muscat. Two white-hulled skiffs approached to within 500m of a merchant vessel at 24°02’N 059°55’E. Vessel and crew were reported safe. 04 July 18: Merchant Vessel Fired Upon in the Southern Red Sea. A merchant vessel transiting northwards in the Red Sea was approached by three high-speed skiffs at 13°33’N 042°40’E, near the Hanish islands. Each skiff contained up to eight armed persons, who fired upon the MV as they closed. Armed security personnel returned fire and compelled the attackers to abort their approach. Vessel and crew were reported safe.

Mediterranean – Maritime Security Incidents

08 July 18: Italian Interior Minister to Bar Access to Rescue Vessels. Matteo Salvini, the Italian interior minister, announced his intent to close Italian ports to vessels conducting rescues of migrants in the Mediterranean. It remains possible that such a bar may extend to commercial vessels which rescued migrants under SOLAS obligations.

Gulf of Guinea – Maritime Security Incidents

03 July 18: Vessel Boarded in Lagos, Nigeria. A vessel anchored at 06°16’N 003°11’E was boarded by a lone intruder using the cover of darkness. The intruder was spotted by duty personnel and escaped in a small boat moored to the anchor chain.

South East Asia – Maritime Security Incidents

03 July 18: Vessel boarded in Chittagong, Bangladesh. Eight robbers boarded a bulk carrier anchored at 22°19’N 091°43’E. They tied up the duty watchman, and escaped having stolen the aft mooring rope. 03 July 18: Tug and Barge Boarded near Tanjung Piai. A tug boat and barge carrying a cargo of scrap metal was boarded by 10 individuals from six sampans at 01°12’N 103°33’E. The perpetrators stole cargo from the barge and fled as the alarm was raised.

Click link to Download PDF: Solace Global Maritime Security Snapshot – Week 27 A roundup of maritime security incidents – an easy to read format collating suspicious approaches, vessel attacks, boardings, hijacks and media reports. The week 27 Maritime Security Snapshot was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

Solace Global – Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 27

Headlines From This Week

Terror Attack in Mali – Insurgents in northern Mali conducted a significant improvised explosive attack against French and Malian forces in the Gao region. At least four civilians were killed and numerous civilians and soldiers were wounded during a direct attempt to destroy French armoured fighting vehicles. This attack may represent a step-change in insurgent capabilities in the region.

China Floods – At least 16 people have been killed and 10 others are wounded after heavy rainfall led to flooding in southwest China. Rains struck the provinces of Guangxi, Yunnan, Hunan, and most notably Sichuan. In Sichuan province alone, seven people have been killed, 120,000 impacted, and thousands forced to evacuate. Flooding has also been reported in Shaanxi in northwest China, the reservoir at the Three Gorges Dam is set for the first flood of the year.

Mexican Election – The Mexican General Election was held on 01 July and resulted in a resounding victory for the leftist candidate, Andres Obrador. Between 100-200 candidates were killed during the campaign season, particularly those standing for local administrative positions. It remains to be seen whether this violence will persist in the aftermath of the vote. The election itself took place relatively smoothly, with minimal disruption, and no noteworthy unrest. The new president’s focus against corruption is likely to face staunch resistance from lower levels of government where the influence of drug cartels is pervasive and widespread.

Malaysia’s Ex-Prime Minister Arrested – Najib Razak was arrested on 03 July, two months after losing a re-election bid, following widespread allegations of corruption and misappropriation of funds. Investigations into Razak, his wider party, and family are ongoing, with further arrests likely due to the theft of at least $4.5 billion dollars, laundered through a minimum of six other countries. No noteworthy unrest has yet occurred in response; however, if the investigation appears to become politically motivated, Razak’s supporters may be motivated to resist the investigation.
Rioting in Nantes – The French city of Nantes experienced two nights of rioting following the police shooting of a man during a stop and search. Rioters and police exchanged stones and teargas in the city centre on Wednesday and Thursday evenings, with public buildings, a community centre, and several vehicles set alight. Arrests are likely to follow. The police initially justified the shooting by claiming that the victim attempted to run officers down, however eyewitnesses claim the vehicle was static at the time of the shooting. The police officer who fired has been taken into custody whilst the investigation is ongoing and may face criminal charges.

What To Look Out For Next Week

Typhoon Maria – Typhoon Maria is anticipated to strike the southern Japanese island of Okinawa as a category four storm between 09 and 10 July. This classification means that the island is likely to be struck with winds of up to 156 miles per hour, as well as significant and violent rain. The outer edges of the storm are likely to cause disruption to air and sea travel to surrounding nations, including China, Taiwan, and mainland Japan.

President Trump to visit Europe – President Trump is scheduled to undertake a tour of Europe, attending a NATO summit in Belgium, a working visit to the UK, and a one-on-one meeting with Russia’s Vladimir Putin. President Trump’s itinerary is almost certain to attract widespread disruption and protest due to a widening gulf between Trump’s policy measures and the political positions of the European population; permits have already been issued for extensive demonstrations in London.

Naadam Festival in Mongolia – The national holiday of Naadam is scheduled to take place in Nepal between 10-13 July. The festival attracts extensive crowds to engage in and spectate competitions of wrestling, archery, and horse racing. The largest event is due to be held around the capital of Ulaanbaatar, however smaller events are likely to be held in most regions throughout the country. Normal services and business activities are likely to suffer extensive disruption.

Orange Parades in Northern Ireland – The anniversary of the Battle of the Boyne on 12 July is scheduled to be commemorated with widespread parades by the Protestant Orange Institution. The parades remain highly contentious in an environment where religious and social divides remain apparent after centuries of unrest and conflict. Travel disruption around urban areas is highly likely, and violent unrest remains a possibility. Overtly heightened security measures are likely to be in place.

Cambodian People Party Rally – The Cambodian People’s Party (CPP) has planned to hold a rally in the Koh Pich (Diamond Island) area of Phnom Penh on 07 July. Preliminary estimates suggest that this pre-election rally is likely to attract upwards of 100,000 people from its start time of 05:30 locally. Traffic disruption and delays should be expected around the city, including around the airport. Several processions will take place to and from the event from various areas of the city until around 14:00. Other rallies will be held between now and the general election on 29 July 2018. Avoid large gatherings, demonstrations and political meetings.

Significant Dates and Events

02 to 15 July – United Kingdom – Wimbledon tennis tournament
06 to 08 July – United Kingdom – Formula One race weekend
06 to 12 July – Japan – Dozens of ANA flights cancelled due to engine inspections
06 to 13 July – Spain – Festival of San Fermin in Pamplona
06 to 07 July – Nicaragua – Opposition groups plan 48-hour general strike
07 to 29 July – France – Le Tour de France cycling race
07 July – United Kingdom – London Pride Parade
07 July – Cote d’Ivoire – Independence Day
07 July – Tanzania – Saba Saba Day
07 July – Spain – Madrid metro workers plan to strike
07 July – United Kingdom – Far-right group plan rally in Leeds
07 July – South Korea – Pro-Choice rally in Seoul
09 July – Argentina – Independence Day and Anti-IMF protest planned in Bueno Aires
09 July – South Sudan – Independence Day
09 July – Croatia – Croatia Airline staff to strike
10 July – Bahamas – Independence Day
10 July – Mauritania – Armed Forces Day
11 July – Belgium – Day of the Flemish Community
12 July – Sao Tome and Principe – Independence Day
12 July – Ireland – Ryanair pilots in Ireland to strike
13 July – Montenegro – Statehood Day
14 July – France – Bastille Day
14 July – Italy – Pro-migrant rally to take place in Ventimiglia
14 July – Iraq – Republic Day
15 July – Brunei – His Majesty the Sultan’s Birthday
15 July – Turkey – Democracy and National Solidarity day (Anniversary of 2016 attempted coup)
16 – 17July – Botswana – President’s Day
16 July – Brunei – Sultan’s Birthday, national holiday
17 July – Lesotho – King’s Birthday, national holiday
18 July – Uruguay – Constitution day

Click the following link to download this report as a PDF: Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 27 The Weekly Risk Roundup highlights significant events from the last week and what to look out for next week. Week 27 Weekly Risk Roundup was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

Week 26 – Maritime Security Weekly Snapshot

Indian Ocean HRA – Maritime Security Incidents

28 June 18: BMP5 Replaced BMP4. Counter piracy and maritime security best practices have been updated, with BMP 5 being issued in response to the evolution of the threat picture in the Indian Ocean High Risk Area. Whilst region specific, a number of the guidelines and measures are applicable to vessels transiting other regions. 23 June 18: Unilateral Humanitarian Ceasefire. Internationally supported Yemeni government forces have conducted a unilateral “pause” in their offensive operations in Al Hudaydah, ostensibly to provide a window for humanitarian relief efforts. Initial estimates suggest a resumption of combat operations in early July, unless a significant breakthrough in negotiations follows. There is a possibility that the UN may seek control over the port as a neutral party to ensure continuing aid supply.

Mediterranean – Maritime Security Incidents

25 June – 02 July 18: Over 160 Migrants Rescued off Spain. At least 160 migrants were rescued in a series of operations off the Spanish coast as the so-called “western route” to Europe appears to become more popular with traffickers. This may, in part, be a direct response to Italy’s recent efforts to halt the flow of migrants between itself and Libya. The sea journey between Africa and Spain is also significantly shorter than the Libya-Italy route, although Algeria and Morocco are less permissive to traffickers than the failed Libyan state. This increase in traffic may lead to increased disruption to commercial vessels as SOLAS obligations may force diversions and delays to rescue those in need.

Gulf of Guinea – Maritime Security Incidents

01 July 18: Vessel Attacked South of Bonny Island, Nigeria. A vessel came under attack by pirates at 04°08’N 006°57’E, 20 nm from Bonny Island, at 1040hrs. The vessel and crew were later reported safe. Further details of the attack remain unclear.

South East Asia – Maritime Security Incidents

27-29 June 18: Joint India-Bangladesh Naval Exercises. India and Bangladesh conducted their first joint naval exercise in the Bay of Bengal. The aim of the exercises were to enhance cooperation and interoperability against maritime crime and militancy in the region. 02 July 18: Human Trafficking Vessel Capsized off Penerang, Malaysia. An overloaded speedboat containing at least 44 illegal immigrants capsized 6nm off the coast of Penerang, southern Malaysia. At least one died, with a further 18 missing. Recovery and law enforcement operations led to an increase in air and marine traffic in the area.

General – Maritime Security Incidents

Maritime Global Security. A series of international shipping organisations have launched www.maritimeglobalsecurity.org to act as a repository for resources and information relating to maritime security threats and mitigations strategies around the world. This was launched concurrently with the issue of BMP5 for the Indian Ocean HRA.

Click link to Download PDF: Solace Global Maritime Security Snapshot – Week 26 A roundup of maritime security incidents – an easy to read format collating suspicious approaches, vessel attacks, boardings, hijacks and media reports. The week 26 Maritime Security Snapshot was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

Solace Global – Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 26

Headlines From This Week

Possible Assassination Attempts in Africa – On 23 June, two possible assassination attempts occurred in African nations. In the morning, two people were killed and dozens more injured at a rally held by Ethiopia’s reformist prime minister Abiy Ahmed in the capital Addis Ababa. In the afternoon, an explosion occurred at a rally in Bulawayo, Zimbabwe, where President Mnangagwa had spoken. The president has accused a group with links to the former first lady, Grace Mugabe, for the attack which killed two and injured many more.
Ceasefire in South Sudan – South Sudan President Salva Kiir and his rival Riek Machar have agreed to a “permanent” ceasefire, which is due to take place within 72 hours of the agreement of the deal on 27 June. While both leaders have vowed that this ceasefire would be permanent, other such agreements have been broken. This agreement does form a foundation on which to build a lasting peace in the war-torn country.
Vietnam Flooding – Floods and landslides in northern Vietnam have left at least 22 dead and 11 more missing. Lai Chau and Ha Giang are the hardest hit provinces. Millions of dollars of damage have been reported. While rescue efforts are underway, access to many of the worst hit areas has been cut off.
Protests in Tehran – Iran’s capital has been beset by unrest this week over a dramatic depreciation in the value of the country’s currency, the rial. At one point, protesters shut down Tehran’s Grand Bazaar, an economic centre and a place which gained notoriety in the 1979 revolution. Economic and labour protests are likely to continue or intensify as the reinstatement of US-led sanctions takes hold.
Herders in Nigeria Conduct Further Attacks – At least 86 people were confirmed dead after clashes between nomadic Fulani herdsmen and villagers in Nigeria’s Plateau State. In response to the violence, a curfew has been implemented between 1800 and 0600hrs local time in the state. Issues related to overpopulation, ethnicities, religion, and climate change have contributed to the conflict. The death toll from herdsmen attacks since 2015 has exceeded those inflicted by the Islamist terror group Boko Haram for the same period.
Mass Shooting in Maryland, USA – The 154^th mass shooting in the United States this year took place on 28 June at the Capital Gazette newspaper headquarters in Annapolis, Maryland, in an attack which killed five people. The attacker was subsequently arrested and is alleged to be an individual with a personal grievance with the newspaper; police are yet to confirm this. In the aftermath of the attack, the New York Police Department deployed a counterterrorism team to protect media outlets including the New York Times.

What To Look Out For Next Week

Continued Protests in Nicaragua – Activists are set to rally in Managua on 30 June in opposition to what they see as repressive government policies – at least 285 have been killed, 1500 injured, and 156 reported missing in more than two months of protests. The protest is set to begin in morning hours, with thousands expected to attend. While it is intended to be peaceful, clashes with security forces are possible, meaning that all gatherings should be avoided. Activists have also accused the government of using paramilitary groups to help carry out its repressive measures.
Hong Kong Special Administrative Region Establishment Day – 01 July marks the transfer of Hong Kong from British to Chinese control on the same date in 1997. It is common for this day to be met with protests by civil and human rights groups demanding universal suffrage and other democratic norms. Clashes and disruption are possible this year as activists will march from Victoria Park’s football pitches, then head down Hennessy Road towards Admiralty. Authorities in the Chinese territory had previously ordered that the protest takes place at Victoria Park’s Central Lawn.
Wimbledon Tennis Tournament Begins – The annual Wimbledon tennis championship begins on 02 July ending on 15 July. Security is set to be at its highest level ever in 2018, with staff trained in ‘behaviour detection’. Armed police officers will patrol the All England Club, and thorough searches will take place at all gates. Those attending the event should allow plenty of time to pass through security checks.
Pamplona Bull Run – The Festival of San Fermin, known by many as the Pamplona Bull Run, takes place between 06 and 13 July 2018. In the 2017 event, five men, known as the “wolfpack”, were accused of raping an 18-year-old woman but were only convicted of sexual abuse. The ruling, and the subsequent release of the men, was met by significant unrest. The 2018 event is likely to be met with protests in locations across the country including in Pamplona; demonstrations by animal rights activists are possible too.
Le Tour de France Begins – The most prestigious annual cycling event, the Tour de France, begins on 07 July in Noirmoutier-en-L’île. The 105^th edition of the event will finish on Paris’s Champs-Elysees on 29 July after 21 days of racing. Unusually, all stages of the race will occur in France, minus a 15km entry into Spain during a day in the Pyrenees. The event often leads to road closures and travellers can expect enhanced security measures, especially at the final stage in Paris.

Significant Dates and Events

25 June to 02 July – Mauritania – African Union summit in Nouakchott
29 June to 01 July – Austria – Formula One Grand Prix
30 June – Norway – Oslo Pride parade
30 June – DR Congo – Independence Day
30 June – Sudan – Revolution Day
30 June – Seychelles – Independence Day
30 June – Ecuador – LGBT Pride Parade
01 July – Hong Kong – HKSAR Day and Pro-democracy rally
01 July – Mexico – General Election
01 July – Russia – Protests planned nationwide
01 July – China – Chinese Communist Party founding day
01 July – Canada – Canada Day
01 July – Ghana – Republic Day
01 July – Rwanda – Independence Day
01 July – Somalia – Independence Day
01 July – Turkey – LGBT Pride Parade in Istanbul
02 – 03 July – Zambia – Heroes’ Day followed by Unity Day
03 July – Belarus – Independence Day
04 July – Rwanda – Liberation Day
05 July – Algeria – Independence Day
05 July – Armenia – Constitution Day
05 July – Venezuela – Independence Day
05 July – Czech Republic/Slovakia – Saints Cyril and Methodius’ Day
06 July – Comoros – Independence/National Day
06 July – Lithuania – Statehood Day
06 July – Malawi – Independence Day
07 July – Cote d’Ivoire – Independence Day
07 July – Tanzania – Saba Saba Day
07 July – Spain – Madrid metro workers plan to strike
07 July – United Kingdom – Far-right group plan rally in Leeds
07 July – South Korea – Pro-Choice rally in Seoul

Click the following link to download this report as a PDF: Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 26 The Weekly Risk Roundup highlights significant events from the last week and what to look out for next week. Week 26 Weekly Risk Roundup was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

Week 25 – Maritime Security Weekly Snapshot

Indian Ocean HRA – Maritime Security Incidents

19 June 18: CMF Releases Bulletin to Shipping Industry. In response to two recent attacks on 3 June on WHO vessel VOS Theia, and 13 June attack on a Saudi warship, both of which occurred off the coast of Al Hudaydah, a bulletin was released to inform shipping operators of the risks on merchant vessels transiting the High Risk Area. Since the attack on the MV Ince Inebolu, there have been no further reports on merchant vessels. The more recent attacks on the aforementioned vessels are due to their being involved in or affiliated with the conflict. Although the risk to merchant vessels not involved in the current Yemeni conflict remains unchanged, there is potential for the conflict to spill-over. The risk of being misidentified, or being susceptible to collateral damage, is a realistic possibility. Vessels are recommended to utilised the Maritime Security Transit Corridor and maximise the distance from Yemen’s islands and coastline. Vigilance should be maintained and be supported by timely reporting of encounters or incidents to the UKMTO. 26 June 18: Suspicious Approach in Bab El Mandeb, Red Sea. The vessel was approached by two speedboats in position 13°30’24N, 42°43’42E at 0708UTC. Each carried 8-10 persons on board. The embarked armed security team showed weapons and the speedboats departed. Speedboats had previously approached two other MVs in the area.

Mediterranean – Maritime Security Incidents

June 18: Merchant Vessel Caught in Migrant Dispute with Italy, with 113 Migrants Onboard. Due to SOLAS, captains of merchant vessels are required to rescue individuals in distress at sea. Media reports the container Alexander Maersk remains anchored off Pozzallo, Italy after responding to an emergency call and rescuing 113 migrants. Italy’s ports currently remain closed even to military vessels of NATO allies which have migrants on board. The USNS Trenton was delayed off Augusta, Sicily and could not bring 41 rescued migrants ashore. As the political debate continues, there are likely to be further costs and delays to merchant shipping.

South East Asia – Maritime Security Incidents

18 May 18: Late Report of Armed Robbery on Bulk Carrier; Tarahan Anchorage, Indonesia. Five robbers armed with knives boarded an anchored bulk carrier in position 5°32’S, 105°18’80E at 1935UTC. They took hostage the duty man and threatened him. The robbers stole ships property and engine spares and escaped. The duty man was able to free himself and raise the alarm. The crew mustered and a search was conducted on the ship.

Click link to Download PDF: 20180625 – Solace Global Maritime Security Snapshot – Week 25 A roundup of maritime security incidents – an easy to read format collating suspicious approaches, vessel attacks, boardings, hijacks and media reports. The week 25 Maritime Security Snapshot was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

Solace Global – Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 25

Headlines From This Week

Flooding in Abidjan – At least 18 people have been confirmed dead after heavy rainfall overnight on the 18-19 June in Abidjan, Cote d’Ivoire. The government has called for evacuations from flood-prone areas of the city after flood waters rose to 2.5 metres in places. The military has been deployed to undertake disaster relief. Cote d’Ivoire is currently in its rainy season, with heavy rains forecast until the end of the month.
Push for Peace in South Sudan – President Salva Kiir and his former deputy turned rebel leader Riek Machar held face-to-face talks on 20 June in Addis Ababa, brokered by Ethiopia’s new prime minister, Abiy Ahmed. The two South Sudanese political heavyweights last met at the outbreak of deadly fighting in Juba in July 2016. Machar has since been living in exile. South Sudan has been in a state of almost consistent civil conflict being formed in 2011.
Significant Earthquake in Japan – Three people were killed after a magnitude-6.1 earthquake struck Osaka prefecture on 18 June. A further 350 people were reported injured. While no tsunami warning was issued in the aftermath of the quake, fears remain that there will be stronger seismic events in the coming weeks which could cause cataclysmic damage.
Macedonia Naming Deal – On 17 June, Macedonian and Greek leaders agreed to end a 27-year dispute regarding the name of Macedonia, with the Former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia (FYROM) changing its name to the Republic of North Macedonia. The dispute has been bitter and has prevented Macedonia joining NATO and the EU. The Greek Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras narrowly survived a vote of no-confidence due to the deal, which still needs to be ratified by both
Death Sentence for Aman Abdurrahman – On 22 June 2018, a court in Jakarta found Aman Abdurrahman guilty of inciting others to commit terrorism and sentenced him to death. He stands accused of being the leader of an Indonesian affiliate of Islamic State. This act may cause Aman to become a martyr in the eyes of many radical Muslims in Indonesia and further afield, increasing the potential for retaliatory terror attacks.
Tit-For-Tat Trade Tariffs – The EU retaliatory tariffs on a series of US imports, issued in response to President Trump’s tariffs, came into effect on 22 June. Meanwhile, India has announced it will raise taxes on 29 US products from 04 August. There is a significant potential for a trade war between the United States and its traditional allies, further damaging the post-World War Two western alliance system.

What To Look Out For Next Week

General Election in Mexico – The Mexican general election is to be held on 01 July, electing thousands of positions from local councillors to the president. Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador, a leftist populist, is most likely to win the presidential election, heading a politically-mixed coalition. The campaign period has been beset by unrest and violence, with at least 100 political candidates killed.
Nationwide Local Elections in Indonesia – Local elections are due to take place in Indonesia on 27 June. The elections come on the back of recent terror attacks in the country and there is the potential that militants will seek to disrupt the vote. Political unrest may occur nationwide, with a heightened risk in Papua, Maluku, and West Kalimantan provinces.

Unions Call for General Strike in Argentina – The largest union in Argentina, the Confederación General del Trabajo (CGT), has announced plans to launch a general strike on 25 June. The move comes in opposition to the economic policies of President Macri, who recently agreed on a multibillion-dollar loan with the International Monetary Fund. Public demonstrations have not been planned at this time. Travel to, from, and within Argentina is expected to be significantly disrupted around this date.

AU Summit in Mauritania – 31st Ordinary Session of the African Union Summit is due to take place in Nouakchott, Mauritania between 25 June and 02 July. Increased security measures and travel restrictions should be expected across the city, notably at the Conference Centre located within the vicinity of OumTounsy Airport. France’s President Macron is set to visit during the summit, departing on 03 July.

General Strike in Costa Rica – Labour unions are planning a general strike to take place on 25 June. Those in the country can expect extensive travel delays and the potential for related protests, with the capital San Jose likely to be most significantly affected. If the general strike does take place, it is expected to cost the economy somewhere between $10 million and $15 million dollars.

Alexei Navalny Plans 01 July Protests – Russian opposition politician Alexei Navalny is urging Russians to take to the streets on 01 July in response to the government’s plans to increase the retirement age. Navalny has filed requests for demonstrations in 20 cities but they are not set to conflict with any FIFA World Cup matches. Russian authorities are likely to make arrests before and during the protests; violence is possible.

Significant Dates and Events

22-24 June – France – Formula One Grand Prix
23 June – Estonia – Victory Day
23 June – Finland and Latvia – Midsummer’s day holiday
23 June – Luxembourg – National Day
23 June – Ethiopia – Pro-government rally in Addis Ababa
23 June – Burkina Faso – Opposition rally planned in Ouagadougou
23 June – United Kingdom – Pro-EU “People’s Vote March” in London
23 June – Angola – Protest planned in Uige province
23 June – United States – Pro-immigration rally in San Francisco
23 June – United States – Anti-poverty rally in Washington DC
23 June – Kazakhstan – Anti-Nazarbayev rallies planned
23 June – Portugal – Festival of Sao Joao de Porto
23 June – South Korea – Anti-North Korea protest in Seoul
24 June – Philippines – Manilla Day
24 June – Turkey – General Election
24 June – Niger – Unsanctioned anti-finance law protest in Niamey
25 June – Croatia – Statehood Day
25 June – Mozambique – Independence Day
25 June – Canada – Anti-Trump protest in Montreal
26 June – Azerbaijan – Armed Forces’ Day
26 June – Madagascar – Independence Day
27 June – Djibouti – Independence Day
27 June – Sri Lanka – Poson Full Moon holiday
27 June – Tajikistan – National Unity Day
28 June – Ukraine – Constitution Day
28 June – France – Potential general strike
29 June – Seychelles – Independence Day
29 June to 01 July – Formula One Grand Prix
30 June – Norway – Oslo Pride parade
01 July – Hong Kong – HKSAR Day and Pro-democracy rally

Click the following link to download this report as a PDF: Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 25 The Weekly Risk Roundup highlights significant events from the last week and what to look out for next week. Week 25 Weekly Risk Roundup was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

Week 24 – Maritime Weekly Security Snapshot

Indian Ocean HRA – Maritime Security Incidents

13 June 18: Houthis Report Strike on Coalition Warship. The location of the incident is unknown, local Yemeni media stated the warship was seen burning and rescue operations were conducted for the crew. This incident is unconfirmed. 18 June 18: Houthis Detain French Sailor in Hodeidah Port. According to regional media reports, a French sailor has been detained for two weeks by Houthi forces in Hodeidah, although this is unconfirmed. He was forced to call at the port after a storm led to a technical malfunction on his sailboat MY Jehol 11. 18 June 18: UN Aim to Control Hodeidah Port, Yemen. Hodeidah is the main distribution point for commercial and humanitarian supplies to Yemen. The Saudi-led coalition hopes to seize the port militarily from the Houthis; however, a UN envoy is aiming to broker a deal for the port to be administered independently.

Gulf of Guinea – Maritime Security Incidents

09 June 18: Tanker Boarded in Lagos. At least one robber was reported to have boarded a tanker in position 6°27’00N, 003°22’18E. A hose was inserted into a cargo tank. After being seen, the robber escaped the vessel and into a nearby speedboat. 13 June 18: Supply Vessel Boarded in Takoradi Anchorage. Robbers boarded a Singapore-flagged supply vessel anchored at 4°53’60N, 1°42’30W at 0245UTC. Watchmen shouted at the robbers and raised the alarm. Seeing the alerted crew the robbers escaped. 18 June 18: Militant Groups Threaten to Attack Oil Facilities in Niger Delta. Niger Delta Activists Forum have warned of planned attacks on oil facilities belonging to Agip. These threats were made in response to the group’s claim that previous agreements have not been implemented, as well as pollution of the area.

South East Asia – Maritime Security Incidents

31 May 18: Tanker Boarded Near Mersing, Malaysia. A late report was released of an oil tanker that was boarded whilst at anchor in position 2°25’30N, 104°25’11E at 0104UTC. Fourteen robbers stole personal belongings from the crew and fled via a stolen vessel. Malaysian Special Forces were able to track and apprehend the robbers who were armed with knives and machetes. Two crew members were injured during the attack.

Click link to Download PDF: 20180618 – Solace Global Maritime Security Snapshot – Week 24 A roundup of maritime security incidents – an easy to read format collating suspicious approaches, vessel attacks, boardings, hijacks and media reports. The week 24 Maritime Security Snapshot was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

Solace Global – Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 24

Headlines From This Week

Coalition Assault on Al-Hudaydah – The Saudi-backed Yemeni government has commenced ground operations in an effort to retake the port city of Al-Hudaydah on Yemen’s Red Sea coast. The offensive has been accompanied by a massive escalation in airstrikes into the city, and at least one Coalition landing craft was critically damaged. As the port is the main entry point for aid, the assault is likely to significantly worsen the humanitarian crisis in the surrounding region and may result in a longer-term increase in both migration and maritime criminality.

Vessel Collision on the Volga – At least 11 of the 16 people aboard a tour vessel in Volgograd were reported dead following a collision with a cargo barge on the Volga river on 12 June. Preliminary investigations suggest that the captain of the ferry was under the influence of alcohol at the time of the collision. The issue highlights poor safety measures and accountability in Russia’s leisure sector at a time when significant numbers of foreigners are in the country for the FIFA World Cup.

Nationalist Protests in Vietnam – Dozens were arrested on 10 and 11 June as protesters clashed with police in a series of Vietnamese towns and cities scheduled to become part of new Special Economic Zones. Whilst the some protests were relatively contained, in larger towns police were forced to deploy water cannons to clear streets as officers were pelted with improvised weapons. The proposed zones include special privileges to foreign businesses establishing themselves in the region, and would particularly benefit Chinese companies. Tensions between China and Vietnam have risen lately over a series of territorial and resource disputes along their maritime border.

Peruvian Police Ambushed – Four Peruvian police officers were killed when an improvised explosive device was detonated against their vehicle on the Churcampa-Anco highway in Huaccoto on 08 June. The officers were returning from providing enhanced security during Flag Day when the attack was launched. Another patrol which responded to the initial attack also came under fire and was forced to fight their way to the site. Despite efforts at reconciliation since 2000, small rebel groups persist in rural areas of the country and intermittently conduct attacks against security forces.

Insurgent Clashes in Davao – Philippine troops clashed with insurgents in the southern region surrounding Davao on 10 June. Government releases suggest that the group involved in the conflict was affiliated with the Islamic State group. At least 15 insurgents were reported killed, and arms caches and a bomb-making facility were also discovered during the raid.

What To Look Out For Next Week

Afghan Ceasefire – The Afghan Taliban agreed to a three-day ceasefire with government forces over the holiday of Eid at the end of Ramadan, likely to be 15-18 June, in direct response to the government’s unilateral declaration in early June. Despite the planned duration only being short, and foreign troops being excluded, this marks the first such concession in over 16 years of fighting. It remains unclear if all the disparate elements of the Taliban will abide by the ceasefire. Other groups such as Islamic State will not be included.

People’s Vote March – The movement for a “People’s Vote” on the terms of the UK’s Brexit from the European Union is due to hold a march to London’s Parliament Square on 23 June. Previous events organised by groups opposed to Brexit have resulted in turnouts of several thousand people, with the potential for significant localised travel disruption. The rally is also likely to attract counter-protesters and limited instances of violence may occur.

Colombia’s Presidential Run-Off – Colombia’s land borders will be closed across 16 and 17 June, with some closures persisting longer, as part of the security measures implemented during the election period. The scheduled vote is the runoff for the presidential election, and is likely to see political rallies across the country as populist right- and left-wing candidates face off. The election also has potential ramifications for the county’s peace agreements, as the leading candidate, Ivan Duque, remains opposed to the present treaty with the FARC group or any future compromise with the ELN.

Turkish General Election – On 24 June, Turks will go to the polls to elect officials to an array of local and national positions. This will be the first election following a close and controversial referendum to impose sweeping constitutional changes, moving the centre of power from parliament and the prime minister to the presidency. The election retains an ethnic and cultural dimension, and reports of voter suppression efforts have surfaced. A deadly confrontation between a candidate’s security details and Kurdish citizens in Suruc highlighted the risk of instances of violent unrest in the lead up to the poll, particularly in mixed areas.
Togo General Strike – Togo’s main opposition group have called for a nationwide strike on 18 June in response to persistent government efforts to suppress protests and dissent. This call follows a protracted and failed effort to negotiate a return to the rule of law and the 1992 constitution. Businesses and services across the country are likely to adhere to the strike, with Lomé almost certain to suffer the greatest disruption. It is likely that many of the strikers will attend protests or rallies, and these may become violent when confronted by police.

Significant Dates and Events

16 June – Austria – Pride parade to be held in Vienna
16 June – Malaysia – Hari Raya Puasa holiday
16 June – South Africa – Youth Day
16 June – Israel – Anti Netanyahu rallies to be held in Tel Aviv
17 June – Argentina – Martin Miguel de Guemes Day
17 June – Iceland – Independence Day
17 June – Dominican Republic – Anti-corruption rally to be held in Santo Domingo
17 June – Ukraine – Gay pride march to be held in Kiev
18 June – Bermuda – National Heroes Day
18 June – Cambodia – King’s Mother’s Birthday
18 June – Seychelles – Constitution Day
19 June – Trinidad and Tobago – Labour Day
19 June – Uruguay – Artigas’ Birthday, national holiday
20 June – Argentina – National Flag Day
21 June – Bolivia – Andean New Year
21 June – Greenland – Ullortuneq national holiday
22 June – Croatia – Anti-Fascist Struggle Day
22 June – Fiji – National Sport and Wellness Day
22 June – Finland and Sweden – Midsummer eve holiday
23 June – Estonia – Victory Day
23 June – Finland and Latvia – Midsummer’s day holiday
23 June – Luxembourg – National Day
24 June – Philippines – Manilla Day
25 June – Croatia – Statehood Day
25 June – Mozambique – Independence Day
25 June – Costa Rica – Nationwide public service strike
26 June – Azerbaijan – Armed Forces’ Day
26 June – Madagascar – Independence Day
27 June – Djibouti – Independence Day
27 June – Sri Lanka – Poson Full Moon holiday
27 June – Tajikistan – National Unity Day

Click the following link to download this report as a PDF: Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 24 The Weekly Risk Roundup highlights significant events from the last week and what to look out for next week. Week 24 Weekly Risk Roundup was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

Week 23 – Maritime Security Weekly Snapshot

Indian Ocean HRA – Maritime Security Incidents

13 June 18: Assault on Al Hudaydah. Yemeni government forces have begun offensive operations aimed at seizing the port of Al Hudaydah from the Houthi, following the expiry of a ceasefire. An increase in military activity in the vicinity is highly likely. The Houthi may seek to attack Saudi vessels in response. June 18: Piracy Threat During Monsoon Season. The International Maritime Bureau released a statement indicating that the impeding monsoon season may drive pirate attacks in the more sheltered waters of the Gulf of Aden and Red Sea. Storm conditions are likely to force IUU fishermen from elsewhere into this region, and the increase in competition may lead to an increase in ad-hoc piracy.

Gulf of Guinea – Maritime Security Incidents

03 June 18: Theft at Anchor, Lagos. Two robbers boarded a bulk carrier anchored at 06°16’N, 003°21’E. Crew members and armed security spotted the robbers and fired a warning shot. Robbers fled with ship’s stores. 12 June 18: Naval Operations in Delta. The Nigerian naval officer in command of forces in the Delta region reported that amphibious operations efforts to clear out illegal oil refineries in the region would push ahead. Operations in the preceding month have been deemed successful, despite widespread reports of pollution from destroyed facilities.

South East Asia – Maritime Security Incidents

08 June 18: India Called for Enhanced Intelligence Sharing. The Indian Prime Minister called for enhanced intelligence sharing in order to better combat threats to maritime security in Asia. He was addressing the East Asia Summit. 12 June 18: ReCAAP 2018 Conference. The ReCAAP 2018 Piracy and Sea Robbery Conference was held in Hong Kong, focused on developing proactive and intelligence-led anti-piracy operations. Efforts were also made to encourage engagement from Chinese ship owners. 31 May 18: -Late Report- Robbery at Anchor, Mersing, Malaysia. Two crew members were wounded when up to 14 men boarded a tanker at 02°25’N, 104°25’E. The robbers escaped with ship stores, but were later apprehended by the Malaysian Navy

Click link to Download PDF: Solace Global Maritime Security Snapshot – Week 23 A roundup of maritime security incidents – an easy to read format collating suspicious approaches, vessel attacks, boardings, hijacks and media reports. The week 23 Maritime Security Snapshot was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

Solace Global – Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 23

Headlines From This Week

Volcan de Fuego – A series of eruptions of the Guatemalan Volcan de Fuego has resulted in at least 99 fatalities, numerous injuries, and disruption to air travel across the country. Some reports suggest over 1000 people remain unaccounted for, and evacuation orders remain in place for a number of villages in the vicinity of the volcano. The closest of these has been almost entirely buried by ash from the eruption.
Jordanian PM Resigns – The prime minister of Jordan was forced to resign on 04 June following several days of widening protests across Amman, and other major Jordanian cities. The protests were initiated by a series of proposed reforms to the tax, benefits, and subsidies system which supports a significant proportion of the Jordanian population; and seen principally to benefit the elite. King Abdullah spoke in favour of the protesters, whilst emphasising that some reforms remained necessary. It remains to be seen if an appropriate compromise can be reached.
Zimbabwean Opposition Protests – Members of the Movement for Democratic Change, Zimbabwe’s dominant opposition party, held large protests in Harare on 05 June. They focused on allegations the ruling party has manipulated voter rolls ahead of the July 2018 election and were seeking to use intimidation or ballot tampering to swing the election. Whilst these protests occurred peacefully, the first election since the departure of the former dictator, Robert Mugabe, is highly likely to see further protests, and outbreaks of violence are a realistic probability.

Sadr City Explosion – At least 18 people were killed, and 38 were wounded when an explosion tore apart a Shiite mosque and 20 residential buildings in Baghdad’s Sadr City on 07 June. Preliminary investigations suggested that the blast occurred when a paramilitary group’s weapons cache, stored in the mosque, was accidentally detonated. The blast demonstrates that the highly pervasive nature of explosives and weapons ownership in Iraq remains a significant threat to life, even when those weapons are not being intentionally used.
Madagascar PM Resigns – The Madagascan prime minister (PM) was forced to resign on 06 June, following persistent, violent, and widespread unrest against the introduction of laws seen to prevent opposition candidates from contesting elections. The new PM, Christian Ntsay, was appointed by the president as a consensus candidate, although a history of defections between parliamentary parties since the last election threatens to undermine the balance of power within the legislature and may prevent a resolution to the crisis.

What To Look Out For Next Week

Singapore Nuclear Summit – On 12 June, US President, Donald Trump, is scheduled to meet the North Korean leader, Kim Jong-Un, for a summit concerning North Korea’s nuclear programme and elevated tensions on the Korean peninsula. The summit is scheduled to be held on an island off the Singapore coast. Those in the city should expect significantly heightened security measures to be in place throughout the duration of the summit, and travel disruption is highly likely. The relative success or failure of the summit will have significant political and military effects on the Asia-Pacific region.

South Korean General Elections – South Korean citizens will head to the polls to elect local officials and to fill a series of seats vacant in the national assembly. Elections in South Korea are generally peaceful in nature, however, their proximity to the North Korea Summit, representing key issues in South Korean foreign and domestic politics, may lead to a higher level of unrest than is typical.
FIFA World Cup – The first match of the football world cup is due to kick off on Thursday 14 June in Moscow, Russia. The Russian government has announced a sweeping range of security measures to be implemented across the country, centred on the cities where games are to be held. Those in Russia are advised to remain aware of games scheduled in their vicinity and plan their journeys accordingly; a large transient population and significantly increased security are likely to impact the host cities on days surrounding each match.

Eid-al-Fitr – The festivals marking the end of the Islamic holy month of Ramadan is scheduled to begin on 14 June. The celebrations may occur on this date or shortly after, as there is no consensus among the international Muslim community as to the exact rules concerning the lunar observations which set the festival’s date. Travellers throughout the Middle East, and other countries with significant Muslim populations, should expect widespread disruption to travel and the provision of essential services as it is typically observed as a national holiday.

US Pride Parades – Major cities across the United States are due to hold Gay Pride parades on 09 June. These parades vary in size and may include numerous other official events related to the main parade. LGBT rights remain contentious in many locations across the US, with a number of political and religious groups staunchly opposed to the ongoing liberalisation of laws and society in relation to LGBT relationships. It is therefore likely that parades will attract counter-protesters, and there remains potential that some limited instances of violence may occur.

Significant Dates and Events

09 June – Uganda – National Heroes Day
09 June – Bulgaria – Pride parade and counter-protests to be held in Sofia
09 June – United States – Pride parades to be held in major cities
09 June – DR Congo – Opposition rallies to be held in Kinshasa
09 June – Austria – Anti-Israeli groups to rally at Vienna’s Bundeslanderplaz
10 June – DR Congo – Reconciliation Day
10 June – Portugal – National Day
10 June – Georgia – Protests scheduled in Tbilisi in response to murder acquittal
11 June – South Africa – Civil servants to conduct nationwide strike
11-12 June – Bangladesh – Night of Destiny (national holiday)
11 June – Colombia – Sacred Heart (national holiday)
11-12 June – Russia – National Day
11 June – Paraguay – Chaco Armistice Day
11-14 June – Haiti – Workers to strike and protest in Port-au-Prince
12 June – Philippines – Independence Day
12 June – Sri Lanka – Railway workers to begin nationwide indefinite strike
12-13 June – Portugal – Rail workers’ strike
13 June – South Korea – Local elections
14 June – Eid al-Fitr – National holiday in many Muslim-majority countries
15 June – Azerbaijan – National Salvation Day
15 June – Bangladesh – Jumatul Bidah
16 June – Austria – Pride parade to be held in Vienna
16 June – Malaysia – Hari Raya Puasa holiday
16 June – South Africa – Youth day
17 June – Argentina – Martin Miguel de Guemes day
17 June – Iceland – Independence Day
18 June – Bermuda – National Heroes Day
18 June – Cambodia – King Mother’s birthday
18 June – Seychelles – Constitution Day
19 June – Trinidad and Tobago – Labour day

Click the following link to download this report as a PDF: Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 23 The Weekly Risk Roundup highlights significant events from the last week and what to look out for next week. Week 23 Weekly Risk Roundup was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

Solace Global – Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 22

Headlines From This Week

Terror in Belgium – Islamic State has claimed responsibility for a terror attack which left two police officers and a bystander dead in the Belgian city of Liege on 29 May. The attacker was reportedly radicalised in prison, from where he had been temporarily released on 28 May.
Armed Attack in Saudi Arabia – A police officer was killed by two assailants who then stole his weapons in the Saudi Arabian city of Taif on 31 May. The assailants subsequently attacked a National Guard facility, injuring several. One of the attackers was wounded and arrested, while the other escaped.
First Storm of Atlantic Hurricane Season – Tropical Storm Alberto, the first storm of the Atlantic hurricane season, made landfall in the Caribbean and the United States this week. At least eight people were killed including four in Cuba and four in North Carolina, USA. Flooding conditions have been reported across the United States in Florida, Alabama, Tennessee, Kentucky, the Carolinas, West Virginia and Illinois. Four North Carolina Dams are close to rupturing and are being assessed by state authorities.
Brazil Strikes – Brazil has been beset by strikes over the past two weeks which have caused significant disruption. Truck drivers began their strike on 20 May and were joined by oil workers on 30 June. The strikes and related protests led to a significantly reduced supply of fuel, food, and essential items nationwide, as well as significant travel disruption. The economy, still emerging from a devastating recession, is set to be hard hit by these strikes.
Government Formed in Italy – Months after inconclusive election results, a government has been formed in Italy. The government will be led by the independent Giuseppe Conte with ministries headed by officials from the Five Star Movement and the League, both are populist, Eurosceptic parties. There are fears of what this could mean for the EU as Italy is the bloc’s fourth largest economy.
Jihadist Attack in Mozambique – At least 10 people have been beheaded by Islamic militants in the northern Mozambique region of Cabo Delgado. The attack, which took place on 29 May, appears to have targeted those involved in extractive industries. Islamists groups have conducted sporadic attacks over the past year.
Political Change in Spain – Spanish Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy of the People’s Party lost a vote of no-confidence on 01 June brought about after corruption allegations. He has been replaced by Socialist Party leader Pedro Sanchez, but political instability remains as no party has a majority in parliament.

What To Look Out For Next Week

Tiananmen Square Commemorations – Activists are set to gather in Taipei, Hong Kong, and other locations on 04 June to commemorate 29 years since protesters in Tiananmen Square, Beijing were brutally crushed by Chinese security forces. Chinese censors and authorities are kept on alert for any signs of commemorations; expect higher than usual levels of security within the vicinity of Tiananmen Square.
G7 Summit – Charlevoix, Canada plays host to the 44th Summit of the Group of Seven (G7) nations on 08-09 June 2018. Disruption is probable and serious unrest possible due to planned protests. All heads of state/government of the G7 nations are set to attend, as well as EU leaders and especially invited guests.
Naksa and International Quds Day – 05 June marks the “day of the setback” or Naksa which commemorates the displacement of Palestinians after Israel’s victory in 1967 Six-Day War. Clashes between Israeli forces and Palestinian protesters are common on this day and all border regions should be avoided. International Quds day, a day of solidarity with the Palestinian people, takes place on 08 June. Rallies should be expected around the world in the days surrounding this date.
Peru Strike – Truck and coach drivers are set to strike in Peru from 05 June after talks between unions and the government broke down. The strike does not have an end date at this time. Travellers are advised to take the necessary provisions for travel and ensure that they have plenty of non-perishable food prepared as any strike may make the availability of foodstuffs limited.
Madrid Metro Strikes – After striking on 01 June, Madrid metro workers have announced plans to strike on 04, 08, and 15 June. The strikes will all begin at 06:05 to last until 10:15 and then restart at 13:20 and finish at 21:30. A minimum of 69 per cent of services will be running on the morning strike and 55 percent on the afternoon strike. Travellers should note there is the potential for protests alongside the strikes.
New York Gun Control March – Saturday 02 June is anticipated to see large numbers of demonstrators rallying in support of further gun control measures following a recent series of school shootings, and inaction from state and federal legislators. The protestors have announced their intent to rally at the Korean War Veterans’ Memorial in Brooklyn, before moving to Foley Square in Manhattan. Gun control remains an emotive topic across the United States, and the event may attract counter-protests from pro-Second Amendment groups. Violence remains unlikely, but some disruption should be anticipated.

Significant Dates and Events

02 June – Brunei – Nuzul Al-Quran
02 June – Macedonia (FYROM) – Opposition plan protest in Skopje
02 June – Sweden – Stockholm Marathon
02 June – Mali – Opposition rally in Bamako
02 June – Spain – Pro-Spanish language group to protest in Valencia
02 June – United Kingdom – Marriage equality march in Belfast
02 June – Israel – Anti-Netanyahu rally in Tel Aviv
02 June – United States – Rally for hurricane victims in New York City
02 June – Italy – Republic Day
02 June – Jordan – Protest planned over income tax law
03 June – Uganda – Martyrs’ Day
03 June – Slovenia – Legislative Elections
04 June – Mexico – Teaching union to launch indefinite strike
4-5 June – Bolivia – University strike, El Alto
05 June – France – Activists plan rally against the visit of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu
05 June – Zimbabwe – Opposition plans nationwide protest
06 June – Chile – Student march planned in Santiago
06 June – Iran – Martyrdom of Imam Ali
08 June – France – RATP workers plan rally in Paris
09 June – Uganda – National Heroes Day
10 June – Congo – Reconciliation Day
10 June – Portugal – National Day
11-12 June – Bangladesh – Night of Destiny (national holiday)
11 June – Colombia – Sacred Heart (national holiday)
11 June – Russia – National Day
12 June – Philippines – Independence Day
12-13 June – Portugal – Rail workers’ strike
13 June – South Korea – Local elections
14 June – Eid al-Fitr – National holiday in many Muslim-majority countries.

Click the following link to download this report as a PDF: Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 22 The Weekly Risk Roundup highlights significant events from the last week and what to look out for next week. Week 21 Weekly Risk Roundup was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

Week 21 – Maritime Security Weekly Snapshot

Indian Ocean HRA – Maritime Security Incidents

24-27 May 18: Cyclone Mekunu. Cyclone Mekunu crossed between Socotra and Salalah during 24-27 May. The storm resulted in extreme weather conditions, making landfall at Salalah as a category three storm. Disruption to air travel was widespread, and significant flooding was also reported, severely limiting land travel. At least 50 people were reported missing or killed. 30 May 18: Suspicious Approach near Merca, Somalia. A merchant vessel at 01°38’N, 044°42’E reported an approach by six skiffs carrying an unspecified number of persons onboard. No attempted boarding was reported, and the vessel and crew remain safe.

Gulf of Guinea – Maritime Security Incidents

13 April 18: – LATE REPORT – Stores Stolen from Vessel at Apapa Port, Nigeria. Four men aboard a skiff boarded a container ship anchored at 06°26’N 003°24’E. Crew members raised the alarm and the robbers fled. Upon searching, bosun stores lock was found to be broken, and stores were missing. 22 May 18: Attempted Boarding Against Tanker 130 NM South of Lome, Togo. Seven pirates in a skiff attempted to board a drifting tanker at 03°46’N 001°30’E. They aborted their attempt when the alarm was raised. The tanker’s master reported a potential mothership near their location. 23 April 18: Attempted Robbery in Lagos. A lone intruder was reported on the deck on a merchant vessel at 06°16’N 003°12’E. The intruder jumped overboard when challenged. 25 May 18: Tanker boarded near Lagos, Nigeria. Two men boarded a tanker at 06°18’N 003°20’E. They fled empty handed when the alarm was raised. 26 May 18: Robbery from Ro-Ro Vessel in Lagos, Nigeria. Seven men boarded a Ro-Ro vessel berthed at 06°27’N 003°22’E. The duty crewman was tied up and his radio taken. The robbers then broke into the paint store and escaped with ship’s properties. Crew & vessel reported safe.

South East Asia – Maritime Security Incidents

05 May 18: – LATE REPORT – Theft at Anchor near Bintan Island, Indonesia. Stores were discovered missing from a tanker anchored at 01°24’N, 104°36’E. The theft was discovered during routine emergency drills. 15 May 18: Theft at Anchor Reported in Uban, Indonesia. Stores were discovered missing from a product tanker anchored at 01°06’N, 104°11’E. The theft was discovered during routine rounds.

Click link to Download PDF: Solace Global Maritime Security Snapshot – Week 21 A roundup of maritime security incidents – an easy to read format collating suspicious approaches, vessel attacks, boardings, hijacks and media reports. The week 21 Maritime Security Snapshot was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

Solace Global – Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 21

Headlines From This Week

Bombay Bhel Bombing – At least 15 people were wounded, three critically, when an improvised explosive device was detonated in an Indian restaurant in Mississauga, Canada, in the evening of 24 May. Two males, believed to have built and detonated the device, remain wanted by police. No links to terror or criminal groups has yet been confirmed, however the city has experienced a significant rise in hate crimes over the past two years.
Sandinista Clashes in Leon – Members of Nicaraguan Sandinista groups clashed with students staging a sit-in protest in Leon. At least 59 people were reported wounded during the violence. This marked the most recent development in the ongoing violence between supporters of the Ortega regime and a diverse mix of anti-government groups which has stretched on since mid-April. A Church-sponsored dialogue between the two sides also broke down on 24 May; violence and unrest appear likely to continue.
Armed Clashes and Kidnappings in Nigeria – Nigeria experienced a series of armed clashes over the past week, with unidentified gunmen clashing with security forces and attacking civilians in both Logo and Kaduna. In addition, on 20 May, at least 47 people were reported kidnapped on the highway between Birnin-Gwari and Kano. Despite Nigeria’s ongoing issues with the Boko Haram insurgency, these attacks have occurred in regions in which the group is not generally active. It appears likely that the incidents are the result of tribal tensions caused by friction between nomadic groups and settled communities.

Singapore Summit Cancelled – US President Trump withdrew from the proposed summit with North Korea’s Kim Jong Un, scheduled to be held in Singapore on 12 June. The withdrawal appears to have been due to recent disclosures that China and North Korea have been engaged in significant talks prior to the summit, potentially in order to establish a unified stance against the US-South Korean alliance. This announcement followed North Korea’s highly publicised demolition of part of its nuclear test facility, although the destruction was not overseen by weapons experts.

Indian Ocean Cyclones – The Indian Ocean has experienced two significant cyclones during the last week, with Mekuna presently headed north for Salalah on the Omani coast, whilst Sagar struck Djibouti on 19 May, having moved through the Gulf of Aden. These storms have caused significant disruption to air and maritime traffic across the region, with Salalah airport remaining closed since 24 May. Cyclone Sagar’s landfall in Somaliland and Djibouti led to widespread damage and over 50 confirmed deaths, due primarily to widespread flash flooding.

What To Look Out For Next Week

Anti-Macron Protests – Protests against French President Emmanuel Macron’s policies are due to be held across a number of major cities on 26 May. The protests are being carried out by a loose coalition of opposition and industry groups opposed to Macron’s sweeping reforms to state industries and labour policy. Protests related to this movement have previously turned violent, and police may use forceful measures to restore order.
AfD Protests – The German far-right Alternative fur Deutschland party is scheduled to hold a demonstration in Berlin on 27 May. Anti-fascist groups intend to launch counter-protests with several thousand people, and 2,000 police officers have been assigned to secure the protests. The AfD are due to rally at Berlin central station at midday, before marching to the Brandenburg Gate. With such large crowds expected, and an array of disparate groups participating, isolated instances of violence are likely, despite the large police presence. Widespread violence, however, remains unlikely. Despite this, travellers are advised to avoid the area if possible.
Colombian Presidential Elections – The first round of the Colombian presidential election is due to take place on 27 May. If no single candidate wins an out-right majority, a second round will be held on 17 June. At present, of the six candidates contesting the vote, Ivan Duque is leading with 35 per cent in most polls, 10 per cent ahead of his closest rival. It appears unlikely, however, that he will secure a first-round win. In this case, the second-round outcome is less certain, as it remains unclear how those who supported discarded candidates in the first round will vote.
Armenian Republic Day – Armenia will celebrate Republic Day on 28 May, an event typically marked with fireworks, concerts, and parades to celebrate the country’s founding in 1918. The event this year is likely to lead to heightened levels of disruption as both the centenary of the nation’s foundation, and also due to the recent bout of political unrest, which essentially led to a bloodless revolution. Although unrest appears to have significantly reduced, there remains a possibility that violence may occur among large groups of people celebrating under the influence of alcohol.
French Open – The French Open tennis tournament is due to begin on 27 May and continue until 10 July. The event is held in the Stade Roland-Garros in Paris and is likely to lead to travel disruption throughout the surrounding area due to an influx of spectators. Enhanced security measures likely to be deployed to any significant sporting event.

Significant Dates and Events

26 May – Iceland – Municipal Elections
25-27 May – Monaco – Formula One weekend
26 May – Ukraine – UEFA Champion’s League Final, Kiev
26 May – Georgia – Day of First Republic
26 May – Italy – Air and rail workers to strike in Milan
26 May – Albania – Anti-government protests due in Tirana
26 May – Madagascar – Pro-government rallies planned in Antananarivo
28 May – Azerbaijan – Republic Day
28 May – Ethiopia – Downfall of the Derg – national holiday
28 May – USA – Memorial Day
29 May – Indonesia – Buddha’s birthday
29 May – Malaysia – Wesak Day
29 May – Nigeria – Democracy Day
30 May – Anguilla – Anguilla national day
30 May – Trinidad and Tobago – Indian Arrival Day, national holiday
30–31 May – Greece – Bus workers to strike in Athens
30 May – Nicaragua – “Mother’s of April” group seek to march in Managua
31 May – Brunei – Armed Forces Day
31 May – Togo – Opposition groups plan sit-ins in Lome
31 May – Italy – Diamond League athletics to be hosted in Rome
01 June – Bahamas – Labour Day
01 June – Indonesia – Pancasila Day
01 June – Kenya – Madaraka Day
01 June – Samoa – Independence Day
02 June – Brunei – Nuzul Al-Quran
02 June – Italy – Republic Day
04 June – Hong Kong – Tiananmen vigil to be held in Victoria Park
04 June – Mexico – Teaching union to launch indefinite strike

Click the following link to download this report as a PDF: Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 21 The Weekly Risk Roundup highlights significant events from the last week and what to look out for next week. Week 21 Weekly Risk Roundup was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

Week 20 – Maritime Security Weekly Snapshot

Indian Ocean HRA – Maritime Security Incidents

18-19 May 18: Tropical Storm Sagar. Tropical storm Sagar moved west across the Gulf of Aden, causing severe sea conditions, before making landfall near Djibouti and Somalia. The official toll has not been confirmed, however several dozen are likely to have been killed across Yemen, Somalia, and Djibouti. Economic difficulties resulting from the storm may result in an increase in pirate activity. “Operation Red Thunder”. The Saudi-led coalition operating in Yemen is presently conducting Operation Red Thunder, a concerted effort to seize control of Al Hudaydah from the Houthi rebels. It is possible that the Houthi may seek to target Saudi and coalition shipping in response to this offensive.

Gulf of Guinea – Maritime Security Incidents

19 May 18: Crew Kidnapped near Bonny, Nigeria. An offshore supply vessel was attacked in position 03°54’N 006°42’E, in Okwori field. The attackers destroyed communications equipment and stole crew possessions. Four crew members remain missing, remaining crew unharmed. 19 May 18: Attempted Boarding, Lagos Anchorage. Seven persons sought to board a bulk carrier anchored at 06°26’N 003°23’E, in Lagos Anchorage. Crew members spotted the boarding and raised the alarm. The robbers abandoned their attempted attack. 21 May 18: Attempted Boarding, Lome, Togo. One man sought to board an anchored merchant vessel at 03°46’N 001°30’E, in Lome. A crew member raised the alarm and the robber fled in a skiff with six others onboard.

South East Asia – Maritime Security Incidents

Abu Sayyaf Released hostages in Sulu, Philippines. The Abu Sayyaf Islamist group released at least three hostages recently taken in the Sulu region, including two female police officers. It remains unclear if a ransom was paid, or the group submitted to military pressure. 19 May 18: Tanker Boarded near Karimun Kecil, Indonesia. Six men boarded a tanker underway at 01°10’N 103°27’E at the western end of the Singapore Strait. The crew raised the alarm, causing the robbers to flee empty handed. 19 May 18: Theft at Anchor Reported in Merak, Indonesia. Three men carrying knives boarded a merchant vessel anchored at 05°52’S, 106°05’E. A crew member was threatened, whilst the thieves made away with engine room spares.

Click link to Download PDF: Solace Global Maritime Security Snapshot – Week 20 A roundup of maritime security incidents – an easy to read format collating suspicious approaches, vessel attacks, boardings, hijacks and media reports. The week 20 Maritime Security Snapshot was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

Solace Global – Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 20

Headlines From This Week

Gaza Unrest – At least 62 people were killed by Israeli Defence Forces (IDF) when violent clashes erupted on the Israel-Gaza border as the relocated US Embassy opened in Jerusalem on 14 July. Tensions were already heightened as Palestinians commemorate ‘Nakba’, or ‘catastrophe’ of 70 years of the Israeli state on the same date. IDF troops have been accused of being overly aggressive towards protesters, with the use of live ammunition. Further clashes are likely throughout Ramadan.
Terror Attack in France – Two people, including the attacker, were killed after a suspected terror attack in Paris’s Opera district. Several others were injured in the stabbing attack on the evening of 12 May 2018. Islamic State claimed that one of its “soldiers” carried out the attack. The attacker was believed to have been born in Chechnya, a restive, Muslim majority region of Russia, before moving to France.
Multiple Bombings in Indonesia – On the morning of 13 May, Islamist militants attacked three churches in Surabaya, Indonesia’s second city. A later attack occurred the following morning outside a police station, just south of the city. In total, at least 26 people were killed, including 13 of the suspected bombers; the attackers were reportedly from two families and included children. The attacks have been described as the most coordinated terror events in the country’s history. Indonesian prosecutors are seeking the death sentence for the cleric accused of planning the attacks from jail.
Korea Complications – This week saw a cooling of relations on the Korean Peninsula. Pyongyang broke off high-level talks with Seoul due to joint US-South Korea military exercises, a speech made by a North Korean defector at the Seoul National Assembly, and the proposal that North Korea could follow the ‘Libya Model’. This proposal by National Security Advisor John Bolton, suggests that denuclearisation and the lifting of sanctions could eventually lead to the overthrow of the North Korean regime as it did in Libya. President Trump has denied this aim but it is clear that Pyongyang is seeking to extract concessions from South Korea and the US.
Evacuations in Colombia – Tens of thousands of people have been ordered to evacuate their homes after heavy floods at Hidroituango dam on the river Cuaca. Flooding at the partially complete dam, Colombia’s largest hydroelectric project, had already displaced hundreds before evacuation orders were issued. Colombia’s army, police, and disaster management agency have been dispatched to the site in the north-western Antioquia province. At present no casualties have been reported.

What To Look Out For Next Week

Venezuela Elections – Venezuela is set to go to the polls on 20 May 2018. Elections were initially scheduled for December 2018 but were then moved to 22 April before being pushed back to the 20 May. The incumbent President Maduro is widely expected to win either legitimately or through fraudulent means. Many opposition figures and parties have been barred from running against him, while others have decided to boycott the vote. Many of the populous are expected to abstain from the vote, assisting President Maduro. It is unclear if popular, political unrest will reach the levels seen in Venezuela in 2014 and 2017 as voter apathy is high.
Africa Day – An annual commemoration of the Organisation of African Unity (OAU) (now the African Union), is set to take place on 25 May. The OAU was founded on 25 May 1963. The day is celebrated with a public holiday in many African nations including Zimbabwe and Ghana. Celebrations may stretch over a number of days in certain locations, travellers should follow local media to understand how they may be impacted by events.
UEFA Champions League Final – The final of the world’s premier club football competition is set to be held at 1845UTC on 26 May 2018 in Kiev, Ukraine. Liverpool from the United Kingdom and Real Madrid from Spain are set to face each other. Security for the match is set to be tight, with Ukrainian police looking to prevent any potential terror attacks or clashes between fans, as have previously been seen at European competition fixtures this year.
Constitutional Referendum in Ireland – Irish voters will go to the polls on 25 May 2018 for a proposed amendment to the Irish constitution which would permit the Oireachtas (parliament) to legislate on the legalisation of abortion. At present, the ‘yes’ vote is expected to win with a double-digit lead in recent polls. The two largest parties in Ireland, Fine Gael and Fianna Fail, officially remain neutral but the Fine Gael Prime Minister Leo Varadkar is publicly supporting a ‘yes’ vote.
Further Rail Disruption in France – Domestic, Eurostar, and Thalys rail services face disruptions on 18-19 May and 23-24 May due to further strikes by French rail workers. Delays and cancellations are to be expected on these days. These are the latest set of strikes which have been ongoing for more than a month. Trains running on high-speed lines (TGVs), the Transilien network (Greater Paris region), TER networks (regional trains), and Intercités (inter-city) networks will all be affected, with only one out of four trains operating on some lines. Additional rail strikes will take place on 28-29 May;2, 3, 7, 8, 12, 13, 17, 18, 22, 23, 27, and 28 June.

Significant Dates and Events

19 May – Turkey – Ataturk Commemoration and Youth and Sports Day
19-21 May – Judaism – Shavuot begins
19 May – United Kingdom – English and Scottish FA Cup Finals
19 May – Nicaragua – Opposition Marches Planned
20 May – Cameroon – National Day
20 May – Christianity – Whit Sunday (Pentecost)
20 May – Timor-Leste – Independence Restoration Day
20 May – Cambodia – Day of Remembrance
21 May – Canada – Victoria Day
21 May – Cayman Islands – Discovery Day
21 May – Chile – Navy Day
21 May – Montenegro – Independence Day
22 May – Yemen – National Unity Day
23 May – Macedonia – Vlach’s National Day
24 May – Belize – Sovereign’s Day
24 May – Bulgaria and Macedonia – Saints Cyril and Methodius Day
24 May – Ecuador – Battle of Pichincha Day
24 May – Eritrea – Independence Day
24 May – Barbados – General Election
25 May – Argentina – Anniversary of 1810 Revolution
25 May – Bermuda – Bermuda Day
25 May – Bolivia – Sucre Local Festival
25 May – Jordan – Independence Day
26 May – Iceland – Municipal Elections
25-27 May – Monaco – Formula One weekend
26 May – Ukraine – UEFA Champion’s League Final, Kiev
26 May – Georgia – Day of First Republic
26 May – Italy – Air and rail workers to strike in Milan
27 May – Colombia – Presidential Election
27 May – 10 June – France – French Open Tennis

Click the following link to download this report as a PDF: Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 20 The Weekly Risk Roundup highlights significant events from the last week and what to look out for next week. Week 19 Weekly Risk Roundup was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

Week 19 – Maritime Security Weekly Snapshot

Indian Ocean HRA – Maritime Security Incidents

12 May 18: Merchant Vessel Attacked near Eritrea. A bulk carrier reported coming under attack at 14°40’N 041°45’E, off the Eritrean coast. Crew and vessel reported safe, the vessel was reportedly carrying grain to the Yemeni port of Saleef. Vessels seeking entry to Yemen are advised to comply with all instructions from UN or Saudi coalition vessels.

Gulf of Guinea – Maritime Security Incidents

08 May 18: Attempted Boarding near Brass, Nigeria. Six persons onboard a skiff attempted to board a merchant vessel at 03°37’N, 006°16’E. The attackers hooked a ladder over the MV’s sides, but were prevented from boarding by hardening measures and evasive manoeuvres. Vessel and crew safe. 11 May 18: Tug with Stolen Cargo Seized, Bonny, Nigeria. Nigerian naval forces reported the seize of a 1,000 tonne barge containing stolen diesel fuel. Six suspected thieves were also detained from aboard the tug boat.

South East Asia – Maritime Security Incidents

Abu Sayyaf Clashed with Troops in Sulu, Philippines. Philippine troops clashed with suspected members of the Islamist group Abu Sayyaf whilst seeking to recover hostages taken by the group. This marks the most recent attack by the terror organisation which has previously directly targeted seafarers in kidnap-for-ransom attacks.

Click link to Download PDF: Solace Global Maritime Security Snapshot – Week 19 A roundup of maritime security incidents – an easy to read format collating suspicious approaches, vessel attacks, boardings, hijacks and media reports. The week 19 Maritime Security Snapshot was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.