Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 46

Headlines From This Week

 
  • United States: Wildfires ongoing in California as latest death toll hits record numbers – Fifty-six people have been killed and 130 people are unaccounted for in the deadliest wildfire ever recorded in California state. The blaze, which started as a result of a campfire, spread rapidly towards urban centres in northern California fuelled by the critically dry vegetation and strong winds. Over 52,000 people have been evacuated from Paradise, Magalia, Concow, Butte Creek Canyon and Butte Valley and rest centres have been established outside the fire zone. More than 9,000 firefighters have been deployed to help tackle the blaze and thousands in the affected area remain without power. Travellers should avoid all areas affected by the wildfire, especially where mandatory evacuation orders are in place. Liaise with local contacts to determine the feasibility of routes and overland journeys. Follow all directives issued by the authorities.
 
  • Mozambique: Latest attack highlights continued militant threat in Cabo Delgado – In the early hours of 15 November, militants in Cabo Delgado province attacked Nagalue village, Macomia district killing one person and destroying homes and shops. Residents fled into the surrounding areas upon hearing the attack. Armed groups have been launching small-scale attacks in Cabo Delgado since October 2017, targeting police stations, shops and houses in the province leading to 90 death of mostly civilians. Unlike terror incidents, the armed group are yet to claim responsibility for the attacks or make any demands. While most of the militants are rumoured to be of Muslim faith, there is a limited religious connection to the attacks, suggesting they may be linked to the worsening socio-economic situation in the region. Foreign visitors planning on travel to Cabo Delgado should limit movements to daylight hours only and ensure secure journey management is in place for the duration of their travel.
 
  • Somalia: Complex attack in capital Mogadishu underscores continued capability of terrorist groups to attack high profile targets – Fifty people were killed and over 100 injured in a complex, multi-target attack in the Hodan district of the capital. Three vehicle-based explosive devices detonated outside three main buildings on the busy KM4 roundabout near the first checkpoint for Mogadishu International Airport (MIA). One of the buildings targeted was the Sahafi Hotel and militants attempted to storm the building after the blasts. Al Shabab claimed responsibility for the attack which is the first major attack on the capital for several months. Somalia remains a severe risk travel environment and all travel should be supported by an accredited security provider with 24-hour response capability. Accommodation should be booked inside the secure MIA compound.
 
  • Israel, Palestinian Territories: Ceasefire between Hamas and Israeli Government ends three-day escalation in violence in southern Israel and Hamas controlled Gaza – Tensions between the two groups escalated after Israel launched a military operation in the Gaza strip leading to the first direct ground confrontation between the Israeli Defense Force (IDF) and Hamas since Operation Protection Edge in 2014. One Israeli soldier and seven Palestinians were killed in the raid and Israeli air defence was needed to support the evacuation of the IDF unit. In response to the incursion, Hamas launched a rocket that destroyed a military bus and injured a soldier. Israel retaliated by targeting and destroying an alleged munitions storage site, an intelligence base and television station. Hamas subsequently launched 400 missiles at Israel over the next 48 hours and the IDF targeting more than 100 sites in Gaza. The ceasefire, which has brought an end to the current hostilities, has been met with condemnation by the Israeli parliament and the situation should be monitored by all travellers going to southern Israel in the coming months.
 

What To Look Out For Next Week

 
  • Bahrain: National assembly elections to be held 24 November, amidst rising tensions between Shia and Sunni communities – In June 2018, legislation approved by King Hamad bin Isa al-Khalifa banned most opposition parties from running in November election. Al-Wefaq, the main opposition party, subsequently called for all Shia aligned political parties to boycott of the elections. On 4 November, Bahrain sentenced three prominent Al-Wefaq politicians to life imprisonment on charges of spying including their secretary general, Sheikh Ali Salman. Tensions between the ruling powers in Bahrain and Shia opposition groups has been evident since 2011, when Shia communities participated in widespread anti-government protests. Since 2011, protests have been held weekly in smaller Shia villages, outside the capital Manama. While the Bahrain government will try and suppress political protests during the election period, travellers should anticipate protests in areas close to Manama. Low-level Shia militant attacks cannot be ruled out and travellers should minimise their time spent near potential targets.
 
  • Bangladesh: Election date deferred until 30 December, anticipate unrest in coming weeks as political campaigning begins Opposition parties had requested a longer deferral from the Bangladesh Election Committee (BEC), in order to prepare for the upcoming elections. The main opposition group, the Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP), boycotted parliamentary elections in 2014 due to perceived corruption and fraud by the ruling Awami League resulting in 154 of the 300 parliamentary being uncontested. The perceived injustice and lack of free and fair elections led to countrywide protests and widespread violence. The military were subsequently deployed, and curfews were imposed in several neighbourhoods. Fears that the 2018 election would result in a major deterioration of the security environment have been allayed by the involvement of the main opposition groups; however, existing tensions are likely to lead to major unrest in urban centres. On 14 November 32 people were injured when the BNP and security forces clashed in Dhaka as supporters accompanied a BNP candidate to pick up their election nomination papers. Travellers should anticipate an uptick in political demonstrations and rallies in the coming weeks as parties start campaigning. Travellers should further, take all precautions necessary to avoid all such gatherings.
 
  • Cameroon: Violence to continue in Northwest and Southwest regions – Clashes between the Cameroon military and Anglophone separatists have escalated since the re-election of Paul Biya in October, causing a further deterioration in the security environment. Separatist announced a boycott prior to the 7 October polls, leading to historically low voter turnout, with many residents fearful of repercussions if they tried to vote. Violence has subsequently escalated since Paul Biya’s re-election was announced, with clashes between the military and insurgents being reported daily and schools and government-run institutions being targeted by insurgents. The separatist movement gathered pace last year when the Cameroon military forcefully repressed peaceful protests calling for the declaration of an independent Anglophone state. In response the Cameroon military used forceful measures to end the unrest, killing protesters and arresting the main leaders of the separatist movement. Over the last 12 months, the situation has escalated dramatically with over 300 separate security incidents being reported since January. With no current dialogue between the insurgents and the government, the crisis, and increasing insecurity, will likely continue in the medium to long-term. The Northwest region remains under curfew and road travel is only possible between 06.00 and 18.00 (local time). Travel to the region should be for essential purposed only and supported by an accredited security with 24-hour response capability.
 

Significant Dates and Events

Date Country Event Potential for violence
18 Nov Guinea Bissau Legislative elections POSTPONED
18 Nov Latvia Independence Day Insignificant
18 Nov Morocco Independence Day Insignificant
18 Nov Oman National Day (2-day holiday) Insignificant
21, 23 Nov Thailand Lantern Festival (disruption at Chang Mai, reconfirm flights) Insignificant
22 Nov Lebanon Independence Day Low
24 Nov Bahrain Parliamentary elections Moderate
24 Nov Australia State elections Insignificant
25 Nov Mali Legislative elections High
25 Nov Bosnia Republic Day Low
25 Nov Suriname Independence Day Low
28 Nov Albania Independence Day Low
28 Nov Mauritania Independence Day Low
Nov (exp) Chad Legislative elections (date not announced) High
1 Dec Central African Rep. National Day Moderate
2 Dec Laos National Day Low
2 Dec UAE National Day – Formation of the federation of the seven emirates Insignificant
3 Dec Poland Start of the COP24 environmental summit in Katowice, Insignificant
 
Click the following link to download this report as a PDF: Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 46 The Weekly Risk Roundup highlights significant events from the last week and what to look out for next week. The Weekly Risk Roundup was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 45

Headlines From This Week

  • Untied States: California: Mass Shooting in Bar – Twelve people were killed, and multiple injuries reported, after a gunman opened fire at 23.20 in a crowded bar on 7 November. The Borderline Bar and Grill was hosting a live music event for students when the gunman forced his way into the bar and threw a smoke grenade before opening fire on the crowd. The perpetrator was killed after security forces entered and secured the building. No motive for the attack has been identified and investigations are ongoing. There have been 307 mass shootings in the US since 1 January.  The attack highlights a continued threat posed by mass shootings throughout the US and travellers should remain vigilant when in public areas.
  • France: Arrest of six people in connection with far-right terrorist plot – French security forces apprehended six people over an alleged plot to attack French President Emmanuel Macron. According to local reports the suspects, aged between 20 and 60, were all members of a far-right movement and one of the suspects was found in possession of a firearm when he was arrested. The recent arrests, while indicating the capability of the intelligence services to identify and disrupt such plots, highlight an uptick in right-wing extremism across Europe that is likely to persist in the medium to long term.
  • Yemen: Hodeidah: Fighting intensifies near port city – The Saudi-led coalition have started a renewed offensive against the vital port city, launching over 100 airstrikes on the eastern part of Hodeidah in the last 72 hours and cutting off all access routes. The increase in hostilities comes amidst calls from international governments to negotiate a ceasefire due to increasing civilian casualties. UN-sponsored peace talks are scheduled to take place in Sweden at the end of November and the recent Saudi-led offensive is believed to be a tactic to secure as much ground as possible prior to any cease fire being implemented.  The port has been under blockade by the Saudi-led coalition since 2015, a decision that has been blamed for the current humanitarian crisis affecting 14 million people in Yemen. Despite the blockade, over 70 percent of food and medical supplies for Houthi held areas of Yemen come through Hodeidah.
  • Sahel Region: Burkina Faso; Chad; Niger; Mauritania, Mali: Islamist militants intensify attacks against security forces – There has been an escalation in attacks being committed by Islamist groups against security forces in the Sahel region. On 8 November, a Police Station was attacked by militants in Soum province (Sahel region) and two days earlier two soldiers were killed in the same province of Burkina Faso following the detonation of an IED near a military convoy.   On 3 November Nigerien military units engaged with Islamist militants in Tillaberi region, along the border with Mali and Burkina Faso, destroying several training camps associated with Al-Qa’ida in the Islamic Maghreb (AQIM). On 27 October, Islamist militants launched two attacks on United Nations Multidimensional Integrated Stabilization Mission in Mali (MINUSMA) in Tombouctou and Mopti regions. Militants launched a complex attack on the MINUSMA military base in Ber, killing two peacekeepers. A further attack targeted a MINUSMA convoy with an IED, injuring two peacekeepers. The recent escalation in violence highlights a continued deterioration in the security environment and travellers should seek professional security advice prior to travel to any of the border regions.

What To Look Out For Next Week

  • Pape New Guinea (PNG): APEC Economic Leaders Meeting (AELM) to cause travel disruption in Port Moresby from 12 – 18 November – The Summit brings national delegates from the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation together and is the final event of PNGs APEC hosting year. The main two event venues include the International Convention centre and APEC Haus and travellers in country should anticipate severe disruption around both the venues. Local authorities have drafted in additional police resources in an effort to bolster security. Road closures should be expected, especially when dignitaries are moving between venues and Jacksons International Airport. The PNG government has been widely criticised amongst opposition and religious leaders in the country due to the high levels of spending on the event. PNG remains one of the poorest countries in the region and the summit is likely to result in protests over both, internal socio-economic issues and global issues affecting PNG, such as climate change. Such protests are expected to be localised and quickly contained. Nevertheless, as a precaution, all such protests should be avoided.
  • Myanmar / Bangladesh: Repatriation of Rohingya refugees set to begin – The governments of Bangladesh and Myanmar have agreed to begin the repatriation of 750,000 Rohingya refugees who fled western Rakhine state in 2017 following widescale ethnic violence directed towards Muslim communities. For the last year the Rohingya’s have been living in camps established in south-eastern Bangladesh near the coastal town of Cox’s Bazar. The presence of refugees in the region has added considerable strain to the Bangladesh economy and lead to tensions between local communities and refugee communities, over competition for scarce natural resources. The repatriation agreement has been met by widespread condemnation from international groups, including the UN, who state that the Rohingya’s are at high risk of persecution if they return. The UN’s High Commission for Refugees also added that Rakhine state was not yet in a conducive state for returns. The announcement has led to isolated protests in Rohingya camps in Bangladesh with one refugee attempting to commit suicide after being told that he would be involuntarily repatriated.  Any forced repatriation is likely to be met by strong resistance by Rohingya communities and widespread unrest and civil disobedience remains likely in the coming weeks.
  • France: Travel disruption expected during protests near Place de la Republique, Paris, on 11 November – French civil action groups have called for a widespread protest following President Macron’s decision to invite US President Donald Trump as honoured guest to the 100th anniversary commemorative event celebrating Armistice Day, the end of World War I. Protesters will gather at 14.00 on 11 November in Republic Square. The event is likely to be well attended and result in widespread traffic disruption in the local area. Travellers should plan routes bypassing the event and anticipate heightened security in the local area.

Week 43/4 – Maritime Weekly Security Snapshot

Indian Ocean HRA – Maritime Security Incidents

28 October 18: Pirate whaler seized and destroyed by EU NAVFOR: EU NAVFOR military personnel seized an active Pirate Action Group (PAG) whaler on 28 October before destroying the vessel in a controlled explosion.  The whaler had been under surveillance since a merchant vessel was attacked off the coast of Somalia on 16 October (see maritime advisory). Following investigations by EU NAVFOR it was concluded that it was likely that the vessel would be used to launch further attacks on maritime shipping transiting the area.  The vessel was tracked to a small bay off the Somali coast, where it was seized and destroyed. 23 October 18: Royal Navy vessel intercepted by Iranian attack boats in the Persian Gulf.  HMS Dragon, a Royal Navy type 45 Destroyer, was intercepted by three Iranian gun boats while escorting British vessels through the Strait of Hormuz. The incident sparked a stand-off between the two naval forces. The Iranian gunships demanded that the British vessels remain 1000 yards clear of their port side.  Following communications between the Officer of the Watch and the Iranian authorities the Iranian vessels eventually moved aside however, the incident highlights ongoing tensions in the Persian Gulf.

Gulf of Guinea – Maritime Security Incidents

22 October 18: Vessel boarded at Pointe Noire.   Suspected criminals boarded an anchored MV at 23.28 LT in position 4°46°46N – 11°47°30E off Pointe Noire, Republic of Congo.  The two armed men boarded the vessel via the anchor chain and proceeded to steal ropes before disembarking.  Crew and vessel have been reported safe. 27 October 18: MV attacked 60nm from Bonny, Nigeria. At 04.00 LT a distress call was received on the Emergency Broadcast Channel 16 from a MV in position 03°21N 006°30E.  The vessel declared that it was being chased by two skiffs before it started moving in a circular motion.  The attack has since been confirmed by the Nigerian Navy. 11 crew members are suspected to have been kidnapped, nine further crew members were left on board, unharmed.  An investigation by Nigerian authorities is underway. 29 October 18: Two MV under attack 102nm of Pointe Noire.  Two vessels were reported under attack at 12.50 LT in position 04°47S 010°07E.  One MV and its crew are safe however the second MV is reported hijacked.  Last position recorded at 14.24 LT at position 04°42S 010°04E.  A further report indicates a third vessel was subsequently hijacked but has now been released.

Asia – Maritime Security Incidents

17 October 18: Anchored Bulk Carrier boarded by criminals at Muara Berau Anchorage, Samarinda   Two armed men boarded an anchored bulk carrier.  The duty seaman notified the duty officer after noticing intruders on forecastle deck.  The alarm was raised and crew mustered.  On investigation, the ship stores were reportedly stolen.  The relevant authorities were notified of incident.

Week 42 – Maritime Weekly Security Snapshot

Indian Ocean HRA – Maritime Security Incidents

16 October 18: MV attacked off 340nm east of Mogadishu, Somalia. Four pirates in a speed boat approached an underway bulk carrier at 1234 UTC in position 00°49N, 050°53E.  The pirates, armed with AK-47s, fired several shots towards the vessel prompting the Master to raise the alarm, contact local authorities and activate the ship security alarm system (SSAS).  The crew mustered and armed guards onboard the vessel returned fire, resulting in the pirates aborting the attack and moving out of site.  All crew reported safe. 16 October 18: Alain Goma freed after being held by Houthi rebels for four months in Sana’a, Yemen.  Intense negotiations between the French Envoy to Yemen and Houthi leaders resulted in the release of the French citizen.  Goma had been held since July when his vessel was damaged on a sailing trip forcing him to dock at the Yemeni port of Hodeida which was being occupied by the Houthi rebels.  He was later transferred to Sana’a’s main prison.  French authorities thanked both Omani and Saudi authorities for their subsequent intervention in negotiations.

Gulf of Guinea – Maritime Security Incidents

14 October 18: Vessel boarded at Lagos Anchorage.  Two suspected criminals boarded an anchored product tanker at 0045 LT in position 6°17°2N – 3°13°87E in Lagos’ Secure Anchorage Area, Nigeria.  The duty watchman was alerted to their presence and quickly raised the alarm and sounded the ships horn, both intruders subsequently disembarked the vessel.  The tanker was searched and the incident was reported to local authorities who dispatch a patrol vessel. This latest incident highlights an uptick in the number of vessels being bordered while at Lagos port or anchorage.  Since January 2018, 14 intrusions have been reported, a clear rise from the six reported throughout 2017.

Mediterranean – Maritime Security Incidents

12 October 18: Italian Prime Ministers announces that two Italian vessels seized by Libya forces will return home.  On 10 October the Libyan National Army released a statement saying that they had seized the vessels in Libyan territorial waters and brought them to Ras al-Hilal port.  The two fishing vessels and their crews have now been authorised to return back to Italy.

Asia – Maritime Security Incidents

10 October 18: LATE Anchored LPG Tanker boarded off Kandla. Criminals bordered the LPG tanker in position 22°48°1N, 68°58°3E at Deedayal Anchorage and raided the ships stores before escaping.  The theft went unnoticed by the ships crew and was only realised on a routine stowaway search at 17.30 UTC on 10 October.  The incident was reported to Port Control.
Click link to Download PDF: Solace Global Maritime Security Snapshot – Week 42 A roundup of maritime security incidents – an easy to read format collating suspicious approaches, vessel attacks, boardings, hijacks and media reports. This week’s Maritime Security Snapshot was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

Solace Global – Weekly Roundup – Week 41

Headlines From This Week

Hurricane Michael hits the United States – At least 11 people have been killed after Hurricane Michael made landfall just north of Mexico Beach (Bay County, Florida), rapidly escalating from a Category 2 to a Category 4 storm (Saffir Simpson scale). The storm achieved wind speeds of 155mph (250kph); falling just 5mph short becoming a Category 5 storm. It is the strongest hurricane to hit the region for 25 years and caused significant damage and flooding in both Florida and Georgia. Local communication infrastructure reportedly remains significantly damaged and up to 1.1 million households and business are currently without electricity from Florida up to Virginia. The remnants of the storm are now of the east coast of the United States with windspeeds equivalent to a tropical storm. Violence in Anglophone regions during Cameroon elections – Violence in the Anglophone regions marred the 7 October election, with separatists shutting down numerous polling stations and established ‘ghost towns’ in Bamenda (Northwest region) and Beau (Southwest region). Clashes also occurred between the military and separatist movements. The Cameroonian authorities temporarily closed all of Cameroon’s ports of entry for a 24-hour period on polling day; most have now reopened with only some land borders with Nigeria remaining closed. On 8 October, Maurice Kamto, the main opposition leader, declared himself the winner; however, the result can only be released by the Constitutional Council of Cameroon. This result will be announced in the next ten days, with current incumbent, Paul Biya, likely to be named the victor. In this event, unrest should be expected throughout the country. Missile intercepted over southern Saudi Arabia – Saudi air defence intercepted a missile fired from Yemen on 10 October just before 23:00 local time. A spokesperson for the Saudi military stated that the country’s air defences had intercepted and destroyed the missile, which was targeting the city of Najran. The latest incident comes after, a missile damaged a mosque in Asir region last month. While not independently verified, Saudi officials say that some 112 citizens and residents have been killed with hundreds more wounded in 204 ballistic attacks on the kingdom. Missing Journalist increases tensions between Saudi Arabia and Turkey – Tensions have been heightened between Ankara and Riyad over the disappearance of journalist Jamal Khashoggi. Turkish authorities have alleged that Khashoggi was killed inside the Saudi consulate in Istanbul. The authorities have said they have audio and visual evidence that there had been an assault and a struggle inside the consulate. Saudi Arabia firmly denies any involvement in the disappearance. The case has raised tensions between the Saudi Crown Prince and President Recep Tayyip Erdogan; the latter declaring himself as a champion of the Arab Spring with the crown prince positioning himself in the opposite camp. Clashes between police and protesters in Mauritania – On 8 October, protesters clashed with security forces during a protest outside the parliament building in Nouakchott. The demonstrators were protesting against slavery, demanding the release of anti-slavery campaigner and new Member of Parliament Biram Ould Dah Abeid who was jailed on 7 August for alleged hate speech. Further protests are likely in the coming days and weeks with clashes also likely.

What To Look Out for Next Week

Afghanistan district and parliamentary elections – Polling is likely to go ahead on 20 October amid tensions from the Taliban, who have vowed to block the elections. There are also severe concerns from international election observes over the transparency of the long-delayed parliamentary elections. Militant groups have been quick to launch attacks on campaigning events, on 9 October a suicide bomber in Lashkar Gah (Helmand Province) targeted the office of local candidate Mohammad Achakzai, killing him and seven others. In July an IED was detonated at a rally being held in Jalalabad (Nangarhar Province) by the only Sikh candidate in the elections, Avtar Singh Khalsa, killing 20 people. The Taliban have called the elections an American conspiracy to undermine Afghanistan. Targeted attacks on electoral candidates are likely to continue in the run-up to the polling day and travellers should avoid all political rally’s and large gatherings of people, maintaining a low profile for the duration of their time in the country. Turkey to reopen consulates in Mosul and Basra, Iraq – Following a meeting between Turkish Foreign Minister, Mevlüt Çavuşoğlu, and new Iraqi President, Bahram Salih, Turkey has made the decision to reopen their consulates in Mosul and Basra. Both consulates were closed over security fears, in Mosul, the consulate was closed in 2014 after the Islamic State (IS) overran the compound taking 49 Turkish diplomats’ hostage. The Basra consulate was closed earlier this summer amidst city-wide unrest over the socio-economic conditions throughout the province. Turkey has significant economic and commercial ties with Iraq as well as shared security concerns over the activity of the Kurdistan Workers Party (PKK) along the shared border. While these will all be factors in the decision to reopen the consulates, the decision does also allude to a significant improvement in the security environment in both locations. Local elections in Cote D’Ivoire – On Saturday 13 October, local elections will be held in Côte d’Ivoire. Campaigning has been ongoing for the last couple of weeks and ended on Thursday. The vote will give all the main parties an indication ahead of the 2020 presidential election; and, as such, are likely to be highly competitive. There is a tense political atmosphere which has been fuelled by irregularities in voting preparations. Travellers in the country are advised to strictly avoid all crowds and to be aware of the potential for clashes to occur. Burundi ban on foreign relief agencies – Security forces arrested three aid workers employed by the US-based relief agency, the International Rescue Committee, for defying a recently imposed ban on foreign relief agencies operating without special permission from the Ministry of Public Security. Under new legislation, international non-government organisations must place a third of their country budget in Burundi’s central bank and implement a clear ethnic quota that favours projects supporting the ethnic Hutu communities. Given that all International NGO’s operate under the principles of impartiality, neutrality and independence such regulations are likely to be rejected by the humanitarian community, leading to further arrests of aid workers and the withdrawal of international relief operations throughout the country.

Significant Dates and Events

  • 10-24 October – Nepal – Hindu Dashin Festival
  • 12 October – Brazil – Lady of Aparecida
  • 12 October – Equatorial Guinea – Independence Day.
  • 12 October – Spain – Fiesta Nacional de Espana.
  • 13 October – Burundi – Prince Louis Rwagasore Day
  • 14 October – Georgia – Day of Svetitskovloba
  • 14 October – Tanzania – Mwlimu Nyerere Day
  • 14 October – Yemen – Liberation Day
  • 15 October – Jamaica – National Heroes Day
  • 15 October – Belize – Pan American Day
  • 15 October – Tunisia – Evacuation Day
  • 15 October – Samoa – Lotu a Tamiti Holiday
  • 16 October – India – Maha Saptami
  • 17 October – China – Chung Yeung Festival
  • 17 October – Haiti – Dessalines Day
  • 18 October – Azerbaijan – Independence Day
  • 18 October – Zambia – National Prayer day
  • 19 October – Bangladesh – Durga Puja
  • 20 October – Guatemala – Revolution Day
  • 20 October – Kenya – Mashujaa Day

Click the following link to download this report as a PDF: Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 41 The Weekly Risk Roundup highlights significant events from the last week and what to look out for next week. Week 41 Weekly Risk Roundup was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

Week 39 – Maritime Weekly Security Snapshot

Gulf of Guinea – Maritime Security Incidents

20 September 18: MV Approached in Lagos Anchorage, Nigeria. Two boats approached the MV at 2345UTC in position 6°16’51N, 3°13’16E. At 2358UTC, two unauthorised persons were sighted on the main deck. When challenged, they escaped using a rope tied on board. No items were reported stolen. 22 September 18: Bulk Carrier Attacked by Pirates 54nm Southwest of Bonny Island, Nigeria. The vessel was underway on its transit from Lagos to Port Harcourt when it was attacked by pirates in a speedboat at 0450LT in position 3°37’0N, 6°40’0E. The embarked Nigerian Navy security team fired warning shots twice, resulting in the pirates breaking their pursuit of the vessel. 22 September 18: Vessel Attacked 45nm Southwest of Bonny Island, Nigeria. An underway bulk carrier Glavus was attacked by armed pirates at 0505UTC in position 3°45’32N, 6°43’1E. The master raised the alarm, increased speed and carried out anti-piracy measures. After a prolonged chase, pirates boarded the vessel using long ladders. They cut the wire on deck to gain access to the vessel and eventually the bridge. Communications equipment was destroyed and between 12 to 19 crew members were kidnapped. The nationalities of the crew members includes Philippines, Slovenia, Ukraine, Romania, Croatia and Bosnia. The Nigerian Navy despatched a patrol boat to assist the vessel. Remaining crew sailed the vessel under naval escort to safe anchorage. 25 September 18: Tanker Attacked by Pirates 100nm Southwest of Bonny Island, Nigeria. Armed pirates in a speedboat attacked the vessel at 1151UTC in position 2°45’55N, 6°39’19E. The speedboat had seven persons on board, and shots were fired at the vessel. A local security vessel arrived and fired warning shots. The speedboat moved away in a southwest direction. Crew and vessel were reported as safe. 25 September 2018: MV Boarded in Pointe Noire Anchorage, Congo. The vessel was in position 4°41’0S, 11°45’6E at 0100UTC when it was boarded by two robbers armed with knives. The alarm was raised and ship property was reported stolen.

South East Asia – Maritime Security Incidents

18 September 2018: Vessel Boarded in Sandakan, Malaysia. The Malta-flagged bulk carrier was boarded via the port side anchor chain whilst at berth in position 5°45’45N, 118°4’9E at 2015UTC. Another two accomplices were waiting in a craft nearby. No items were reported stolen. 18 September 2018: Underway Tanker Boarded by Robbers, Singapore Straits. The LPG tanker was boarded in position 1°14’87N, 103°57’92E at 2145UTC, Westbound lane of TSS. Three persons were sighted at the stern of the ship. The chief engineer sustained injuries to his face and hands after being confronted with the perpetrators when they stole his gold chain. The alarm was raised and the robbers escaped. The remaining crew were reported safe. 18 September 2018: Armed Robbers Board Anchored Bulk Carrier in Muara Berau Anchorage, Indonesia. The armed robbers boarded the vessel twice in three hours at 1915UTC in position 0°14’20S, 117°39’40E. On both occasions, the duty watchman noticed the robbers on the forecastle deck and raised the alarm. The robbers escaped with ships stores. Indonesian Marine Police and Indonesian Navy were informed, and an investigation on board took place.
Click link to Download PDF: Solace Global Maritime Security Snapshot – Week 39 A roundup of maritime security incidents – an easy to read format collating suspicious approaches, vessel attacks, boardings, hijacks and media reports. This week’s Maritime Security Snapshot was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

Week 36 – Maritime Security Weekly Snapshot

Indian Ocean HRA – Maritime Security Incidents

07 September 18: WBIED Seized by Saudi-led Coalition. Yemeni national forces, supported by the Saudi-led international coalition, intercepted a remote-controlled water-borne improvised explosive device in the Red Sea. The device was built into the hull of a speedboat, and reached speeds of 35kts. It is highly likely that the Houthi sought to target Saudi/UAE vessels with the device. There were no indications of other Houthi vessels in the vicinity of the device, possibly indicating that this version of WBIED has a longer stand-off range than devices deployed in late 2017/early 2018, which were generally controlled from a nearby mothership. September 18: Increased small boat activity. Vessels transiting the HRA reported a significant increase in small boat activity. This increase has likely been driven by the end of the monsoon season. The improving sea conditions may permit an increase in criminal use of small boats in the region.

Mediterranean – Maritime Security Incidents

10 September 18: Militants Assaulted National Oil Corporation, Tripoli.  A group of Islamic State insurgents attacked the NOC in Tripoli. At least four people, including two of the attackers, were killed. It remains unclear if the previous armed unrest set the conditions which enabled the attack.

Gulf of Guinea – Maritime Security Incidents

05 September 18: Nigerian Navy Deployed New Vessels. The Nigerian Navy inaugurated and deployed 16 new vessels, including coastal patrol boats and high-speed RHIBs. The vessels were immediately deployed to patrol areas around key oil installations in the Niger Delta. The deterrent effect of these vessels in coastal waters may drive thieves and pirates to conduct more ambitious attacks in deep water.

South East Asia – Maritime Security Incidents

04 August 18: LATE REPORT – Armed Robbery from Tanker near Sarawak. A tanker underway at 03°24’N 112°54’E was boarded by armed robbers at 2300LT. The attackers stole cash and personal belongings, before fleeing within 20 minutes. No crew were harmed. Perpetrators arrested by police on 17 August. 10 September 18: Armed Kidnap near Semporna. A fishing vessel underway at 04°40’N 118°43’E was boarded by armed kidnappers in the early hours, who boarded their vessel from a speedboat.  Two crew members were taken, as they were unable to hide in time. Remaining crew saw the kidnappers depart in the direction of Philippine waters. 11 September 18: Fishermen Kidnapped off Sabah. Three fishermen were reported kidnapped at 0100LT. The attack occurred whilst their vessel was docked at Pulau Gaya. Local law enforcement are investigating the possibility of Philippine groups  being responsible.
Iran to Move Primary Oil Terminal. The Iranian government announced its intent to establish a new oil terminal on the coast of the Oman Sea. This move would place the terminal outside the Straits of Hormuz, reducing Iranian dependence on the strategically contested waterway.
Click link to Download PDF: Solace Global Maritime Security Snapshot – Week 36 A roundup of maritime security incidents – an easy to read format collating suspicious approaches, vessel attacks, boardings, hijacks and media reports. The week 36 Maritime Security Snapshot was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

One Day Ahead Challenge: Supporting the Tour of Britain

Solace Global will provide tracking support to Phil Jones, the managing director of Brother UK, who will ride the entire 2018 OVO Energy Tour of Britain route one day ahead of the race with cancer survivor and cycling world record holder James Golding. With Solace Global’s tracking app, downloadable from the App Store (Solace Secure), the support team and fans alike can keep track of where Phil and James are on each route of the challenge.

The Challenge

To raise £50,000 for the Dave Rayner Fund, a voluntary organisation supporting young British riders in their dream of turning professional. Some of Britain’s most successful cyclists, including Grand Tour stage winners Adam Yates (Mitchelton-SCOTT) and David Millar enjoyed the support of the fund at a critical stage in their careers.

This year Solace Global has supported Vitus Pro Cycling, a professional UK-based cycle team. The team Director Sportive Cherie Pridham, the only female team owner and manager in the British peloton, will support Phil Jones MBE’s Tour of Britain One Day Ahead fundraising ride as sporting director.

Pridham, who rode 10 Grand Tours in an era of epic races for the women’s sport, and whose managerial expertise has yielded victories in some of the most prestigious races on the domestic calendar, including the Lincoln Grand Prix, will be a vital presence in the convoy of support vehicles for Jones’ 1,140-kilometre ride.

Solace Global

Solace Global protect thousands of people and assets all over the world, with 24/7 intelligence, tracking, assistance, in-country support and response services. In recent years, as global threats have become less predictable, even employees being sent to traditionally ‘safe’ destinations need security preparation, pushing risk management, resilience and duty of care into the limelight for their client base, which includes Corporates, NGO’s, HNWs, Scholastics, Media Groups and Insurers.

Solace Global build bespoke travel risk management solutions to support Duty of Care delivery, a comprehensive approach that extends even to tactical, on-the-ground support when environments become unworkable, and which empower businesses to operate in complex environments. They protect people, assets and reputation, and enable business continuity.

Emily Roberts, Managing Director of Solace Global Risk, said:

“We are delighted to support Phil (Jones) and James (Golding) on their ride for such a worthwhile cause. We got involved with Vitus Pro Cycling as road cycling’s demographic is in perfect alignment with the demographic of people we want to speak to in our business. This road has led us to supporting a great cause and enables us to raise the profile of The Dave Rayner Fund as well as our own business in support of someone who has committed an incredible amount of time and energy to the sport. Good luck!”

Solace Global – Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 35

Headlines From This Week

  • Widespread Far-Right Protests, Germany – Germany experienced widespread neo-Nazi protests between 29 and 31 August, focussed predominantly on regional capitals. The majority of these rallies were matched by anti-fascist or left-wing counter-protests, and a heavy police presence. Despite police efforts, violence was reported at a number of sites. Travellers are advised to avoid any large crowds or political events due to the risk of violence.
  • Mnangagwa inauguration in Zimbabwe – President Mnangagwa, the recently elected successor to Zimbabwe’s long-term President, Robert Mugabe, was inaugurated in Harare on 26 August. The event was peaceful, with the opposition subdued after the defeat of their legal challenge against Mnangagwa’s election.
  • Ethnic violence in Ethiopia’s Oromia – Estimates suggest that up to 13 Somalis may have been killed in two ethnically motivated attacks in Ethiopia’s Oromia region. The Ethiopian government strictly controls the country’s media, so reporting has been limited. It appears that members of a semi-official Ormoro militia were responsible for the killings. There is no indication that any specific event triggered the killing, suggesting this violence remains part of the wider trend of ethnic violence in the country.
  • West Bengal Unrest – India’s West Bengal has been shaken by widespread and violent civil unrest as the Supreme Court invalidated a series of local election results. At least 10 people have been killed in the clashes, primarily as a result of violence between competing political groups; however, one child was shot and killed in an apparent assassination attempt against his mother, a local councillor.
  • Dam Breached in Bago – A major dam in the Bago area of Myanmar failed on 29 August, following an extremely high level of rainfall. The resultant flooding has led to at least 12,600 people being evacuated into emergency camps, with up to 14,000 homes impacted to some degree. Major damage to roads and bridges downstream of the dam has also been reported. Travel in the region is likely to be impeded for a protracted period.
  • Brazilian troops deployed to Venezuelan border – The Brazilian government deployed troops to the Venezuelan border in order to support local law enforcement faced by a flood of refugees from the beleaguered nation. The flood of migrants has drastically changed the demographics of Brazil’s border areas, leading to a rise in civil unrest as the local population rally against the significant burden on their public services. There has been no indication that Brazil is seeking to close the border.

What To Look Out For Next Week

  • Italian Rail Strike – Staff for Italy’s Italo NTV highspeed rail network are due to conduct strike action on 07 September. Italian law requires a basic level of service to be maintained through all strikes, however widespread disruption is expected across the network. Italo NTV operates on a limited network which connects major cities. Long distance, rather than local travel will face the most extensive disruption.
  • World Nomad Games in Kyrgyzstan – The World Nomad Games is due to be held in the Issyk-Kul region of Kyrgyzstan between 02 and 08 September. The games attract crowds significantly greater than the region’s normal population and therefore are likely to place a significant additional burden on travel infrastructure. Delays to travel and routine business operations are therefore likely. The games are also likely to attract a heightened security presence.
  • Super Typhoon Jebi –Typhoon Jebi, is on course to strike Japan over 04 and 05 September. Whilst presently rated as a typhoon, forecasters asses that it will likely become a super typhoon, with wind speeds over 175mph, by the time it makes landfall. The impact is likely to be significant; Japan has already been struck by several storms this season, existing damage to infrastructure and residential areas are likely to make Jebi’s impact all the more damaging.
  • Opposition Rallies in Madagascar – Madagascan opposition group, the Initiative for the Emergence of Madagascar (IEM), has planned to hold a rally in Antananarivo’s Mahamasina Sports Palace. Andry Rajoelina is intended to be the main speaker and is likely to use the rally to boost support for his presidential bid. Madagascar has experienced significant civil and political disturbances since a coup in 2009. It, therefore, remains possible that any major political rally may develop into violence, or have wider political ramifications.
  • Russian Pension Reform Protests – Vladimir Putin, Russia’s longtime President, announced his support for sweeping pension reforms at the end of August. The reforms include raising the male pension age to 65, and 60 for females; as a result, a significant proportion of the population will not live long enough to collect them. In response, protests have been planned across Russia’s major cities, starting from 02 September, and are highly likely to attract support from across the full political spectrum, including those typically supportive of the President. Major opposition protests are often heavy-handedly suppressed, however, the broad base of support for these rallies may limit the government’s options. Travellers to major Russian cities are strongly advised to maintain a high level of situational awareness and seek to avoid the vicinity of any rallies or protests.

Significant Dates and Events

  • 01-03 September – Madagascar – Local transport strikes in Antananarivo
  • 01 September – Bangladesh – BNP political rally to be held in Dhaka
  • 01 September – Slovakia – Constitution Day
  • 01 SSeptember– Uzbekistan – Independence day
  • 01 September – Croatia – Major motorbike rally in Pula
  • 01 September – Mauritania – First round of legislative elections
  • 01 September – Mali – Opposition march in Bamako
  • 01 September – India – State-wide protests planned in Punjab
  • 02 September – Russia – Anti-pension reform rally
  • 02-03 September – Hindu regions – Krishna Janmashtami
  • 02-04 September – Tunisia – Maritime personnel to strike nationwide
  • 03 September – Bermuda – Labour day rally in Hamilton
  • 03 September- Canada & USA – Labour day
  • 03 September – Vietnam – National day
  • 05 September – Cocos Islands – Sporting event to cause disruptions on West Island
  • 06 September – Tunisia – Rail workers to conduct nationwide strikes
  • 06 September – Bulgaria – Unification day
  • 06 September Swaziland – Somhlolo day
  • 07 Sptember – Brazil – Independence day
  • 07 September – Fiji – Constitution day
  • 07 September – Mozambique – Victory day
  • 08 September France – Pro-environmental rallies in Paris and Lyon
  • 08-12 September – Spain – Airport Security personnel to strike
  • 09 September – India – Akali Dal group to rally in Abohar
  • 09 September – Russia – Nationwide rallies against pension reform
  • 09 September – Dominican Republic – Anti-abortion rally in Santo Domingo
  • 09 September – St Lucia – Anti-government march planned in Castries
  • 10-11 September – Italy – Airport staff to conduct nationwide strike
  • 13 September – Austria – Pro-refugee rally to be held in Vienna

Click the following link to download this report as a PDF: Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 35 The Weekly Risk Roundup highlights significant events from the last week and what to look out for next week. Week 35 Weekly Risk Roundup was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

Week 34 – Maritime Security Weekly Snapshot

Indian Ocean HRA – Maritime Security Incidents

24 August 18: Indian Government Established Anti Piracy Group. The Indian government announced the formation of an inter-agency working group to develop contingency plans in case of the hijack of Indian-crewed vessels. The group also re-issued additional anti-piracy guidance in line with international best practice. 22 August 18: Pakistani Navy Withdrew from CTF 150 and 151. The Pakistani navy withdrew its commitment to provide vessels to Combined Task Force 150 an 151, responsible for policing the Indian Ocean High Risk Area. The vessels are to be reassigned to patrol and secure an area up to 600nm from the Pakistani coast. This forms part of an effort to realign naval priorities with efforts to develop trade and security for Gwadar port.

Mediterranean – Maritime Security Incidents

26 August 18: Diciotti Migrants Permitted to Disembark in Catania, Italy. The Italian coastguard vessel Diciotti was permitted to disembark the 177 migrants it had rescued from the Mediterranean. The vessel had been obstructed by the Italian Government, despite having conducted the rescues in an official capacity. Despite the resolution of this incident, further stand-offs between rescue vessels and the Italian government are likely.

Gulf of Guinea – Maritime Security Incidents

24 August 18: UPDATE – Missing Vessel Safe in Lome, Togo. A merchant vessel, the Pantelena, has berthed in Lome, Togo, having been missing for ten days. All crew were reported safe, however details of the incident remain unclear. Public interviews with the crew’s home-nation media outlets suggested that they were held for up to 9 days by pirates.

South East Asia – Maritime Security Incidents

27 August 18: US – ASEAN Naval Drills, Singapore. Multi-lateral naval and marine drills involving personnel and assets from the USA and ASEAN nations began in Singapore. Heightened maritime traffic should be expected in the area, and vessels should maintain a enhanced watch. 27 August 18: Attempted Boarding, Muara Berau, Indonesia. Two robbers attempted to board a bulk carrier at 00°15’S 117°41’E. The crew mustered, forcing them to flee empty handed. 27 August 18: Attempted Boarding, Insular Oil, Indonesia. Four robbers attempted to board a tanker berthed at 03°06’S 125°39’E. They detected the robbers, mustered, and forced them to flee. 16 August 18: LATE REPORT Theft at  Anchor, Chittagong, Bangladesh. Four robbers boarded a containership at 22°03’N 091°44’E. They escaped with a 70m mooring rope. The theft was noted during routine rounds.
Click link to Download PDF: Solace Global Maritime Security Snapshot – Week 34 A roundup of maritime security incidents – an easy to read format collating suspicious approaches, vessel attacks, boardings, hijacks and media reports. The week 34 Maritime Security Snapshot was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

Solace Global – Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 34

Headlines From This Week

  • President Trump in Trouble – President Trump experienced two significant blows to his leadership this week thanks to two court cases. Trump’s former-lawyer/fixer Michael Cohen pleaded guilty to bank fraud, tax fraud and campaign finance violations. He admitted to attempting to circumvent campaign finance laws, by hiding “hush money” payments and directly implicated Trump. Commentators have suggested that he may be seeking a plea agreement with the special prosecutor in the probe into Russian involvement in the 2016 elections. The President’s former-campaign chair Paul Manafort was found guilty of eight counts of financial crimes including tax fraud. Five Trump associates have now been found or pled guilty to crimes.
  • Venezuela Introduces New Currency – On 20 August, President Maduro’s government introduced a new currency which revalued and renamed the old bolivar currency, by effectively removing five zeroes. Inflation in Venezuela could reach one million per cent this year and the new currency is meant to control this by pegging its rate to a new cryptocurrency which is linked to the Venezuelan oil reserves. Economists are not confident that the new currency (alongside a host of other measures) will help to control inflation as it fails to address the root causes of price increases.
  • Political Drama in Australia – Scott Morrison is the new Australian Prime Minister after Malcolm Turnbull was ousted by party rivals in a leadership contest. This marks a shift to the right for the Australian government; Morrison is in the conservative wing of the ruling Liberal party, while Turnbull is closer to the political centre. Turnbull is the fourth Australian Prime Minister to be ousted by his own party. With the former-Prime Minister vowing to step down from Parliament after being ousted, the government’s one-seat majority is in serious jeopardy and there is an increased potential for an early election.
  • Crisis in Uganda – Uganda Member of Parliament and pop star Bobi Wine has been charged with treason by a civilian court shortly after being released by a military court on 23 August. His arrest, and those of other activists, has led to violent protests across the country, notably on 19 and 20 August in Mityana and Kampala. Moreover, police have sealed off the homes of a number of opposition politicians, and high-profile opposition figure Kizza Besigye was also arrested in the capital. Further unrest should be expected.
  • Constitutional Court Rules in Zimbabwe – Security levels in Zimbabwe’s capital were heightened as the Constitutional Court gave its ruling on a bid by opposition politicians to have 30 July presidential election results thrown out. In the end, the court sided with the President Mnangagwa in its ruling on 24 August. There is a high potential for unrest, potentially violent, over the next week.

What To Look Out For Next Week

  • Papal Visit to Ireland – Pope Francis will make a two-day visit to Ireland, arriving in Dublin at 1030 on 25 August. A series of events are planned for his visit including meetings with the Prime Minister and President, an event at St Mary’s Pro-Cathedral (1530hrs on 25 August), and an address at Croke Park (1930hrs on 25 August). The Pope will then spend the morning of 27 August in Knock, before attending a 1500hrs mass at Phoenix Park, Dublin. Security is expected to be tight with a series of road closures already in place. Activists have also announced plans to protest the visit, highlighting historical clerical abuse in Ireland.
  • Neo-Nazi Rally in Sweden – The neo-Nazi Nordic Resistance Movement (NMR) have been granted permission to march in Stockholm on 25 August. The march is set to begin in Kungsholmstorg with the predetermined route heading through Kungsholmen residential island. NMR permit allows between 30 and 30,000 protesters. A counter-protest will also take place, with an event starting at Norra Bantorget in the city centre. Although it is unclear how many attendees are expected at either event, Stockholm police have called in reinforcements from around the country; security is expected to be tight.
  • Malaysia Independence Day Celebrations – Malaysia celebrates its Independence Day on 31 August. Each year celebrations include an aerobatic performance by the country’s air force, usually in Kuala Lumpur, some 60km from the Kuala Lumpur International Airport. However, this year displays are set to occur in Putrajaya which is closer to the airport. Due to this, airspace around the airport will be closed from 0930hrs to 1030hrs from 27 to 31 August to allow the display to take place and for preparation. This is scheduled to impact a total of 498 flights. Delays and cancellations are expected and travellers should confirm their itineraries.
  • Legislative Elections in Mauritania – Legislative elections in the west African country of Mauritania are set to take place on 01 September in difficult circumstances. The opposition, despite boycotting previous votes, will take part in the 2018 elections. Tensions have mounted over a new electoral commission set up in April without members of the opposition. Unrest is expected and violence is likely.
  • US Open Tennis – The final tennis grand slam of the year, the US Open, is set to take place between 27 August and 09 September 2018. A series of titles will be up for grabs at the USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center in Flushing Meadows–Corona Park, Queens, New York City. Security is expected to be tight. Attendees are advised to arrive early, prepare to have their person and bags searched, and should adhere to the code of conduct for the event. For more information, see the US Open website – https://www.usopen.org/en_US/visit/prohibited_items.html.

Significant Dates and Events

  • August Haiti – Anti-government protests planned throughout August
  • 18 August to 02 September – Indonesia – 18th Asian Games in Jakarta and Palembang
  • 23 to 25 August – United Kingdom – Liverpool John Lennon Airport workers to strike
  • 24 to 26 August – Belgium – Formula One weekend in Spa
  • 25 August South Korea – Pro-choice rally to be held in Seoul
  • 25 August – Spain – Police officers to rally in Santiago de Compostela
  • 25 August – United Kingdom – Southampton and Cardiff LGBT+ Pride parades
  • 25 August – Paraguay – Constitution Day
  • 25 August – Uruguay – Independence Day
  • 25 August – Mali – Opposition rally planned in Bamako
  • 25 to 27 August, and 01 to 02 September – United Kingdom – London Euston train station to close for engineering work
  • 25 to 27 August – United Kingdom – Notting Hill Carnival
  • 26 and 27 August Moldova – Opposition Protests in Chisinau
  • 26 August – Romania – Anti-government protests in Bucharest
  • 27 August – Moldova – Independence Day
  • 27 August – Guatemala – Taxi drivers in Guatemala City to stage protests
  • 27 August – Philippines – National Heroes’ Day
  • 28 August – Chile – Striking teachers to protest in Santiago
  • 28 August – Costa Rica – Fishermen plan nationwide protests
  • 28 August – Georgia/Macedonia – St Mary’s Day
  • 28 August – Syria – Anti-Turkey march planned in Tell Abyad
  • 29 August – Slovakia – National Uprising Day
  • 29 August – Sri Lanka – Railway workers to strike
  • 30 August – Kazakhstan – Constitution Day
  • 30 August – Timor-Leste – Popular Constitution Day
  • 30 August – Turkey – Victory Day
  • 31 August – Kyrgyzstan – Independence Day
  • 31 August – Trinidad and Tobago – Independence Day

Click the following link to download this report as a PDF: Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 34 The Weekly Risk Roundup highlights significant events from the last week and what to look out for next week. Week 34 Weekly Risk Roundup was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

Week 33 – Maritime Security Weekly Snapshot

Indian Ocean HRA – Maritime Security Incidents

August 18: Yemeni Government Issued Warning to Fishermen. The Yemeni government issued a warning to fishermen operating in their waters, advising them to avoid approaching coalition warships. The warning follows Houthi threats to conduct further attacks against shipping, making it likely that warships would resort to force more rapidly when confronted by suspicious small craft. 15-22 August 18: Offensive Operations Continued around Al Hudaydah. The Yemeni government and Saudi-led coalition continued to escalate offensive  operations against Al Hudaydah, including a series of missile strikes which resulted in civilian casualties. Such attacks have previously resulted in the Houthi retaliating against Saudi merchant shipping and warships.

Mediterranean – Maritime Security Incidents

15 August 18: Three Killed as Smugglers Sought to Evade Coastguard off Sfax, Tunisia. A migrant smuggler, piloting a small boat with 19 illegal migrants, attempted to repel the Tunisian Coastguard using petrol bombs. He mishandled the devices resulting in the deaths of himself and at least two other migrants before the coastguard succeeded in rescuing the remaining passengers. 15 August 18: Italian Coastguard Vessel denied access to Italian Ports. An Italian coastguard vessel carrying 177 rescued migrants was denied access to Italian ports. The vessel was eventually granted access on 20 August, however the migrants were not permitted to disembark. Matteo Salvini, the Interior minister has indicated that the migrants must be resettled in other EU countries or returned to their country of origin, likely Libya.

Gulf of Guinea – Maritime Security Incidents

21 August 18: UPDATE Vessel and 17 Crew Confirmed Missing off Gabon. A 7000 tonne, dual-purpose tanker was confirmed missing off Gabon, with at least 17 crew aboard. The missing vessel, Panelena, vanished from AIS on 14 August, and a potential distress signal was detected by other shipping in the area. The nature of the vessel’s disappearance is broadly inline with that expected following a pirate attack. 21 August 18: Theft From Vessel in Onne Anchorage, Nigeria. A merchant vessel at 04°40”N, 007°09”E was boarded by four armed men who stole a number of oil cans before escaping. No effort was made to enter the ship.

South East Asia – Maritime Security Incidents

20 August 18: Impounded Vessels Sunk in Indonesia. 125 vessels impounded for participating in illegal, unreported and unregulated fishing were sunk by Indonesian authorities at 11 locations around the country. The vast majority of these vessels were foreign flagged, and the sinkings were only announced afterwards in an effort to minimise political repercussions. Further efforts to impose effective control of Indonesian waters are highly likely.
Click link to Download PDF: Solace Global Maritime Security Snapshot – Week 33 A roundup of maritime security incidents – an easy to read format collating suspicious approaches, vessel attacks, boardings, hijacks and media reports. The week 33 Maritime Security Snapshot was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

Solace Global – Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 33

Headlines From This Week

  • Ghazni Siege – A five-day siege of Ghazni, Afghanistan eased on 15 August as Afghan officials declared that they had regained control of the strategically important city. The Taliban siege left 165 Afghan police officers and soldiers and at least 40 civilians dead. The Ghazni assault has demonstrated Taliban tenacity and undermines talks that the government and its NATO allies are winning the war. US Secretary of Defence has stated that the Taliban had six targets in and around the Ghazni but failed to achieve any of them, without stating what these targets were.
  • Further Cracks in NATO Alliance – The Turkey-United States alliance has continued to show fractures. Washington and Ankara have traded tit-for-tat sanctions and tariffs, ostensibly regarding an American pastor detained in Turkey. The two countries have NATO’s largest militaries, but Turkey has recently shifted towards Russia, with the Russian Foreign Minister, Sergei Lavrov, offering support to Ankara. Turkey’s currency, the Lira, has lost about a third of its value over the past week, plunging to record lows against the dollar.
  • Genoa Bridge Collapse – At least 38 people have been killed, 15 have been injured, and another 20 could be missing after the Morandi Bridge in Genoa, Italy collapsed. The new populist government made up of the Five-Star Movement and the League have instituted a year-long state of emergency in the region. The government has shifted blame onto elites, notably the European Union and Atlantia, a major infrastructure group. This incident may have widespread implications for governance and business in Italy, as well as relations between the EU and Italy’s Eurosceptic government.
  • Kerala Flooding – The death toll in flooding in southern India’s Kerala state has reached at least 164 with 223,000 people left homeless. Flooding in Kerala has been described as the worst floods to have hit the state in a century; Kerala has experienced particularly severe rains since 08 August. For the first time in its history, the state has opened 35 of its 39 dams and red alerts have been issued in all 14 districts of the state. Apart from fatalities, flooding has caused widespread travel disruption, with Cochin International Airport expected to be closed until 26 August. 
  • Potential Terror Incident in London – A British citizen of Sudanese origin was arrested on suspicion of attempted murder and terror offences after crashing a car outside the Houses of Parliament just before 07:40 local time on 14 August. Three people were injured in the apparently deliberate attack. This attack is reminiscent of a similar lone-wolf, car-ramming attack in March 2017 when a Jihadist terrorist killed five people on Westminster Bridge and outside the Palace of Westminster.

 What To Look Out For Next Week

  • 18th Asian Games – The 18th incarnation of the Asian Games is set to begin on 18 August and run until 02 September. With 45 nations competing in 465 events in 40 different sports, it has been dubbed the largest multisport event after the Olympics. Jakarta and Palembang in Indonesia play host to the 2018 event. Travel to Indonesia can be challenging and should be planned carefully; significant terror attacks have occurred in Jakarta in the past few years while suicide bombings targeted churches in Surabaya in May 2018. Please see our recent Event Advisory on the Asian Games for more information.
  • The Hajj Pilgrimage – The 2018 Hajj Pilgrimage is set to take place between 19 and 24 August. The event is a major Islamic festival, where millions of Muslims travel in pilgrimage to the city of Mecca in Saudi Arabia. In the past, overcrowding and infrastructural disasters have led to hundreds of deaths at the site in Mecca. The Hajj corresponds with Eid ul-Adha, one of two main Eid events in the Islamic calendar, which runs between 21 and 25 August. Significant disruption can be expected across the Islamic world during these dates as many Muslim-majority countries experience significant public holidays.
  • Sri Lankan Railway Workers Threaten Strike – Sri Lanka’s Railway Technical Services Trade Union Committee and the Locomotive Engine Operators’ Union have threatened to go on an indefinite strike from 21 August. Workers are demanding wage increases and better working conditions. Similar strikes in the past have led to heavy disruption to railway services, with thousands of travellers affected. It is unclear if union workers also plan to protest in line with this strike.
  • Imran Khan to Be Inaugurated as Prime Minister – Imran Khan, the former cricket player, will be sworn in as Pakistan’s new Prime Minister on 18 August. The event is scheduled to occur at the President House in Islamabad. Heightened security measures and traffic disruption should be expected in the city due to planned road closures and security checkpoints along the city’s main thoroughfares. The validity and transparency of the 25 July election continues to be called into question. Spontaneous protests by opposition groups should be avoided due to the potential for violence or targeting by terror groups.
  • Notting Hill Carnival – Preparations will be in full swing next week for the annual Notting Hill Carnival in London, United Kingdom. The event is scheduled to take place between 25 and 27 August and is commonly associated with a celebration of London’s Caribbean community. It is known as the largest free festival in Europe and brings with it significant concerns over crime, security, and travel disruption.

 Significant Dates And Events

  • August Haiti – Anti-government protests planned throughout August
  • 18 August Denmark – Copenhagen Pride parade
  • 18 August – Panama – Drinking water supplies to Panama City to be cut
  • 18 August – United States – Right-wing rally planned in Seattle
  • 18 August – South Korea – Rally against sexual assault to be held in Seoul
  • 18 August – South Korea – Trade Union to rally in Seoul
  • 18 August – Germany – Far-right march in Cologne
  • 18 August – Finland – Political protests to take place in Turku
  • 18 August – Nicaragua – Opposition march planned in Managua
  • 18 to 19 and 25 to 26 August – Spain – Finnair cabin crew based out of Barcelona-El Prat Airport to strike
  • 18 to 19, 25 to 27 August, and 01 to 02 September – United Kingdom – London Euston train station to close for engineering work
  • 19 August – Afghanistan – Independence Day
  • 19 August – Costa Rica – Farmers set to protest in San Jose
  • 19 to 21 August – Tunisia – Maritime Workers to strike
  • 20 August – Argentina – St Martin’s Day
  • 20 August – Estonia – Independence Restoration Day
  • 20 August – Hungary – State Foundation Day
  • 20 August – Morocco – King’s and People’s Revolution Day
  • 20 to 25 August – Egypt/Gaza – Rafah border cross to close
  • 21 August Chile – Nurses to strike nationwide
  • 21 August – Jordan/West Bank – King Hussein/Allenby Bridge border crossing to close for Eid ul-Adha
  • 21 August – Morocco – King Mohammed’s Birthday/Youth Day
  • 21 August – Philippines – Ninoy Aquino Day
  • 23 to 25 August – United Kingdom – Liverpool John Lennon Airport workers to strike
  • 24 August – Liberia – National Flag Day
  • 24 August – Ukraine – Independence Day
  • 24 to 26 August – Belgium – Formula One weekend in Spa
  • 25 August South Korea – Pro-choice rally to be held in Seoul
  • 25 August – Spain – Police officers to rally in Santiago de Compostela
  • 25 August – United Kingdom – Southampton LGBT Pride parade
  • 26 August Moldova – Opposition Protests in Chisinau
  • 27 August to 09 September – United States – US Open Tennis Competition

Click the following link to download this report as a PDF: Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 33 The Weekly Risk Roundup highlights significant events from the last week and what to look out for next week. Week 33 Weekly Risk Roundup was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

Week 32 – Maritime Security Snapshot

Indian Ocean HRA – Maritime Security Incidents

12 August 18 Mogadishu Port to Operate 24 Hours a Day. In an effort to compete with other ports in the region, authorities in Somalia announced that Mogadishu Port would now be open around the clock for operations. The move is seen as a response to warming Ethiopia-Eritrea ties which may give Ethiopia greater access to Eritrea’s Red Sea ports. 04 August 18: Saudi Arabia to Resume Oil Shipments through Bab el-Mandeb. In a statement, the Saudi state-owned oil company, Aramco, reported that it would resume oil shipments through the Bab el-Mandeb strait after announcing the suspension of such operations on 25 July. The initial suspension came on the back of Yemeni rebel attacks on two of its vessels.

Gulf of Guinea – Maritime Security Incidents

14 August 18: Vessel Loses Communication off Libreville Port. A company CSO announced that they had lost all communication with an MV in the vicinity of Libreville Anchorage. 06 August 18: Vessel at Apapa Port Boarded. The duty OS on a berthed container ship at Apapa Port, Lagos, was assaulted when he intervened on spotting that a robber had boarded the vessel.

Asia – Maritime Security Incidents

10 August 18: Tug Boarded off Tambisan Island. Several individuals in a speedboat boarded a tug towing a barge underway off Tambisan Island, Sabah. The crew locked all access to the tug and contacted local authorities which dispatched a security vessel. Due to tug hardening, access to accommodation was impossible. Attackers escaped when noticing the approaching security vessel. 10 August 18: Vessel Boarded off the Coast of Sagar Light, India. 10 to 12 robbers came alongside an anchored vessel off the coast of Sagar Light. Two robbers boarded the vessel and escaped after crew noticed their presence. 05 August 18: Attempted Kidnapping off the Coast of Sabah. Armed individuals in a boat approached a group of fishermen off the coast of Felda Sahabat, Sabah. On noticing this, a Malaysian Marine police vessel chased the armed individuals leading to a firefight in which four of the armed individuals were killed. Malaysian authorities stated that fishermen were a target for kidnapping by the armed group. 02 August 18: Vessel Boarded off Kutubdia Anchorage, Bangladesh. Robbers boarded an anchored tanker using a rope with a hook. They managed to steal stores and property before escaping. 02 August 18: Boarding at Tanjung Priok Anchorage, Jakarta. Unnoticed, Robbers boarded a vessel at Tanjung Priok Anchorage, stealing ship engine parts before escaping.

Rest of the World – Maritime Security Incidents

12 August 18: Caspian Sea Agreement. The leaders of Azerbaijan, Iran, Kazakhstan, Russia, and Turkmenistan signed a convention on the legal status of the Caspian Sea during a summit in Kazakhstan. The convention means a 22-km stretch of water from each country’s shore will be considered sovereign territorial waters. 12 August 18: Vessel Boarded at Santos Anchorage. An anchored vessel was boarded by around four robbers. Crew noticed their presence and raised the alarm. Robbers escaped without stealing anything. 09 August 18: Strikes Disrupt Operations at Lebanon Ports. Striking transport workers disrupted operations at ports across Lebanon in protests of unfair competition and high fuel prices. This is the third recent protest by transportation unions which look set to continue. 05 August 18: Theft from Vessel at Macapa Anchorage, Brazil. Robbers boarded an anchored bulk carrier at Macapa Anchorage, escaping unnoticed with ship stores.
Click the link to Download PDF: Solace Global Maritime Security Snapshot – Week 32 A roundup of maritime security incidents – an easy to read format collating suspicious approaches, vessel attacks, boardings, hijacks and media reports. The week 32 Maritime Security Snapshot was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

Solace Global – Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 32

Headlines From This Week

  • Venezuela Drone Attack – An alleged assassination attempt was launched against Venezuela’s President Maduro on 04 August, through the use of explosive-laden drones whilst he reviewed a military parade. The president remained unhurt during the attack, although seven troops suffered injuries. Emergency personnel who responded to the incident initially indicated that it may have been caused by a domestic gas explosion, rather than an attack. Maduro has since announced a sweeping crackdown on opposition due to the alleged attack, placing blame on “traitors” supported by the USA and Colombia.
  • Security Forces Besieged the Nigerian National Assembly – Members of the Nigerian State Security Service laid siege to the Nigerian legislature on 07 August. Initially, all personnel were denied access, however, elected members were eventually allowed to enter the building whilst support staff, journalists, and other personnel continued to be obstructed. Contradictory narratives concerning the siege have emerged, however, the common theme appears to be that the security services were deployed by the executive branch seeking to exert pressure upon a non-compliant national assembly. Further unrest remains a realistic possibility, and protests in Nigeria frequently result in violence.
  • Gaza Clashes and Rumours of a Truce – Israeli forces exchanged fire with Hamas militants in the Gaza strip on 08 and 09 August in the most violent period since the end of the 2014 war. The exchange of rockets and airstrikes ended at 0001hr 10 August, in what appears to be a truce brokered through Egypt. Additional reporting suggests that some measures to ease the travel and trade restrictions around Gaza may also be implemented as part of this ceasefire.
  • Lombok Earthquakes – The Indonesian island of Lombok was hit by at least seven significant earthquakes over the past week, with a 6.9 magnitude quake on 05 August being followed by a series of aftershocks, the most recent and powerful of which measured at a magnitude between 5.9 and 6.2. This series of tremors has let to extensive damage across the island and a confirmed death toll of at least 350 people. This is expected to rise significantly as destroyed buildings are cleared. Travellers in the vicinity of Lombok should expect disruption to all services whilst rescue, recovery, and repair efforts are ongoing. 
  • Autonomy for Mindanao – The Philippine’s second largest island has been granted significantly increased autonomy as part of a wide-ranging reform with the potential to significantly reduce violence in the region. In exchange for this concession from the government, a number of militant groups have declared their intent to surrender their weapons. There remains a possibility that splinter cells of these groups may launch further attacks in the coming months in an effort to regain relevance in this new status quo.

 What To Look Out For Next Week

  • Italian Air Traffic Control Strike – Management personnel at the Italian Air Traffic Control (ATC) organisation intend to strike on 15 This is likely to result in delays and diversions to flights into and out of Italy. Considering that this strike has been timed to coincide with the peak of the tourist season, significant knock-on effects can be expected at international airports across Europe. Travellers are advised to remain in contact with their travel provider to assess the impact of the strike on their itineraries.
  • Malian Presidential Runoff – The second round of the Malian presidential election is scheduled to be held on 12 August. Ibrahim Keita and Soumaila Cisse, for Rally for Mali and Union for the Republic and Democracy respectively, are to contest the second round. Keita gained over 41 per cent of the first round, to Cisse’s 17 per cent, making a Keita victory the most likely outcome. The first round was marred by significant violence across the country, including numerous instances of unrest, and an ambush conducted against a convoy containing electoral material in Segou, which resulted in 12 dead. Further violence is highly likely.
  • Unite the Right Rally in Washington DC – A rally by a coalition of right-wing groups is due to be held in the US capital on 12 August. It is anticipated to include white nationalists and avowed members of the Ku Klux Klan, in addition to a broader selection of mainstream conservative groups. Counter protests are highly likely. Previous “Unite the Right” rallies have been marked by significant violence, including a ramming attack in which one counter-protester was killed. Travellers in Washington DC are advised to avoid the route of the rally and maintain a heightened level of awareness. An overt security presence around the rally is likely.
  • Tropical Storm Yagi to Strike Okinawa – Tropical Storm Yagi is on course to strike Okinawa and the surrounding islands throughout the next week. Meteorologists assess that it is likely to develop into a full typhoon by the time it makes landfall. Travellers should expect widespread disruption to all travel in the region surrounding Okinawa, with high winds and flooding likely to cause damage to structures and other assets. 
  • Pakistani Independence Day – Pakistan celebrates its Independence Day on 14 August. This date is also intended to mark the completion of the handover of power from the present caretaker government to the PTI party, headed by Imran Khan. Controversy surrounds the recent election, primarily centred in voter fraud and intimidation in support of the PTI. Combined with heightened political sensitivities typical on Independence Day, this may act as a trigger for significant civil unrest. Fatal riots and terror attacks have already marred the election season. All reasonable efforts should be made to avoid contact with rallies or political events.

Significant Dates And Events

  • 11 August – JapanMountain Day
  • 11 August – Tunisia – Rallies against social reforms in Tunis
  • 11 August – Czech Republic – Prague Pride parade
  • 11 August – Chad – Independence Day
  • 11 August – Iceland – Reykjavik Pride parade
  • 11 August – Venezuela – Opposition protests anticipated in Caracas
  • 11 August – Australia – Pro-Palestinian rally to be held in Sydney
  • 11 August – South Korea – Anti-refugee rally planned in Seoul
  • 11 August – Mexico – Pride parade to be held in Toluca
  • 12 August – Dominican Republic – Opposition protests planned in Santo Domingo
  • 13 August – Central African Republic – Independence Day
  • 13 August Canada – Saudi state airline to terminate flights to Toronto
  • 13 August – Zimbabwe – Heroes’ Day
  • 13 August Thailand – King’s birthday
  • 13 August Gabon – Dynamic Unitaire to hold an anti-austerity rally in Libreville
  • 13 August Argentina – Pro-choice rally in Buenos Aires
  • 13-14 August Grenada – Carnival
  • 15 August Paraguay – Anti-electoral fraud rally to be held in Asuncion
  • 15 August Nicaragua – Opposition groups to rally in Managua
  • 14 August Haiti – Nationwide anti-government protests planned
  • 15 August Brazil – Pro-Lula (the ex-President) rallies to be held in Brasilia
  • 17 August Armenia – Prime Minister Pashinyan to hold a rally in Yerevan
  • 17 August Haiti – Nationwide anti-government protests planned
  • 18 August Denmark – Copenhagen Pride parade
  • 19 August – Afghanistan – Independence Day
  • 1924 August – Saudi Arabia – Hajj pilgrimage
  • 21 August Chile – Nationwide nurses strike
  • 25 August South Korea – Pro-choice rally to be held in Seoul
  • 26 August Moldova – Opposition Protests in Chisinau
Click the following link to download this report as a PDF: Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 32 The Weekly Risk Roundup highlights significant events from the last week and what to look out for next week. Week 32 Weekly Risk Roundup was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

Week 31 – Maritime Security Weekly Snapshot

Indian Ocean HRA – Maritime Security Incidents

01 August 18 Iranian Navy Exercises in Straits of Hormuz. The Iranian Navy and maritime elements of the Iranian Revolutionary Guards Corps conducted a mass exercise aimed at demonstrating their capability to seal the Straits of Hormuz against international shipping. The likelihood of them conducting such an attack unprovoked remains low, however regional tensions remain high. 02 August 18: Mass Casualties in Al Hudaydah Airstrike. At least 60 civilians were killed by a coalition airstrike against Houthi-held areas of the port. There is a realistic possibility that the Houthi will seek to target Saudi or coalition vessels in response for the attack.

Mediterranean – Maritime Security Incidents

August 18: Korean and Philippine Warships Deployed to the Libyan Coast. Both the Philippine and South Korean navies have directed warships to the Libyan coast following the kidnap of nationals from both counties from an infrastructure project in the south of the country. It is possible they will seek to conduct rescue operations. August 18: Korean and Philippine Warships Deployed to the Libyan Coast. Both the Philippine and South Korean navies have directed warships to the Libyan coast following the kidnap of nationals from both counties from an infrastructure project in the south of the country. It is possible they will seek to conduct rescue operations.

Gulf of Guinea – Maritime Security Incidents

01 August 18: NNRC Report Extent of Crude Theft in Nigeria. The Nigerian National Resource Charter issued a report highlighting that crude thefts from the Delta region exceeded the value of the state’s combined health and education budgets. Whilst the data used to support the conclusions is not completed up to date, the report demonstrates the industrial scale of criminal activity against extractive industries in the region.

South East Asia – Maritime Security Incidents

26 July 18: Attempted Boarding in Bantangas Anchorage. A lone individual aboard a small boat attempted to board a bulk carrier at 13°44’N 121°02’E using a hook and rope. Crew members raised the alarm and the attacker fled 02 August 18: Abu Sayyaf Insurgents Surrender in Sulu. Up to 11 members of the Abu Sayyaf group surrendered to security forces in the Sulu Sea area of the Philippines. The group previously relied on kidnapping of seafarers to fund its operations. 04 August 18: Additional US Security Funding Announced. US Secretary of State, Mike Pompeo, announced an additional $300 million of funding towards maritime security cooperation and humanitarian support between ASEAN states.
Click link to Download PDF: Solace Global Maritime Security Snapshot – Week 31 A roundup of maritime security incidents – an easy to read format collating suspicious approaches, vessel attacks, boardings, hijacks and media reports. The week 31 Maritime Security Snapshot was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.