Solace Global – Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 35

Headlines From This Week

Widespread Far-Right Protests, Germany – Germany experienced widespread neo-Nazi protests between 29 and 31 August, focussed predominantly on regional capitals. The majority of these rallies were matched by anti-fascist or left-wing counter-protests, and a heavy police presence. Despite police efforts, violence was reported at a number of sites. Travellers are advised to avoid any large crowds or political events due to the risk of violence.
Mnangagwa inauguration in Zimbabwe – President Mnangagwa, the recently elected successor to Zimbabwe’s long-term President, Robert Mugabe, was inaugurated in Harare on 26 August. The event was peaceful, with the opposition subdued after the defeat of their legal challenge against Mnangagwa’s election.

Ethnic violence in Ethiopia’s Oromia – Estimates suggest that up to 13 Somalis may have been killed in two ethnically motivated attacks in Ethiopia’s Oromia region. The Ethiopian government strictly controls the country’s media, so reporting has been limited. It appears that members of a semi-official Ormoro militia were responsible for the killings. There is no indication that any specific event triggered the killing, suggesting this violence remains part of the wider trend of ethnic violence in the country.

West Bengal Unrest – India’s West Bengal has been shaken by widespread and violent civil unrest as the Supreme Court invalidated a series of local election results. At least 10 people have been killed in the clashes, primarily as a result of violence between competing political groups; however, one child was shot and killed in an apparent assassination attempt against his mother, a local councillor.

Dam Breached in Bago – A major dam in the Bago area of Myanmar failed on 29 August, following an extremely high level of rainfall. The resultant flooding has led to at least 12,600 people being evacuated into emergency camps, with up to 14,000 homes impacted to some degree. Major damage to roads and bridges downstream of the dam has also been reported. Travel in the region is likely to be impeded for a protracted period.

Brazilian troops deployed to Venezuelan border – The Brazilian government deployed troops to the Venezuelan border in order to support local law enforcement faced by a flood of refugees from the beleaguered nation. The flood of migrants has drastically changed the demographics of Brazil’s border areas, leading to a rise in civil unrest as the local population rally against the significant burden on their public services. There has been no indication that Brazil is seeking to close the border.

What To Look Out For Next Week

Italian Rail Strike – Staff for Italy’s Italo NTV highspeed rail network are due to conduct strike action on 07 September. Italian law requires a basic level of service to be maintained through all strikes, however widespread disruption is expected across the network. Italo NTV operates on a limited network which connects major cities. Long distance, rather than local travel will face the most extensive disruption.

World Nomad Games in Kyrgyzstan – The World Nomad Games is due to be held in the Issyk-Kul region of Kyrgyzstan between 02 and 08 September. The games attract crowds significantly greater than the region’s normal population and therefore are likely to place a significant additional burden on travel infrastructure. Delays to travel and routine business operations are therefore likely. The games are also likely to attract a heightened security presence.

Super Typhoon Jebi –Typhoon Jebi, is on course to strike Japan over 04 and 05 September. Whilst presently rated as a typhoon, forecasters asses that it will likely become a super typhoon, with wind speeds over 175mph, by the time it makes landfall. The impact is likely to be significant; Japan has already been struck by several storms this season, existing damage to infrastructure and residential areas are likely to make Jebi’s impact all the more damaging.

Opposition Rallies in Madagascar – Madagascan opposition group, the Initiative for the Emergence of Madagascar (IEM), has planned to hold a rally in Antananarivo’s Mahamasina Sports Palace. Andry Rajoelina is intended to be the main speaker and is likely to use the rally to boost support for his presidential bid. Madagascar has experienced significant civil and political disturbances since a coup in 2009. It, therefore, remains possible that any major political rally may develop into violence, or have wider political ramifications.

Russian Pension Reform Protests – Vladimir Putin, Russia’s longtime President, announced his support for sweeping pension reforms at the end of August. The reforms include raising the male pension age to 65, and 60 for females; as a result, a significant proportion of the population will not live long enough to collect them. In response, protests have been planned across Russia’s major cities, starting from 02 September, and are highly likely to attract support from across the full political spectrum, including those typically supportive of the President. Major opposition protests are often heavy-handedly suppressed, however, the broad base of support for these rallies may limit the government’s options. Travellers to major Russian cities are strongly advised to maintain a high level of situational awareness and seek to avoid the vicinity of any rallies or protests.

Significant Dates and Events

01-03 September – Madagascar – Local transport strikes in Antananarivo
01 September – Bangladesh – BNP political rally to be held in Dhaka
01 September – Slovakia – Constitution Day
01 SSeptember– Uzbekistan – Independence day
01 September – Croatia – Major motorbike rally in Pula
01 September – Mauritania – First round of legislative elections
01 September – Mali – Opposition march in Bamako
01 September – India – State-wide protests planned in Punjab
02 September – Russia – Anti-pension reform rally
02-03 September – Hindu regions – Krishna Janmashtami
02-04 September – Tunisia – Maritime personnel to strike nationwide
03 September – Bermuda – Labour day rally in Hamilton
03 September- Canada & USA – Labour day
03 September – Vietnam – National day
05 September – Cocos Islands – Sporting event to cause disruptions on West Island
06 September – Tunisia – Rail workers to conduct nationwide strikes
06 September – Bulgaria – Unification day
06 September – Swaziland – Somhlolo day
07 Sptember – Brazil – Independence day
07 September – Fiji – Constitution day
07 September – Mozambique – Victory day
08 September – France – Pro-environmental rallies in Paris and Lyon
08-12 September – Spain – Airport Security personnel to strike
09 September – India – Akali Dal group to rally in Abohar
09 September – Russia – Nationwide rallies against pension reform
09 September – Dominican Republic – Anti-abortion rally in Santo Domingo
09 September – St Lucia – Anti-government march planned in Castries
10-11 September – Italy – Airport staff to conduct nationwide strike
13 September – Austria – Pro-refugee rally to be held in Vienna

Click the following link to download this report as a PDF: Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 35 The Weekly Risk Roundup highlights significant events from the last week and what to look out for next week. Week 35 Weekly Risk Roundup was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

Week 34 – Maritime Security Weekly Snapshot

Indian Ocean HRA – Maritime Security Incidents

24 August 18: Indian Government Established Anti Piracy Group. The Indian government announced the formation of an inter-agency working group to develop contingency plans in case of the hijack of Indian-crewed vessels. The group also re-issued additional anti-piracy guidance in line with international best practice. 22 August 18: Pakistani Navy Withdrew from CTF 150 and 151. The Pakistani navy withdrew its commitment to provide vessels to Combined Task Force 150 an 151, responsible for policing the Indian Ocean High Risk Area. The vessels are to be reassigned to patrol and secure an area up to 600nm from the Pakistani coast. This forms part of an effort to realign naval priorities with efforts to develop trade and security for Gwadar port.

Mediterranean – Maritime Security Incidents

26 August 18: Diciotti Migrants Permitted to Disembark in Catania, Italy. The Italian coastguard vessel Diciotti was permitted to disembark the 177 migrants it had rescued from the Mediterranean. The vessel had been obstructed by the Italian Government, despite having conducted the rescues in an official capacity. Despite the resolution of this incident, further stand-offs between rescue vessels and the Italian government are likely.

Gulf of Guinea – Maritime Security Incidents

24 August 18: UPDATE – Missing Vessel Safe in Lome, Togo. A merchant vessel, the Pantelena, has berthed in Lome, Togo, having been missing for ten days. All crew were reported safe, however details of the incident remain unclear. Public interviews with the crew’s home-nation media outlets suggested that they were held for up to 9 days by pirates.

South East Asia – Maritime Security Incidents

27 August 18: US – ASEAN Naval Drills, Singapore. Multi-lateral naval and marine drills involving personnel and assets from the USA and ASEAN nations began in Singapore. Heightened maritime traffic should be expected in the area, and vessels should maintain a enhanced watch. 27 August 18: Attempted Boarding, Muara Berau, Indonesia. Two robbers attempted to board a bulk carrier at 00°15’S 117°41’E. The crew mustered, forcing them to flee empty handed. 27 August 18: Attempted Boarding, Insular Oil, Indonesia. Four robbers attempted to board a tanker berthed at 03°06’S 125°39’E. They detected the robbers, mustered, and forced them to flee. 16 August 18: LATE REPORT Theft at Anchor, Chittagong, Bangladesh. Four robbers boarded a containership at 22°03’N 091°44’E. They escaped with a 70m mooring rope. The theft was noted during routine rounds.

Click link to Download PDF: Solace Global Maritime Security Snapshot – Week 34 A roundup of maritime security incidents – an easy to read format collating suspicious approaches, vessel attacks, boardings, hijacks and media reports. The week 34 Maritime Security Snapshot was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

Solace Global – Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 34

Headlines From This Week

President Trump in Trouble – President Trump experienced two significant blows to his leadership this week thanks to two court cases. Trump’s former-lawyer/fixer Michael Cohen pleaded guilty to bank fraud, tax fraud and campaign finance violations. He admitted to attempting to circumvent campaign finance laws, by hiding “hush money” payments and directly implicated Trump. Commentators have suggested that he may be seeking a plea agreement with the special prosecutor in the probe into Russian involvement in the 2016 elections. The President’s former-campaign chair Paul Manafort was found guilty of eight counts of financial crimes including tax fraud. Five Trump associates have now been found or pled guilty to crimes.

Venezuela Introduces New Currency – On 20 August, President Maduro’s government introduced a new currency which revalued and renamed the old bolivar currency, by effectively removing five zeroes. Inflation in Venezuela could reach one million per cent this year and the new currency is meant to control this by pegging its rate to a new cryptocurrency which is linked to the Venezuelan oil reserves. Economists are not confident that the new currency (alongside a host of other measures) will help to control inflation as it fails to address the root causes of price increases.

Political Drama in Australia – Scott Morrison is the new Australian Prime Minister after Malcolm Turnbull was ousted by party rivals in a leadership contest. This marks a shift to the right for the Australian government; Morrison is in the conservative wing of the ruling Liberal party, while Turnbull is closer to the political centre. Turnbull is the fourth Australian Prime Minister to be ousted by his own party. With the former-Prime Minister vowing to step down from Parliament after being ousted, the government’s one-seat majority is in serious jeopardy and there is an increased potential for an early election.

Crisis in Uganda – Uganda Member of Parliament and pop star Bobi Wine has been charged with treason by a civilian court shortly after being released by a military court on 23 August. His arrest, and those of other activists, has led to violent protests across the country, notably on 19 and 20 August in Mityana and Kampala. Moreover, police have sealed off the homes of a number of opposition politicians, and high-profile opposition figure Kizza Besigye was also arrested in the capital. Further unrest should be expected.

Constitutional Court Rules in Zimbabwe – Security levels in Zimbabwe’s capital were heightened as the Constitutional Court gave its ruling on a bid by opposition politicians to have 30 July presidential election results thrown out. In the end, the court sided with the President Mnangagwa in its ruling on 24 August. There is a high potential for unrest, potentially violent, over the next week.

What To Look Out For Next Week

Papal Visit to Ireland – Pope Francis will make a two-day visit to Ireland, arriving in Dublin at 1030 on 25 August. A series of events are planned for his visit including meetings with the Prime Minister and President, an event at St Mary’s Pro-Cathedral (1530hrs on 25 August), and an address at Croke Park (1930hrs on 25 August). The Pope will then spend the morning of 27 August in Knock, before attending a 1500hrs mass at Phoenix Park, Dublin. Security is expected to be tight with a series of road closures already in place. Activists have also announced plans to protest the visit, highlighting historical clerical abuse in Ireland.

Neo-Nazi Rally in Sweden – The neo-Nazi Nordic Resistance Movement (NMR) have been granted permission to march in Stockholm on 25 August. The march is set to begin in Kungsholmstorg with the predetermined route heading through Kungsholmen residential island. NMR permit allows between 30 and 30,000 protesters. A counter-protest will also take place, with an event starting at Norra Bantorget in the city centre. Although it is unclear how many attendees are expected at either event, Stockholm police have called in reinforcements from around the country; security is expected to be tight.

Malaysia Independence Day Celebrations – Malaysia celebrates its Independence Day on 31 August. Each year celebrations include an aerobatic performance by the country’s air force, usually in Kuala Lumpur, some 60km from the Kuala Lumpur International Airport. However, this year displays are set to occur in Putrajaya which is closer to the airport. Due to this, airspace around the airport will be closed from 0930hrs to 1030hrs from 27 to 31 August to allow the display to take place and for preparation. This is scheduled to impact a total of 498 flights. Delays and cancellations are expected and travellers should confirm their itineraries.

Legislative Elections in Mauritania – Legislative elections in the west African country of Mauritania are set to take place on 01 September in difficult circumstances. The opposition, despite boycotting previous votes, will take part in the 2018 elections. Tensions have mounted over a new electoral commission set up in April without members of the opposition. Unrest is expected and violence is likely.

US Open Tennis – The final tennis grand slam of the year, the US Open, is set to take place between 27 August and 09 September 2018. A series of titles will be up for grabs at the USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center in Flushing Meadows–Corona Park, Queens, New York City. Security is expected to be tight. Attendees are advised to arrive early, prepare to have their person and bags searched, and should adhere to the code of conduct for the event. For more information, see the US Open website – https://www.usopen.org/en_US/visit/prohibited_items.html.

Significant Dates and Events

August – Haiti – Anti-government protests planned throughout August
18 August to 02 September – Indonesia – 18^th Asian Games in Jakarta and Palembang
23 to 25 August – United Kingdom – Liverpool John Lennon Airport workers to strike
24 to 26 August – Belgium – Formula One weekend in Spa
25 August – South Korea – Pro-choice rally to be held in Seoul
25 August – Spain – Police officers to rally in Santiago de Compostela
25 August – United Kingdom – Southampton and Cardiff LGBT+ Pride parades
25 August – Paraguay – Constitution Day
25 August – Uruguay – Independence Day
25 August – Mali – Opposition rally planned in Bamako
25 to 27 August, and 01 to 02 September – United Kingdom – London Euston train station to close for engineering work
25 to 27 August – United Kingdom – Notting Hill Carnival
26 and 27 August – Moldova – Opposition Protests in Chisinau
26 August – Romania – Anti-government protests in Bucharest
27 August – Moldova – Independence Day
27 August – Guatemala – Taxi drivers in Guatemala City to stage protests
27 August – Philippines – National Heroes’ Day
28 August – Chile – Striking teachers to protest in Santiago
28 August – Costa Rica – Fishermen plan nationwide protests
28 August – Georgia/Macedonia – St Mary’s Day
28 August – Syria – Anti-Turkey march planned in Tell Abyad
29 August – Slovakia – National Uprising Day
29 August – Sri Lanka – Railway workers to strike
30 August – Kazakhstan – Constitution Day
30 August – Timor-Leste – Popular Constitution Day
30 August – Turkey – Victory Day
31 August – Kyrgyzstan – Independence Day
31 August – Trinidad and Tobago – Independence Day

Click the following link to download this report as a PDF: Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 34 The Weekly Risk Roundup highlights significant events from the last week and what to look out for next week. Week 34 Weekly Risk Roundup was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

Week 33 – Maritime Security Weekly Snapshot

Indian Ocean HRA – Maritime Security Incidents

August 18: Yemeni Government Issued Warning to Fishermen. The Yemeni government issued a warning to fishermen operating in their waters, advising them to avoid approaching coalition warships. The warning follows Houthi threats to conduct further attacks against shipping, making it likely that warships would resort to force more rapidly when confronted by suspicious small craft. 15-22 August 18: Offensive Operations Continued around Al Hudaydah. The Yemeni government and Saudi-led coalition continued to escalate offensive operations against Al Hudaydah, including a series of missile strikes which resulted in civilian casualties. Such attacks have previously resulted in the Houthi retaliating against Saudi merchant shipping and warships.

Mediterranean – Maritime Security Incidents

15 August 18: Three Killed as Smugglers Sought to Evade Coastguard off Sfax, Tunisia. A migrant smuggler, piloting a small boat with 19 illegal migrants, attempted to repel the Tunisian Coastguard using petrol bombs. He mishandled the devices resulting in the deaths of himself and at least two other migrants before the coastguard succeeded in rescuing the remaining passengers. 15 August 18: Italian Coastguard Vessel denied access to Italian Ports. An Italian coastguard vessel carrying 177 rescued migrants was denied access to Italian ports. The vessel was eventually granted access on 20 August, however the migrants were not permitted to disembark. Matteo Salvini, the Interior minister has indicated that the migrants must be resettled in other EU countries or returned to their country of origin, likely Libya.

Gulf of Guinea – Maritime Security Incidents

21 August 18: UPDATE Vessel and 17 Crew Confirmed Missing off Gabon. A 7000 tonne, dual-purpose tanker was confirmed missing off Gabon, with at least 17 crew aboard. The missing vessel, Panelena, vanished from AIS on 14 August, and a potential distress signal was detected by other shipping in the area. The nature of the vessel’s disappearance is broadly inline with that expected following a pirate attack. 21 August 18: Theft From Vessel in Onne Anchorage, Nigeria. A merchant vessel at 04°40”N, 007°09”E was boarded by four armed men who stole a number of oil cans before escaping. No effort was made to enter the ship.

South East Asia – Maritime Security Incidents

20 August 18: Impounded Vessels Sunk in Indonesia. 125 vessels impounded for participating in illegal, unreported and unregulated fishing were sunk by Indonesian authorities at 11 locations around the country. The vast majority of these vessels were foreign flagged, and the sinkings were only announced afterwards in an effort to minimise political repercussions. Further efforts to impose effective control of Indonesian waters are highly likely.

Click link to Download PDF: Solace Global Maritime Security Snapshot – Week 33 A roundup of maritime security incidents – an easy to read format collating suspicious approaches, vessel attacks, boardings, hijacks and media reports. The week 33 Maritime Security Snapshot was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

Solace Global – Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 33

Headlines From This Week

Ghazni Siege – A five-day siege of Ghazni, Afghanistan eased on 15 August as Afghan officials declared that they had regained control of the strategically important city. The Taliban siege left 165 Afghan police officers and soldiers and at least 40 civilians dead. The Ghazni assault has demonstrated Taliban tenacity and undermines talks that the government and its NATO allies are winning the war. US Secretary of Defence has stated that the Taliban had six targets in and around the Ghazni but failed to achieve any of them, without stating what these targets were.

Further Cracks in NATO Alliance – The Turkey-United States alliance has continued to show fractures. Washington and Ankara have traded tit-for-tat sanctions and tariffs, ostensibly regarding an American pastor detained in Turkey. The two countries have NATO’s largest militaries, but Turkey has recently shifted towards Russia, with the Russian Foreign Minister, Sergei Lavrov, offering support to Ankara. Turkey’s currency, the Lira, has lost about a third of its value over the past week, plunging to record lows against the dollar.

Genoa Bridge Collapse – At least 38 people have been killed, 15 have been injured, and another 20 could be missing after the Morandi Bridge in Genoa, Italy collapsed. The new populist government made up of the Five-Star Movement and the League have instituted a year-long state of emergency in the region. The government has shifted blame onto elites, notably the European Union and Atlantia, a major infrastructure group. This incident may have widespread implications for governance and business in Italy, as well as relations between the EU and Italy’s Eurosceptic government.

Kerala Flooding – The death toll in flooding in southern India’s Kerala state has reached at least 164 with 223,000 people left homeless. Flooding in Kerala has been described as the worst floods to have hit the state in a century; Kerala has experienced particularly severe rains since 08 August. For the first time in its history, the state has opened 35 of its 39 dams and red alerts have been issued in all 14 districts of the state. Apart from fatalities, flooding has caused widespread travel disruption, with Cochin International Airport expected to be closed until 26 August.

Potential Terror Incident in London – A British citizen of Sudanese origin was arrested on suspicion of attempted murder and terror offences after crashing a car outside the Houses of Parliament just before 07:40 local time on 14 August. Three people were injured in the apparently deliberate attack. This attack is reminiscent of a similar lone-wolf, car-ramming attack in March 2017 when a Jihadist terrorist killed five people on Westminster Bridge and outside the Palace of Westminster.

What To Look Out For Next Week

18^th Asian Games – The 18^th incarnation of the Asian Games is set to begin on 18 August and run until 02 September. With 45 nations competing in 465 events in 40 different sports, it has been dubbed the largest multisport event after the Olympics. Jakarta and Palembang in Indonesia play host to the 2018 event. Travel to Indonesia can be challenging and should be planned carefully; significant terror attacks have occurred in Jakarta in the past few years while suicide bombings targeted churches in Surabaya in May 2018. Please see our recent Event Advisory on the Asian Games for more information.

The Hajj Pilgrimage – The 2018 Hajj Pilgrimage is set to take place between 19 and 24 August. The event is a major Islamic festival, where millions of Muslims travel in pilgrimage to the city of Mecca in Saudi Arabia. In the past, overcrowding and infrastructural disasters have led to hundreds of deaths at the site in Mecca. The Hajj corresponds with Eid ul-Adha, one of two main Eid events in the Islamic calendar, which runs between 21 and 25 August. Significant disruption can be expected across the Islamic world during these dates as many Muslim-majority countries experience significant public holidays.

Sri Lankan Railway Workers Threaten Strike – Sri Lanka’s Railway Technical Services Trade Union Committee and the Locomotive Engine Operators’ Union have threatened to go on an indefinite strike from 21 August. Workers are demanding wage increases and better working conditions. Similar strikes in the past have led to heavy disruption to railway services, with thousands of travellers affected. It is unclear if union workers also plan to protest in line with this strike.

Imran Khan to Be Inaugurated as Prime Minister – Imran Khan, the former cricket player, will be sworn in as Pakistan’s new Prime Minister on 18 August. The event is scheduled to occur at the President House in Islamabad. Heightened security measures and traffic disruption should be expected in the city due to planned road closures and security checkpoints along the city’s main thoroughfares. The validity and transparency of the 25 July election continues to be called into question. Spontaneous protests by opposition groups should be avoided due to the potential for violence or targeting by terror groups.

Notting Hill Carnival – Preparations will be in full swing next week for the annual Notting Hill Carnival in London, United Kingdom. The event is scheduled to take place between 25 and 27 August and is commonly associated with a celebration of London’s Caribbean community. It is known as the largest free festival in Europe and brings with it significant concerns over crime, security, and travel disruption.

Significant Dates And Events

August – Haiti – Anti-government protests planned throughout August
18 August – Denmark – Copenhagen Pride parade
18 August – Panama – Drinking water supplies to Panama City to be cut
18 August – United States – Right-wing rally planned in Seattle
18 August – South Korea – Rally against sexual assault to be held in Seoul
18 August – South Korea – Trade Union to rally in Seoul
18 August – Germany – Far-right march in Cologne
18 August – Finland – Political protests to take place in Turku
18 August – Nicaragua – Opposition march planned in Managua
18 to 19 and 25 to 26 August – Spain – Finnair cabin crew based out of Barcelona-El Prat Airport to strike
18 to 19, 25 to 27 August, and 01 to 02 September – United Kingdom – London Euston train station to close for engineering work
19 August – Afghanistan – Independence Day
19 August – Costa Rica – Farmers set to protest in San Jose
19 to 21 August – Tunisia – Maritime Workers to strike
20 August – Argentina – St Martin’s Day
20 August – Estonia – Independence Restoration Day
20 August – Hungary – State Foundation Day
20 August – Morocco – King’s and People’s Revolution Day
20 to 25 August – Egypt/Gaza – Rafah border cross to close
21 August – Chile – Nurses to strike nationwide
21 August – Jordan/West Bank – King Hussein/Allenby Bridge border crossing to close for Eid ul-Adha
21 August – Morocco – King Mohammed’s Birthday/Youth Day
21 August – Philippines – Ninoy Aquino Day
23 to 25 August – United Kingdom – Liverpool John Lennon Airport workers to strike
24 August – Liberia – National Flag Day
24 August – Ukraine – Independence Day
24 to 26 August – Belgium – Formula One weekend in Spa
25 August – South Korea – Pro-choice rally to be held in Seoul
25 August – Spain – Police officers to rally in Santiago de Compostela
25 August – United Kingdom – Southampton LGBT Pride parade
26 August – Moldova – Opposition Protests in Chisinau
27 August to 09 September – United States – US Open Tennis Competition

Click the following link to download this report as a PDF: Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 33 The Weekly Risk Roundup highlights significant events from the last week and what to look out for next week. Week 33 Weekly Risk Roundup was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

Week 32 – Maritime Security Snapshot

Indian Ocean HRA – Maritime Security Incidents

12 August 18 Mogadishu Port to Operate 24 Hours a Day. In an effort to compete with other ports in the region, authorities in Somalia announced that Mogadishu Port would now be open around the clock for operations. The move is seen as a response to warming Ethiopia-Eritrea ties which may give Ethiopia greater access to Eritrea’s Red Sea ports. 04 August 18: Saudi Arabia to Resume Oil Shipments through Bab el-Mandeb. In a statement, the Saudi state-owned oil company, Aramco, reported that it would resume oil shipments through the Bab el-Mandeb strait after announcing the suspension of such operations on 25 July. The initial suspension came on the back of Yemeni rebel attacks on two of its vessels.

Gulf of Guinea – Maritime Security Incidents

14 August 18: Vessel Loses Communication off Libreville Port. A company CSO announced that they had lost all communication with an MV in the vicinity of Libreville Anchorage. 06 August 18: Vessel at Apapa Port Boarded. The duty OS on a berthed container ship at Apapa Port, Lagos, was assaulted when he intervened on spotting that a robber had boarded the vessel.

Asia – Maritime Security Incidents

10 August 18: Tug Boarded off Tambisan Island. Several individuals in a speedboat boarded a tug towing a barge underway off Tambisan Island, Sabah. The crew locked all access to the tug and contacted local authorities which dispatched a security vessel. Due to tug hardening, access to accommodation was impossible. Attackers escaped when noticing the approaching security vessel. 10 August 18: Vessel Boarded off the Coast of Sagar Light, India. 10 to 12 robbers came alongside an anchored vessel off the coast of Sagar Light. Two robbers boarded the vessel and escaped after crew noticed their presence. 05 August 18: Attempted Kidnapping off the Coast of Sabah. Armed individuals in a boat approached a group of fishermen off the coast of Felda Sahabat, Sabah. On noticing this, a Malaysian Marine police vessel chased the armed individuals leading to a firefight in which four of the armed individuals were killed. Malaysian authorities stated that fishermen were a target for kidnapping by the armed group. 02 August 18: Vessel Boarded off Kutubdia Anchorage, Bangladesh. Robbers boarded an anchored tanker using a rope with a hook. They managed to steal stores and property before escaping. 02 August 18: Boarding at Tanjung Priok Anchorage, Jakarta. Unnoticed, Robbers boarded a vessel at Tanjung Priok Anchorage, stealing ship engine parts before escaping.

Rest of the World – Maritime Security Incidents

12 August 18: Caspian Sea Agreement. The leaders of Azerbaijan, Iran, Kazakhstan, Russia, and Turkmenistan signed a convention on the legal status of the Caspian Sea during a summit in Kazakhstan. The convention means a 22-km stretch of water from each country’s shore will be considered sovereign territorial waters. 12 August 18: Vessel Boarded at Santos Anchorage. An anchored vessel was boarded by around four robbers. Crew noticed their presence and raised the alarm. Robbers escaped without stealing anything. 09 August 18: Strikes Disrupt Operations at Lebanon Ports. Striking transport workers disrupted operations at ports across Lebanon in protests of unfair competition and high fuel prices. This is the third recent protest by transportation unions which look set to continue. 05 August 18: Theft from Vessel at Macapa Anchorage, Brazil. Robbers boarded an anchored bulk carrier at Macapa Anchorage, escaping unnoticed with ship stores.

Click the link to Download PDF: Solace Global Maritime Security Snapshot – Week 32 A roundup of maritime security incidents – an easy to read format collating suspicious approaches, vessel attacks, boardings, hijacks and media reports. The week 32 Maritime Security Snapshot was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

Solace Global – Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 32

Headlines From This Week

Venezuela Drone Attack – An alleged assassination attempt was launched against Venezuela’s President Maduro on 04 August, through the use of explosive-laden drones whilst he reviewed a military parade. The president remained unhurt during the attack, although seven troops suffered injuries. Emergency personnel who responded to the incident initially indicated that it may have been caused by a domestic gas explosion, rather than an attack. Maduro has since announced a sweeping crackdown on opposition due to the alleged attack, placing blame on “traitors” supported by the USA and Colombia.
Security Forces Besieged the Nigerian National Assembly – Members of the Nigerian State Security Service laid siege to the Nigerian legislature on 07 August. Initially, all personnel were denied access, however, elected members were eventually allowed to enter the building whilst support staff, journalists, and other personnel continued to be obstructed. Contradictory narratives concerning the siege have emerged, however, the common theme appears to be that the security services were deployed by the executive branch seeking to exert pressure upon a non-compliant national assembly. Further unrest remains a realistic possibility, and protests in Nigeria frequently result in violence.
Gaza Clashes and Rumours of a Truce – Israeli forces exchanged fire with Hamas militants in the Gaza strip on 08 and 09 August in the most violent period since the end of the 2014 war. The exchange of rockets and airstrikes ended at 0001hr 10 August, in what appears to be a truce brokered through Egypt. Additional reporting suggests that some measures to ease the travel and trade restrictions around Gaza may also be implemented as part of this ceasefire.

Lombok Earthquakes – The Indonesian island of Lombok was hit by at least seven significant earthquakes over the past week, with a 6.9 magnitude quake on 05 August being followed by a series of aftershocks, the most recent and powerful of which measured at a magnitude between 5.9 and 6.2. This series of tremors has let to extensive damage across the island and a confirmed death toll of at least 350 people. This is expected to rise significantly as destroyed buildings are cleared. Travellers in the vicinity of Lombok should expect disruption to all services whilst rescue, recovery, and repair efforts are ongoing.
Autonomy for Mindanao – The Philippine’s second largest island has been granted significantly increased autonomy as part of a wide-ranging reform with the potential to significantly reduce violence in the region. In exchange for this concession from the government, a number of militant groups have declared their intent to surrender their weapons. There remains a possibility that splinter cells of these groups may launch further attacks in the coming months in an effort to regain relevance in this new status quo.

What To Look Out For Next Week

Italian Air Traffic Control Strike – Management personnel at the Italian Air Traffic Control (ATC) organisation intend to strike on 15 This is likely to result in delays and diversions to flights into and out of Italy. Considering that this strike has been timed to coincide with the peak of the tourist season, significant knock-on effects can be expected at international airports across Europe. Travellers are advised to remain in contact with their travel provider to assess the impact of the strike on their itineraries.
Malian Presidential Runoff – The second round of the Malian presidential election is scheduled to be held on 12 August. Ibrahim Keita and Soumaila Cisse, for Rally for Mali and Union for the Republic and Democracy respectively, are to contest the second round. Keita gained over 41 per cent of the first round, to Cisse’s 17 per cent, making a Keita victory the most likely outcome. The first round was marred by significant violence across the country, including numerous instances of unrest, and an ambush conducted against a convoy containing electoral material in Segou, which resulted in 12 dead. Further violence is highly likely.

Unite the Right Rally in Washington DC – A rally by a coalition of right-wing groups is due to be held in the US capital on 12 August. It is anticipated to include white nationalists and avowed members of the Ku Klux Klan, in addition to a broader selection of mainstream conservative groups. Counter protests are highly likely. Previous “Unite the Right” rallies have been marked by significant violence, including a ramming attack in which one counter-protester was killed. Travellers in Washington DC are advised to avoid the route of the rally and maintain a heightened level of awareness. An overt security presence around the rally is likely.

Tropical Storm Yagi to Strike Okinawa – Tropical Storm Yagi is on course to strike Okinawa and the surrounding islands throughout the next week. Meteorologists assess that it is likely to develop into a full typhoon by the time it makes landfall. Travellers should expect widespread disruption to all travel in the region surrounding Okinawa, with high winds and flooding likely to cause damage to structures and other assets.
Pakistani Independence Day – Pakistan celebrates its Independence Day on 14 August. This date is also intended to mark the completion of the handover of power from the present caretaker government to the PTI party, headed by Imran Khan. Controversy surrounds the recent election, primarily centred in voter fraud and intimidation in support of the PTI. Combined with heightened political sensitivities typical on Independence Day, this may act as a trigger for significant civil unrest. Fatal riots and terror attacks have already marred the election season. All reasonable efforts should be made to avoid contact with rallies or political events.

Significant Dates And Events

11 August – Japan – Mountain Day
11 August – Tunisia – Rallies against social reforms in Tunis
11 August – Czech Republic – Prague Pride parade
11 August – Chad – Independence Day
11 August – Iceland – Reykjavik Pride parade
11 August – Venezuela – Opposition protests anticipated in Caracas
11 August – Australia – Pro-Palestinian rally to be held in Sydney
11 August – South Korea – Anti-refugee rally planned in Seoul
11 August – Mexico – Pride parade to be held in Toluca
12 August – Dominican Republic – Opposition protests planned in Santo Domingo
13 August – Central African Republic – Independence Day
13 August – Canada – Saudi state airline to terminate flights to Toronto
13 August – Zimbabwe – Heroes’ Day
13 August – Thailand – King’s birthday
13 August – Gabon – Dynamic Unitaire to hold an anti-austerity rally in Libreville
13 August – Argentina – Pro-choice rally in Buenos Aires
13-14 August – Grenada – Carnival
15 August – Paraguay – Anti-electoral fraud rally to be held in Asuncion
15 August – Nicaragua – Opposition groups to rally in Managua
14 August – Haiti – Nationwide anti-government protests planned
15 August – Brazil – Pro-Lula (the ex-President) rallies to be held in Brasilia
17 August – Armenia – Prime Minister Pashinyan to hold a rally in Yerevan
17 August – Haiti – Nationwide anti-government protests planned
18 August – Denmark – Copenhagen Pride parade
19 August – Afghanistan – Independence Day
19–24 August – Saudi Arabia – Hajj pilgrimage
21 August – Chile – Nationwide nurses strike
25 August – South Korea – Pro-choice rally to be held in Seoul
26 August – Moldova – Opposition Protests in Chisinau

Click the following link to download this report as a PDF: Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 32 The Weekly Risk Roundup highlights significant events from the last week and what to look out for next week. Week 32 Weekly Risk Roundup was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

Week 31 – Maritime Security Weekly Snapshot

Indian Ocean HRA – Maritime Security Incidents

01 August 18 Iranian Navy Exercises in Straits of Hormuz. The Iranian Navy and maritime elements of the Iranian Revolutionary Guards Corps conducted a mass exercise aimed at demonstrating their capability to seal the Straits of Hormuz against international shipping. The likelihood of them conducting such an attack unprovoked remains low, however regional tensions remain high. 02 August 18: Mass Casualties in Al Hudaydah Airstrike. At least 60 civilians were killed by a coalition airstrike against Houthi-held areas of the port. There is a realistic possibility that the Houthi will seek to target Saudi or coalition vessels in response for the attack.

Mediterranean – Maritime Security Incidents

August 18: Korean and Philippine Warships Deployed to the Libyan Coast. Both the Philippine and South Korean navies have directed warships to the Libyan coast following the kidnap of nationals from both counties from an infrastructure project in the south of the country. It is possible they will seek to conduct rescue operations. August 18: Korean and Philippine Warships Deployed to the Libyan Coast. Both the Philippine and South Korean navies have directed warships to the Libyan coast following the kidnap of nationals from both counties from an infrastructure project in the south of the country. It is possible they will seek to conduct rescue operations.

Gulf of Guinea – Maritime Security Incidents

01 August 18: NNRC Report Extent of Crude Theft in Nigeria. The Nigerian National Resource Charter issued a report highlighting that crude thefts from the Delta region exceeded the value of the state’s combined health and education budgets. Whilst the data used to support the conclusions is not completed up to date, the report demonstrates the industrial scale of criminal activity against extractive industries in the region.

South East Asia – Maritime Security Incidents

26 July 18: Attempted Boarding in Bantangas Anchorage. A lone individual aboard a small boat attempted to board a bulk carrier at 13°44’N 121°02’E using a hook and rope. Crew members raised the alarm and the attacker fled 02 August 18: Abu Sayyaf Insurgents Surrender in Sulu. Up to 11 members of the Abu Sayyaf group surrendered to security forces in the Sulu Sea area of the Philippines. The group previously relied on kidnapping of seafarers to fund its operations. 04 August 18: Additional US Security Funding Announced. US Secretary of State, Mike Pompeo, announced an additional $300 million of funding towards maritime security cooperation and humanitarian support between ASEAN states.

Click link to Download PDF: Solace Global Maritime Security Snapshot – Week 31 A roundup of maritime security incidents – an easy to read format collating suspicious approaches, vessel attacks, boardings, hijacks and media reports. The week 31 Maritime Security Snapshot was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

Solace Global – Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 31

Headlines From This Week

Zimbabwe Elections – Zimbabwe held its first election since the near-bloodless coup which deposed President Mugabe in November 2017. The governing party announced victory with a substantial majority, however this was immediately contested by opposition groups. Protesters took to the streets in Harare and were confronted by riot officers with teargas. The election of Mugabe’s replacement is unlikely to lead to significant divergence in national policies, the core of the new government contains numerous veterans of Mugabe’s administration.
Protests in Dhaka – The Bangladeshi capital was brought to a standstill on several days through the past week due to widespread student protests. The demonstrators actively sought to obstruct road traffic and check drivers’ licences, insurance, and vehicle roadworthiness. The protests were triggered by a fatal road traffic collision, where a bus ploughed through a group of students, killing two. Riot officers clashed with the students, with teargas and non-lethal ammunition used in their efforts to disperse crowds.
Protests in Katanga – A key opposition leader, Moise Katumbi, the former governor of the Democratic Republic of Congo’s Katanga province, has announced his return to the country and contest the presidential election due in late 2018. He fled the country and was handed a three year sentence in 2016 in absentia for hiring armed militias, and a series of corruption offences during his time as governor. Extensive protests occurred in Katanga’s regional capital, Lubumbashi, between supporters and opponents of his return, fuelled by the prospect of his arbitrary arrest upon landing.
Tajikistan Ramming Attack – The Islamic State (IS) claimed responsibility for the killing of four cyclists in a vehicle and knife attack in Tajikistan’s Khatlon province. The group of seven cyclists was struck by a vehicle, before at least five men disembarked the vehicle and stabbed the fallen riders. Four of the five suspects were later shot and killed during an exchange with Tajik police. The attackers had produced a video swearing their allegiance to IS prior to the attack, and all were Tajik citizens not known to have fought with IS abroad.
California Wildfires – Wildfires continued to spread across significant areas of California, with the most significant occurring in Shasta County, and on the edge of the Yosemite National Park. Reported casualties have remained relatively low, with firefighters from multiple states battling to contain the fires whilst adjacent populated areas are evacuated. These evacuations and associated road closures have caused disruption to local travel, however the majority of the state remains broadly unaffected.

What To Look Out For Next Week

Anti-Discrimination Rally in Washington DC – A selection of anti-fascist groups have planned multiple rallies in Washington DC between 10 and 12 August 2018. The groups wish to address a wide array of grievances with the US federal government, most notably what they see as the normalisation of white nationalism throughout the branches of government under President Trump’s administration. Travellers should expect widespread disruption. Previous anti-fascist protests have been met with right-wing counter protests, and resulted in significant violence.
Colombian Presidential Inauguration & Bogota Carnival – Colombia’s capital, Bogota, is likely to experience extensive disruption over the following week. The Bogota Carnival, celebrating the anniversary of the city’s foundation, is due to be held on 05 and 06 August, to be followed immediately by the inauguration of President Iván Duque Márquez. Both events are likely to cause widespread travel disruption, with road closures and a reduction in business opening hours likely.
Kazakh Opposition Protests – The banned Democratic Choice for Kazakhstan group has called for nationwide protests on 06 July to coincide with President Nazarbayev’s birthday. Political opposition in Kazakhstan is heavily suppressed, and it is highly likely that protests will be forcefully dispersed if they take place. Previous rallies by the group in June 2018 resulted in mass arrests. The most likely locations for rallies are at Astana’s Expo 2017 Centre, Almaty’s Astana Square, and in the city centres of Shymkent, Kyzylorda, Uralsk, and Temirtau.
Pro-Refugee Rallies in Germany – Rallies are due to be held in cities across Rhine-Westphalia in solidarity with refugees seeking to flee to Europe across the Mediterranean. The protests are highly likely to attract counter protesters from anti-migration and extreme-right wing groups who harbour an ideological opposition to sheltering refugees. Protests in Germany are generally well policed, however clashes between protesters and counter-demonstrators are likely.
US Secretary of State Visits Asia – Secretary of State Mike Pompeo is to visit Singapore and Jakarta, Indonesia, between 03 and 05 August. Pompeo is anticipated to conduct a series of meetings with senior government officials, focusing on regional cooperation within the ASEAN framework. Extensive travel disruption is likely and authorities in both cities have stated that a heightened level of security will be in place for the duration of his visit.

Significant Dates And Events

03 to 04 August – United Kingdom – London Underground staff to strike
01 to 12 August – United Kingdom and Germany – European Sports Championship in Glasgow and Berlin
04 August – Costa Rica – LGBT rally planned in San Jose
04 August – Israel – Tel Aviv protest planned against nationality law
04 and 05 August – Burkina Faso – Revolution Day followed by Independence Day
04 to 12 August – France – Gay Games in Paris
05 August – Croatia – Homeland Thanksgiving Day
06 August – Caribbean – Nine countries celebrate Emancipation Day
06 August – Bolivia – Independence Day
06 August – Canada – August Civic or Provincial Holiday
06 August – El Salvador – Fiestas Patronales
06 August – United Arab Emirates – Sheikh Zayed bin Sultan al-Nahyan’s Accession Day
06 August – Zambia – Farmers’ Day
07 August – Colombia – Anniversary of the Battle of Boyaca
07 August – Cote d’Ivoire – Independence Day
08 August – Iraq – Ceasefire Day
08 August – Tanzania – Farmers’ Day
09 August – Singapore – National Day
09 August – South Africa – National Women’s Day
09 to 12 August – United States – USPGA Golf Tournament at Bellerive Country Club, St. Louis, Missouri
10 August – Ecuador – National Independence Day
10 August – Various – Ryanair pilots to strike
10 August – Australia – Environmental activists to hold vigil in Melbourne
11 August – Japan – Mountain Day
11 August – Chad – Independence Day
13 August – Central African Republic – Independence Day
13 August – Zimbabwe – Heroes Day
13 August – Thailand – King’s birthday
13-14 August – Grenada – Carnival

Click the following link to download this report as a PDF: Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 31 The Weekly Risk Roundup highlights significant events from the last week and what to look out for next week. Week 31 Weekly Risk Roundup was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

Week 30 – Maritime Security Weekly Snapshot

Indian Ocean HRA – Maritime Security Incidents

22 July 18: UPDATE Attack Reported near Baraawe, Somalia. A merchant vessel conducting resupply operations to African Union forces was attacked by mortar fire on approach to Baraawe. The attackers were believed to be Al Shabaab insurgents. No significant harm to the vessel or crew was reported. 25 July 18: UPDATE Saudi Vessel Attacked near Al Hudaydah. Houthi rebels conducted attacks against two Saudi tankers transiting the Red Sea. The Saudi coalition reported that the attack was conducted with explosive-laden fast boats. Neither vessel suffered severe damage, and all crew were reported safe. The Saudi state oil producer indicated that they intend to suspend oil shipments through the Bab el Mandeb in order to minimise the threat to their vessels.

Mediterranean – Maritime Security Incidents

28 July 18: Spanish Coastguard Rescue 1,000 Migrants in Two Days. A significant spike in attempted migrant crossings between Morocco and Spain resulted in maritime rescue services recovering upwards to 1,000 migrants between 26 and 28 July. Vessels transiting the area may experience disruption from ongoing rescue operations. There is no indication why this two day period attracted so many crossing attempts.

Gulf of Guinea – Maritime Security Incidents

24 July 18: IMB Report Shows Gulf of Guinea as Kidnap Hotspot. The International Maritime Bureau’s quarterly report confirmed that the Gulf of Guinea was the only area in which crew kidnap incidents were reported through 2018 to date. The report also assessed that significant numbers of kidnaps, beyond the 25 reported, have taken place. Crews are advised to maintain a high level of awareness throughout the region and make all efforts to report criminal activity.

South East Asia – Maritime Security Incidents

26 July 18: Attempted Boarding from Vessel near Bontang, Indonesia. Duty crew members spotted robbers seeking to climb the hawse pipe of a vessel at 00°04’S 117°35’E. The crew mustered and raised the alarm, forcing the robbers to flee empty handed

Click link to Download PDF: Solace Global Maritime Security Snapshot – Week 30 A roundup of maritime security incidents – an easy to read format collating suspicious approaches, vessel attacks, boardings, hijacks and media reports. The week 30 Maritime Security Snapshot was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

Solace Global – Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 30

Headlines From This Week

Pakistan Election – Former cricket player Imran Khan’s Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf won the Pakistan election held on 25 July and he is set to lead the country (in a coalition), despite claims of vote-rigging and military involvement in the vote. The election has been bitterly fought and seen multiple cases of violence. Notably, 31 people were killed after a bomb blast near a polling station in Quetta on polling day. Khan campaigned as a populist and if he governs as one also, this is likely to have a profound impact on Pakistan’s future.

Terror Attack in Syria – More than 200 people have been killed after a surprise Islamic State offensive on the city of Sweida and surrounding villages on 25 July. People were reportedly slaughtered in their homes in the early hours of the morning. The area, populated mostly by the Druze minority sect, has largely been spared by fighting during the civil war. Many have suggested that the attack marks an attempt by the terror group to encourage other non-state rebels to join their anti-government cause, but this seems unlikely.

Dam Bursts in Laos – 26 have been killed and 6,000 evacuated from their homes when Laos’s Xepian Xe Nam Noy hydroelectric dam collapsed on the evening of 23 July. The dam, still under construction, in Attapeu province was a multi-billion-dollar project and partly financed by South Korea. In neighbouring Cambodia, 25,000 people were evacuated in Stung Treng in preparation for flood waters heading downstream.

Shooting in Toronto – Islamic State has claimed responsibility for a deadly shooting incident in Toronto on 22 July. The attack in the Greektown area of the city left two dead (one of which was the shooter, who killed himself) and 13 wounded. Investigators have suggested that there is no evidence to link the shooter with the Jihadist group at this stage. The shooting has opened up a debate about gun ownership in Canada.

Deadly Greek Wildfires – At least 83 people have been killed by wildfires this week in Greece, a death toll which is expected to rise. The government’s response to the country’s worst-ever wildfire disaster has been criticised. The Greek Defence Minister claimed that illegal construction contributed to the wildfire and was met with angry crowds in Mati, a hard-hit area. The flames spread quickly thanks to 100km/h winds.

Saudi Vessels Attacked – Saudi Arabia is suspending oil shipments through the Red Sea shipping lane of Bab al-Mandeb after two of its vessels were attacked by the Houthi rebels from the port of Al Hudaydah on 25 July. The strait, where the Red Sea meets the Gulf of Aden, is only around 19km wide, making vessels potentially easy targets. The move has caused the global price of oil to rise.

What To Look Out For Next Week

Final Stage of the 2018 Tour de France – Le Tour de France finally makes its way to Paris after three weeks of cycling across France. The final stage, on 29 July, routinely causes travel disruption in the French capital. The Champs-Elysees will be closed to traffic from 0900hrs to 2300hrs on 29 July and bus routes in the vicinity of the race will experience disruption from 1530hrs to 19:00hrs.

ECOWAS & ECCAS Summit in Lomé – A summit of the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) and the Economic Community of Central African States (ECCAS) will take place in the Togolese capital of Lomé on July 30. The summit will provide an opportunity to discuss ways to fight terrorism and extremism. Increased security measures are anticipated in the city during the summit. Demonstrations, which have been ongoing in Togo since last year, are possible despite the government’s blanket ban from 23 July to 01 August. Expect enhanced security measures in the city.

Further General Strike in Haiti – Civil society groups in the Caribbean nation of Haiti have called for a nationwide general strike on 30 July. Activists are demanding that President Moise steps down and that police release anti-government protesters. There is a significant potential for violence given Haiti’s recent history. A fuel subsidy tax protest in early July 2018 led to days of clashes between police and protesters.

Typhoon Jongdari to Hit Japan – Typhoon Jongdari, the 12^th typhoon to form this year, is set to hit Japan’s main island of Honshu between 28 and 29 July, the Ogasawara Islands on 27 July, and the Izu Islands on 28 July. Jongdari is predicted to make landfall as the equivalent of a category three hurricane. Up to 24-hours of consistent, heavy rainfall is expected to occur in Honshu. This typhoon comes on the back of a deadly heatwave which may increase the impact of flash flooding, mudslides, and storm surge flooding.

Pride Festivals – There a series of significant upcoming LGBT+ Pride events in Amsterdam, the Netherlands (28 July to 05 August), EuroPride in Stockholm, Sweden (27 July to 05 August), and Brighton, United Kingdom (03 to 05 August). Travellers in these locations should expect travel disruption in these areas.

European Championship – The inaugural multisport European Championships are set to take place between 02 and 12 August in Glasgow, Scotland (hosting Aquatics, Cycling, Gymnastics, Rowing and Triathlon along with a new European Golf Team Championships) and the Olympiastadion in Berlin, Germany which will host the track and field athletics.

Significant Dates And Events

25-29 July – France – Les Fetes de Bayonne
27 to 29 – Hungary – Formula One race weekend in Budapest
28 July – Peru – Independence Day
28 July – Brazil – Pro-Lula rally to be held in Rio de Janeiro
28 July – United Kingdom – Eurostar staff at St Pancreas station to strike
28 July – Russia – Anti-pension reform rally planned in Yuzhno-Sakhalinsk and Kirov
28 July – South Korea – Anti-refugee rally in Seoul
28 July – Australia – Environmental activists to rally in Gold Coast
28 to 29 July – Canada – Section of highway 417 near Ottawa to close
29 July – Mali – Presidential Election
29 July – Cambodia – General Election
30 July – Comoros – Constitutional Referendum
30 July – Morocco – National/Throne Day
30 July – Zimbabwe – General Election
31 July – Algeria – Air Algerie maintenance workers to strike
31 July – South Africa – Gautrain workers to strike
31 July to 06 August – Mexico – Mexicable to suspend some services in Mexico City
01 August – Benin – Independence Day
01 August – Switzerland – National Day (some events take place the preceding evening)
01 August – Ghana – Public sector rally in Accra
02 August – Guyana – Freedom Day
02 August – Macedonia (FYROM) – Republic Day
02 August – Tunisia – SNCFT rail workers to strike
03 August – El Salvador – Fiesta de San Salvador
03 August – Equatorial Guinea – Armed Forces Day
03 August – Senegal – Protest over water shortages in Dakar
03 August – Ireland – Ryanair pilots’ strike
03 August – Niger – Independence Day
03 to 04 August – United Kingdom – London Underground staff to strike
04 August – Burkina Faso – Revolution Day

Click the following link to download this report as a PDF: Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 30 The Weekly Risk Roundup highlights significant events from the last week and what to look out for next week. Week 30 Weekly Risk Roundup was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

Jakarta Palembang Asian Games 2018: Risk Advisory

The 2018 Jakarta Palembang Asian Games is set to begin on 18 August 2018. Travel to the country brings a unique set of challenges and issues to overcome. For more on the Games, how to prepare and, what to expect when travelling to Indonesia, please take a look at our risk summary below or download this information as a PDF from the following link: 2018 Jakarta Palembang Asian Games – Event Advisory. Estimated Population: 9.6 million (Jakarta, 2016 estimated) Geographic Area: 6,392 km² (Jakarta metro) Language: Indonesian (Bahasa) and more than 700 other languages Religion: Six recognised religions – Islam, Protestantism, Catholicism, Hinduism, Buddhism, and Confucianism Climate: Tropical UTC: +7 (Jakarta) Currency: Indonesia rupiah Emergency Services: 112 or 110 (police), 113 (fire), 118 (medical), Tourist police (Jakarta): (021) 526 4073

2018 ASIAN GAMES KEY FACTS

COUNTRIES: 45 At the time of writing, 45 National Olympic Committees have confirmed attendance at the Asian Games. Competing associations include ‘Independent Asian Athletes’. ATHLETES: 11,000 An estimated 11,000 athletes are expected to participate in the Games. By some estimates, they are the largest multi-sport event after the Olympic Games. Some 5,000 media personnel are also set to attend. TICKETS: 1.3 MILLION 1.3 million tickets are set to be made available to spectators, with more available if early sales are strong. The average ticket price is set to be $7, with prices as low as $2 for some events. Indonesian officials are hoping to attract as many as 170,000 foreign tourists for the Games. SECURITY: 100,000 Organisers have confirmed that 100,000 security personnel will be deployed in Jakarta, Palembang and West Java, where several events are taking place. A further 30,000 volunteers are also set to be mobilised. EVENTS: 462 There are 462 events to be held in the games in 40 sports and 63 disciplines, in everything from aquatics to wushu, and fencing to rugby. This marks the first Asian Games with events held across two cities – Jakarta and Palembang.

SECURITY CONCERNS

Criminality: Most crime impacting travellers in Jakarta, and Indonesia as a whole, is low-level petty crime, though it is the most likely threat to travellers in Indonesia. While figures suggest that criminal activity as a whole is on the decrease, violent crime has risen marginally. This increase has been attributed to the prevalence of unregistered firearms, although these are typically only used if a victim offers resistance. There have been reports of drink-spiking in Jakarta. This may lead to assault, sexual assault, or robbery. Do not allow food or drink to be left unattended and do not accept food or drink from a stranger. Indonesia has very severe penalties for drug crimes. Foreigners have been subjected to capital punishment for drug-trafficking sentences. Thefts of vehicles, particularly motorcycles, or from parked vehicles occur frequently. Cars parked at unsecured locations are particularly attractive targets. Police services have limited responses to crime in Indonesia. Police forces are under-funded and are plagued by corruption. Crime is particularly prevalent in the following areas: Tanjung Priok – Jembatan Tiga – Pluit toll road, the Jagorawi toll road, Galur, Gambir station, Lapangan Banteng, Matraman, Taman Suropati, Gunung Sahari, Senen, Kuningan Pondok Labu, Pancoran, Blok M, Jalan Sisingamangaraja, the junctions at Tomang, Slipi, Grogol, Jalan Daan Mogot and Jalan Kyai Tapa, Cililitan, around Taman Mini, Klender and Jalan Pemuda, Ancol and Pluit. Terrorism: Terrorism is a persistent threat in Indonesia, however, instances have reduced significantly since 2010 following successful counter-terror policies and operations. Jakarta’s most recent terror attack occurred in June 2017, when an assailant attacked two police officers at a mosque near the National Police headquarters in South Jakarta. The most significant recent incident in Jakarta occurred in January 2016. At least four militants reportedly detonated explosives in or near a Starbucks in central Jakarta before destroying a nearby police post with grenades, killing at least three men. An exchange of gunfire ensued when police arrived shortly afterwards. Attacks are likely to target Western and non-Muslim locations (such as churches) and are more likely to occur on days of significance – Christmas, during Ramadan etc. This is shown by the June 2018 attacks on churches in Surabaya. Terror attacks may involve various different tactics. In the recent past, terror groups have used grenades, bombs, knives, vehicles, and guns. Security at locations including western hotels has been increased substantially to combat potential threats. Corruption: Corruption is a longstanding, widespread, and systemic issue. The police (as mentioned) and judiciary are notoriously corrupt and are likely to request bribes or find in the favour of an Indonesian if in a case against a foreigner. Travellers have reported that customs and immigration officials have demanded bribes in order to gain entry into the country. Officials and police officers are more likely to request bribes during and before festivals. This trend is likely to be exhibited prior to, and during, the Asian Games. Civil Unrest: There are underlying religious, political, and ethnic tensions in Indonesia and Jakarta is the most common location for unrest. The government has mandated that all demonstrations should occur between 0600 and 1800hrs and at three locations – Gelora Bung Karno Stadium in Senayan, the Alun-alun Demokrasi civic square in the parliament complex in South Jakarta; and near the National Monument in Central Jakarta. However, protests can and have occurred at the Hotel Indonesia roundabout, the presidential palace, the House of Representatives complex on Jalan Gatot Subroto, Grand Mercure Hotel, Merdeka Square, government offices such as the Corruption Eradication Commission and the US embassy. All protests should be avoided as there is the potential for violence. In the event of Christian-Muslim tension, travellers should avoid sites with Christian significance, including the cathedral in Monas. Cybersecurity: Credit card fraud is common. Criminals sometimes place a fake telephone number on ATMs advising customers to report problems. Customers dialling the number are asked for their PIN and their card is then retained within the machine. Most incidents involve employees of small businesses recording the details of the credit card or swiping it through a skimmer. Travellers should only use cards in reputable establishments and should never allow their card to be taken out of their sight. Indonesia’s response to cybercrime is not coordinated or efficient despite the establishment of a cybercrime policing unit in 2018. Travellers are advised to employ enhanced cybersecurity measures while in country. Unsecured WiFi hotspots are especially at risk and should be avoided.

EVENT LOCATION INFORMATIOn

There will be four venue clusters for the 18th Asian Games: 1.Gelora Bung Karno Sports Complex – This area is home to the Gelora Bung Karno Stadium which will host the opening and closing ceremonies as well as athletics events. The Aquatics Centre, the Gelora Bung Karno Sports Palace, and Jakarta. 2.Jakarta Suburbs – A number of events will be held across Jakarta’s suburbs. Cycling events will be held at the Jakarta International Velodrome in Rawamangun, while golf will be held at the Pondok Indah Golf Course. A temporary venue, the Jakarta International Expo, will host a series of events including boxing and gymnastics. 3.Palembang – The Jakabaring Sport City complex at Palembang will host a series of other sports events. This includes tennis, women’s football, rowing/canoeing events, and shooting. 4.West Java – There are a small number of venues located in West Java, notably four stadiums for men’s football and road and mountain bike events. In total, nine locations in West Java will serve as hosts to different sporting events. The athlete’s village in Jakarta is built at Kemayoran. In Palembang, it is inside the Jakabaring Sport City.

GENERAL TRAVEL ADVICE

All travel to Indonesia should be planned carefully in advance.
Travellers to Indonesia should maintain a low-profile, a slightly heightened level of situational awareness, and sensible security precautions at all times.
Travellers should be especially vigilant in crowded areas.
Take extra care of passports, credit cards, and wallets/purses when in crowded or tourist areas. Take extra care when travelling alone, at night, or on public transport, due to the greater potential for crime.
Be sure to carry a form of ID as well as details of your next of kin. Avoid carrying any valuables in a backpack as this is an easy target for thieves.
Road safety in Indonesia is poor. Locals are known to drive aggressively and routinely ignore road signs. If self-driving, a defensive style should be adopted. Due to the different culture and language, travellers should consider the use of a prearranged driver for all travel. Roads in Jakarta are often gridlocked in morning and evening rush hours.
Photographing military establishments and strategically important sites (such as airports) is not permitted and may lead to detention or arrest.
Only book taxis with a reputable firm. It is advised to book taxis through hotels rather than hailing them from the street. Make a note of the vehicle registration number.
Do not give out personal information and don’t discuss your plans with strangers.
Do not carry large sums of cash.

KEY LOCATIONS

US Embassy Jakarta Jalan Medan Merdeka Selatan No.3-5, RT.11/RW.2, Gambir, Jakarta Pusat, Daerah Khusus Ibukota Jakarta 10110, Indonesia Telephone: (62) (21) 34359000 UK Embassy Jakarta Jalan Patra Kuningan Raya Blok L5 No.6, RT.6/RW.4, Kuningan Tim., Setia Budi, Kota Jakarta Selatan, Daerah Khusus Ibukota Jakarta 12950, Indonesia Telephone: (62) (21) 23565200 Australian Embassy Jakarta Jalan Patra Kuningan Raya Kav. 1-4, RT.6/RW.4, Kuningan Tim., Kota Jakarta Selatan, Daerah Khusus Ibukota Jakarta 12950, Indonesia Telephone: (62) (21) 25505555 Dr. Cipto Mangunkusumo Hospital – government-run No.71, Salemba, Jalan Pangeran Diponegoro, Kenari, RW.5, Kenari, Senen, Kota Jakarta Pusat, Daerah Khusus Ibukota Jakarta 10430, Indonesia Telephone: (62) (21) 1500135

SCAMS

ATM Skimmer: Skimmers on ATM machines are not uncommon. Always make sure the slot where you insert your card has nothing attached to it. These devices may be disguised to look like regular parts of an ATM, so check carefully. Try to use ATMs inside banks if possible.
The Airport Pickup: Fake drivers work at the airport. As you walk out of your gate you unexpectedly see a driver with your name on a board and knowledge of your hotel (information which has probably been fed to them by a member of cabin crew). En route to your hotel, your driver stops and demands money as fare, which you feel obliged to pay. Travellers should not accept unexpected trips and should follow journey management plans if pre-arranged drivers have been organised.
Taxis Parked in Front of Your Hotel: Many four and five-star hotels have taxis waiting outside all day. Despite appearances, these taxis are not associated with the hotel. These drivers may not switch on their meters when picking up passengers and instead insist on an excessive charge whilst already in motion. Travellers should avoid taxis waiting outside of hotels. Ask your hotel to order one for you from a reputable company and ensure they meter your journey. If the vehicle has a meter, it should be used. Taxi drivers have also been reported as taking intentionally extended journeys in order to overcharge fares.
Fake Blessings: There are numerous temples in Indonesia and while they are more prominent in Bali, the fake blessings scam can occur in Jakarta. It involves a fake priest or holy man who will offer blessings and demand a donation in return, showing a jar filled with high denomination notes. Avoid engaging with such individuals.
Airport Porters – Foreigners will be targeted at the airport by those who look like official staff who will offer to take your bag to your transportation before demanding a fee. At times they can be forceful in their actions. Be firm in your response if you do not want any assistance.
The Fake Money Changer – This scam has become synonymous with Indonesia. It involves money changers offering rates which seem too good to be true. There are a few tricks they can play after grabbing your attention. They may claim to only have IDR 10,000 notes and while counting in front of you, they use sleight of hand tricks without you realising. They are betting that a customer will not count the whole stack of currency. Some money changers have also been accused of using a rigged calculator, which can be quite effective due to the large denomination of the rupiah. Only use authorised money changers and know how much you should be receiving.

MEDICAL CONCERNS

All travellers to the Asian Games should visit their doctor at least six to eight weeks before arriving in Indonesia.
Travellers should ensure that they are up to date with all routine vaccinations before travelling. Most travellers should ensure that they have vaccinations for hepatitis A, tetanus, and typhoid. For some travellers, it may be advisable to have cholera, hepatitis B, Japanese encephalitis, rabies, and tuberculosis.
Travellers should take precaution against mosquito-borne diseases including malaria. This includes the use of insect repellent containing DEET and sleeping in a mosquito net.
Travellers should take the necessary precaution against sun- and heat-related illnesses. Sun creams with a sun protection factor (SPF) of 30 or above and 4 or 5 stars UVA (ultraviolet A) protection should be used. Travellers should also ensure that they drink plenty of non-alcoholic fluids.
If taking long-term prescribed medication, travellers should contact their local Indonesian diplomatic mission to ensure that the import of such medication does not contravene any local laws. Travellers should also ensure that they maintain the original prescription, consider having it notarised and translated, and that they have more than enough to cover the length of their stay. There may be a limited supply of medication in Indonesia.
Health facilities in Jakarta are generally below western standards, although some private hospitals offer western-level care. However, such care can be expensive. Travellers should ensure that they have adequate medical insurance to cover medical repatriation in case of severe incidents.
Travellers should avoid drinking tap water, drinks with ice or uncooked food such as salads – water is not potable in Indonesia. Bottled water is widely available.

KEY DATES

25 July 2014

The Olympic Council of Asia appointed hosts for the Games during a meeting in Kuwait City.

30 June 2018

Organisers announced that the 30 June marks the first day of ticket sales.

15 July 2018

Flame for the Asian Games lit in New Delhi, India.

19 July 2018

Relay of the Asian Games Flame begins in Indonesia.

21 July 2018

Gelora Sriwijaya Stadium in Palembang damaged due to a riot during a local football match.

08 August 2018

First events of the Games – Basketball – begin.

18 August 2018

Opening Ceremony to be held in the Gelora Bung Karno Stadium.

02 September 2018

Closing Ceremony to be held in the Gelora Bung Karno Stadium.

LOCAL ETIQUETTE

While the various ethnic/religious groups in Indonesia have their own traditions and cultural traits, the following information is helpful to remember for most groups.

Indonesians avoid direct confrontation and place a large social emphasis on saving face. An unenthusiastic ‘yes’ may, in fact, mean ‘no’ and Indonesians are more likely to say ‘maybe’ rather than ‘I don’t know’. Do not raise your voice with Indonesians, especially with the police. Staying calm makes it more likely that you will receive the help or service needed.
If giving something to an individual of a higher status, use two hands as a sign of respect.
Avoid crossing your legs while sitting and do not allow the bottom of your feet to face or point at another person.
Use your right hand to pass objects or eat food. The left hand is considered unclean. Do not touch food, pass or receive anything, touch anyone or point with your left hand.
Although there are no anti-gay laws (apart from in Aceh), there are also no laws protecting the LGBT community and an anti-pornography law has been used to raid gay entertainment venues.
The head is considered sacred; the head of others should not be touched.
Most restaurants and hotels include a service charge of 10 per cent in their bill. If not automatically added, then a tip of five to ten per cent is appropriate.
Standing with your arms on your hips may be interpreted as an angry and aggressive posture.
Pointing should only be done with the thumb, not the finger.
Indonesians generally expect punctuality for social or business events.
Due to the importance of religion in Indonesia, all travellers should dress conservatively, especially women. It is advisable to wear clothes which cover knees and shoulders. Displays of affection between members of the opposite sex are generally frowned upon and may attract unwanted attention.

SOLACE GLOBAL

Solace Global remains available to provide the full range of Travel Risk Management services to clients. Solace Global is also able to provide comprehensive travel tracking, crisis management, in-country journey management, meet and greet, 24/7 monitoring, response, and evacuation services. For further details please contact +44 (0)1202 795 801 or email sgr@localhost.

Week 29 – Maritime Security Weekly Snapshot

Indian Ocean HRA – Maritime Security Incidents

22 July 18: Attack Reported near Baraawe, Somalia. A merchant vessel reported coming under attack at 01°06’N 044°02’E. Vessel and crew reported safe in Baraawe port. The reported location of the attack, less than 1000m off shore, likely indicates the attackers were opportunistic and presently lack the capability to launch attacks further afield. 25 July 18: Saudi Vessel Attacked near Al Hudaydah. Local media reporting suggests that a vessel, identified as the Saudi-flagged barge Dammam, was struck by the Houthi at 4°47’N 041°44’E. The method of attack or the level of damage remains unclear, but re-purposed surface-to-air missiles have previously been used.

Mediterranean – Maritime Security Incidents

17 July 18: Libyan Coastguard Reportedly Destroyed Migrant Vessel. At least three people were reported to have died after refusing to board a Libyan Coastguard vessel after the Coastguard took action to scupper their boat and return the occupants to the Libyan shore. Details remain sparse, however accusations have been made against commercial ship operators for failing to rescue the group, with some Non-Governmental Organisations suggesting that these deaths are directly tied to the Italian Government’s recent practice of barring ships carrying migrants from their ports.

Gulf of Guinea – Maritime Security Incidents

22 July 18: Merchant Vessel Approached South of Lome, Togo. A merchant vessel at 01°30’N 001°15’E was approached by a blue and white fishing vessel. The fishing vessel launched two skiffs which attempted to board the MV. The MV’s evasive manoeuvres prevented skiffs closing to within 0.5nm. All crew and vessel reported safe. The significant distance from shore indicates that this group may seek to conduct further attacks throughout the Gulf of Guinea, and presently makes identifying their country of origin impossible.

South East Asia – Maritime Security Incidents

19 July 18: Theft from Vessel in Chittagong Anchorage, Bangladesh. Theives boarded a container vessel at 22°02’N 091°46’E undetected and escaped with three mooring ropes. Upon the alarm being raised, Bangladeshi law enforcement conducted a search, resulting in the stolen properties being returned to the vessel.

Click link to Download PDF: Solace Global Maritime Security Snapshot – Week 29 A roundup of maritime security incidents – an easy to read format collating suspicious approaches, vessel attacks, boardings, hijacks and media reports. The week 29 Maritime Security Snapshot was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

Solace Global – Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 29

Headlines From this Week

Israel Approves Jewish Nation-State Bill – The Israel parliament, or Knesset, approved a controversial bill which categorises Israel as a Jewish state and elevates the Hebrew language over Arabic. The passing of the bill saw furious scenes in the parliament building. This move is likely to bring protests not only within Israel but also on the borders of the Palestinian territories of Gaza and the West Bank.

Trump and Putin Meeting Fallout – President Trump faced widespread condemnation from across the US political spectrum for statements made after meeting with Russian President Vladimir Putin in Helsinki, Finland. Trump has fluctuated between stating that Russia did and did not meddle in the 2016 election. A further meeting between the two, which has also seen widespread opposition, has been penned for Autumn 2018.

48 Dead in Mongolia Flooding – Widespread flooding, notably in the capital Ulaanbaatar and in provinces of Bayan-Ölgii, Khovd, Uvs, and Govi-Altai, have left at least 48 people dead in Mongolia. The adverse weather conditions have led to evacuations, damage to travel infrastructure, and power outages. Further heavy rainfall is forecast in parts of western, northern, and central Mongolia in the coming days, with the potential to exacerbate flooding and cause further disruption and risk to life.

Protests Continue in Iraq – Protests, which began in the southern city of Basra 08 July, have continued this week. At least 11 fatalities have been reported as the unrest over a lack of basic services, namely electricity shortages, has spread from Basra all the way to the capital Baghdad. 500 injuries have also been reported (including 300 members of the security forces) Demonstrators have also voiced grievances with corruption, unemployment, and water shortages. Security personnel have used live ammunition and water cannons to disrupt protests and telecommunications have been intermittently suspended.

Deadly Flooding in Niger – At least 13 people have been killed nationwide after heavy rainfall and flooding in Niger, with the most affected areas being Maradi, Agadez, and Diffa. In total, the adverse weather conditions have affected more than 17,000 people. Further rainfall is expected over the coming days.

Nicaragua Government Occupies Masaya – Pro-government forces retook the opposition stronghold of Masaya on 18 July after nearly 24 hours of skirmishes. Protesters and barricades have been cleared from the streets. Three fatalities were reported as a result of this operation. Unrest is set to continue nationwide.

What To Look Out For Next Week

Pakistan General Election – The 2018 general election in Pakistan is set to be held on 25 July. The election may prove to be only the second democratic transfer of power in the country’s history. Former-Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif has been banned from running in the election over corruption charges. The campaign period has seen a number of terror attacks targeting rallies and politicians. Pakistan’s security forces, a powerful political element in the country, have been accused of actively favouring the candidacy of Imran Khan and his Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf party

Anti-IMF Protest in Argentina – Activists have planned another protest against the International Monetary Fund (IMF) to take place in the Argentine capital, Buenos Aires, on 21 July. The demonstration has been arranged to coincide with the visit of IMF chief Christine Lagarde. Activists are set to gather at the intersection of the Pueyrredon and Las Heras avenues starting at 1100hrs local time. It is unclear how many attendees should be expected but previous anti-IMF unrest has seen violence.

Mali Presidential Election – Mali will elect a new president on 29 July 2018. President Ibrahim Boubacar Keita has announced he will be running for a second term. The president of Mali is elected via a two-round system, with the victor requiring at least 50 per cent of the vote to win a five-year term in office. There are more than a dozen other candidates in the running for Mali’s top post. The election period is likely to lead to a spike in civil unrest and terrorism – much of Mali remains outside of the control of the central government in Bamako. Mali is also one of the world’s poorest countries and corruption is endemic.

Elections in Cambodia – Cambodia goes to the polls on 29 July 2018 to elect members of the sixth National Assembly. There are 125 seats to be contested with 63 required for a majority. The ruling party, the Cambodian People’s Party led by Hun Sen, is expected to win as the opposition and free media has been decimated by the government. Demonstrations are certainly possible before the election on 29 July but are more likely to be in favour of the regime. Travellers should avoid discussion of the alert as it may lead to arrest or a forceful response from local security officials.

Les Fetes de Bayonne – Bayonne Festival, dubbed the largest festival in France, is set to take place between 25 and 29 July in the French Basque city of Bayonne. The event is inspired by the Festival of San Fermin in Pamplona, Spain. A series of events occurs over these days and the city is expected to be crowded with tourists – this raises the potential for criminality.

Significant Dates and Events

07 to 29 July – France – Tour de France Cycle Race
19 to 22 July – United States – Summer X Games in Minneapolis
19 to 22 July – United Kingdom – The Open golf championship at Carnoustie
20 to 22 July – United Kingdom – Baggage handlers plan to strike at London Luton Airport
20 to 22 July – Germany – Formula One race weekend near Heidelberg
24 July – Ireland – Ryanair pilots to strike
20 to 22 July – United States – Rugby World Cup Sevens in San Francisco
21 July – Belgium – National Day
21 July – Guam – Liberation Day
21 July – Germany – Pro-refugee rally in Dusseldorf
21 July – France – Planned anti-violence march in Beaumont-sur-Oise
21 July to 05 August – United Kingdom – Women’s Hockey World Cup, London
21 and 25 July – Bangladesh – Garment rallies in Dhaka
22 July – Gambia – Revolution Day
22 July – Israel – Pro-LGBT nationwide strike
23 July – Egypt – Anniversary of the Revolution
23 July – Papua New Guinea – National Remembrance Day
23 July – Philippines – Anti-Duterte rally planned in Quezon City
23 July – Oman – Renaissance Day
23 and 26 July – Guinea – Further nationwide strikes scheduled for 23 and 26 July
25 July – Puerto Rico – Constitution Day
25 July – Spain – Ambulance workers in Malaga to strike
25 July – Cuba – National Revolution Day
25 July – Tunisia – Republic Day
26 July – Liberia – Independence Day
27-29 July – Hungary – Formula One race weekend in Budapest
28 July – Peru – Independence Day
28 July – United Kingdom – Eurostar staff at St Pancreas station to strike
28 July – Russia – Anti-pension reform rally planned in Yuzhno-Sakhalinsk

Click the following link to download this report as a PDF: Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 29 The Weekly Risk Roundup highlights significant events from the last week and what to look out for next week. Week 29 Weekly Risk Roundup was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

Week 28 – Maritime Security Weekly Snapshot

Indian Ocean HRA – Maritime Security Incidents

11 July 18: Suspicious Approach near Hanish Islands, Southern Red Sea. A merchant vessel sighted a group of skiffs at 13°22’N 042°45’E. One skiff, carrying eight persons, approached to within 0.2nm of the MV, and ladders were sighted. Embarked security personnel displayed their weapons and the skiff moved away.

Mediterranean – Maritime Security Incidents

Gulf of Guinea – Maritime Security Incidents

03 July 18: – Late Report – Tug Approached South West of Beyelsa, Nigeria. A tug boat was approached by a fishing boat and skiff. At 01°49’N 003°12’E. The skiff approached to within 0.5nm, but repeated attempts to come alongside were prevented by heavy swell and evasive actions. After five hours, the skiff moved away.

South East Asia – Maritime Security Incidents

06 July 18: – Late Report – Theft from Tug in Pulau Batam. Four coils of towline were stolen from a Singapore-flagged tugboat operating near Pulau Batam between 0130LT and 0330LT. Coastguard reported that the tug appeared to be followed by two Sampans for approximately two hours before the theft was discovered. All crew were unharmed 10 July 18: Theft at Anchor, Sandakan, Malaysia. An unknown number of robbers boarded a berthed tanker in Sandakan and escaped with ship’s properties. The theft was later discovered by duty crew members. Vessel and crew otherwise unharmed.

Click link to Download PDF: Solace Global Maritime Security Snapshot – Week 28 A roundup of maritime security incidents – an easy to read format collating suspicious approaches, vessel attacks, boardings, hijacks and media reports. The week 28 Maritime Security Snapshot was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

Solace Global – Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 28

Headlines From This Week

Nawaz Sharif Returns to Pakistan and Election Update – The Pakistan election season is in full swing. The former Prime Minister, Nawaz Sharif, will return to the country late on 13 July after a court in Pakistan found him guilty on corruption charges which he argues are politically-motivated. His arrival will be met by a large crowd of supporters. In a separate incident, an election event in Peshawar held by the leftist, secularist ANP was attacked by the Pakistani Taliban. 20 were killed including a leader of the party. Further violence has occurred and should be expected until the 25 July polling day.
Unrest in Haiti – The poorest country in the Americas faced days of unrest after a 50 per cent hike in the price of fuel. Protesters set cars alight in the capital and other cities, resorting to looting in places. At least four people have been confirmed dead and many others injured. Despite the price hike, agreed with the IMF, being scrapped, protests look set to continue and further violence may also occur. A vote of no-confidence in the prime minister is set to be held on 14 July.
NATO Summit – President Trump publicly recommitted US support for NATO at the annual summit this week, though it was a tense affair given Trump’s recent actions and rhetoric. Indeed, behind closed doors, Trump reportedly ruffled a number of feathers, notably those of German Chancellor Angela Merkel. There has also been some disagreement over the commitments to be made regarding defence spending. President Trump followed the trip to Brussels with his first to the United Kingdom, where he has been greeted with protests. He has also induced friction with Prime Minister Theresa May, criticising her plans for Brexit and praising the former foreign minister, Boris Johnson, who left his post earlier in the week.
Unrest in Northern Ireland – 12 July marked the annual commemoration of the Battle of the Boyne in 1690, with marches by Orangemen in various locations across Northern Ireland. The marches were preceded with days of unrest. In Belfast 13 vehicles were set on fire, while there were five nights of violence in the Bogside area of Derry, including the throwing of petrol bombs at police. Police also warned that the loyalist paramilitary force the Ulster Volunteer Force (UVF) planned to “orchestrate and participate in serious disorder” in east Belfast. While unrest was expected, events were more violent than in 2017.
Flooding in Japan – More than 200 people were killed and 54 are missing after heavy rains led to flash floods and landslides across central Japan. Those most severely hit were villages in the countryside and the area was unprepared for a series of meteorological phenomena all occurring at the same time.

What To Look Out For Next Week

Putin and Trump to Meet – The long-awaited meeting between Presidents Trump and Putin will take place from 16 July in the Finnish capital of Helsinki. President Trump has already said that the meeting with Putin may be his easiest while in Europe. Some American policymakers have reported fears that the US president will be outmatched by his Russian counterpart. Issues of Russian involvement in the 2016 US election, Ukraine, Syria, Iran, sanctions on Russia, and perhaps North Korea will feature heavily at the summit.
FIFA World Cup Final – After a month of competition, the 2018 FIFA World Cup in Russia comes to end as France plays Croatia on 15 July. The game will be played at the Luzhniki Stadium in Russia’s capital, Moscow, beginning at 1600hrs local time. Travellers can expect disruption in this area, and in France and Croatia where the game is likely to be most closely followed. The competition has been spared many of the security threats that were expected beforehand, though isolated incidents have occurred.
Bastille Day in France – France celebrates its national day, also known as Bastille Day, on 14 July. It marks the storming of the Bastille prison, where political prisoners were held, by rebels in 1790. This began an uprising which led to the overthrow of the monarchy. In Paris, the day is celebrated with a military parade from the Arc de Triomphe to the Place de la Concorde where President Macron will be assembled with other dignitaries. In 2016, a terrorist drove into crowds along the Promenade des Anglais. Bastille Day will also be celebrated in French overseas territories, including French Guiana.
Sandinista Revolution Anniversary – Nicaragua commemorates the victory of the National Liberation Army over the Somoza dictatorship on 19 July. This is likely to have greater meaning and impact this year as the country is in the throes of a civil uprising which has been ongoing since 18 April 2018, during which time at least 264 people have been killed in clashes. Unrest is ongoing, with the 19 July expected to be a day of heightened protest as it is the third and final day of a general strike.
Protests in Guinea – Protests are set to take place in Conakry, Guinea on 16 July. Previous protests have been deadly. It is strongly advised to avoid all large gatherings and maintain heightened levels of situational awareness in Guinea at all times. Travellers can also expect heightened security measures and travel disruption. It is unclear how well attended any demonstrations will be.

Significant Dates and Events

07 to 29 July – France – Tour de France Cycle Race
14 July – Italy – Pro-migrant rally to take place in Ventimiglia
14 July – Iraq – Republic Day
14 July – Israel – Anti-Netanyahu rally in Tel Aviv
14 July – South Korea – Anti-refugee rally in Seoul
14 July – Serbia – Anti-corruption march planned in Belgrade
14 July – Spain – Pro-Catalan independence march in Barcelona
15 July – Brunei – His Majesty the Sultan’s Birthday
15 July – Turkey – Democracy and National Solidarity Day (Anniversary of 2016 attempted coup)
16 July – Chile – Virgen del Carmen Day
16 July – Brazil – Doctors to strike in Porto Alegre
16 to 17 July – Botswana – President’s Day
17 July – Lesotho – King’s Birthday
17 July – South Korea – Constitution Day
18 July – Uruguay – Constitution Day
18 July – Argentina – Anniversary of the 1994 terror attack on the Jewish community centre, Buenos Aires
19 to 22 July – United States – Summer X Games in Minneapolis
19 to 22 July – United Kingdom – The Open golf championship at Carnoustie
19 July – Myanmar – Martyr’s Day
20 July – Greece – Rail workers to strike
20 to 22 July – United Kingdom – Baggage handlers plan to strike at London Luton Airport
20 and 24 July – Ireland – Ryanair pilots to strike
20 July – Spain – Security staff to strike at Ibiza Airport
20 to 22 July – United States – Rugby World Cup Sevens in San Francisco
20 July – Colombia – Independence Day
21 July – Belgium – National Day
22 July – Gambia – Revolution Day
23 July – Egypt – Anniversary of the Revolution
23 July – Oman – Renaissance Day

Click the following link to download this report as a PDF: Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 28 The Weekly Risk Roundup highlights significant events from the last week and what to look out for next week. Week 28 Weekly Risk Roundup was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.