Week 25 – Maritime Security Weekly Snapshot

Indian Ocean HRA – Maritime Security Incidents

19 June 18: CMF Releases Bulletin to Shipping Industry. In response to two recent attacks on 3 June on WHO vessel VOS Theia, and 13 June attack on a Saudi warship, both of which occurred off the coast of Al Hudaydah, a bulletin was released to inform shipping operators of the risks on merchant vessels transiting the High Risk Area. Since the attack on the MV Ince Inebolu, there have been no further reports on merchant vessels. The more recent attacks on the aforementioned vessels are due to their being involved in or affiliated with the conflict. Although the risk to merchant vessels not involved in the current Yemeni conflict remains unchanged, there is potential for the conflict to spill-over. The risk of being misidentified, or being susceptible to collateral damage, is a realistic possibility. Vessels are recommended to utilised the Maritime Security Transit Corridor and maximise the distance from Yemen’s islands and coastline. Vigilance should be maintained and be supported by timely reporting of encounters or incidents to the UKMTO. 26 June 18: Suspicious Approach in Bab El Mandeb, Red Sea. The vessel was approached by two speedboats in position 13°30’24N, 42°43’42E at 0708UTC. Each carried 8-10 persons on board. The embarked armed security team showed weapons and the speedboats departed. Speedboats had previously approached two other MVs in the area.

Mediterranean – Maritime Security Incidents

June 18: Merchant Vessel Caught in Migrant Dispute with Italy, with 113 Migrants Onboard. Due to SOLAS, captains of merchant vessels are required to rescue individuals in distress at sea. Media reports the container Alexander Maersk remains anchored off Pozzallo, Italy after responding to an emergency call and rescuing 113 migrants. Italy’s ports currently remain closed even to military vessels of NATO allies which have migrants on board. The USNS Trenton was delayed off Augusta, Sicily and could not bring 41 rescued migrants ashore. As the political debate continues, there are likely to be further costs and delays to merchant shipping.

South East Asia – Maritime Security Incidents

18 May 18: Late Report of Armed Robbery on Bulk Carrier; Tarahan Anchorage, Indonesia. Five robbers armed with knives boarded an anchored bulk carrier in position 5°32’S, 105°18’80E at 1935UTC. They took hostage the duty man and threatened him. The robbers stole ships property and engine spares and escaped. The duty man was able to free himself and raise the alarm. The crew mustered and a search was conducted on the ship.

Click link to Download PDF: 20180625 – Solace Global Maritime Security Snapshot – Week 25 A roundup of maritime security incidents – an easy to read format collating suspicious approaches, vessel attacks, boardings, hijacks and media reports. The week 25 Maritime Security Snapshot was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

Solace Global – Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 25

Headlines From This Week

Flooding in Abidjan – At least 18 people have been confirmed dead after heavy rainfall overnight on the 18-19 June in Abidjan, Cote d’Ivoire. The government has called for evacuations from flood-prone areas of the city after flood waters rose to 2.5 metres in places. The military has been deployed to undertake disaster relief. Cote d’Ivoire is currently in its rainy season, with heavy rains forecast until the end of the month.
Push for Peace in South Sudan – President Salva Kiir and his former deputy turned rebel leader Riek Machar held face-to-face talks on 20 June in Addis Ababa, brokered by Ethiopia’s new prime minister, Abiy Ahmed. The two South Sudanese political heavyweights last met at the outbreak of deadly fighting in Juba in July 2016. Machar has since been living in exile. South Sudan has been in a state of almost consistent civil conflict being formed in 2011.
Significant Earthquake in Japan – Three people were killed after a magnitude-6.1 earthquake struck Osaka prefecture on 18 June. A further 350 people were reported injured. While no tsunami warning was issued in the aftermath of the quake, fears remain that there will be stronger seismic events in the coming weeks which could cause cataclysmic damage.
Macedonia Naming Deal – On 17 June, Macedonian and Greek leaders agreed to end a 27-year dispute regarding the name of Macedonia, with the Former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia (FYROM) changing its name to the Republic of North Macedonia. The dispute has been bitter and has prevented Macedonia joining NATO and the EU. The Greek Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras narrowly survived a vote of no-confidence due to the deal, which still needs to be ratified by both
Death Sentence for Aman Abdurrahman – On 22 June 2018, a court in Jakarta found Aman Abdurrahman guilty of inciting others to commit terrorism and sentenced him to death. He stands accused of being the leader of an Indonesian affiliate of Islamic State. This act may cause Aman to become a martyr in the eyes of many radical Muslims in Indonesia and further afield, increasing the potential for retaliatory terror attacks.
Tit-For-Tat Trade Tariffs – The EU retaliatory tariffs on a series of US imports, issued in response to President Trump’s tariffs, came into effect on 22 June. Meanwhile, India has announced it will raise taxes on 29 US products from 04 August. There is a significant potential for a trade war between the United States and its traditional allies, further damaging the post-World War Two western alliance system.

What To Look Out For Next Week

General Election in Mexico – The Mexican general election is to be held on 01 July, electing thousands of positions from local councillors to the president. Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador, a leftist populist, is most likely to win the presidential election, heading a politically-mixed coalition. The campaign period has been beset by unrest and violence, with at least 100 political candidates killed.
Nationwide Local Elections in Indonesia – Local elections are due to take place in Indonesia on 27 June. The elections come on the back of recent terror attacks in the country and there is the potential that militants will seek to disrupt the vote. Political unrest may occur nationwide, with a heightened risk in Papua, Maluku, and West Kalimantan provinces.

Unions Call for General Strike in Argentina – The largest union in Argentina, the Confederación General del Trabajo (CGT), has announced plans to launch a general strike on 25 June. The move comes in opposition to the economic policies of President Macri, who recently agreed on a multibillion-dollar loan with the International Monetary Fund. Public demonstrations have not been planned at this time. Travel to, from, and within Argentina is expected to be significantly disrupted around this date.

AU Summit in Mauritania – 31st Ordinary Session of the African Union Summit is due to take place in Nouakchott, Mauritania between 25 June and 02 July. Increased security measures and travel restrictions should be expected across the city, notably at the Conference Centre located within the vicinity of OumTounsy Airport. France’s President Macron is set to visit during the summit, departing on 03 July.

General Strike in Costa Rica – Labour unions are planning a general strike to take place on 25 June. Those in the country can expect extensive travel delays and the potential for related protests, with the capital San Jose likely to be most significantly affected. If the general strike does take place, it is expected to cost the economy somewhere between $10 million and $15 million dollars.

Alexei Navalny Plans 01 July Protests – Russian opposition politician Alexei Navalny is urging Russians to take to the streets on 01 July in response to the government’s plans to increase the retirement age. Navalny has filed requests for demonstrations in 20 cities but they are not set to conflict with any FIFA World Cup matches. Russian authorities are likely to make arrests before and during the protests; violence is possible.

Significant Dates and Events

22-24 June – France – Formula One Grand Prix
23 June – Estonia – Victory Day
23 June – Finland and Latvia – Midsummer’s day holiday
23 June – Luxembourg – National Day
23 June – Ethiopia – Pro-government rally in Addis Ababa
23 June – Burkina Faso – Opposition rally planned in Ouagadougou
23 June – United Kingdom – Pro-EU “People’s Vote March” in London
23 June – Angola – Protest planned in Uige province
23 June – United States – Pro-immigration rally in San Francisco
23 June – United States – Anti-poverty rally in Washington DC
23 June – Kazakhstan – Anti-Nazarbayev rallies planned
23 June – Portugal – Festival of Sao Joao de Porto
23 June – South Korea – Anti-North Korea protest in Seoul
24 June – Philippines – Manilla Day
24 June – Turkey – General Election
24 June – Niger – Unsanctioned anti-finance law protest in Niamey
25 June – Croatia – Statehood Day
25 June – Mozambique – Independence Day
25 June – Canada – Anti-Trump protest in Montreal
26 June – Azerbaijan – Armed Forces’ Day
26 June – Madagascar – Independence Day
27 June – Djibouti – Independence Day
27 June – Sri Lanka – Poson Full Moon holiday
27 June – Tajikistan – National Unity Day
28 June – Ukraine – Constitution Day
28 June – France – Potential general strike
29 June – Seychelles – Independence Day
29 June to 01 July – Formula One Grand Prix
30 June – Norway – Oslo Pride parade
01 July – Hong Kong – HKSAR Day and Pro-democracy rally

Click the following link to download this report as a PDF: Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 25 The Weekly Risk Roundup highlights significant events from the last week and what to look out for next week. Week 25 Weekly Risk Roundup was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

Week 24 – Maritime Weekly Security Snapshot

Indian Ocean HRA – Maritime Security Incidents

13 June 18: Houthis Report Strike on Coalition Warship. The location of the incident is unknown, local Yemeni media stated the warship was seen burning and rescue operations were conducted for the crew. This incident is unconfirmed. 18 June 18: Houthis Detain French Sailor in Hodeidah Port. According to regional media reports, a French sailor has been detained for two weeks by Houthi forces in Hodeidah, although this is unconfirmed. He was forced to call at the port after a storm led to a technical malfunction on his sailboat MY Jehol 11. 18 June 18: UN Aim to Control Hodeidah Port, Yemen. Hodeidah is the main distribution point for commercial and humanitarian supplies to Yemen. The Saudi-led coalition hopes to seize the port militarily from the Houthis; however, a UN envoy is aiming to broker a deal for the port to be administered independently.

Gulf of Guinea – Maritime Security Incidents

09 June 18: Tanker Boarded in Lagos. At least one robber was reported to have boarded a tanker in position 6°27’00N, 003°22’18E. A hose was inserted into a cargo tank. After being seen, the robber escaped the vessel and into a nearby speedboat. 13 June 18: Supply Vessel Boarded in Takoradi Anchorage. Robbers boarded a Singapore-flagged supply vessel anchored at 4°53’60N, 1°42’30W at 0245UTC. Watchmen shouted at the robbers and raised the alarm. Seeing the alerted crew the robbers escaped. 18 June 18: Militant Groups Threaten to Attack Oil Facilities in Niger Delta. Niger Delta Activists Forum have warned of planned attacks on oil facilities belonging to Agip. These threats were made in response to the group’s claim that previous agreements have not been implemented, as well as pollution of the area.

South East Asia – Maritime Security Incidents

31 May 18: Tanker Boarded Near Mersing, Malaysia. A late report was released of an oil tanker that was boarded whilst at anchor in position 2°25’30N, 104°25’11E at 0104UTC. Fourteen robbers stole personal belongings from the crew and fled via a stolen vessel. Malaysian Special Forces were able to track and apprehend the robbers who were armed with knives and machetes. Two crew members were injured during the attack.

Click link to Download PDF: 20180618 – Solace Global Maritime Security Snapshot – Week 24 A roundup of maritime security incidents – an easy to read format collating suspicious approaches, vessel attacks, boardings, hijacks and media reports. The week 24 Maritime Security Snapshot was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

Solace Global – Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 24

Headlines From This Week

Coalition Assault on Al-Hudaydah – The Saudi-backed Yemeni government has commenced ground operations in an effort to retake the port city of Al-Hudaydah on Yemen’s Red Sea coast. The offensive has been accompanied by a massive escalation in airstrikes into the city, and at least one Coalition landing craft was critically damaged. As the port is the main entry point for aid, the assault is likely to significantly worsen the humanitarian crisis in the surrounding region and may result in a longer-term increase in both migration and maritime criminality.

Vessel Collision on the Volga – At least 11 of the 16 people aboard a tour vessel in Volgograd were reported dead following a collision with a cargo barge on the Volga river on 12 June. Preliminary investigations suggest that the captain of the ferry was under the influence of alcohol at the time of the collision. The issue highlights poor safety measures and accountability in Russia’s leisure sector at a time when significant numbers of foreigners are in the country for the FIFA World Cup.

Nationalist Protests in Vietnam – Dozens were arrested on 10 and 11 June as protesters clashed with police in a series of Vietnamese towns and cities scheduled to become part of new Special Economic Zones. Whilst the some protests were relatively contained, in larger towns police were forced to deploy water cannons to clear streets as officers were pelted with improvised weapons. The proposed zones include special privileges to foreign businesses establishing themselves in the region, and would particularly benefit Chinese companies. Tensions between China and Vietnam have risen lately over a series of territorial and resource disputes along their maritime border.

Peruvian Police Ambushed – Four Peruvian police officers were killed when an improvised explosive device was detonated against their vehicle on the Churcampa-Anco highway in Huaccoto on 08 June. The officers were returning from providing enhanced security during Flag Day when the attack was launched. Another patrol which responded to the initial attack also came under fire and was forced to fight their way to the site. Despite efforts at reconciliation since 2000, small rebel groups persist in rural areas of the country and intermittently conduct attacks against security forces.

Insurgent Clashes in Davao – Philippine troops clashed with insurgents in the southern region surrounding Davao on 10 June. Government releases suggest that the group involved in the conflict was affiliated with the Islamic State group. At least 15 insurgents were reported killed, and arms caches and a bomb-making facility were also discovered during the raid.

What To Look Out For Next Week

Afghan Ceasefire – The Afghan Taliban agreed to a three-day ceasefire with government forces over the holiday of Eid at the end of Ramadan, likely to be 15-18 June, in direct response to the government’s unilateral declaration in early June. Despite the planned duration only being short, and foreign troops being excluded, this marks the first such concession in over 16 years of fighting. It remains unclear if all the disparate elements of the Taliban will abide by the ceasefire. Other groups such as Islamic State will not be included.

People’s Vote March – The movement for a “People’s Vote” on the terms of the UK’s Brexit from the European Union is due to hold a march to London’s Parliament Square on 23 June. Previous events organised by groups opposed to Brexit have resulted in turnouts of several thousand people, with the potential for significant localised travel disruption. The rally is also likely to attract counter-protesters and limited instances of violence may occur.

Colombia’s Presidential Run-Off – Colombia’s land borders will be closed across 16 and 17 June, with some closures persisting longer, as part of the security measures implemented during the election period. The scheduled vote is the runoff for the presidential election, and is likely to see political rallies across the country as populist right- and left-wing candidates face off. The election also has potential ramifications for the county’s peace agreements, as the leading candidate, Ivan Duque, remains opposed to the present treaty with the FARC group or any future compromise with the ELN.

Turkish General Election – On 24 June, Turks will go to the polls to elect officials to an array of local and national positions. This will be the first election following a close and controversial referendum to impose sweeping constitutional changes, moving the centre of power from parliament and the prime minister to the presidency. The election retains an ethnic and cultural dimension, and reports of voter suppression efforts have surfaced. A deadly confrontation between a candidate’s security details and Kurdish citizens in Suruc highlighted the risk of instances of violent unrest in the lead up to the poll, particularly in mixed areas.
Togo General Strike – Togo’s main opposition group have called for a nationwide strike on 18 June in response to persistent government efforts to suppress protests and dissent. This call follows a protracted and failed effort to negotiate a return to the rule of law and the 1992 constitution. Businesses and services across the country are likely to adhere to the strike, with Lomé almost certain to suffer the greatest disruption. It is likely that many of the strikers will attend protests or rallies, and these may become violent when confronted by police.

Significant Dates and Events

16 June – Austria – Pride parade to be held in Vienna
16 June – Malaysia – Hari Raya Puasa holiday
16 June – South Africa – Youth Day
16 June – Israel – Anti Netanyahu rallies to be held in Tel Aviv
17 June – Argentina – Martin Miguel de Guemes Day
17 June – Iceland – Independence Day
17 June – Dominican Republic – Anti-corruption rally to be held in Santo Domingo
17 June – Ukraine – Gay pride march to be held in Kiev
18 June – Bermuda – National Heroes Day
18 June – Cambodia – King’s Mother’s Birthday
18 June – Seychelles – Constitution Day
19 June – Trinidad and Tobago – Labour Day
19 June – Uruguay – Artigas’ Birthday, national holiday
20 June – Argentina – National Flag Day
21 June – Bolivia – Andean New Year
21 June – Greenland – Ullortuneq national holiday
22 June – Croatia – Anti-Fascist Struggle Day
22 June – Fiji – National Sport and Wellness Day
22 June – Finland and Sweden – Midsummer eve holiday
23 June – Estonia – Victory Day
23 June – Finland and Latvia – Midsummer’s day holiday
23 June – Luxembourg – National Day
24 June – Philippines – Manilla Day
25 June – Croatia – Statehood Day
25 June – Mozambique – Independence Day
25 June – Costa Rica – Nationwide public service strike
26 June – Azerbaijan – Armed Forces’ Day
26 June – Madagascar – Independence Day
27 June – Djibouti – Independence Day
27 June – Sri Lanka – Poson Full Moon holiday
27 June – Tajikistan – National Unity Day

Click the following link to download this report as a PDF: Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 24 The Weekly Risk Roundup highlights significant events from the last week and what to look out for next week. Week 24 Weekly Risk Roundup was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

Week 23 – Maritime Security Weekly Snapshot

Indian Ocean HRA – Maritime Security Incidents

13 June 18: Assault on Al Hudaydah. Yemeni government forces have begun offensive operations aimed at seizing the port of Al Hudaydah from the Houthi, following the expiry of a ceasefire. An increase in military activity in the vicinity is highly likely. The Houthi may seek to attack Saudi vessels in response. June 18: Piracy Threat During Monsoon Season. The International Maritime Bureau released a statement indicating that the impeding monsoon season may drive pirate attacks in the more sheltered waters of the Gulf of Aden and Red Sea. Storm conditions are likely to force IUU fishermen from elsewhere into this region, and the increase in competition may lead to an increase in ad-hoc piracy.

Gulf of Guinea – Maritime Security Incidents

03 June 18: Theft at Anchor, Lagos. Two robbers boarded a bulk carrier anchored at 06°16’N, 003°21’E. Crew members and armed security spotted the robbers and fired a warning shot. Robbers fled with ship’s stores. 12 June 18: Naval Operations in Delta. The Nigerian naval officer in command of forces in the Delta region reported that amphibious operations efforts to clear out illegal oil refineries in the region would push ahead. Operations in the preceding month have been deemed successful, despite widespread reports of pollution from destroyed facilities.

South East Asia – Maritime Security Incidents

08 June 18: India Called for Enhanced Intelligence Sharing. The Indian Prime Minister called for enhanced intelligence sharing in order to better combat threats to maritime security in Asia. He was addressing the East Asia Summit. 12 June 18: ReCAAP 2018 Conference. The ReCAAP 2018 Piracy and Sea Robbery Conference was held in Hong Kong, focused on developing proactive and intelligence-led anti-piracy operations. Efforts were also made to encourage engagement from Chinese ship owners. 31 May 18: -Late Report- Robbery at Anchor, Mersing, Malaysia. Two crew members were wounded when up to 14 men boarded a tanker at 02°25’N, 104°25’E. The robbers escaped with ship stores, but were later apprehended by the Malaysian Navy

Click link to Download PDF: Solace Global Maritime Security Snapshot – Week 23 A roundup of maritime security incidents – an easy to read format collating suspicious approaches, vessel attacks, boardings, hijacks and media reports. The week 23 Maritime Security Snapshot was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

Solace Global – Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 23

Headlines From This Week

Volcan de Fuego – A series of eruptions of the Guatemalan Volcan de Fuego has resulted in at least 99 fatalities, numerous injuries, and disruption to air travel across the country. Some reports suggest over 1000 people remain unaccounted for, and evacuation orders remain in place for a number of villages in the vicinity of the volcano. The closest of these has been almost entirely buried by ash from the eruption.
Jordanian PM Resigns – The prime minister of Jordan was forced to resign on 04 June following several days of widening protests across Amman, and other major Jordanian cities. The protests were initiated by a series of proposed reforms to the tax, benefits, and subsidies system which supports a significant proportion of the Jordanian population; and seen principally to benefit the elite. King Abdullah spoke in favour of the protesters, whilst emphasising that some reforms remained necessary. It remains to be seen if an appropriate compromise can be reached.
Zimbabwean Opposition Protests – Members of the Movement for Democratic Change, Zimbabwe’s dominant opposition party, held large protests in Harare on 05 June. They focused on allegations the ruling party has manipulated voter rolls ahead of the July 2018 election and were seeking to use intimidation or ballot tampering to swing the election. Whilst these protests occurred peacefully, the first election since the departure of the former dictator, Robert Mugabe, is highly likely to see further protests, and outbreaks of violence are a realistic probability.

Sadr City Explosion – At least 18 people were killed, and 38 were wounded when an explosion tore apart a Shiite mosque and 20 residential buildings in Baghdad’s Sadr City on 07 June. Preliminary investigations suggested that the blast occurred when a paramilitary group’s weapons cache, stored in the mosque, was accidentally detonated. The blast demonstrates that the highly pervasive nature of explosives and weapons ownership in Iraq remains a significant threat to life, even when those weapons are not being intentionally used.
Madagascar PM Resigns – The Madagascan prime minister (PM) was forced to resign on 06 June, following persistent, violent, and widespread unrest against the introduction of laws seen to prevent opposition candidates from contesting elections. The new PM, Christian Ntsay, was appointed by the president as a consensus candidate, although a history of defections between parliamentary parties since the last election threatens to undermine the balance of power within the legislature and may prevent a resolution to the crisis.

What To Look Out For Next Week

Singapore Nuclear Summit – On 12 June, US President, Donald Trump, is scheduled to meet the North Korean leader, Kim Jong-Un, for a summit concerning North Korea’s nuclear programme and elevated tensions on the Korean peninsula. The summit is scheduled to be held on an island off the Singapore coast. Those in the city should expect significantly heightened security measures to be in place throughout the duration of the summit, and travel disruption is highly likely. The relative success or failure of the summit will have significant political and military effects on the Asia-Pacific region.

South Korean General Elections – South Korean citizens will head to the polls to elect local officials and to fill a series of seats vacant in the national assembly. Elections in South Korea are generally peaceful in nature, however, their proximity to the North Korea Summit, representing key issues in South Korean foreign and domestic politics, may lead to a higher level of unrest than is typical.
FIFA World Cup – The first match of the football world cup is due to kick off on Thursday 14 June in Moscow, Russia. The Russian government has announced a sweeping range of security measures to be implemented across the country, centred on the cities where games are to be held. Those in Russia are advised to remain aware of games scheduled in their vicinity and plan their journeys accordingly; a large transient population and significantly increased security are likely to impact the host cities on days surrounding each match.

Eid-al-Fitr – The festivals marking the end of the Islamic holy month of Ramadan is scheduled to begin on 14 June. The celebrations may occur on this date or shortly after, as there is no consensus among the international Muslim community as to the exact rules concerning the lunar observations which set the festival’s date. Travellers throughout the Middle East, and other countries with significant Muslim populations, should expect widespread disruption to travel and the provision of essential services as it is typically observed as a national holiday.

US Pride Parades – Major cities across the United States are due to hold Gay Pride parades on 09 June. These parades vary in size and may include numerous other official events related to the main parade. LGBT rights remain contentious in many locations across the US, with a number of political and religious groups staunchly opposed to the ongoing liberalisation of laws and society in relation to LGBT relationships. It is therefore likely that parades will attract counter-protesters, and there remains potential that some limited instances of violence may occur.

Significant Dates and Events

09 June – Uganda – National Heroes Day
09 June – Bulgaria – Pride parade and counter-protests to be held in Sofia
09 June – United States – Pride parades to be held in major cities
09 June – DR Congo – Opposition rallies to be held in Kinshasa
09 June – Austria – Anti-Israeli groups to rally at Vienna’s Bundeslanderplaz
10 June – DR Congo – Reconciliation Day
10 June – Portugal – National Day
10 June – Georgia – Protests scheduled in Tbilisi in response to murder acquittal
11 June – South Africa – Civil servants to conduct nationwide strike
11-12 June – Bangladesh – Night of Destiny (national holiday)
11 June – Colombia – Sacred Heart (national holiday)
11-12 June – Russia – National Day
11 June – Paraguay – Chaco Armistice Day
11-14 June – Haiti – Workers to strike and protest in Port-au-Prince
12 June – Philippines – Independence Day
12 June – Sri Lanka – Railway workers to begin nationwide indefinite strike
12-13 June – Portugal – Rail workers’ strike
13 June – South Korea – Local elections
14 June – Eid al-Fitr – National holiday in many Muslim-majority countries
15 June – Azerbaijan – National Salvation Day
15 June – Bangladesh – Jumatul Bidah
16 June – Austria – Pride parade to be held in Vienna
16 June – Malaysia – Hari Raya Puasa holiday
16 June – South Africa – Youth day
17 June – Argentina – Martin Miguel de Guemes day
17 June – Iceland – Independence Day
18 June – Bermuda – National Heroes Day
18 June – Cambodia – King Mother’s birthday
18 June – Seychelles – Constitution Day
19 June – Trinidad and Tobago – Labour day

Click the following link to download this report as a PDF: Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 23 The Weekly Risk Roundup highlights significant events from the last week and what to look out for next week. Week 23 Weekly Risk Roundup was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

Solace Global – Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 22

Headlines From This Week

Terror in Belgium – Islamic State has claimed responsibility for a terror attack which left two police officers and a bystander dead in the Belgian city of Liege on 29 May. The attacker was reportedly radicalised in prison, from where he had been temporarily released on 28 May.
Armed Attack in Saudi Arabia – A police officer was killed by two assailants who then stole his weapons in the Saudi Arabian city of Taif on 31 May. The assailants subsequently attacked a National Guard facility, injuring several. One of the attackers was wounded and arrested, while the other escaped.
First Storm of Atlantic Hurricane Season – Tropical Storm Alberto, the first storm of the Atlantic hurricane season, made landfall in the Caribbean and the United States this week. At least eight people were killed including four in Cuba and four in North Carolina, USA. Flooding conditions have been reported across the United States in Florida, Alabama, Tennessee, Kentucky, the Carolinas, West Virginia and Illinois. Four North Carolina Dams are close to rupturing and are being assessed by state authorities.
Brazil Strikes – Brazil has been beset by strikes over the past two weeks which have caused significant disruption. Truck drivers began their strike on 20 May and were joined by oil workers on 30 June. The strikes and related protests led to a significantly reduced supply of fuel, food, and essential items nationwide, as well as significant travel disruption. The economy, still emerging from a devastating recession, is set to be hard hit by these strikes.
Government Formed in Italy – Months after inconclusive election results, a government has been formed in Italy. The government will be led by the independent Giuseppe Conte with ministries headed by officials from the Five Star Movement and the League, both are populist, Eurosceptic parties. There are fears of what this could mean for the EU as Italy is the bloc’s fourth largest economy.
Jihadist Attack in Mozambique – At least 10 people have been beheaded by Islamic militants in the northern Mozambique region of Cabo Delgado. The attack, which took place on 29 May, appears to have targeted those involved in extractive industries. Islamists groups have conducted sporadic attacks over the past year.
Political Change in Spain – Spanish Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy of the People’s Party lost a vote of no-confidence on 01 June brought about after corruption allegations. He has been replaced by Socialist Party leader Pedro Sanchez, but political instability remains as no party has a majority in parliament.

What To Look Out For Next Week

Tiananmen Square Commemorations – Activists are set to gather in Taipei, Hong Kong, and other locations on 04 June to commemorate 29 years since protesters in Tiananmen Square, Beijing were brutally crushed by Chinese security forces. Chinese censors and authorities are kept on alert for any signs of commemorations; expect higher than usual levels of security within the vicinity of Tiananmen Square.
G7 Summit – Charlevoix, Canada plays host to the 44th Summit of the Group of Seven (G7) nations on 08-09 June 2018. Disruption is probable and serious unrest possible due to planned protests. All heads of state/government of the G7 nations are set to attend, as well as EU leaders and especially invited guests.
Naksa and International Quds Day – 05 June marks the “day of the setback” or Naksa which commemorates the displacement of Palestinians after Israel’s victory in 1967 Six-Day War. Clashes between Israeli forces and Palestinian protesters are common on this day and all border regions should be avoided. International Quds day, a day of solidarity with the Palestinian people, takes place on 08 June. Rallies should be expected around the world in the days surrounding this date.
Peru Strike – Truck and coach drivers are set to strike in Peru from 05 June after talks between unions and the government broke down. The strike does not have an end date at this time. Travellers are advised to take the necessary provisions for travel and ensure that they have plenty of non-perishable food prepared as any strike may make the availability of foodstuffs limited.
Madrid Metro Strikes – After striking on 01 June, Madrid metro workers have announced plans to strike on 04, 08, and 15 June. The strikes will all begin at 06:05 to last until 10:15 and then restart at 13:20 and finish at 21:30. A minimum of 69 per cent of services will be running on the morning strike and 55 percent on the afternoon strike. Travellers should note there is the potential for protests alongside the strikes.
New York Gun Control March – Saturday 02 June is anticipated to see large numbers of demonstrators rallying in support of further gun control measures following a recent series of school shootings, and inaction from state and federal legislators. The protestors have announced their intent to rally at the Korean War Veterans’ Memorial in Brooklyn, before moving to Foley Square in Manhattan. Gun control remains an emotive topic across the United States, and the event may attract counter-protests from pro-Second Amendment groups. Violence remains unlikely, but some disruption should be anticipated.

Significant Dates and Events

02 June – Brunei – Nuzul Al-Quran
02 June – Macedonia (FYROM) – Opposition plan protest in Skopje
02 June – Sweden – Stockholm Marathon
02 June – Mali – Opposition rally in Bamako
02 June – Spain – Pro-Spanish language group to protest in Valencia
02 June – United Kingdom – Marriage equality march in Belfast
02 June – Israel – Anti-Netanyahu rally in Tel Aviv
02 June – United States – Rally for hurricane victims in New York City
02 June – Italy – Republic Day
02 June – Jordan – Protest planned over income tax law
03 June – Uganda – Martyrs’ Day
03 June – Slovenia – Legislative Elections
04 June – Mexico – Teaching union to launch indefinite strike
4-5 June – Bolivia – University strike, El Alto
05 June – France – Activists plan rally against the visit of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu
05 June – Zimbabwe – Opposition plans nationwide protest
06 June – Chile – Student march planned in Santiago
06 June – Iran – Martyrdom of Imam Ali
08 June – France – RATP workers plan rally in Paris
09 June – Uganda – National Heroes Day
10 June – Congo – Reconciliation Day
10 June – Portugal – National Day
11-12 June – Bangladesh – Night of Destiny (national holiday)
11 June – Colombia – Sacred Heart (national holiday)
11 June – Russia – National Day
12 June – Philippines – Independence Day
12-13 June – Portugal – Rail workers’ strike
13 June – South Korea – Local elections
14 June – Eid al-Fitr – National holiday in many Muslim-majority countries.

Click the following link to download this report as a PDF: Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 22 The Weekly Risk Roundup highlights significant events from the last week and what to look out for next week. Week 21 Weekly Risk Roundup was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

Week 21 – Maritime Security Weekly Snapshot

Indian Ocean HRA – Maritime Security Incidents

24-27 May 18: Cyclone Mekunu. Cyclone Mekunu crossed between Socotra and Salalah during 24-27 May. The storm resulted in extreme weather conditions, making landfall at Salalah as a category three storm. Disruption to air travel was widespread, and significant flooding was also reported, severely limiting land travel. At least 50 people were reported missing or killed. 30 May 18: Suspicious Approach near Merca, Somalia. A merchant vessel at 01°38’N, 044°42’E reported an approach by six skiffs carrying an unspecified number of persons onboard. No attempted boarding was reported, and the vessel and crew remain safe.

Gulf of Guinea – Maritime Security Incidents

13 April 18: – LATE REPORT – Stores Stolen from Vessel at Apapa Port, Nigeria. Four men aboard a skiff boarded a container ship anchored at 06°26’N 003°24’E. Crew members raised the alarm and the robbers fled. Upon searching, bosun stores lock was found to be broken, and stores were missing. 22 May 18: Attempted Boarding Against Tanker 130 NM South of Lome, Togo. Seven pirates in a skiff attempted to board a drifting tanker at 03°46’N 001°30’E. They aborted their attempt when the alarm was raised. The tanker’s master reported a potential mothership near their location. 23 April 18: Attempted Robbery in Lagos. A lone intruder was reported on the deck on a merchant vessel at 06°16’N 003°12’E. The intruder jumped overboard when challenged. 25 May 18: Tanker boarded near Lagos, Nigeria. Two men boarded a tanker at 06°18’N 003°20’E. They fled empty handed when the alarm was raised. 26 May 18: Robbery from Ro-Ro Vessel in Lagos, Nigeria. Seven men boarded a Ro-Ro vessel berthed at 06°27’N 003°22’E. The duty crewman was tied up and his radio taken. The robbers then broke into the paint store and escaped with ship’s properties. Crew & vessel reported safe.

South East Asia – Maritime Security Incidents

05 May 18: – LATE REPORT – Theft at Anchor near Bintan Island, Indonesia. Stores were discovered missing from a tanker anchored at 01°24’N, 104°36’E. The theft was discovered during routine emergency drills. 15 May 18: Theft at Anchor Reported in Uban, Indonesia. Stores were discovered missing from a product tanker anchored at 01°06’N, 104°11’E. The theft was discovered during routine rounds.

Click link to Download PDF: Solace Global Maritime Security Snapshot – Week 21 A roundup of maritime security incidents – an easy to read format collating suspicious approaches, vessel attacks, boardings, hijacks and media reports. The week 21 Maritime Security Snapshot was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

Solace Global – Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 21

Headlines From This Week

Bombay Bhel Bombing – At least 15 people were wounded, three critically, when an improvised explosive device was detonated in an Indian restaurant in Mississauga, Canada, in the evening of 24 May. Two males, believed to have built and detonated the device, remain wanted by police. No links to terror or criminal groups has yet been confirmed, however the city has experienced a significant rise in hate crimes over the past two years.
Sandinista Clashes in Leon – Members of Nicaraguan Sandinista groups clashed with students staging a sit-in protest in Leon. At least 59 people were reported wounded during the violence. This marked the most recent development in the ongoing violence between supporters of the Ortega regime and a diverse mix of anti-government groups which has stretched on since mid-April. A Church-sponsored dialogue between the two sides also broke down on 24 May; violence and unrest appear likely to continue.
Armed Clashes and Kidnappings in Nigeria – Nigeria experienced a series of armed clashes over the past week, with unidentified gunmen clashing with security forces and attacking civilians in both Logo and Kaduna. In addition, on 20 May, at least 47 people were reported kidnapped on the highway between Birnin-Gwari and Kano. Despite Nigeria’s ongoing issues with the Boko Haram insurgency, these attacks have occurred in regions in which the group is not generally active. It appears likely that the incidents are the result of tribal tensions caused by friction between nomadic groups and settled communities.

Singapore Summit Cancelled – US President Trump withdrew from the proposed summit with North Korea’s Kim Jong Un, scheduled to be held in Singapore on 12 June. The withdrawal appears to have been due to recent disclosures that China and North Korea have been engaged in significant talks prior to the summit, potentially in order to establish a unified stance against the US-South Korean alliance. This announcement followed North Korea’s highly publicised demolition of part of its nuclear test facility, although the destruction was not overseen by weapons experts.

Indian Ocean Cyclones – The Indian Ocean has experienced two significant cyclones during the last week, with Mekuna presently headed north for Salalah on the Omani coast, whilst Sagar struck Djibouti on 19 May, having moved through the Gulf of Aden. These storms have caused significant disruption to air and maritime traffic across the region, with Salalah airport remaining closed since 24 May. Cyclone Sagar’s landfall in Somaliland and Djibouti led to widespread damage and over 50 confirmed deaths, due primarily to widespread flash flooding.

What To Look Out For Next Week

Anti-Macron Protests – Protests against French President Emmanuel Macron’s policies are due to be held across a number of major cities on 26 May. The protests are being carried out by a loose coalition of opposition and industry groups opposed to Macron’s sweeping reforms to state industries and labour policy. Protests related to this movement have previously turned violent, and police may use forceful measures to restore order.
AfD Protests – The German far-right Alternative fur Deutschland party is scheduled to hold a demonstration in Berlin on 27 May. Anti-fascist groups intend to launch counter-protests with several thousand people, and 2,000 police officers have been assigned to secure the protests. The AfD are due to rally at Berlin central station at midday, before marching to the Brandenburg Gate. With such large crowds expected, and an array of disparate groups participating, isolated instances of violence are likely, despite the large police presence. Widespread violence, however, remains unlikely. Despite this, travellers are advised to avoid the area if possible.
Colombian Presidential Elections – The first round of the Colombian presidential election is due to take place on 27 May. If no single candidate wins an out-right majority, a second round will be held on 17 June. At present, of the six candidates contesting the vote, Ivan Duque is leading with 35 per cent in most polls, 10 per cent ahead of his closest rival. It appears unlikely, however, that he will secure a first-round win. In this case, the second-round outcome is less certain, as it remains unclear how those who supported discarded candidates in the first round will vote.
Armenian Republic Day – Armenia will celebrate Republic Day on 28 May, an event typically marked with fireworks, concerts, and parades to celebrate the country’s founding in 1918. The event this year is likely to lead to heightened levels of disruption as both the centenary of the nation’s foundation, and also due to the recent bout of political unrest, which essentially led to a bloodless revolution. Although unrest appears to have significantly reduced, there remains a possibility that violence may occur among large groups of people celebrating under the influence of alcohol.
French Open – The French Open tennis tournament is due to begin on 27 May and continue until 10 July. The event is held in the Stade Roland-Garros in Paris and is likely to lead to travel disruption throughout the surrounding area due to an influx of spectators. Enhanced security measures likely to be deployed to any significant sporting event.

Significant Dates and Events

26 May – Iceland – Municipal Elections
25-27 May – Monaco – Formula One weekend
26 May – Ukraine – UEFA Champion’s League Final, Kiev
26 May – Georgia – Day of First Republic
26 May – Italy – Air and rail workers to strike in Milan
26 May – Albania – Anti-government protests due in Tirana
26 May – Madagascar – Pro-government rallies planned in Antananarivo
28 May – Azerbaijan – Republic Day
28 May – Ethiopia – Downfall of the Derg – national holiday
28 May – USA – Memorial Day
29 May – Indonesia – Buddha’s birthday
29 May – Malaysia – Wesak Day
29 May – Nigeria – Democracy Day
30 May – Anguilla – Anguilla national day
30 May – Trinidad and Tobago – Indian Arrival Day, national holiday
30–31 May – Greece – Bus workers to strike in Athens
30 May – Nicaragua – “Mother’s of April” group seek to march in Managua
31 May – Brunei – Armed Forces Day
31 May – Togo – Opposition groups plan sit-ins in Lome
31 May – Italy – Diamond League athletics to be hosted in Rome
01 June – Bahamas – Labour Day
01 June – Indonesia – Pancasila Day
01 June – Kenya – Madaraka Day
01 June – Samoa – Independence Day
02 June – Brunei – Nuzul Al-Quran
02 June – Italy – Republic Day
04 June – Hong Kong – Tiananmen vigil to be held in Victoria Park
04 June – Mexico – Teaching union to launch indefinite strike

Click the following link to download this report as a PDF: Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 21 The Weekly Risk Roundup highlights significant events from the last week and what to look out for next week. Week 21 Weekly Risk Roundup was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

Week 20 – Maritime Security Weekly Snapshot

Indian Ocean HRA – Maritime Security Incidents

18-19 May 18: Tropical Storm Sagar. Tropical storm Sagar moved west across the Gulf of Aden, causing severe sea conditions, before making landfall near Djibouti and Somalia. The official toll has not been confirmed, however several dozen are likely to have been killed across Yemen, Somalia, and Djibouti. Economic difficulties resulting from the storm may result in an increase in pirate activity. “Operation Red Thunder”. The Saudi-led coalition operating in Yemen is presently conducting Operation Red Thunder, a concerted effort to seize control of Al Hudaydah from the Houthi rebels. It is possible that the Houthi may seek to target Saudi and coalition shipping in response to this offensive.

Gulf of Guinea – Maritime Security Incidents

19 May 18: Crew Kidnapped near Bonny, Nigeria. An offshore supply vessel was attacked in position 03°54’N 006°42’E, in Okwori field. The attackers destroyed communications equipment and stole crew possessions. Four crew members remain missing, remaining crew unharmed. 19 May 18: Attempted Boarding, Lagos Anchorage. Seven persons sought to board a bulk carrier anchored at 06°26’N 003°23’E, in Lagos Anchorage. Crew members spotted the boarding and raised the alarm. The robbers abandoned their attempted attack. 21 May 18: Attempted Boarding, Lome, Togo. One man sought to board an anchored merchant vessel at 03°46’N 001°30’E, in Lome. A crew member raised the alarm and the robber fled in a skiff with six others onboard.

South East Asia – Maritime Security Incidents

Abu Sayyaf Released hostages in Sulu, Philippines. The Abu Sayyaf Islamist group released at least three hostages recently taken in the Sulu region, including two female police officers. It remains unclear if a ransom was paid, or the group submitted to military pressure. 19 May 18: Tanker Boarded near Karimun Kecil, Indonesia. Six men boarded a tanker underway at 01°10’N 103°27’E at the western end of the Singapore Strait. The crew raised the alarm, causing the robbers to flee empty handed. 19 May 18: Theft at Anchor Reported in Merak, Indonesia. Three men carrying knives boarded a merchant vessel anchored at 05°52’S, 106°05’E. A crew member was threatened, whilst the thieves made away with engine room spares.

Click link to Download PDF: Solace Global Maritime Security Snapshot – Week 20 A roundup of maritime security incidents – an easy to read format collating suspicious approaches, vessel attacks, boardings, hijacks and media reports. The week 20 Maritime Security Snapshot was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

Solace Global – Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 20

Headlines From This Week

Gaza Unrest – At least 62 people were killed by Israeli Defence Forces (IDF) when violent clashes erupted on the Israel-Gaza border as the relocated US Embassy opened in Jerusalem on 14 July. Tensions were already heightened as Palestinians commemorate ‘Nakba’, or ‘catastrophe’ of 70 years of the Israeli state on the same date. IDF troops have been accused of being overly aggressive towards protesters, with the use of live ammunition. Further clashes are likely throughout Ramadan.
Terror Attack in France – Two people, including the attacker, were killed after a suspected terror attack in Paris’s Opera district. Several others were injured in the stabbing attack on the evening of 12 May 2018. Islamic State claimed that one of its “soldiers” carried out the attack. The attacker was believed to have been born in Chechnya, a restive, Muslim majority region of Russia, before moving to France.
Multiple Bombings in Indonesia – On the morning of 13 May, Islamist militants attacked three churches in Surabaya, Indonesia’s second city. A later attack occurred the following morning outside a police station, just south of the city. In total, at least 26 people were killed, including 13 of the suspected bombers; the attackers were reportedly from two families and included children. The attacks have been described as the most coordinated terror events in the country’s history. Indonesian prosecutors are seeking the death sentence for the cleric accused of planning the attacks from jail.
Korea Complications – This week saw a cooling of relations on the Korean Peninsula. Pyongyang broke off high-level talks with Seoul due to joint US-South Korea military exercises, a speech made by a North Korean defector at the Seoul National Assembly, and the proposal that North Korea could follow the ‘Libya Model’. This proposal by National Security Advisor John Bolton, suggests that denuclearisation and the lifting of sanctions could eventually lead to the overthrow of the North Korean regime as it did in Libya. President Trump has denied this aim but it is clear that Pyongyang is seeking to extract concessions from South Korea and the US.
Evacuations in Colombia – Tens of thousands of people have been ordered to evacuate their homes after heavy floods at Hidroituango dam on the river Cuaca. Flooding at the partially complete dam, Colombia’s largest hydroelectric project, had already displaced hundreds before evacuation orders were issued. Colombia’s army, police, and disaster management agency have been dispatched to the site in the north-western Antioquia province. At present no casualties have been reported.

What To Look Out For Next Week

Venezuela Elections – Venezuela is set to go to the polls on 20 May 2018. Elections were initially scheduled for December 2018 but were then moved to 22 April before being pushed back to the 20 May. The incumbent President Maduro is widely expected to win either legitimately or through fraudulent means. Many opposition figures and parties have been barred from running against him, while others have decided to boycott the vote. Many of the populous are expected to abstain from the vote, assisting President Maduro. It is unclear if popular, political unrest will reach the levels seen in Venezuela in 2014 and 2017 as voter apathy is high.
Africa Day – An annual commemoration of the Organisation of African Unity (OAU) (now the African Union), is set to take place on 25 May. The OAU was founded on 25 May 1963. The day is celebrated with a public holiday in many African nations including Zimbabwe and Ghana. Celebrations may stretch over a number of days in certain locations, travellers should follow local media to understand how they may be impacted by events.
UEFA Champions League Final – The final of the world’s premier club football competition is set to be held at 1845UTC on 26 May 2018 in Kiev, Ukraine. Liverpool from the United Kingdom and Real Madrid from Spain are set to face each other. Security for the match is set to be tight, with Ukrainian police looking to prevent any potential terror attacks or clashes between fans, as have previously been seen at European competition fixtures this year.
Constitutional Referendum in Ireland – Irish voters will go to the polls on 25 May 2018 for a proposed amendment to the Irish constitution which would permit the Oireachtas (parliament) to legislate on the legalisation of abortion. At present, the ‘yes’ vote is expected to win with a double-digit lead in recent polls. The two largest parties in Ireland, Fine Gael and Fianna Fail, officially remain neutral but the Fine Gael Prime Minister Leo Varadkar is publicly supporting a ‘yes’ vote.
Further Rail Disruption in France – Domestic, Eurostar, and Thalys rail services face disruptions on 18-19 May and 23-24 May due to further strikes by French rail workers. Delays and cancellations are to be expected on these days. These are the latest set of strikes which have been ongoing for more than a month. Trains running on high-speed lines (TGVs), the Transilien network (Greater Paris region), TER networks (regional trains), and Intercités (inter-city) networks will all be affected, with only one out of four trains operating on some lines. Additional rail strikes will take place on 28-29 May;2, 3, 7, 8, 12, 13, 17, 18, 22, 23, 27, and 28 June.

Significant Dates and Events

19 May – Turkey – Ataturk Commemoration and Youth and Sports Day
19-21 May – Judaism – Shavuot begins
19 May – United Kingdom – English and Scottish FA Cup Finals
19 May – Nicaragua – Opposition Marches Planned
20 May – Cameroon – National Day
20 May – Christianity – Whit Sunday (Pentecost)
20 May – Timor-Leste – Independence Restoration Day
20 May – Cambodia – Day of Remembrance
21 May – Canada – Victoria Day
21 May – Cayman Islands – Discovery Day
21 May – Chile – Navy Day
21 May – Montenegro – Independence Day
22 May – Yemen – National Unity Day
23 May – Macedonia – Vlach’s National Day
24 May – Belize – Sovereign’s Day
24 May – Bulgaria and Macedonia – Saints Cyril and Methodius Day
24 May – Ecuador – Battle of Pichincha Day
24 May – Eritrea – Independence Day
24 May – Barbados – General Election
25 May – Argentina – Anniversary of 1810 Revolution
25 May – Bermuda – Bermuda Day
25 May – Bolivia – Sucre Local Festival
25 May – Jordan – Independence Day
26 May – Iceland – Municipal Elections
25-27 May – Monaco – Formula One weekend
26 May – Ukraine – UEFA Champion’s League Final, Kiev
26 May – Georgia – Day of First Republic
26 May – Italy – Air and rail workers to strike in Milan
27 May – Colombia – Presidential Election
27 May – 10 June – France – French Open Tennis

Click the following link to download this report as a PDF: Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 20 The Weekly Risk Roundup highlights significant events from the last week and what to look out for next week. Week 19 Weekly Risk Roundup was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

Week 19 – Maritime Security Weekly Snapshot

Indian Ocean HRA – Maritime Security Incidents

12 May 18: Merchant Vessel Attacked near Eritrea. A bulk carrier reported coming under attack at 14°40’N 041°45’E, off the Eritrean coast. Crew and vessel reported safe, the vessel was reportedly carrying grain to the Yemeni port of Saleef. Vessels seeking entry to Yemen are advised to comply with all instructions from UN or Saudi coalition vessels.

Gulf of Guinea – Maritime Security Incidents

08 May 18: Attempted Boarding near Brass, Nigeria. Six persons onboard a skiff attempted to board a merchant vessel at 03°37’N, 006°16’E. The attackers hooked a ladder over the MV’s sides, but were prevented from boarding by hardening measures and evasive manoeuvres. Vessel and crew safe. 11 May 18: Tug with Stolen Cargo Seized, Bonny, Nigeria. Nigerian naval forces reported the seize of a 1,000 tonne barge containing stolen diesel fuel. Six suspected thieves were also detained from aboard the tug boat.

South East Asia – Maritime Security Incidents

Abu Sayyaf Clashed with Troops in Sulu, Philippines. Philippine troops clashed with suspected members of the Islamist group Abu Sayyaf whilst seeking to recover hostages taken by the group. This marks the most recent attack by the terror organisation which has previously directly targeted seafarers in kidnap-for-ransom attacks.

Click link to Download PDF: Solace Global Maritime Security Snapshot – Week 19 A roundup of maritime security incidents – an easy to read format collating suspicious approaches, vessel attacks, boardings, hijacks and media reports. The week 19 Maritime Security Snapshot was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

Week 18 – Maritime Security Weekly Snapshot

Indian Ocean HRA – Maritime Security Incidents

CTF 151 Seeks to Engage Non-Commercial Seafarers. Combined Task Force 151 has launched an effort to actively engage with non-commercial vessels transiting the HRA. Previous efforts have focused on countering piracy towards commercial shipping, and the new effort is aimed at filling a perceived gap in coverage. Pakistani Vessels Provide Logistical Support. Pakistani warships assigned to CTF 151 reported providing assistance to both a stranded fishing boat with a mechanical issue, and a yacht which ran out of fuel and food due to recent adverse conditions in the region.

Gulf of Guinea – Maritime Security Incidents

06 May 18: Attempted Boarding near Port Harcourt, Nigeria. Six persons onboard a skiff attempted to board a merchant vessel at 03°37’N, 006° 16’E. Vessel and crew reported safe.

South East Asia – Maritime Security Incidents

06 May 18: Attempted Boarding at Chittagong, Bangladesh. Robbers aboard a small wooden boat boarded a bulk carrier at 22°15’N 091°45’E using a rope and hook. The crew raised the alarm and robbers left the vessel empty handed. 06 May 18: Attempted Robbery at Muara Berau, Indonesia. Robbers aboard a small boat boarded a bulk carrier at 00°14’S 117°34’E. The crew raised the alarm and robbers left the vessel empty handed. 29 Apr 18: Vessel Boarded at Tanjung Berakit, Indonesia. Robbers successfully boarded a heavy lift vessel anchored at 01°25’N, 104°47’E. They broke several stores throughout the vessel, but investigation reported nothing stolen.

Click link to Download PDF: Solace Global Maritime Security Snapshot – Week 18 A roundup of maritime security incidents – an easy to read format collating suspicious approaches, vessel attacks, boardings, hijacks and media reports. The week 18 Maritime Security Snapshot was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

Solace Global – Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 18

Headlines From This Week

Dust Storms in India – At least 125 fatalities have been reported after dust storms hit northern India, notably Uttar Pradesh and Rajasthan. High-speed winds and lightning have brought down buildings and led to dozens of injuries. Dust storms are expected to continue, and the death toll is predicted to rise.
Terror Attack in Tripoli – On 02 May, Islamic State militants attacked Libya’s electoral commission headquarters in Tripoli. At least 12 people have been confirmed dead as gunmen and suicide bombers attacked while officials registered voters for elections that it is scheduled to be held this year.
Dozens Dead in Boko Haram Attack – Reports suggest that 60 people were killed in a twin suicide attacks on a mosque in Mubi, Adamawa state while afternoon prayer was being held. Dozens more were injured in the Boko Haram attack. Violence by the terror group has killed around 20,000 people since 2009.
17 Dead in Mali Islamist Attack – At least 17 people were killed after Islamist militants attacked two villages in Menaka region, Mali on 01 May. The local affiliate of Islamic state has been blamed for the attack which targeted members of the Taureg community. This incident is a further example of Mali’s instability at this time.
Morocco Cuts Ties with Iran – On 02 May, Morocco severed diplomatic relations with Iran after reporting evidence of their support for rebels in the disputed Western Sahara region. Morocco claims that the Iranian-backed Hezbollah militant group has provided training and financial support to Polisario Front independence fighters. This is further evidence of the battle lines being drawn in Middle East and North Africa.
Terror Attacks in Afghanistan – Jihadists launched a series of deadly attacks across the country after the Afghan Taliban announced its annual spring offensive. On 30 April, a coordinated double suicide bombing killed at least 25 people, ten of whom were journalists. The initial suicide bombing near the NATO headquarters and US Embassy was followed 20 minutes later as another attack targeted first responders. Dozens of other terror incidents have occurred across the country this week.
Evacuations in Hawaii – Mandatory evacuations have been issued in areas of the island of Hawaii after Kilauea volcano erupted, spewing lava into a residential area on 03 May. At present 1,700 people of Leilani Estates are affected by the evacuation order but this may increase depending on the activity of the volcano which is unpredictable at this time, according to officials. More than 6300 hectares have been closed off to the public due to volcanic activity.

What To Look Out For Next Week

Malaysia General Election – Malaysians are set to go to the polls to elect a new parliament on 09 May. The 2013 vote was met with cases of violence, including an improvised explosive device at a rally for the ruling party. Opposition parties also criticised the fairness of the election claiming that the ruling party enjoyed an unfair advantage, with opposition rallies disrupted and internet speeds slowed down for those critical of the government.
Giro d’Italia Begins – The annual tour of Italy begins on 04 May. The first stage takes place in Jerusalem with two further race days in Israel before the race reaches Italy on 08 May. The final stage takes place in Rome on 27 May. Travel disruption should be expected during this period.
Lebanon Legislative Elections – Elections are set to occur on 06 May after years of delays. The political system has historically been unstable, and this looks set to continue. Prime Minister Saad Hariri recently resigned before retracting his resignation. Religious and ethnic traditions influence the political system. There is the potential for unrest or terror incidents, especially given regional tensions and active terror groups.
Iraq Elections – Parliamentary elections are due to be held on 12 May 2018. The vote is being held against the backdrop of a defeat of Islamic State in Iraq. However, ethnic strife, criminality, and terrorism continue to blight the country’s security profile. It is also unclear what involvement Iraqi Kurdistan, which voted for independence in late 2017, will have in the election. In 2014, as members of the security forces voted, six polling stations were hit by suicide bombers with at least 27 deaths recorded. Violent unrest and terror attacks are highly likely in the election period.
Anti-Macron Protests – On 05 May, protesters will take to the streets of Paris and Lyon to voice opposition to President Macron and the French government. In Paris, demonstrators are expected to rally from 1200hrs at Place de l’Opéra, before marching to Place de la Bastille. Protesters in Lyon will gather at 1400hrs at Place des Terreau. Security is set to stepped up as violence occurred at 01 May protests and 109 people were arrested. Macron has so far been reluctant to make any concessions to continuing protesters.
Unrest to Continue in Israel – Yom Yerushalayim or Jerusalem Day on 12-13 May is an Israeli national holiday which celebrates the establishment of Israeli control over the city after the June 1967 Six-Day War. This celebration, with the planned opening of the US Embassy in Jerusalem on 14 May, means that violent unrest is set to continue.

Significant Dates and Events

04-20 May – Denmark – World Ice Hockey Championships
05 May – Ethiopia – Patriots’ Victory Day
05 May – Israel – Anti-government protests in Tel Aviv
05 May – Peru – Anti-abortion rally to be held in Lima
05 May – Ireland – Pro-Palestinian rally planned in Dublin
05 May – Guyana – Arrival Day
05 May – United Kingdom – Pro-independence rally in Glasgow
05 May – Kazakhstan – Constitution Day
05 May – United States – Kentucky Derby
05 May – Japan – Constitution Memorial Day and Children’s Day
05 May – Kyrgyzstan – Constitution Day
05 May – Mexico – Cinco de Mayo (Victory Over French, 1867)
05 May – Spain – Nationwide protests over pension reform
05-07 May – France – Transport strikes affecting Marseille Province Airport
06 May – Russia – Left Front activists to rally in Moscow
06 May – Canada – Toronto Marathon
06 May – Bulgaria – George’s Day
06 May – Tunisia – Municipal Elections
06 May – Thailand – Environmental activists to protest in Chiang Mai
06 May – United States – Anti-National Rifle Association rally in Dallas, Texas
07 May – Kazakhstan – Defender of the Fatherland Day
08 May – Georgia – St Andrew’s Day
08 May – Turkmenistan – National Heroes Commemoration Day
08 May – Italy – National air traffic control strike
08-09 May – Various – Victory in Europe Day
08-19 May – France – Cannes Film Festival
09 May – Kosovo – Europe Day
09 May – Uzbekistan – Day of Remembrance of the Victims of Political Repressions
10 May – Various – Christian festival of the Ascension
11-13 May – Spain – Formula One weekend in Barcelona
12 May – Timor-Leste – General election

Click the following link to download this report as a PDF: Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 18 The Weekly Risk Roundup highlights significant events from the last week and what to look out for next week. Week 18 Weekly Risk Roundup was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

Solace Global – Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 17

Headlines From This Week

Ramming Attack in Toronto – On 23 April, a lone individual killed ten people, and left a further 15 wounded, when he crashed a hired van through pedestrians in Toronto. A disproportionate number of victims were female. The attacker had an extensive history of mental health and learning difficulties, in addition to a discharge from the Canadian army 16 days into training. Present evidence suggests that the attacker was self-radicalised based on active participation in a range of alternative and misogynistic online communities.
Nicaraguan Protests – Anti-government protests, triggered by proposed changes to social security measures, expanded and widened even after the government submitted to initial demands. Tens of thousands continued to protest daily in Managua, now apparently focused on breaking President Ortega’s 30-year monopoly on power. Violence occurred frequently as pro-government counter protesters and police sought to quell the unrest, and residents near the protests sought to defend their properties. Unrest is highly likely to continue.
Kenya Flood Risk – Severe rains in western Kenya have led to widespread flooding, forcing approximately 200,000 people to evacuate their homes. Key highways have been submerged, hindering emergency responses. Numerous landslides have been reported. The rainfall was sufficient that two dams near Mount Kenya, the Masinga and Kamburu, are at risk of failure. Significant populations down-river from them have been advised to evacuate to high ground.
Madagascar Protests – Madagascar has seen a series of opposition-led protests against the Government’s attempt to implement new electoral laws which are likely to bar a number of candidates from the upcoming presidential election. At present, opposition leaders remain steadfast in their refusal to re-enter negotiations and the government has relied on security forces to disperse protests. At least two people have been killed, and tear gas has frequently been employed to scatter crowds.
Greek Ultranationalists beat Migrants – Supporters of Greek far-right political groups clashed with a crowd of migrants in the main square of Mytilene on Lesbos overnight on 20 April. The migrants had been peacefully protesting the poor living standards in official government-run refugee camps, and persistent delays in the processing of asylum claims. Over 30 people were hospitalised following the clash, which involved thrown bricks and flares; and police detained over 120 people before evacuating the migrants back to an official camp.
Leaders of North and South Korea Met in South Korea – President Kim became the first North Korean leader since the war to cross the Demarcation line into South Korea during a diplomatic meeting with the South’s President Moon. The meeting, on 27 April, resulted in a declaration that the two states would seek complete denuclearisation of the Korean Peninsula and a phased reduction in conventional arms. North Korea has routinely discarded earlier treaties; this meeting goes toward setting the stage for the meeting between Kim and US President Trump before the end of June 2018.

What To Look Out For Next Week

Mayday or Labour Day – Known by several names, depending on region, most Western and former-Soviet states hold a public holiday in early May. The specific date of the celebration may vary from country to country, however travellers should expect disruption to travel caused by rallies, parades, or protests which typically accompany the celebrations. The date’s affiliation with labour movements in many countries may lead to strike action or industrial disputes around these dates. Monitoring of local media is recommended in order to minimise disruption.
Rallies for former President in Seoul – Supporters of the ousted South Korean President Park are due to hold rallies in Seoul on 28 April. These rallies are likely to be extensive as Park’s conservative party also directly opposes the foreign policy priorities of the governing Democratic Party, which have come to a head with the recent face-to-face meetings with the North Korean Leader, Kim Jong-Un, and South Korean President Moon. Previous protests by the Conservative Party resulted in thousands of protesters obstructing the streets of Seoul and a series of violent clashes with riot police which left at least one person dead, and many in hospital.
Saleh al-Sammad’s Funeral in Sanaa – The funeral of Saleh al-Sammad, the leader of the Houthi rebel’s Political Council, is due to be held in Sanaa, Yemen’s capital, which is presently under rebel control. The Houthi group have previously been known to launch rocket, drone, and mortar attacks against Saudi assets in response to attacks on their territory or personnel. The killing of such a prominent figure in their organisation by a Saudi airstrike is likely to elicit a similar response. Saudi-flagged vessels in the Red Sea, or major cities in Saudi Arabia may be directly targeted with missiles during or immediately after the funeral.
Indian National Congress Rally in New Delhi – The Indian National Congress (INC) opposition party has scheduled a national rally in New Delhi’s Ramlila Maidan. The INC is affiliated with a wide number of trade and labour groups, which it intends to leverage to create maximum attendance at the rally. The chosen venue has a capacity of approximately 100,000 people, however estimates of crowd size range from 30,000 to 60,000. Significant travel disruption in the immediate area of the rally should be expected. Although the INC has no intention of inciting violence, increasingly polarised national politics means that isolated clashes with counter protesters are probable.
More Protests Likely in Armenia – Talks between the Armenian government and the de-facto leader of the recent protest broke down when the acting prime minister allegedly refused to meet directly with the opposition leader. The Armenian Parliament is due to select its new Prime Minister on 01 May through an internal ballot; opposition leaders have renounced this in favour of a new general election, provided it were certified as free of the voting discrepancies reported in previous polls. Earlier protests saw small numbers of troops joining the demonstrators, however as the protests continue, there remains a realistic probability that violent clashes may occur.

Significant Dates and Events

27 April to 08 May – Thailand – Disruption at Phuket Airport due to maintenance work
28 April – Afghanistan – Mujahideen Victory Day
28 April – Ukraine – Memorial marches to the World War Two-era “Galica” division planned in Lviv
28 April – Gabon – Legislative Elections
28 April – Barbados – National Heroes Day
28 April – Italy – Sardinia’s Day
29 April – Japan – Showa Day
30 April – Mexico – Teachers to commence a 72 hour strike and protest action
30 April – Sri Lanka – Vesak Full Moon Poya Holiday
30 April – Vietnam – Reunification Day
01 May – Various – Mayday or Labour Day, frequently a public holiday
01 May – Marshall Islands – Constitution Day
01 May – Poland – National airline workers due to strike
01 May – Denmark – Anti-fascist groups to rally in Copenhagen
01 May – Greece – Trade unions to rally in Athens
01 May – Bangladesh – BNP trade union affiliates to rally in Dhaka
02 May – Iran – Imam Mahdi’s birthday, national holiday
02 May – Bangladesh & India – Shab e-Barat
03 May – Poland – Constitution Day
03 May – Japan – Constitution Memorial Day
03 May – Cambodia – Royal Ploughing Ceremony, national holiday
04 May – Japan – Greenery Day, national holiday.
04 May – Latvia – Declaration of Independence Day
04 May – Namibia – Cassinga Day
04-20 May – Denmark – World Ice Hockey Championships
05 May – Ethiopia – Patriots’ Victory Day
05 May – Guyana – Arrival Day
05 May – Kazakhstan – Constitution Day
05 May – USA – Kentucky Derby
05 May – Czechia – March planned in Prague supporting Marijuana legalisation
06 May – Russia – Left Front activists to rally in Moscow
06 May – Canada – Toronto Marathon

Click the following link to download this report as a PDF: Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 17 The Weekly Risk Roundup highlights significant events from the last week and what to look out for next week. Week 17 Weekly Risk Roundup was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

Weeks 15 & 16 – Maritime Security Weekly Snapshot

Indian Ocean HRA – Maritime Security Incidents

Apr-May 18: Coalition Preparing Operations Against Al-Hudaydah. Yemeni government forces, supported by the Saudi-led Gulf coalition appear to be preparing for a direct offensive against the Houthi-held port of Al Hudaydah. Previous operations in the area have been countered by attacks against Saudi shipping by shore-based missile systems, and waterborne IEDs. It is highly likely that future offensives will see a similar response.

Gulf of Guinea – Maritime Security Incidents

21 Apr 18: Vessel Boarded off Bonny Island, Nigeria. Preliminary reports suggest a merchant vessel was attacked and boarded at 03°33’N 007°02’E, approximately 40nm south of Bonny Island.

South East Asia – Maritime Security Incidents

18 Apr 18: Robbery At Anchor in Samarinda Indonesia. A vessel anchored at 00°15’S 117°38’E discovered the forecastle store had been broken into. Robbers were believed to have boarded via the anchor chain. 17 Apr 18: Attempted Theft at Anchor in Chittagong, Bangladesh. Six robbers attempted to board a vessel at 22°11’N 091°42’E. One crew member was threatened with a knife before the alarm was raised and the attackers fled. 12 Apr 18: Theft at Anchor in Chittagong, Bangladesh. Robbers boarded a vessel at 22°13’N 091°45’E, assaulted the vessel’s watchkeeper, and fled with ship’s stores. 05 Apr 18: Suspicious Approach against Sailing Vessel, South China Sea. A small vessel containing two men approached a 14m catamaran at speed to within 200m at 17°16’N 111°16’E. The catamaran issued a Mayday and was responded to by a cruise liner. The suspect vessel moved away.

Click link to Download PDF: Solace Global Maritime Security Snapshot – Week 15 & 16 A roundup of maritime security incidents – an easy to read format collating suspicious approaches, vessel attacks, boardings, hijacks and media reports. The week 15 & 16 Maritime Security Snapshot was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.