Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 11

Headlines From This Week

Curfew Implemented in Colon, Panama – Following a spate of civil unrest, a curfew was implemented in Colon on 13 March. Protests were triggered in response to the poor implementation of an infrastructure renovation project, which has led to sanitation issues and flooding. Police with less-than-lethal weapons clashed with protesters throwing rocks, resulting in numerous injured. Isolated reports of burned vehicles and looting also occurred. Tensions are likely to persist.
Violent Protests in Conakry, Guinea – Protests centred around the Wanindara suburb of Conakry have been ongoing since 13 March, following demands by opposition leaders for the vote counts from the February election to be made public. At least two people were shot dead during the unrest, however the circumstances of these remain unclear. Disruption was caused to bauxite extraction and export operations in the region.
Palestinian Prime Minister Attacked on 13 March – The Palestinian Prime Minister, Rami Hamdallah, was targeted by a roadside improvised explosive device in Gaza. The blast damaged several vehicles in the Prime Minister’s motorcade, although no casualties were reported. The aim of the attackers remains unclear, and no group has sought to claim credit for the attack. Ongoing tensions between Hamas and Fatah may have been a factor in the lead up to the attack.
Police killed in Chhattisgarh – Nine members of India’s Central Reserve Police Force were killed in Chhattisgarh when their protected vehicle was struck by a large improvised explosive device. The attack was carried out by a Maoist insurgent group known locally as the Naxals. Reporting suggests that a large number of Naxal fighters continue to operate in the region; attacks are generally focussed on security forces or government targets.
Russia and the UK Reciprocate Diplomatic Expulsions – Following an apparent assassination attempt by suspected Russian agents in Salisbury, UK, the British and Russian governments have engaged in tit-for-tat expulsions of diplomatic staff. Deteriorating relations between the UK and Russia are likely to have wider impact on relations between Russia, and both the EU and US. Russian travellers in the UK, or British travellers in Russia may experience increased levels of harassment from locals or, if in Russia, officials following the incident.
50,000 Refugees Departed Eastern Ghouta – Present estimates suggest that intermittent lulls in the fighting around the Damascus suburb of Easter Ghouta have permitted approximately 50,000 civilians to flee over the past week.

What To Look Out For Next Week

Russian Presidential Election – The Russian presidential election is scheduled for 18 March. The incumbent president, Vladimir Putin, is running against seven opposition candidates, yet is presently receiving approximately 70 per cent support in official polling. Election fraud and corruption is endemic throughout Russia, and urban protests in response to such allegations frequently follow elections. Travellers should be aware that heightened security measures are likely to be in place throughout the election period and near polling sites.
Tunisian Independence Day – Tunisia celebrates its Independence Day on 20 March. The country has recently experienced waves of protests, in part due to the relative impunity enjoyed by security forces when accused of malpractice or brutality, and also due to the perceived lack of judicial independence. It is likely that protests will occur during the Independence Day events, and there remains an underlying risk that these may become violent.
Ugadi/Nyepu – The festival of Ugadi represents the New Year celebrated by Hindu populations in India and across the world. Celebrations often vary by region, however travellers are likely to experience disruption and reduced services when visiting any majority-Hindu area. Indonesian Hindus refer to the holiday as Nyepi; services may be shut down in some areas during the celebrations; Bali is scheduled to restrict internet access.
Nowruz – Nowruz is the traditional Persian New Year, and is celebrated on 20 March in a number of countries with historical cultural ties to Persia, modern-day Iran. The holiday is widely politicised, political leaders often conduct rallies and speeches in the countries where it is celebrated. As Persian population groups may be a minority, it is possible these celebrations will exacerbate ethnic tensions.
Broad Front Protests, Venezuela – The opposition group known as the Broad Front for a Free Venezuela, called for nationwide demonstrations on 17 March, in relation to the presidential election scheduled for April 2018. This marks the first significant attempt by the opposition to mass-mobilise the population since a four-month wave of protests in 2017. Political rallies and protests in Venezuela are often accompanied by violence, with security forces operating in a heavy-handed and repressive manner.
European Anti-Racism Demonstrations – Several European cities; generally national and regional capitals such as London, Edinburgh, and Paris; are scheduled to host demonstrations against racism, anti-Semitism, and Islamophobia. Estimates suggest each protest is likely to attract more than one thousand people. It is likely that far-right or anti-immigration groups will seek to conduct counter demonstrations and may seek to disrupt the events. Travellers should avoid any demonstrations if possible, regardless of apparent peaceful intent.

Significant Dates and Events

17 March – Bangladesh – Sheikh Mujibur Rahman’s birthday
17 March – Ireland – Patrick’s Day
17 March – Serbia – Anti-Kosovo independence protest to take place in Belgrade
17 March – Argentina – Anniversary of 1992 bombing of Israeli Embassy in Buenos Aires
17 March – Germany – Far-right rallies and counter protests planned in Munich
17 March – Burundi – Protests scheduled in Bujumbura
18 March – United Kingdom – Pro-Kurdish Rallies in Oxford
18 March – Australia – ASEAN summit in Sydney, enhanced security likely.
19 March – Togo – Opposition protests scheduled for the week following 19 March
19 March – Mexico – Benito Juarez’s Birthday (public holiday)
19 March – India – Ola and Uber drivers to strike
19 March – Australia – Pro-environmental rally to be held in Marrickville, Sydney
21 March – Japan – Vernal Equinox Day
21 March – Namibia – Independence Day
21 March – South Africa – Human Rights Day
22 March – Puerto Rico – Emancipation Day
22 March – France – General strike by the SNCF union. Public transport is highly likely to be disrupted.
22 March – Italy – Public transport workers to strike in Rome.
23 March – Pakistan – Pakistan Day
23 March – Peru – Eighth Summit of the Americas to be held in Lima
24 March – Argentina – Truth and Justice Memorial Day
25 March – Greece and Cyprus – Greek Independence Day
26 March – Bangladesh – Independence Day
26 March – Mali – Martyrs’ Day
26 March – Egypt – First Round of the Presidential Elections.
27 March – Myanmar – Armed Forces Day
29 March – Madagascar – Martyrs’ day

Click the following link to download this report as a PDF: Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 11 The Weekly Risk Roundup highlights significant events from the last week and what to look out for next week. Week 11 Weekly Risk Roundup was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

Week 10 – Maritime Security Weekly Snapshot

Gulf of Guinea – Maritime Security Incidents

12 Mar 18: Speedboats Stolen by Armed Group in Bayelsa. A group of armed men attacked the Ayama area of Bayelsa, Nigeria, potentially killing or injuring up to five people. The group fled before security forces could respond, towing approximately ten stolen speedboats. 08 Mar 18: Suspicious Approach near Takoradi Anchorage, Ghana. A merchant vessel underway at 03°55’N 001°14’E was approached by three speedboats. Weapons and six persons sighted on one speedboat. Vessel safe. 06 Mar 18: – Update – Tanker Attacked near Bonny Island, Nigeria. A tanker underway at 04°05’N 006°57’E was approached by two speedboats, the occupants of which boarded the tanker with firearms. All crew took refuge in the citadel, no hostages taken. Pirates departed after damaging navigation and communication equipment. All crew safe.

Indian Ocean – Maritime Security Incidents

08 Mar 18: Suspicious Approach in Bab-el-Mandeb. A merchant vessel was approached by three skiffs at 12°32’N 043°27’E, south of Perim Island.

South East Asia – Maritime Security Incidents

06 Feb 18: LATE REPORT: Robbery From Anchored Vessel, Chittagong, Bangladesh. A merchant vessel at 22*08’N 091*44’E was boarded by six men who threatened the crew and escaped with ship’s properties. Crew reported safe.

Click link to Download PDF: Solace Global Maritime Security Snapshot – Week 10 A roundup of maritime security incidents – an easy to read format collating suspicious approaches, vessel attacks, boardings, hijacks and media reports. The week 10 Maritime Security Snapshot was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 10

Headlines From This Week

Warming Relations on the Korean Peninsula – President Trump has agreed to meet North Korean leader Kim Jong Un, after overtures from Pyongyang. The warming of relations between North Korea, South Korea, and the Unite States is highly unexpected, especially given the high tensions in 2017. It is unclear what can be expected to be gained from any talks, but reports suggest that Pyongyang is considering denuclearisation in return for regime security. The warming of relations between North and South Korea largely came as a result of 2018 Pyeongchang Olympic Games and the differing, yet seemingly complementary, tactics of Seoul and Washington.
Violent Unrest in Sri Lanka – This week saw violent unrest in the island nation of Sri Lanka as Buddhists and Muslims clashed, most notably in the city of Kandy. Reports from 09 March suggest that the situation has calmed somewhat after a state of emergency and curfew were implemented. The Sri Lankan military has reportedly been able to quell Buddhist rioters who had attacked mosques and Muslim-owned businesses. There have not been any reports of tourist areas being affected by the violence.
Papua New Guinea Earthquake – Over 100 people are now believed to have died after an earthquake struck the highlands of Papua New Guinea (PNG), with strong aftershocks still being felt. The remoteness of those affected has made rescue efforts a struggle, despite assistance from Australia and New Zealand. Key infrastructure has also been damaged with ExxonMobil forced to shut down all facilities in PNG; repairs and inspections could take around eight weeks.
North America Winter Storms – A massive two-day winter storm that had stretched over a 3,000-kilometre front struck the eastern seaboard of North America, mainly impacting the northeast. The storm is one of the largest since the 1950s and has caused ground travel to come to a halt in many areas, and for flights to be cancelled; power outages have also been reported. A further storm is expected to bring hazardous weather conditions to the southeast coast of the US in the early part of next week.
Elections in Italy – The Italian elections of 04 March brought about strong results of populist parties. The anti-establishment Five Star Movement won the largest share of the vote at 32 per cent while the far-right, anti-EU Lega party came third with more than 17 per cent. No party nor pre-election coalition has the necessary 40 per cent to govern. Talks between different parties will now have to take place to ensure that a government can be formed. This will prove difficult as the Five Star Movement ruled out going into government with any other party before the election. New elections may be called if no government can be formed.

What To Look Out For Next Week

Colombia Elections – Legislative elections in Colombia are due to take place on 11 March. This will mark the first election in which the former rebel group, FARC, are due to participate; the peace deal with FARC has been divisive partly because they are guaranteed 10 seats in the legislature. Another rebel group, the ELN, remain active in Colombia despite peace overtures from the government. The ELN has increased their levels of violence since the end of the ceasefire in early 2018, though they have temporary halted hostilities for the election period.
Tibetan Uprising Day – Observed on 10 March, Tibetan Uprising Day commemorates the 1959 uprising against the presence of China in Tibet. This anniversary often brings protests in neighbouring countries, such as India or Nepal, but these events have been toned down this year. Expect enhanced security measures in Tibet and the neighbouring provinces of Sichuan, Qinghai, Gansu, and Yunnan Provinces, as Chinese security forces seek to prevent self-immolations (the practice, often by monks, of committing suicide by fire as a form of protest).
Australia-ASEAN Summit – The city of Sydney will host the Australia-Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) Special Summit on 17-18 March. Enhanced security measures and road closures are set to be implemented. Protests should also be expected as a series of contentious issues are set to be discussed including political developments in Cambodia, the Rohingya crisis, and the drug war in the Philippines. Smaller summits and events will be held from 12 March.
Resumption of Protests in Togo – After a period of relative calm, opposition groups have announced plans to resume protests on 13, 14, 15, and 17 March. Talks between the government and its opponents had been ongoing since 19 February. The capital Lomé is likely to be the focus of the protests which have turned deadly in the past. Opposition groups are demanding a return to the 1992 Constitution.
Elections in Cuba – Elections will be held in Cuba on 11 March 2018 for members of the National Assembly of People’s Power. This election will mark the beginning of the end of the Castro brothers, with Raul due to step down in April 2018. As this election marks a generational change, it may encourage public unrest. Security forces may forcefully crush any demonstrations. In the previous election, the Communist Party won all 612 seats.
Anti-Finance Law Protests in Niger – Anti-finance law protests are set to take place in Niger on 11 March, specifically in Niamey, Zinder, Maradi, Tillaberi, Tahoua, and Dosso. Previous protests have turned violent and should be avoided. The government claims the law will allow more efficient measures to be implemented against corruption.

Significant Dates and Events

09-18 March – South Korea – 2018 Winter Paralympics, Pyeongchang
11 March – Lithuania – Restoration of Independence Day
11 March – Lesotho – Moshoeshoe’s Day
11 March – Cuba – Legislative elections
12 March – Australia – Canberra and Labour Day
12 March – Commonwealth – Commonwealth Day
12 March – Zambia – Youth Day
12 March – Belize – National Heroes and Benefactors Day
12 March – Mauritius – National Day
13 March – Vatican City – Anniversary of the election of Pope Francis
13 March – Nepal – Presidential Elections
13 March – Grenada – Legislative Elections
14 March – Albania – Summer Day
15-16 March – Belarus – Constitution Day
15-16 March – Hungary – Public holiday
16 March – Philippines – Davao City Day
17 March – Bangladesh – Sheikh Mujibur Rahman’s birthday
17 March – Indonesia – Hari Raya Nyepi
17 March – Austria – Anti-racism rally to be held in Vienna
17 March – Ireland – Patrick’s Day
17 March – France – Anti-police violence and discrimination march in Paris
17 March – Serbia – Anti-Kosovo independence protest to take place in Belgrade
17 March – Argentina – Anniversary of 1992 bombing of Israeli Embassy in Buenos Aires
18 March – Mauritius – Ougadi
18 March – Russia – Presidential Election
19 March – Mexico – Benito Juarez’s Birthday
20 March – Tunisia – Independence Day
20-24 March – Persian New Year (Noruz) – Celebrated in Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, Iraq, and elsewhere
21 March – Japan – Vernal Equinox Day

Click the following link to download this report as a PDF: Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 10 The Weekly Risk Roundup highlights significant events from the last week and what to look out for next week. Week 10 Weekly Risk Roundup was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

Week 09 – Maritime Security Weekly Snapshot

Gulf of Guinea – Maritime Security Incidents

06 Mar 18: Vessel Attacked near Bonny Island, Nigeria. A merchant vessel underway at 04°04’N 006°56’E was attacked by two speedboats carrying armed attackers. The vessel was damaged by gunfire. No reports regarding crew status were released. 01 Mar 18: Suspicious Approach South-East of Takoradi, Ghana. A cargo vessel underway at 04°31’N 001°21’E was approached by two speedboats, with six and three persons onboard respectively. The cargo vessel increased speed and altered course, causing the speedboats to abort their pursuit.

Indian Ocean – Maritime Security Incidents

01 Mar 18: Suspicious Approach in Bab-el-Mandeb. A merchant vessel was approached by four skiffs which closed to within 0.5nm at 13°05’N 043°05’E. Ladders potentially spotted.

South East Asia – Maritime Security Incidents

06 Mar 18: State of Emergency Declared in Sri Lanka. A spate of ethnically motivated unrest in Kandy led to the Sri Lankan government imposing a nationwide state of emergency. Initial plans call for troops to be deployed in potential hotspots for a period of up to ten days. 03 Mar 18: Vessel boarded in Tanjung Priok, Indonesia. Two robbers were seen aboard the aft deck of a vessel anchored at 06°02’S, 106°53’E. Crew were alerted and the robbers fled empty handed. 10 Feb 18: (Late report) Attempted boarding, Kolkota, India. Crew aboard a bulk carrier at 22°11’N, 88°09’E, in Diamond Harbour, Kolkota, detected three persons attempting to climb the anchor from a small boat. Crew members raised the alarm and the attackers fled.

Click link to Download PDF: Solace Global Maritime Security Snapshot – Week 09 A roundup of maritime security incidents – an easy to read format collating suspicious approaches, vessel attacks, boardings, hijacks and media reports. The week 09 Maritime Security Snapshot was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 09

Headlines From This Week

Severe Cold Weather in the UK and Europe – The United Kingdom was caught between two competing weather systems from 28 February to 02 March; winds bringing cold air from Siberia, dubbed “the beast from the east”, clashed with Storm Emma which approached from the Atlantic. Widespread disruption was reported across Europe as atypical levels of snowfall and low temperatures led to challenging conditions for travel. Numerous instances of public transport vehicles becoming stranded with passengers. Rural areas are likely to remain isolated for a number of days.
Student Protests in Lima – Thousands of Peruvian students took to the streets of Lima on 24 February in response to recent legislation they named the “Youth Slavery Law”. The legislation would allow companies to hire students as unpaid interns for periods of up to three years, and was approved by legislators on 21 February. Police prevented the march from approaching the parliament and used teargas to force their dispersion.
Insurgent Attacks in Nigeria, Cameroon, and Chad – Numerous attacks were reported over the last week across the Nigeria-Cameroon border region, and in the vicinity of Lake Chad. These attacks followed the kidnap of at least 100 school girls from Nigeria’s Dapchi. The attacks have been credited to the Islamist insurgent group, Boko Haram. The motive for this spike in violence remains unclear. There have been additional reports of violence due to clashes between villagers and Fulani tribesmen in the area.
Curfew Imposed in the Maldives – The Maldivian government imposed a curfew from 2230hrs until sunrise across the entire archipelago. The measure is intended to prevent the small anti-government protests and political gatherings which have been increasingly frequent over the past three months, particularly since President Yameen’s recent efforts to bring the judiciary and legislature under executive control. The detention of high-profile opposition leaders has fragmented the opposition to the grass-roots level. It is unlikely that this curfew will have any significant impact on the Maldives’s tourist resorts, however caution is advised after dark, particularly in the capital Malé.
Attack in Burkina Faso – On the morning of 02 March, the French Embassy and Army Headquarters in Burkina Faso’s Ouagadougou came under attack. Four attackers have reportedly been killed at the Embassy and three at the Army Headquarters. There is no word on civilian casualties at the time of writing and while it is also unclear which group conducted the attack, Al Qaeda are present and active in the Sahel region. Al Qaeda have previously conduct high-profile attacks on foreign and government locations in Burkina Faso’s capital city.

What To Look Out For Next Week

Anti-Corruption Protests in Tel Aviv – The recent scandal which has embroiled Israeli president Netanyahu is continuing to cause disruption across Israel. Opposition and anti-corruption protesters are due to hold further rallies in Tel Aviv on 03 March. Previous protests have attracted several thousand people, although violence has not been reported. Further revelations in the corruption case are likely to lead to protests growing in size. Police are unlikely to use excessive force against protesters; police support for the corruption charges demonstrates significant independence from the country’s political leadership.
Italian Elections – Italians are set to go to the polls on 04 March in elections which could define or alter the future of the Eurozone and the European Union. Recent polling data suggests that the right-wing coalition is set to be the victor, but no party or political groups is predicted to gain the 40 per cent required to form a government. This could lead to some form of grand coalition. The election has seen the rise of the right, with former-Prime Minister Berlusconi and the Lega Nord coming to the fore.
International Women’s Day – International Women’s Day, officially 08 March, is likely to be marked by rallies and protests on the weekends of 03-04 March, and 10-11 March. In light of the #metoo movement, and revelations of sexual crimes in many western countries, these marches should be expected to attract wider support and attendance than normal. Travellers should monitor local media to remain aware of any protests planned in their area and make appropriate plans to bypass any demonstrations. Such events are unlikely to become violent but may cause travel disruption.
Sierra Leone General Election – The election due for 07 March will be the first of two rounds of voting involved in the election of the Sierra Leone president. The incumbent President Koroma is not standing, having reached his constitutionally mandated term limit. Candidates from five parties are competing for the position. Some controversy has surrounded the timing of the vote as it sits outside the five years and three months period stated in the constitution, however there is no indication that this will lead to significant unrest, or that it marks an effort to undermine democratic norms.
ELN Unilateral Ceasefire – On 09 March, the Colombian rebel group, the National Liberation Army (ELN) are due to begin a unilateral ceasefire until 13 March. It is unclear whether this is the prelude to reopening peace negotiations, however the effectiveness of the ceasefire cannot be assured. Colombia is home to multiple insurgent groups, including cells which have fragmented away from centralised control. In combination with criminal gangs, these smaller groups are likely to continue violent actions throughout the ceasefire period.

Significant Dates and Events

03 March – Bulgaria Liberation Day
03 March – Malawi – Liberation Day
03 March – Israel – Anti-corruption march in Tel Aviv
03 March – Canada – International Women’s Day march in Toronto
03 March – United States – International Women’s Day march in Los Angeles
03 March – Indonesia – Women’s Rights march to be held in Jakarta
04 March – West Bank & Gaza – Israeli Borders to re-open after Purim holiday
04 March – El Salvador – General Election
04 March – France – Paris Semi-Marathon to cause road closures
05 March – Australia – Labour Day
05 March – Greece – Morning and evening rush-hour rail workers strike
06 March – Greece – 24 hour rail workers strike
06 March – Ghana – Independence Day
07 March – Sierra Leone – General Elections
07 March – Ecuador – Residents to protest toll road in Cuenca city
08 March – Worldwide – International Women’s Day
08 March – Uruguay – Women’s Rights march in Montevideo
08 March – France – International Women’s Day protests planned in Paris
08 March – Syria – Revolution Day
11 March – Lithuania – Restoration of Independence Day
11 March – Lesotho – Moshoeshoe’s Day
12 March – Australia – Canberra and Labour Day
12 March – Commonwealth – Commonwealth Day
12 March – Zambia – Youth Day
12 March – Belize – National Heroes and Benefactors Day
12 March – Mauritius – National Day
14 March – Albania – Summer Day
15-16 March – Belarus – Constitution Day
15-16 March – Hungary – Public holiday.

Click the following link to download this report as a PDF: Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 09 The Weekly Risk Roundup highlights significant events from the last week and what to look out for next week. Week 09 Weekly Risk Roundup was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

Week 08 – Maritime Security Weekly Snapshot

Gulf of Guinea – Maritime Security Incidents

22 Feb 18: Vessel Attacked South East of Brass. A merchant vessel underway at 03°30’N, 006°31’E reported that it came under attack. No further details were reported. 20 Feb 18: Vessel Boarded off Lagos. A merchant vessel was boarded by six men at 06°17’N, 003°14’E. They fled empty handed when the alarm was raised. 19 Feb 18: Tanker Fired Upon South East of Brass. A tanker underway at 04°02’66”N, 006°34’33”E was approached by six armed men aboard a black speedboat. The attackers made seven attempts to board the vessel using a ladder, but were prevented by the tanker’s evasive actions. The attackers then fired upon the MV before moving away. Crew and vessel safe. 18 Feb 18: Attempted Boarding South of Brass. A tanker underway at 04°03’N 006°41’E came under attack at 2118UTC. Crew deployed anti-piracy measures, and the boarding attempts failed. Nigerian naval vessels responded, however the attackers fled before they arrived.

Indian Ocean – Maritime Security Incidents

22 Feb 18: Vessel Fired Upon in Indian Ocean. A merchant vessel was fired upon by three skiffs at 03°02’N, 050°27’E. The vessel’s onboard security team returned fire with warning shots and the skiffs moved away. Vessel reported safe.

South East Asia – Maritime Security Incidents

16 Feb 18: Update – Merchant Vessel Attacked near Sibago Island. Armed men on three speedboats attempted to board a merchant vessel at 6°42’02”N, 122°26’33″E. The attackers were believed to be members of Abu Sayyaf, a regional Islamist insurgency. The group has previously used kidnap for ransom to fund its operations.

Click link to Download PDF: Solace Global Maritime Security Snapshot – Week 08 A roundup of maritime security incidents – an easy to read format collating suspicious approaches, vessel attacks, boardings, hijacks and media reports. The week 08 Maritime Security Snapshot was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 08

Headlines From This Week

Eastern Ghouta Assault and Afrin Developments – The Syrian government, backed by Russia, has advanced on the rebel-held area of Eastern Ghouta, close to the capital Damascus. More than 400 have been killed and 1,400 injured since the Syrian government began operations on 18 February. The area is mainly held by Islamist groups, but reports suggest that the government has been indiscriminate in their attacks, intentionally striking hospitals, schools, and mosques. Only one aid convoy has been allowed into the region since November 2017; the government has been accused of trying to force rebels to submit through starvation. In Afrin, where the Turkish military have crossed the border, ostensibly to target Kurdish terrorists, developments have taken place that could have significant ramifications. Syrian Kurdish militants, allied to the United States, have welcomed pro-government troops into the region to provide assistance in the fight against Turkey. Reports suggest that these government troops have been attacked by Turkish artillery. This move means that a NATO member (Turkey) is fighting the ally of another NATO member (Syrian Kurds and US respectively), which is being provided assistance by NATO’s opponents (the Syrian and Russian governments). This situation has the potential to lead to a significantly larger regional conflict.

Military Take Control in Rio de Janeiro – Due to a substantial increase in crime in Rio de Janeiro state, President Temer signed a decree, ratified by Congress, to federalise policing in the state by deploying the military. The murder rate in 2017 saw an increase of eight per cent on the year previous and a 26 per cent rise on 2015 and has been linked to criminal drug gangs. However, there are fears that the use of the military will lead to human rights abuses and extrajudicial killings. The move, which may prove to be a political boost for Temer, is unlikely to combat the underlying causes for the high levels of crime.

Little Progress with Corruption – Transparency International released its annual Global Corruption Perception Index on 21 February, showing that the world has not made much progress on challenging corruption. In the 2017 index, New Zealand and Denmark ranked highest while Syria, South Sudan, and Somalia ranked lowest. The best performing region was Western Europe while the worst performing regions were Sub-Saharan Africa and Eastern Europe and Central Asia. Since 2012, several countries have significantly improved their index score, including Cote d’Ivoire, Senegal, and the United Kingdom, while several countries declined, including Syria, Yemen, and Australia.

States of Emergency in New Zealand – Five regions have issued states of emergency after New Zealand was hit by the remnants of Tropical Cyclone Gita. In Tasman on the South Island and New Plymouth on the North Island the states of emergency remain in place, while it has been lifted in Christchurch, Selwyn, and Westland. Gita struck the west coast on 20 February but fortunately weakened before making landfall. Thousands are still without power and damage has been reported at key infrastructure points, though no deaths have been reported.

Measles in Europe – The World Health Organisation (WHO) reported on 19 February that measles cases grew by 400 per cent in 2017 compared to the year previous, with 20,000 infections and 35 deaths attributed to measles in Europe. The WHO has suggested several reasons for the increase, including a shortage of the vaccine and poor healthcare facilities, as well as an anti-vaccine movement. The largest outbreaks were reported in Romania, Italy, and Ukraine.

What To Look Out For Next Week

Further Anti-Kabila Marches in DRC – The Catholic Church in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) has arranged a further march against the rule of President Kabila to take place on 25 February. The Union for Democracy and Social Progress, the main opposition party in the DRC, has delayed its party congress in order to join the march. Protests on 21 January 2018 and 31 December 2017 led to at least 15 deaths and dozens of injuries. Further violence and aggressive policing should be expected on 25 February, with marches set to begin after mass has finished in Kinshasa and other major cities in the DRC

Winter Olympics Comes to an End – The 2018 Pyeongchang Winter Olympics is set to come to an end on 25 February. The Games have largely been viewed as a success for host nation South Korea despite the spectre of an unstable North Korea looming over events. Even with issues with the weather and an ongoing norovirus outbreak, the Games have passed without significant incident. The Closing Ceremony will take place on 25 February in Pyeongchang, with protests possible. A North Korea delegation will be present and be led by General Kim Yong-chol, a controversial figure in South Korea. He has been accused of plotting several attacks across on the South. Namely, the sinking of the Cheonan warship and the shelling of Yeonpyeong Island. 46 sailors were killed in the Cheonan’s sinking, while two civilians and two marines were killed in the shelling of Yeonpyeong. Kim had been banned from visiting the South for his alleged involvement in the North’s military provocations and nuclear weapons development.

Jewish Festivals of Purim – The Jewish festival of Purim begins at sundown on 28 February and ends on the evening of 01 March. The festival marks the salvation of the Jewish people from Persian rule and a plot to destroy them, as recorded in the book of Esther in the Bible/Torah. It is considered one of the most joyous of Jewish holidays and is often marked with parades and fancy dress; some have described it as the ‘Jewish Mardi Gras’, partly due to the amount of alcohol consumed. Purim is a national holiday in Israel where related activities are set to take place from 01 to 03 March.

Anti-Fascist March in Rome – On 24 February, supporters of the Democratic Party, the National Association of Italian Partisans, the CGIL trade union, and other civic organisations are set to rally in Rome, Italy against fascism. The march is set to begin at the Piazza della Repubblica rom 1330 local time, before heading to Piazza del Popolo. The march comes as Italy goes to the polls on 04 March. Travellers should note that there is the potential for far-right counter-demonstrations.

Pro-Democracy Activists to Rally in Bangkok – The Democracy Restoration Group in Thailand are set to rally on 24 February. The demonstration is set to begin around Thammasat University from 1500 local time. The activists are demanding that elections are held by November. A ban on political gatherings remains in place in Thailand, all large gatherings should be avoided for this reason.

Mobile World Congress – The 2018 Mobile World Congress is due to take place between 26 February and 01 March at Fira Gran Via, Barcelona, with limited events also taking place at Fira Montjuïc. Security has already been stepped up in preparation for the world’s largest gathering for the mobile industry. 100,000 people are set to descend on Barcelona.

Significant Dates and Events

24 February – Estonia – Independence Day
24 February – Brunei – National Day Holiday
25 February – Kuwait – National Day
25 February – Philippines – People Power Anniversary
25 February – Cambodia – Senate Elections
26 February – UAE – Dubai Marathon
26 February – Kuwait – Liberation Day
26 February – Italy – Alitalia to Launch 24-Hour Strike
26 February – India – Chandigarh International Airport to reopen after maintenance work
27 February – Belgium – Public Sector Strike
27 February – Norway – Rail Workers to Strike
27 February – Dominican Republic – Independence Day
28 February – Taiwan – Peace Memorial Day
28 February – Spain – Andalucía Day
28 February – Spain – Unionised RENFE rail workers in Catalonia to stage limited strike
01 March – Bosnia and Herzegovina – Independence Day
01 March – Myanmar, Cambodia, Thailand – Makha Bucha Day
01-02 March – India (and locations with Indian diaspora) – Holi Festival
01 March – Paraguay – Hero’s Day
01 March – South Korea – Independence Day
01 March – Spain – Balearic Islands Day
01 March – United Kingdom – St David’s Day (Wales)
01 March – Sri Lanka – Madin Full Moon Poya
02 March – Ethiopia – Victory of Adwa (defeat of Italian invasion in 1896)
02 March – Myanmar – Peasants Day
02 March – China (most notably) – Lantern Festival
02 March – Puerto Rico – American Citizenship Day
03 March – Bulgaria – Liberation Day
03 March – Malawi – Martyrs’ Day
04 March – Italy – Legislative Elections

Click the following link to download this report as a PDF: Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 08 The Weekly Risk Roundup highlights significant events from the last week and what to look out for next week. Week 08 Weekly Risk Roundup was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

Week 07 – Maritime Security Weekly Snapshot

Gulf of Guinea – Maritime Security Incidents

19 Feb 18: Vessel Attacked South of Brass, Nigeria. A merchant vessel came under attack at 04°020’N, 06°46’E, approximately 20nm south of Brass. Vessel and crew reported safe. 17 Feb 18: Vessel Attacked on Cotonou Anchorage. A vessel was boarded by three armed men at 03°43N, 07°06E, Cotonou anchorage, Benin. The crew withdrew to the citadel. Navy patrol vessels investigated and confirmed the vessel was clear. Some damage due to gunfire was reported to the ship’s office and ship’s properties. 15 Feb 18: Vessel Fired Upon South of Bonny Island. Two speedboats carrying eight armed persons attacked a merchant vessel at 03°43’N, 07°06’E. The vessel took evasive action and an escort vessel exchanged fire with the attackers, forcing them to withdraw. 13 Feb 18: Theft of Stores from Vessel in Ango-Ango, DR Congo. One robber boarded a vessel at 05°50’06N ,13°26’06E. The thief escaped with rope, a buoy, and a hand-held radio once the alarm was raised. 02 Feb 18: Stores Stolen from Takoradi Anchorage, Ghana. Two men boarded a supply ship from a small boat at 04°54’04N, 01°43’01. When spotted, they fled with a number of heavy-duty batteries.

Indian Ocean – Maritime Security Incidents

18 Feb 18: Suspicious Approach near Point B, IRTC. A merchant vessel reported a suspicious approach at 13°59’2N, 51°40’1E near Point B in the Internationally Recognised Transit Corridor. The suspicious skiffs withdrew with no aggressive action reported.

South East Asia – Maritime Security Incidents

16 Feb 18: Merchant Vessel Attacked near Sibago Island. Armed men on three speedboats attempted to board a merchant vessel at 6°42’02”N, 122°26’33″E. Crew members reportedly used heated water and oil to repel the attackers as they sought to board. Coastguard vessels then forced the attackers to flee. Two crew suffered minor injuries.

Click link to Download PDF: Solace Global Maritime Security Snapshot – Week 07 A roundup of maritime security incidents – an easy to read format collating suspicious approaches, vessel attacks, boardings, hijacks and media reports. The week 07 Maritime Security Snapshot was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 07

Headlines From This Week

17 Dead in United States School Shooting – 17 people were killed after a gunman opened fire at Marjory Stoneman Douglas High School in Parkland, Florida, United States. The only suspect, who was arrested by police, is a disgruntled former student who was reportedly a member of a white nationalist hate group. Reports suggest that the FBI and the school had been warned about his potentially extreme behaviour.

Zuma Resigns – After months of mounting pressure, Jacob Zuma has resigned as the President of South Africa on 14 February after his own party told him to step down or face a vote of no-confidence. Cyril Ramaphosa, who succeeded Zuma as head of the ruling African National Congress, has also succeeded Zuma as President. It is hoped that Ramaphosa will help combat the rampant corruption in the country; Zuma faces multiple corruption allegations but denies any wrongdoing.

Russia Plane Crash – All 71 people on the Antonov An-148 Saratov Airlines flight were killed after crashing minutes after taking off from Moscow’s Domodedovo airport on 11 February. It is currently unclear what caused the plane, en route to Orsk in the Ural Mountains, to crash; however, reports suggest that ice on airspeed sensors may have been a major contributing factor.
Netanyahu on the Brink – Israeli police issued a recommendation for charges to be raised against Prime Minister Netanyahu due to corruption allegations. The decision to indict the Prime Minister lies with the Attorney General, who continues to assess the evidence. If an indictment is pursued, it is likely to force an election; Netanyahu heads a coalition government and the other parties in the coalition may seek to distance themselves from an ongoing corruption scandal.

Ethiopian Prime Minister Resigns – Following a series of protests and road blocks around Addis Ababa, Prime Minister Hailemariam issued his resignation, but will continue to serve until his EPRDF party congress selects his replacement. Over recent months a series of detained opposition politicians and journalists have been pardoned or released from prison. A state of emergency has been declared as of 16 February.

Egyptian Security Forces Killed 53 Insurgents – A major counter-insurgency operation in the Sinai peninsula resulted in Egyptian forces targeting insurgent groups and their infrastructure in the restive region. At least 53 insurgents were reported killed, five surrendered, and 680 alleged collaborators were detained. A wide range of materiel, including weapons and explosives, were also recovered. It is unclear whether this operation will improve the region’s security environment or lead to elevated levels of violence as insurgent groups carry out revenge attacks.

What To Look Out For Next Week

Kosovo’s Independence Day – On 17 February, Kosovo celebrates its independence day from Serbia. The state remains unrecognised by a majority of other nations, and continues to be contentious both domestically, and with its neighbours. The celebration generally passes peacefully, however the recent assassination of a Kosovan-Serb politician, Oliver Ivanovic, on 16 January 2018 is likely to lead to elevated tensions in both Kosovo and Serbia.
Anti-Poroshenko Protests in Ukraine – Groups opposed to Ukrainian President Poroshenko planned rallies across Ukraine on 18 February in response to recent political events, including the removal of citizenship, and functional exile, of Saakashvili, an outspoken anti-corruption activist. Although Saakashvili has relatively limited support in Ukraine, the ongoing issues concerning his treatment have highlighted government contempt for the rule of law, and focused attention on the treatment of other opposition groups.
Bolivia Protests and Strikes – Trade unions and activist groups in Bolivia have called for further strikes and protests on 21 February. Demonstrations have escalated recently due to the recent action by President Morales and the Supreme Court to lift term limits on the Presidency, and a sweeping reform of the penal code. Celebrations or protests in Bolivia have recently been marred by violence, and protesters recently establish roadblocks. Travellers should anticipate significant disruption across the country, and maintain a low profile.
Robert Mugabe National Youth Day – The new Zimbabwean President, Mnangagwa, declared 21 February a national holiday on the day he took office, following a bloodless coup against former President Mugabe. Considering the controversy concerning Mugabe’s rule, it is a realistic possibility that the first celebration of a day named in his honour may be met by limited protests or demonstrations. Morgan Tsvangirai, a prominent opposition leader, and former Prime Minister died on 14 February 2018, there may be additional local events mourning his death.
Nigerian Fuel Crisis – The Nigerian government announced that the fuel crisis, ongoing since November, would continue and announced additional measures would be implemented. Broad discontent across rural areas outside Abuja and Lagos is likely to lead to intermittent civil unrest, as the new measures focus on maintaining supplies to urban centres rather than rural communities.

Significant Dates and Events

17 February – Kosovo – Independence Day
17 February – Serbia – Right-Wing Activists Plan to Rally Against Kosovan Independence
17 February – Libya – 17 February Revolution Day
17 February – Poland – Far right march planned in Krakow
18 February – The Gambia – Independence Day
18 February – Nepal – National Democracy Day
18 February – Ukraine – Anti-Poroshenko Nationwide Marches
19 February – Orthodox Shrove Monday
19 February – Ethiopia – Martyrs’ Day
19 February – United States – Presidents’ Day
19 February – Turkmenistan – National Flag Day
20 February – Venezuela – Federation Day
20 February – Greece – Bus Workers to conduct Six-Hour Strike
20 February – Denmark – Funeral of Prince Consort Henrik
20 February – Romania – Anti-Corruption March Planned in Bucharest
20 February – Argentina – Women’s Rights Groups to Rally in Buenos Aires
21 February – Bolivia – Civic Groups Call for Nationwide Strikes and Protests
21 February – Bangladesh – Martyr’s Day
21 February – Bhutan – Birthday of fifth Druk Gyalpo (Current King of Bhutan)
21 February – South Africa – Armed Forces Day
21 February – Zimbabwe – Robert Gabriel Mugabe National Youth Day
21 February – Morocco – General Strike Planned in Rif Region
22 February – St. Lucia – Independence Day
22 February – France – Air France Staff to Strike
23 February – Brunei – National Day
23 February – Guyana – Republic Day
23 February – Israel – Tel Aviv Marathon
23 February – Djibouti – Parliamentary Elections
23 February – Russia – Defender of the Fatherland Day
23 February – Spain – Catalan Separatists to Rally in major cities

Click the following link to download this report as a PDF: Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 07 The Weekly Risk Roundup highlights significant events from the last week and what to look out for next week. Week 07 Weekly Risk Roundup was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

Week 06 – Maritime Security Weekly Snapshot

Gulf of Guinea – Maritime Security Incidents

09 Feb 18: Crew kidnapped from vessel south-west of Idenao, Cameroon. A Chinese-flagged fishing vessel was attacked by armed men at 04°06’00N, 08°51’00E. The attackers kidnapped three crewmembers and escaped. 09 Feb 18: Vessel attacked south of Brass. A merchant vessel reported coming under attack near 03°43’0N, 06°45’0E. The vessel took evasive action and escaped the attackers. Further details remain unclear. 07 Feb 18: Suspicious approach reported in Gulf of Guinea. A skiff approached at speed with a merchant vessel in the Gulf of Guinea at 03°28’0N, 06°56’0E, closing to within 1nm before changing course. Vessel security team was stood-to. 06 Feb 18: Hijacked vessel and crew released. The tanker, Marine Express, and its crew were released unharmed following its hijacking on 01 February 2018.

Indian Ocean – Maritime Security Incidents

08 Feb 18: Houthi Capability Assessment. Israeli naval sources released a report suggesting that, in a wider regional conflict, Yemeni Houthi rebels have the capability to close the southern Red Sea to merchant traffic. This statement strongly links this capability to ongoing Iranian support for the group.

South East Asia – Maritime Security Incidents

11 Feb 18: Attempted boarding in Chittagong, Bangladesh. Five men, armed with knives, attempted to board a bulk carrier at 22°07’70N, 91°43’41. The crew spotted the attackers and readied fire hoses. The attackers escaped empty handed. 09 Feb 18: Attempted boarding in Kolkata, India. A duty crewman spotted a three people attempting to climb the anchor chain of a bulk carrier at 22°11’56N, 88°09’59. Upon being spotted, the robbers aborted their attempt to board and fled.

Click link to Download PDF: Solace Global Maritime Security Snapshot – Week 06 A roundup of maritime security incidents – an easy to read format collating suspicious approaches, vessel attacks, boardings, hijacks and media reports. The week 06 Maritime Security Snapshot was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 06

Headlines From This Week

Former-Prime Minister Sentenced in Bangladesh – Former-Prime Minister and current opposition leader in Bangladesh, Khaleda Zia, has been sentenced to five years in prison on corruption charges. Zia and her supporters have called the claims politically-motivated. Clashes occurred outside of the courthouse as the sentence came down on 08 February. One fatality has been reported as well as 25 injuries.

Winter Olympics Begin – The Opening Ceremony for the 2018 Winter Olympics took place in Pyeongchang, South Korea on 09 February. The Games have been overshadowed by the threat of North Korea. However, Pyongyang has sent an Olympic delegation and has entered competitors in a series of different sports including women’s ice hockey, where North and South Korea will field a single, combined team. Some anti-Pyongyang protests have occurred at North Korean events, as well as before the Opening Ceremony.

Deadly Earthquake in Taiwan – At least ten people were killed and 270 injured after a magnitude 6.4 earthquake struck north of the Taiwanese city of Hualien on 06 February. A series of significant aftershocks have hampered search and rescue attempts. At the latest count, seven people remain unaccounted for.

Economic Instability – Global stock markets faced a volatile week. Both the Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500 fell by more than 1,000 points on 08 February, this followed similar losses on 05 February. These losses come amid recent stock market records. Share prices in Asia and Europe have faced similar volatility which have been attributed to concerns over inflation, the US budget deal, and a potential interest rate rise. The US government was briefly shutdown for the second time in month overnight on the 08-09 February, but US lawmakers eventually passed a budget to fund the government for two years. The budget will increase spending in a number of areas, including defence, where spending will rise nine per cent.

US Airstrike in Syria – The United States conducted a series of air and artillery strikes in Deir al-Zour province, Syria overnight on 07 February, targeting government forces. Commentators have suggested that United States has drawn a line in the sand and wants to prevent pro-regime troops from recovering territory east of Euphrates River, which is currently held by US-backed Syrian Democratic Forces. Syrian President Assad has labelled the attack, which killed 100 of 500 advancing troops, a “brutal massacre”.

Post-Election Violence in Guinea – At least seven people have been killed in post-election riots in the west African nation of Guinea. Local elections took place on 04 February and were the first since the end of a period of military rule; riots occurred amid electoral fraud allegations. Further unrest is expected as full results will only be released on 09 February.

What To Look Out For Next Week

Lunar New Year – The Lunar New Year, commonly known as Chinese New Year, begins on 16 February. Celebrations occur not only in China but across East Asia with Vietnam, Japan, Korea, and Mongolia all celebrating their own traditions. Other New Year events should be expected in locations with significant populations of those of East Asian origin. Travellers should expect extensive travel delays in countries in East Asia as well as disruption of government and official affairs.

Munich Security Conference – The 54^th Munich Security Conference, a leading international forum on security policy, is set to take place between 16 and 18 February, at the Hotel Bayerischer Hof in Munich, Germany. More than 20 heads of state and government and around 75 foreign and defence ministers are expected to attend. 4,000 police officers are due to be deployed and several road closures will be put in place; trams will not stop at Karlsplatz. A rally has already been announced in opposition to the conference for 17 February, with around 4,000 activists set to attend. Police are also anticipating 20 more smaller gatherings.

ELN Three-Day National Blockade – The National Liberation Army (ELN) rebel group in Colombia are due to hold a 72-hour national blockade beginning at 0600 hours on 10 February, to protest the government’s suspension of peace negotiations. In western Colombia, especially coastal Choco province where the group is active, citizens are encouraged not to travel, as transport on roads and waterways will be halted. Some violence should be expected during this period.

Significant Dates and Events

09-14 February – Carnival celebrations (notably Rio de Janeiro, Brazil)
10 February – Fenkil Day (Commemorates the Battle of Massawa), Eritrea
11 February – Youth Day, Cameroon
11 February – Victory of Islamic Revolution Day, Iran
11 February – Foundation Day, Japan
12 February – Myanmar Unity Day
14 February – Anniversary of 2005 assassination of former Prime Minister Rafik Hariri (Lebanon)
15 February – Liberation Day, Afghanistan
16 February – Statehood Day, Serbia
16 February – Anniversary of Kim Jong-il’s birthday

Click the following link to download this report as a PDF: Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 06 The Weekly Risk Roundup highlights significant events from the last week and what to look out for next week. Week 06 Weekly Risk Roundup was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

Pyeongchang Olympics Risk Summary

The Winter Olympics is set to begin in Pyeongchang, South Korea on 09 February. Travel to the country brings a unique set of challenges and issues to overcome. For more on the Olympics, how to prepare and, what to expect when travelling to South Korea, please take a look at our risk summary below or download this information as a PDF from the following link: Solace Global – Event Advisory – Pyeongchang Olympics Risk Summary

THE ROAD TO PYEONGCHANG…

16 Oct 2009 – Pyeongchang submits bid to host games
06 Jul 2011 – Pyeongchang selected as winner
24 Oct 2017 – Olympic Torch Relay commenced
09 Feb 2018 – Olympics Opening Ceremony
25 Feb 2018 – Olympics Closing Ceremony
09 Mar 2018 – Paralympics Opening Ceremony
18 Mar 2018 – Paralympics Closing Ceremony

OPERATING ENVIRONMENT KEY FACTS

Estimated 43,703 (Pyeongchang County, as of 2014)
Population: 219,274 (Gangneung Metropolitan Area, as of 2012)
Geographic Area: 1,464 Km² (Pyeongchang County) 1,039.99 km² (Gangneung Metropolitan Area)
Language: Korean
Religion: Non-religious/traditional beliefs, Christianity, Buddhism
Weather: Cold & temperate (Pyeongchang) Warm & temperate, heavy rainfall (Gangneung)
GMT: +9
Capital: Seoul
Currency: South Korean Won
Emergency Services: 119 (Fire & Medical) 112 (Police)

PYEONGCHANG OLYMPICS KEY FACTS

COUNTRIES: 94

A record 94 countries are sending athletes to the 2018 Games. With North and South Korea competing under one flag. The Korean women’s ice hockey team will feature athletes from both countries. 2018 has seen a thawing of interKorean relations, after high tensions throughout 2017.

ATHLETES: 2,900

More than 2,900 athletes will compete at the Games. Russia has been banned from attending but more than 160 Russians will compete under the Olympics flag. The United States will send the most athletes, with nearly 250 planned competitors.

TICKETS: 1.07MILLION

1.07 million tickets for the Games will be on sale. So far, about 75% have been sold. The figure is lower than in comparison with Sochi 2014. Security is the most prominent factor contributing to a lack of sales, though the Russian doping scandal and a lack of local interest have also been contributing factors.

SECURITY: 5,000

North Korean unpredictability remains the most obvious security challenge. 5,000 members of the military will be deployed for the Games. There are also plans for 15,000 volunteers to support the running of the Games.

OLYMPIC VENUES: 13

The events for the Games will be in Gangwon Province. Specifically in the Pyeongchang Mountain Cluster (snow events), Jeongseon (alpine speed events), and Gangneung (ice events).

LOCAL ETIQUETTE

Business dress is strictly formal; men generally wear dark suits, and women, typically modest dresses. Although this may later be relaxed, adherence to this code is advisable for early meetings. Dressing well is considered a sign of respect.
It is customary to greet people with a bow from the waist. A handshake may also be a substitute. More established acquaintances typically abbreviate the bow to a nod of the head.
When taking something from an older or senior person always use two hands; if you must use one hand, you should support your right arm with your left hand. This extends to the exchange of business cards. Another convention is to support your right arm with your left hand when shaking hands with somebody older or more senior. When talking to someone older, direct eye contact should generally be avoided.
Korean society places great emphasis on “face”. Embarrassing situations are to be avoided, or downplayed, as much as possible. This also makes it unusual to receive an apology if someone bumps into you.
Buddhist temples often display Swastikas. It originates as a local religious or spiritual symbol and has no connection to the Third Reich or Nazism.
Initial conversations are likely to cover a great deal of breadth rapidly; this may include questions about family, career, age, and education. This is not seen as intrusive, however brief answers are acceptable if you do not wish to divulge excessive detail.
Tipping is not expected in South Korea (but is welcomed), however a service charge of around 10% may be charged (compulsory) by hotels.
Bargaining is acceptable at open markets, but not so welcomed in shops and stores.
At some restaurants, you are required to take off your shoes before entering the dining area (usually a wooden floored area). If going to the bathroom, you should use sandals which are usually provided.
If you are an important guest, it can be considered rude to pour your own drink, and this must be poured for you by the person sitting next to you. If you are not an important guest, you should pour another’s drink before pouring your own.
Do not raise bowls to your mouth when eating. Leave the table to blow your nose and do not make any loud noises at the table.
The number four is considered unlucky (tetraphobia) due to its similarity to the Chinese character for death (common in East Asian nations). Even giving gifts in multiples of four is unadvisable. Contrarily, the number seven is considered lucky.
Kissing in public is discouraged, especially around older Koreans, as it is considered highly immodest.
Physical contact can be considered a personal violation, this includes back slapping and patting. Unless you have a very close relationship with someone, it is advisable not to touch them.

SCAMS

Fake Hotel Scams: South Korea has the world fastest internet connections and the greatest internet penetration. Accordingly, a proportional amount of criminal activity and scams are based online. Travellers frequently are targeted by false websites offering modern hotels at low prices. Upon arrival, the hotel either does not exist, or is poorly maintained or an unregistered bedsit. Travellers are advised to undertake proper due diligence on any accommodation or book through a reputable agency.
Begging: Foreigners in South Korea can be specifically targeted by beggars who may solicit donations forcefully or apply pressure through unsolicited physical contact. Avoid giving any indication of where your wallet or cash is stored in case they are seeking to distract you for a pickpocket.
The ‘Taxis Parked in Front of Your Hotel’ Scam: In front of many four & five-star hotel there are taxis waiting all day. Despite appearances, these taxis are not associated with the hotel. These drivers may not switch on their meters when picking up passengers and instead insist on an excessive charge whilst already in motion. Travellers should be aware of taxis which wait outside of hotels. If you need a taxi, ask your hotel to order one for you from a reputable company and ensure they meter your journey. If the vehicle has a meter, it should be used, if not, agree the price before setting off.
The ‘Tour guide’ Scam: A traveller will be approached by a friendly local who speaks good English and has some anecdotes about the traveller’s country of birth. They offer to take the tourist on a tour for a tiny price. For the whole excursion, they seem genuine and kind, however will make efforts to steer travellers towards businesses owned by relatives or friends, who will then pressure the travellers to purchase merchandise at heavily elevated prices. Travellers should be cautious of strangers with intentions too good to be true; invariably they are. If you wish to take a sightseeing tour, prearrange through a reputable agent.
Overcharging: Travellers should be aware that foreigners can be overcharged while shopping. This can be intentional or unintentional (inability to read or understand labels). In restaurants, adhere to dishes on the menu and check the bill prior to payment.
Racism: Travellers to, and foreign residents in, South Korea have noted a prevalence of racism within the country. Travellers should note that, unlike many countries in the west, South Korea is ethnically homogenous, with more than 99 percent of inhabitants having Korean ethnicity. The judiciary in South Korea have been accused of being heavily biased against foreigners. If there is a dispute with a local, the law will almost always rule in favour of the local against the foreigner. Even if physically assaulted by a local, it is possible that retaliation will cause significant legal problems. For road traffic accidents or incidents of dispute, it is important that a Korean speaker or Korean local is contacted, in order to get both sides of the story.

SECURITY SUMMARY

South Korea, or the Republic of Korea (ROK), holds a geographically and politically important position in the region. The country has excellent relations with the United States, China, and increasingly, with Japan. The ROK’s most substantial threat comes from the aggressive North Korea, or the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea (DPRK).

The ROK’s alliances are mainly used to help manage the continued threat from the DPRK. ROK-DPRK relations have improved somewhat since the beginning of the year, with both Koreas to march under one flag at the opening ceremony.

Both sides of the demilitarised zone maintain some degree of communication. Indeed, President Moon, elected in 2017, has sought to offer an olive branch to South Korea’s northern neighbour, returning to the ‘Sunshine Policy’ (to a large extent) of the post-millennium leadership in Seoul.

Throughout 2017, Pyongyang has tested a series of missiles including those which passed over Japan. More concerningly, in early September 2017, the DPRK conducted its most powerful nuclear test to date, causing a 6.3- magnitude earthquake. While low-level border skirmishes have taken place historically, especially over the disputed Yeonpyeong Islands, the chances for an imminent return to full-blown conflict before or during the Olympics remain unlikely. This is due to the present relationships. The US maintains a force of nearly 30,000 personnel in the ROK to assist in the country’s defence. Also, North Korea maintains a largely friendly relationship with China and Russia which are both sending athletes to compete in the Games (the latter under a neutral flag). Moreover, North Korea athletes, including two figure skaters, are due to compete at the Games.

These facts ensure that the risk of a DPRK missile attack during the Games is LOW.

GENERAL TRAVEL ADVICE

Although South Korea can be considered very safe (especially in terms of crime and terrorist threat), it is advisable to remain aware of your surroundings to at least the same degree as you would in any other developed country.

Take extra care of passports, credit cards and wallets/purses when in crowded or tourist areas. Take extra care when travelling alone or at night, and make sure to use a legitimate means of transport such as public transport or metered taxis.

Be sure to carry a form of ID as well as details of your next of kin. Avoid carrying any valuables in a backpack as this is an easy target for thieves.

When air pollution is high, follow local advice and stay hydrated, indoors, with the windows closed when possible.

South Korean security forces often hold Civil Emergency Exercises in major cities, usually involving evacuation to a safe area such as a metro station. Although you do not have to participate as a foreign national, it is best to follow the instruction of the authorities when the sirens sound indicating an exercise. Be aware that the judiciary has been accused of being biased against foreigners and will nearly always side with locals in any disputes.

There are heavy penalties for drug offences, even for personal use, and foreign nationals can be detained purely on the basis of drug tests.

Week 05 – Maritime Security Weekly Snapshot

Gulf of Guinea – Maritime Security Incidents

01 Feb 18: Potential hijacking, Cotonou, Benin. Communications were lost with a product tanker carrying 13,500t of gasoline and 22 crew members. Last reported location 06°15’57N, 02°30’30E. The owner of Marine Express has engaged with crisis resolution specialists due to the high likelihood of this being a hijacking event. 31 Jan 18: Attempted Theft at Lagos Anchorage. A duty crewman spotted two small boats tied to the anchor chain, and a suspicious person on the forecastle of a tanker in Lagos Anchorage. Duty officer sounded the foghorn and mustered the crew. Robbers escaped empty-handed.

Indian Ocean – Maritime Security Incidents

02 Feb 18: Red Sea ports. Al Hudaidah and Saleef ports were open to humanitarian shipping with UNVIM permissions. Mokha and Balhaf remain closed to all traffic.

South East Asia – Maritime Security Incidents

31 Jan 18: Crew member assaulted, Godau, Vietnam. Two armed men boarded a bulk carrier anchored in Godau. They assaulted and restrained the bosun before stealing ship’s stores. 30 Jan 18: Vessel boarded in Kutubdia, Bangladesh. Five armed rubbers boarded an anchored bulk carrier in Kutubdia anchorage. The duty crewman was threatened as he raised the alarm. The attackers escaped with ship’s stores, which were later returned by Bangladeshi coastguards.

Click link to Download PDF: Solace Global Maritime Security Snapshot – Week 05 A roundup of maritime security incidents – an easy to read format collating suspicious approaches, vessel attacks, boardings, hijacks and media reports. The week 05 Maritime Security Snapshot was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 05

Headlines From This Week

A Further Terror Attack in Kabul – A suicide bombing in Kabul killed at least 95 people on 27 January. More than 150 others were wounded as Taliban attackers drove an ambulance laden with explosives past a police checkpoint in one of the most secure areas of the Afghan capital. This comes a week after the Inter-Continental Hotel in Kabul was also attacked by Taliban gunmen.

Dozens Feared Drowned off Libyan Coast – 90 migrants are feared dead after their boat capsized off the Libyan coast. Three survivors suggested that those who drowned were predominantly Pakistani. At least ten bodies have washed ashore in Libya at the time of writing. Overall this year, it has been reported that there have been 6,624 arrivals of migrants by sea to Europe, up from 5,983 in the same period of 2017.

Mass Unrest Across Russia – Protests were recorded in at least 100 locations across Russia on 28 January as citizens, led by anti-corruption campaigner Alexei Navalny, called for a boycott of elections in March 2018. Navalny was one of more than 250 protestors who were detained by police, but he was subsequently released.

Ex-Leader of Maldives to Contest Elections – Former President of the Maldives, Mohamed Nasheed, is to return to the country from exile to contest elections. This comes after the Supreme Court quashed his 2015 terrorism charges as being ‘politically motivated’. The Supreme Court’s decision saw opposition supporters take to the streets in celebration; two were arrested after clashes with police. The country became a democracy in 2008 but freedoms have been restricted since President Yameen took power in 2013. Yameen’s response is unclear at this time, though Maldives police have vowed to adhere to the ruling.

State of Emergency Declared in Ecuador – The Ecuadoran government declared a state of emergency in the cities of San Lorenzo and Eloy Alfaro following an improvised explosive device attack against a local police headquarters. There were no fatalities, but 14 officers were wounded, and the building was rendered unusable. Armed groups connected to drug cartels are believed to be responsible for the attack.

Nairobi Opposition Protests – Following a mock inauguration ceremony on 30 January for Raila Odinga, the primary opposition presidential candidate, his supporters have launched widespread protests in predominantly opposition-supporting areas of Kenya, Nairobi especially. A number of prominent opposition leaders have also been arrested by security forces in relation to the event, and three television networks have been taken off the air by the government for attempting to televise the inauguration, further aggravating protestors.

What To Look Out For Next Week

Winter Olympics to Begin – The 2018 Winter Olympics are scheduled to start in Pyeongchang, South Korea, on 09 February. While the presence of North Korea hangs over proceedings, it has athletes competing at the Games, making aggressive moves by Pyongyang unlikely. Travel disruption should be expected across South Korea.

Referendum in Ecuador – On 04 February, Ecuador will go to the polls to vote on a series of constitutional amendments, one of which reinstates term limits. This would make it impossible for the populist former President Rafael Correa to return to power. Correa has led the campaign against the proposed amendments which have been promoted by President Moreno, thought by many to be Correa’s handpicked successor. It was also believed Moreno would step aside when his term ended to allow Correa to return to power. Unrest is possible during the vote period.

Carnival – Carnival is celebrated across the world and marks a final major party before the Christian festival of Lent. Carnival is especially popular in the Americas. Crime rates spike in the lead up to, and during, Carnival festivities, particularly across Central and South America. The largest celebrations occur in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, where the 2018 Carnival begins on 09 February and ends on 14 February, the day Lent begins.

Significant Dates & Events

03 February – Public transport strikes planned from Helsinki airport
03 February – Anti-corruption protests scheduled in Tel Aviv
04 February – American football Super Bowl in Minneapolis
04 February – Costa Rican legislative and presidential elections
04 February – Planned protests against Macedonia’s naming in Athens
04 February – Anniversary of 1992 failed coup by Hugo Chávez (unrest a potential in Venezuela)
05 February – Algerian paramedics to strike
05 February – Public hospital workers strike across Haiti
06-11 February – Major cycling event in Dubai
09 February – Portuguese airline crew scheduled to start industrial action

Click the following link to download this report as a PDF: Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 05 The Weekly Risk Roundup highlights significant events from the last week and what to look out for next week. Week 05 Weekly Risk Roundup was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

Week 04 – Maritime Security Weekly Snapshot

Gulf of Guinea – Maritime Security Incidents

27 Jan 18: Attempted Boarding at Lagos Anchorage. Suspicious movement spotted on anchored vessel’s forecastle, and one person spotted hiding amongst the mooring winches. Crew were mustered and Navy patrol boat notified. No robbers found, and no stores reported missing. 24 Jan 18: Armed Guards Repelled Attack South of Brass. Embarked naval guards exchanged fire with attackers during an attempted attack against an underway tanker at 03°30’0 N 06°20’0 E. Crew and vessel reported safe. 24 Jan 18: Vessel Underway Attacked South of Brass. A bulk carrier underway at 03°39’0 N 06°37’2 E was approached by two speedboats containing up to three person each. Occupants of the speedboats opened fire on the carrier, which increased speed and undertook evasive action. Attackers moved away. Vessel and crew reported safe. 23 Jan 18: Attempted Boarding at Conakry Port Terminal. Two people were spotted attempting to climb the vessel’s stern line whilst along side at Conakry Port Terminal. Upon detection both swam away.

Indian Ocean – Maritime Security Incidents

24 Jan 18: Revised Security Guidance Issued. BIMCO, ICS, and Intertanko issued additional security guidance designed to complement BMP4 and mitigate against the additional threats posed by overspill from the Yemeni civil war.

South East Asia – Maritime Security Incidents

26 Jan 18: Pirate Group Active near Sabah. Local authorities reported that vessels known to belong to an established kidnap and piracy gang have been spotted in the Sulu Sea in vicinity of Sabah. Vessels are advised to maintain a strict anti-piracy watch and remain in compliance with BMP4. 20 Jan 18: Anchored vessel boarded in Samarinda Anchorage. Two robbers boarded a vessel at anchor in Samarinda anchorage undetected, and escaped with ship’s properties.

Click link to Download PDF: Solace Global Maritime Security Snapshot – Week 04 A roundup of maritime security incidents – an easy to read format collating suspicious approaches, vessel attacks, boardings, hijacks and media reports. The week 04 Maritime Security Snapshot was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 04

Headlines From This Week

World Economic Forum – The World Economic Forum (WEF) in Davos, Switzerland, ends on 26 January. The event saw substantially less activist activity than was anticipated, with approximately 2,000 protesters demonstrating in Zurich. Approximately 20 protesters managed to breach the security cordon in the town of Davos itself, but they were dispersed peacefully by police.
Turkish Incursion into Syria – Turkish forces, supported by militants from the Free Syrian Army launched an operation to clear Kurdish militia groups from the northern Syrian area of Afrin. The Turkish military objectives appear to remain limited, the assault was likely intended to enhance Turkey’s negotiating position with the US and other coalition partners engaged in the region against Islamic State.
Major attacks in Jalalabad and Kabul – The Afghan branches of both the Taliban and Islamic State launched major attacks in Afghanistan. The Taliban conducted an explosives and small arms attack on the Kabul Intercontinental hotel on 20 January, which had recently handed its security measures to a private company. 42 people were killed, 17 of which were foreign nationals. The Islamic State attacked the Save the Children charity’s offices in Jalalabad on 24 January, resulting in two fatalities and leaving 12 wounded.
US Government Shutdown – The US Government experienced a three-day shut down between 20 and 22 January. This resulted in a cessation of all “non-essential” services, with government employees responsible for the provision of these services asked to stay home without pay. A political compromise in the Senate led to a short-term funding bill to end the shutdown, but a further shutdown is likely in February.
IED Attack in Benghazi – Two car bombs were detonated in a residential area of Benghazi on 23 January, the second blast was timed to target those who gathered to help victims of the first blast. A total of 33 people were killed, and 47 wounded. It is believed that the attack was carried out by a cell of Islamic State insurgents who remain in the city despite the organisation’s military defeat.
Tsunami Warnings Across the West Coast of North America – An earthquake of approximately magnitude 8.2 struck south of Kodiak Island in Alaska, resulting in the issuing of tsunami warnings throughout the eastern pacific, particularly the US and Canada’s western seaboards. No damage was reported as a result of the quake due to the distance from major inhabited areas; waves measuring approximately 0.3m were reported, however, but had no impact as they occurred well offshore.

What To Look Out For Next Week

Australian Tennis Open – Australia is scheduled to hold its 2018 tennis finals on 27 – 28 January. Australia has suffered occasional, lone wolf, terror attacks in recent years, including an as-yet unclassified attack on a police officer on 26 January 2018. Travellers should expect high levels of security around the venue in Melbourne.
Thaipusam Festival – The 2018 Thaipusam festival will be held in Malaysia on 31 January. Additional security measures should be expected around Hindu temple locations, and service provision is likely to be reduced due to business closures related to the holiday.
Cost of Living Protests in Khartoum – The opposition-planned protests due to be held in Sudan’s capital, Khartoum, on 31 January are likely to result in significant disruption and possible violence. Sudanese security forces responded with force to small-scale, spontaneous, demonstrations over the month of January, and are likely to respond in a similar manner to more widespread incidents.

Significant Dates & Events

27 January – Anti-corruption protests due in Tel Aviv, Israel
27 January – Opposition protests scheduled in Tirana, Albania
27 January – Anti-Trump marches planned in Washington DC
27-28 January – Extensive maintenance to disrupt Mumbai’s rail network
28 January – Finnish presidential elections
28 January – Cyprus presidential elections
28 January – Opposition protests scheduled in major cities throughout Russia
29 January – Italian high-speed rail workers to strike
30 January – Opposition and anti-corruption protests planned in Lima.
31 January – Anti-government protests in Khartoum, Sudan, due to increasing food costs
01 February – Air Do cancelled 26 flights from Japan due to a pilot shortage

Click the following link to download this report as a PDF: Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 04 The Weekly Risk Roundup highlights significant events from the last week and what to look out for next week. Week 043 Weekly Risk Roundup was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.