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Pyeongchang Olympics Risk Summary

The Winter Olympics is set to begin in Pyeongchang, South Korea on 09 February. Travel to the country brings a unique set of challenges and issues to overcome. For more on the Olympics, how to prepare and, what to expect when travelling to South Korea, please take a look at our risk summary below or download this information as a PDF from the following link:  Solace Global – Event Advisory – Pyeongchang Olympics Risk Summary

THE ROAD TO PYEONGCHANG…

  • 16 Oct 2009 – Pyeongchang submits bid to host games
  • 06 Jul 2011 – Pyeongchang selected as winner
  • 24 Oct 2017 – Olympic Torch Relay commenced
  • 09 Feb 2018 – Olympics Opening Ceremony
  • 25 Feb 2018 – Olympics Closing Ceremony
  • 09 Mar 2018 – Paralympics Opening Ceremony
  • 18 Mar 2018 – Paralympics Closing Ceremony

OPERATING ENVIRONMENT KEY FACTS

  • Estimated 43,703 (Pyeongchang County, as of 2014)
  • Population: 219,274 (Gangneung Metropolitan Area, as of 2012)
  • Geographic Area: 1,464 Km² (Pyeongchang County)  1,039.99 km² (Gangneung Metropolitan Area)
  • Language: Korean
  • Religion: Non-religious/traditional beliefs, Christianity, Buddhism
  • Weather: Cold & temperate (Pyeongchang) Warm & temperate, heavy rainfall (Gangneung)
  • GMT: +9
  • Capital: Seoul
  • Currency: South Korean Won
  • Emergency Services: 119 (Fire & Medical)  112 (Police)

PYEONGCHANG OLYMPICS KEY FACTS

COUNTRIES: 94

A record 94 countries are sending athletes to the 2018 Games. With North and South Korea competing under one flag. The Korean women’s ice hockey team will feature athletes from both countries. 2018 has seen a thawing of interKorean relations, after high tensions throughout 2017.

ATHLETES: 2,900

More than 2,900 athletes will compete at the Games. Russia has been banned from attending but more than 160 Russians will compete under the Olympics flag. The United States will send the most athletes, with nearly 250 planned competitors.

TICKETS: 1.07MILLION

1.07 million tickets for the Games will be on sale. So far, about 75% have been sold. The figure is lower than in comparison with Sochi 2014. Security is the most prominent factor contributing to a lack of sales, though the Russian doping scandal and a lack of local interest have also been contributing factors.

SECURITY: 5,000 

North Korean unpredictability remains the most obvious security challenge. 5,000 members of the military will be deployed for the Games. There are also plans for 15,000 volunteers to support the running of the Games.

OLYMPIC VENUES: 13

The events for the Games will be in Gangwon Province. Specifically in the Pyeongchang Mountain Cluster (snow events), Jeongseon (alpine speed events), and Gangneung (ice events).

LOCAL ETIQUETTE

  • Business dress is strictly formal; men generally wear dark suits, and women, typically modest dresses. Although this may later be relaxed, adherence to this code is advisable for early meetings. Dressing well is considered a sign of respect.
  • It is customary to greet people with a bow from the waist. A handshake may also be a substitute. More established acquaintances typically abbreviate the bow to a nod of the head.
  • When taking something from an older or senior person always use two hands; if you must use one hand, you should support your right arm with your left hand. This extends to the exchange of business cards. Another convention is to support your right arm with your left hand when shaking hands with somebody older or more senior. When talking to someone older, direct eye contact should generally be avoided.
  • Korean society places great emphasis on “face”. Embarrassing situations are to be avoided, or downplayed, as much as possible. This also makes it unusual to receive an apology if someone bumps into you.
  • Buddhist temples often display Swastikas. It originates as a local religious or spiritual symbol and has no connection to the Third Reich or Nazism.
  • Initial conversations are likely to cover a great deal of breadth rapidly; this may include questions about family, career, age, and education. This is not seen as intrusive, however brief answers are acceptable if you do not wish to divulge excessive detail.
  • Tipping is not expected in South Korea (but is welcomed), however a service charge of around 10% may be charged (compulsory) by hotels.
  • Bargaining is acceptable at open markets, but not so welcomed in shops and stores.
  • At some restaurants, you are required to take off your shoes before entering the dining area (usually a wooden floored area). If going to the bathroom, you should use sandals which are usually provided.
  • If you are an important guest, it can be considered rude to pour your own drink, and this must be poured for you by the person sitting next to you. If you are not an important guest, you should pour another’s drink before pouring your own.
  • Do not raise bowls to your mouth when eating. Leave the table to blow your nose and do not make any loud noises at the table.
  • The number four is considered unlucky (tetraphobia) due to its similarity to the Chinese character for death (common in East Asian nations). Even giving gifts in multiples of four is unadvisable. Contrarily, the number seven is considered lucky.
  • Kissing in public is discouraged, especially around older Koreans, as it is considered highly immodest.
  • Physical contact can be considered a personal violation, this includes back slapping and patting. Unless you have a very close relationship with someone, it is advisable not to touch them.

SCAMS

  • Fake Hotel Scams: South Korea has the world fastest internet connections and the greatest internet penetration. Accordingly, a proportional amount of criminal activity and scams are based online. Travellers frequently are targeted by false websites offering modern hotels at low prices. Upon arrival, the hotel either does not exist, or is poorly maintained or an unregistered bedsit. Travellers are advised to undertake proper due diligence on any accommodation or book through a reputable agency.
  • Begging: Foreigners in South Korea can be specifically targeted by beggars who may solicit donations forcefully or apply pressure through unsolicited physical contact. Avoid giving any indication of where your wallet or cash is stored in case they are seeking to distract you for a pickpocket.
  • The ‘Taxis Parked in Front of Your Hotel’ Scam: In front of many four & five-star hotel there are taxis waiting all day. Despite appearances, these taxis are not associated with the hotel. These drivers may not switch on their meters when picking up passengers and instead insist on an excessive charge whilst already in motion. Travellers should be aware of taxis which wait outside of hotels. If you need a taxi, ask your hotel to order one for you from a reputable company and ensure they meter your journey. If the vehicle has a meter, it should be used, if not, agree the price before setting off.
  • The ‘Tour guide’ Scam: A traveller will be approached by a friendly local who speaks good English and has some anecdotes about the traveller’s country of birth. They offer to take the tourist on a tour for a tiny price. For the whole excursion, they seem genuine and kind, however will make efforts to steer travellers towards businesses owned by relatives or friends, who will then pressure the travellers to purchase merchandise at heavily elevated prices. Travellers should be cautious of strangers with intentions too good to be true; invariably they are. If you wish to take a sightseeing tour, prearrange through a reputable agent.
  • Overcharging: Travellers should be aware that foreigners can be overcharged while shopping. This can be intentional or unintentional (inability to read or understand labels). In restaurants, adhere to dishes on the menu and check the bill prior to payment.
  • Racism: Travellers to, and foreign residents in, South Korea have noted a prevalence of racism within the country. Travellers should note that, unlike many countries in the west, South Korea is ethnically homogenous, with more than 99 percent of inhabitants having Korean ethnicity. The judiciary in South Korea have been accused of being heavily biased against foreigners. If there is a dispute with a local, the law will almost always rule in favour of the local against the foreigner. Even if physically assaulted by a local, it is possible that retaliation will cause significant legal problems. For road traffic accidents or incidents of dispute, it is important that a Korean speaker or Korean local is contacted, in order to get both sides of the story.

SECURITY SUMMARY

South Korea, or the Republic of Korea (ROK), holds a geographically and politically important position in the region. The country has excellent relations with the United States, China, and increasingly, with Japan. The ROK’s most substantial threat comes from the aggressive North Korea, or the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea (DPRK).

The ROK’s alliances are mainly used to help manage the continued threat from the DPRK. ROK-DPRK relations have improved somewhat since the beginning of the year, with both Koreas to march under one flag at the opening ceremony.

Both sides of the demilitarised zone maintain some degree of communication. Indeed, President Moon, elected in 2017, has sought to offer an olive branch to South Korea’s northern neighbour, returning to the ‘Sunshine Policy’ (to a large extent) of the post-millennium leadership in Seoul.

Throughout 2017, Pyongyang has tested a series of missiles including those which passed over Japan. More concerningly, in early September 2017, the DPRK conducted its most powerful nuclear test to date, causing a 6.3- magnitude earthquake. While low-level border skirmishes have taken place historically, especially over the disputed Yeonpyeong Islands, the chances for an imminent return to full-blown conflict before or during the Olympics remain unlikely. This is due to the present relationships. The US maintains a force of nearly 30,000 personnel in the ROK to assist in the country’s defence. Also, North Korea maintains a largely friendly relationship with China and Russia which are both sending athletes to compete in the Games (the latter under a neutral flag). Moreover, North Korea athletes, including two figure skaters, are due to compete at the Games.

These facts ensure that the risk of a DPRK missile attack during the Games is LOW.

GENERAL TRAVEL ADVICE

Although South Korea can be considered very safe (especially in terms of crime and terrorist threat), it is advisable to remain aware of your surroundings to at least the same degree as you would in any other developed country.

Take extra care of passports, credit cards and wallets/purses when in crowded or tourist areas. Take extra care when travelling alone or at night, and make sure to use a legitimate means of transport such as public transport or metered taxis.

Be sure to carry a form of ID as well as details of your next of kin. Avoid carrying any valuables in a backpack as this is an easy target for thieves.

When air pollution is high, follow local advice and stay hydrated, indoors, with the windows closed when possible.

South Korean security forces often hold Civil Emergency Exercises in major cities, usually involving evacuation to a safe area such as a metro station. Although you do not have to participate as a foreign national, it is best to follow the instruction of the authorities when the sirens sound indicating an exercise. Be aware that the judiciary has been accused of being biased against foreigners and will nearly always side with locals in any disputes.

There are heavy penalties for drug offences, even for personal use, and foreign nationals can be detained purely on the basis of drug tests.

Week 05 – Maritime Security Weekly Snapshot

Gulf of Guinea – Maritime Security Incidents

01 Feb 18: Potential hijacking, Cotonou, Benin. Communications were lost with a product tanker carrying 13,500t of gasoline and 22 crew members. Last reported location 06°15’57N, 02°30’30E. The owner of Marine Express has engaged with crisis resolution specialists due to the high likelihood of this being a hijacking event. 31 Jan 18: Attempted Theft at Lagos Anchorage. A duty crewman spotted two small boats tied to the anchor chain, and a suspicious person on the forecastle  of a tanker in Lagos Anchorage. Duty officer sounded the foghorn and mustered the crew. Robbers escaped empty-handed.

Indian Ocean – Maritime Security Incidents

02 Feb 18: Red Sea ports. Al Hudaidah and Saleef ports were open to humanitarian shipping with UNVIM permissions. Mokha and Balhaf remain closed to all traffic.

South East Asia – Maritime Security Incidents

31 Jan 18: Crew member assaulted, Godau, Vietnam. Two armed men boarded a bulk carrier anchored in Godau. They assaulted and restrained the bosun before stealing ship’s stores. 30 Jan 18: Vessel boarded in Kutubdia, Bangladesh. Five armed rubbers boarded an anchored bulk carrier in Kutubdia anchorage. The duty crewman was threatened as he raised the alarm. The attackers escaped with ship’s stores, which were later returned by Bangladeshi coastguards.
Click link to Download PDF: Solace Global Maritime Security Snapshot – Week 05 A roundup of maritime security incidents – an easy to read format collating suspicious approaches, vessel attacks, boardings, hijacks and media reports. The week 05 Maritime Security Snapshot was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 05

Headlines From This Week

  • A Further Terror Attack in Kabul – A suicide bombing in Kabul killed at least 95 people on 27 January. More than 150 others were wounded as Taliban attackers drove an ambulance laden with explosives past a police checkpoint in one of the most secure areas of the Afghan capital. This comes a week after the Inter-Continental Hotel in Kabul was also attacked by Taliban gunmen. 
  • Dozens Feared Drowned off Libyan Coast – 90 migrants are feared dead after their boat capsized off the Libyan coast. Three survivors suggested that those who drowned were predominantly Pakistani. At least ten bodies have washed ashore in Libya at the time of writing. Overall this year, it has been reported that there have been 6,624 arrivals of migrants by sea to Europe, up from 5,983 in the same period of 2017. 
  • Mass Unrest Across Russia – Protests were recorded in at least 100 locations across Russia on 28 January as citizens, led by anti-corruption campaigner Alexei Navalny, called for a boycott of elections in March 2018. Navalny was one of more than 250 protestors who were detained by police, but he was subsequently released. 
  • Ex-Leader of Maldives to Contest Elections – Former President of the Maldives, Mohamed Nasheed, is to return to the country from exile to contest elections. This comes after the Supreme Court quashed his 2015 terrorism charges as being ‘politically motivated’. The Supreme Court’s decision saw opposition supporters take to the streets in celebration; two were arrested after clashes with police. The country became a democracy in 2008 but freedoms have been restricted since President Yameen took power in 2013. Yameen’s response is unclear at this time, though Maldives police have vowed to adhere to the ruling. 
  • State of Emergency Declared in Ecuador – The Ecuadoran government declared a state of emergency in the cities of San Lorenzo and Eloy Alfaro following an improvised explosive device attack against a local police headquarters. There were no fatalities, but 14 officers were wounded, and the building was rendered unusable. Armed groups connected to drug cartels are believed to be responsible for the attack. 
  • Nairobi Opposition Protests – Following a mock inauguration ceremony on 30 January for Raila Odinga, the primary opposition presidential candidate, his supporters have launched widespread protests in predominantly opposition-supporting areas of Kenya, Nairobi especially. A number of prominent opposition leaders have also been arrested by security forces in relation to the event, and three television networks have been taken off the air by the government for attempting to televise the inauguration, further aggravating protestors.

What To Look Out For Next Week

  • Winter Olympics to Begin – The 2018 Winter Olympics are scheduled to start in Pyeongchang, South Korea, on 09 February. While the presence of North Korea hangs over proceedings, it has athletes competing at the Games, making aggressive moves by Pyongyang unlikely. Travel disruption should be expected across South Korea. 
  • Referendum in Ecuador – On 04 February, Ecuador will go to the polls to vote on a series of constitutional amendments, one of which reinstates term limits. This would make it impossible for the populist former President Rafael Correa to return to power. Correa has led the campaign against the proposed amendments which have been promoted by President Moreno, thought by many to be Correa’s handpicked successor. It was also believed Moreno would step aside when his term ended to allow Correa to return to power. Unrest is possible during the vote period. 
  • Carnival – Carnival is celebrated across the world and marks a final major party before the Christian festival of Lent. Carnival is especially popular in the Americas. Crime rates spike in the lead up to, and during, Carnival festivities, particularly across Central and South America. The largest celebrations occur in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, where the 2018 Carnival begins on 09 February and ends on 14 February, the day Lent begins.

Significant Dates & Events

  • 03 February – Public transport strikes planned from Helsinki airport
  • 03 February – Anti-corruption protests scheduled in Tel Aviv
  • 04 February – American football Super Bowl in Minneapolis
  • 04 February – Costa Rican legislative and presidential elections
  • 04 February – Planned protests against Macedonia’s naming in Athens
  • 04 February – Anniversary of 1992 failed coup by Hugo Chávez (unrest a potential in Venezuela)
  • 05 February – Algerian paramedics to strike
  • 05 February – Public hospital workers strike across Haiti
  • 06-11 February – Major cycling event in Dubai
  • 09 February – Portuguese airline crew scheduled to start industrial action
Click the following link to download this report as a PDF: Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 05 The Weekly Risk Roundup highlights significant events from the last week and what to look out for next week. Week 05 Weekly Risk Roundup was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

Week 04 – Maritime Security Weekly Snapshot

Gulf of Guinea – Maritime Security Incidents

27 Jan 18: Attempted Boarding at Lagos Anchorage. Suspicious movement spotted on anchored vessel’s forecastle, and one person spotted hiding amongst the mooring winches. Crew were mustered and Navy patrol boat notified. No robbers found, and no stores reported missing. 24 Jan 18: Armed Guards Repelled Attack South of Brass. Embarked  naval guards exchanged fire with attackers during an attempted attack against an underway tanker at 03°30’0 N 06°20’0 E. Crew and vessel reported safe. 24 Jan 18: Vessel Underway Attacked South of Brass. A bulk carrier underway at 03°39’0 N 06°37’2 E was approached by two speedboats containing up to three person each. Occupants of the speedboats opened fire on the carrier, which increased speed and undertook evasive action. Attackers moved away. Vessel and crew reported safe. 23 Jan 18: Attempted Boarding at Conakry Port Terminal. Two people were spotted attempting to climb the vessel’s stern line whilst along side at Conakry Port Terminal. Upon detection both swam away.

Indian Ocean – Maritime Security Incidents

24 Jan 18: Revised  Security Guidance Issued.  BIMCO, ICS, and  Intertanko issued additional security guidance designed to complement BMP4 and mitigate against the additional threats posed by overspill from the Yemeni civil war.

South East Asia – Maritime Security Incidents

26 Jan 18: Pirate Group Active near Sabah. Local authorities reported that vessels known to belong to an established kidnap and piracy gang have been spotted in the Sulu Sea in vicinity of Sabah. Vessels are advised to maintain a strict anti-piracy watch and remain in compliance with BMP4. 20 Jan 18: Anchored vessel boarded in Samarinda Anchorage. Two robbers boarded a vessel at anchor in Samarinda anchorage undetected, and escaped with ship’s properties.
Click link to Download PDF:  Solace Global Maritime Security Snapshot – Week 04 A roundup of maritime security incidents – an easy to read format collating suspicious approaches, vessel attacks, boardings, hijacks and media reports. The week 04 Maritime Security Snapshot was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 04

Headlines From This Week

  • World Economic Forum – The World Economic Forum (WEF) in Davos, Switzerland, ends on 26 January. The event saw substantially less activist activity than was anticipated, with approximately 2,000 protesters demonstrating in Zurich. Approximately 20 protesters managed to breach the security cordon in the town of Davos itself, but they were dispersed peacefully by police.
  • Turkish Incursion into Syria – Turkish forces, supported by militants from the Free Syrian Army launched an operation to clear Kurdish militia groups from the northern Syrian area of Afrin. The Turkish military objectives appear to remain limited, the assault was likely intended to enhance Turkey’s negotiating position with the US and other coalition partners engaged in the region against Islamic State.
  • Major attacks in Jalalabad and Kabul – The Afghan branches of both the Taliban and Islamic State launched major attacks in Afghanistan. The Taliban conducted an explosives and small arms attack on the Kabul Intercontinental hotel on 20 January, which had recently handed its security measures to a private company. 42 people were killed, 17 of which were foreign nationals. The Islamic State attacked the Save the Children charity’s offices in Jalalabad on 24 January, resulting in two fatalities and leaving 12 wounded.
  • US Government Shutdown – The US Government experienced a three-day shut down between 20 and 22 January. This resulted in a cessation of all “non-essential” services, with government employees responsible for the provision of these services asked to stay home without pay. A political compromise in the Senate led to a short-term funding bill to end the shutdown, but a further shutdown is likely in February.
  • IED Attack in Benghazi – Two car bombs were detonated in a residential area of Benghazi on 23 January, the second blast was timed to target those who gathered to help victims of the first blast. A total of 33 people were killed, and 47 wounded. It is believed that the attack was carried out by a cell of Islamic State insurgents who remain in the city despite the organisation’s military defeat.
  • Tsunami Warnings Across the West Coast of North America – An earthquake of approximately magnitude 8.2 struck south of Kodiak Island in Alaska, resulting in the issuing of tsunami warnings throughout the eastern pacific, particularly the US and Canada’s western seaboards. No damage was reported as a result of the quake due to the distance from major inhabited areas; waves measuring approximately 0.3m were reported, however, but had no impact as they occurred well offshore.

What To Look Out For Next Week

  • Australian Tennis Open – Australia is scheduled to hold its 2018 tennis finals on 27 – 28 January. Australia has suffered occasional, lone wolf, terror attacks in recent years, including an as-yet unclassified attack on a police officer on 26 January 2018. Travellers should expect high levels of security around the venue in Melbourne.
  • Thaipusam Festival – The 2018 Thaipusam festival will be held in Malaysia on 31 January. Additional security measures should be expected around Hindu temple locations, and service provision is likely to be reduced due to business closures related to the holiday.
  • Cost of Living Protests in Khartoum – The opposition-planned protests due to be held in Sudan’s capital, Khartoum, on 31 January are likely to result in significant disruption and possible violence. Sudanese security forces responded with force to small-scale, spontaneous, demonstrations over the month of January, and are likely to respond in a similar manner to more widespread incidents.

Significant Dates & Events

  • 27 January – Anti-corruption protests due in Tel Aviv, Israel
  • 27 January – Opposition protests scheduled in Tirana, Albania
  • 27 January – Anti-Trump marches planned in Washington DC
  • 27-28 January – Extensive maintenance to disrupt Mumbai’s rail network
  • 28 January – Finnish presidential elections
  • 28 January – Cyprus presidential elections
  • 28 January – Opposition protests scheduled in major cities throughout Russia
  • 29 January – Italian high-speed rail workers to strike
  • 30 January – Opposition and anti-corruption protests planned in Lima.
  • 31 January – Anti-government protests in Khartoum, Sudan, due to increasing food costs
  • 01 February – Air Do cancelled 26 flights from Japan due to a pilot shortage
Click the following link to download this report as a PDF: Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 04 The Weekly Risk Roundup highlights significant events from the last week and what to look out for next week. Week 043 Weekly Risk Roundup was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

Week 03 – Maritime Security Weekly Snapshot

Gulf of Guinea – Maritime Security Incidents

10-16 Jan 18: Product Tanker Hijacked Beninr. A tanker was hijacked off Benin on 10 January. The crew and vessel were released and reported safe in Lagos following contact between vessel owner and pirates.

Indian Ocean – Maritime Security Incidents

20 Jan 18: 41 Somali Pirates Released. Indian authorities released 41 of 117 Somali pirates held in Indian jails. They were deported from Mumbai to Mogadishu, before being released to return home. There are no measure in place to monitor their actions after their release.

South East Asia – Maritime Security Incidents

19 Jan 18: Abu Sayyaf Released Fishermen. The Philippine insurgent group, Abu Sayyaf, released two Indonesian fishermen which had been held hostage since November 2016. The release was allegedly in response to negotiations between the Philippine and Indonesian governments and Abu Sayyaf. It is unclear what, if any, concessions were made. 17 Jan 18: ReCAAP Capacity Building Summit. The regional anti-piracy group held a summit in Singapore to address cooperation and capacity building among member nations. Senior naval or coastguard personnel from 17 nations were present. 17 Jan 18: Attempted Attack on Tug Boat in Malacca States. A tug boat operating in the Malacca Straits reported an attempted boarding by an unspecified number of robbers. Vessel and crew were reported safe.
Click link to Download PDF: Solace Global Maritime Security Snapshot – Week 03 A roundup of maritime security incidents – an easy to read format collating suspicious approaches, vessel attacks, boardings, hijacks and media reports. The week 03 Maritime Security Snapshot was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 03

Headlines From This Week

  • Winter Storms in Europe – At least nine people were killed after Storm Friederike hit western Europe. Hurricane level winds shut down transportation systems in parts of Germany, the Netherlands, and Belgium. Adverse weather conditions were reported from the United Kingdom to as far away as Romania.
  • Assassination in Kosovo – Prominent Kosovo Serb Politician, Oliver Ivanović, was assassinated outside of his party’s headquarters on 16 January. This murder came on the same day that Belgrade and Pristina began talks on normalising ties after a break of more than a year. Ivanović was an opponent of the Belgrade-backed Serb party in Kosovo. His death may further complicate regional relations.
  • Significant Earthquake off Peru Coast – On 14 January 2018, a magnitude-7.1 earthquake struck off the coast of Peru. At least two people have been reported dead, with dozens more left injured or homeless with a state of emergency declared in the affected zones. Many have been left without power and roads have been damaged; international travel remains uninterrupted.
  • Volcanic Activity in Southeast Asia – Mount Agung in Bali, Indonesia has shown continued activity, spewing volcanic ash 2,000 metres into the air on 15 January but has since settled. Activity at Mayon Volcano, Philippines has forced 38,000 people from their homes. Thousands have been evacuated from islands surrounding Kadovar, Papua New Guinea, as scientists suggest that a volcanic eruption could be imminent.
  • Twin Suicide Bombings in Maiduguri – A double suicide bombing at a market in the northern Nigerian city of Maiduguri killed at least 12 and injured 48 others on 17 January. One attacker was male and the other female. Boko Haram are the most likely culprits of this attack; the Islamic insurgency group has killed more than 20,000 people in its nine-year insurgency.
  • Clashes at Tripoli Airport – At least 20 people were killed after clashes at Tripoli Mitiga Airport, with another 63 injured. Fighting started on 15 January. The Special Deterrent Force, a militia which controls the airport, clashed with a rival militia led by local strongman Bashir al-Baqara; both militias are ostensibly allied with the UN-backed government. Reports suggest that al-Baqara was fighting to release his men held at a nearby prison. All flights were diverted to Misrata Airport, though operations have reportedly resumed at Mitiga.
  • Tensions in the Nile Region – Tensions continue to rise in the Nile region as Sudan sent more troops to its border with Eritrea, partly in reaction to the reported presence of Egyptian troops in Eritrea. Relations between Sudan and Ethiopia on one side, and Egypt and Eritrea on the other, have deteriorated recently, as all sides seek to maintain, or increase, control over precious natural resources.

What To Look Out For Next Week

  • Anti-Kabila Rally in the DRC – Catholics in the Democratic Republic of Congo called for a fresh rally against the continued premiership of President Kabila for 21 January. New Year’s Eve protests against Kabila’s rule led to the deaths of at least six people. Significant and violent unrest should be expected in Kinshasa especially.
  • ‘Women’s March’ Rallies – The 2018 Women’s March, planned as a follow up to the 2017 march, is due to take place on 20-21 January 2017. The primary event will take place on 21 January 2018 in Las Vegas, United States, with other significant marches occurring in New York City and Washington DC. Marches of different sizes have been confirmed in at least 31 different countries/territories, including dozens of marches across the United States.
  • World Economic Forum – The annual World Economic Forum conference is due to take place in Davos, Switzerland between 23-26 January 2018. Many heads of states due to attend, including President Trump. Enhanced security measures and the unrest should be expected in the lead up to, and during, the event.

Significant Dates & Events

  • 20 January – Anti-corruption protests due in Tel Aviv, Israel
  • 21 January – Hong Kong Marathon
  • 22 January – Inauguration of George Weah as Liberia’s new president
  • 24 January – Unification Day, Romania
  • 25-26 January – India-ASEAN Commemorative Summit, New Delhi, India
  • 25-27 January – Opposition rallies planned in Honduras as the new president is sworn in
  • 25-28 January – Winter X Games take place in Aspen, Colorado
  • 25 January – Revolution Day, Egypt
  • 26 January – Australia Day, Australia
  • 26 January – Republic Day, India
  • 26 January – Second Round of Czech presidential elections
  • 26 January – National Resistance Movement (NRM) Liberation Day, Uganda
Click the following link to download this report as a PDF: Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 03 The Weekly Risk Roundup highlights significant events from the last week and what to look out for next week. Week 03 Weekly Risk Roundup was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

Week 02 – Maritime Security Weekly Snapshot

Gulf of Guinea – Maritime Security Incidents

15 Jan 18: Attempted Boarding in Lagos Anchorage. A tanker anchored in location 06°18’05”N 03°23’61”E was conducting ship-to-ship operations when crew noticed robbers attempting to board the vessel. Search lights were directed at the boarders, and crew mustered. The robbers fled 13 Jan 18: Product Tanker Missing near Benin. A tanker has been reported missing with all 22 crew members. Last AIS reported location on 09 Jan at 06°11’51″N 02°28’11″E . 08 Jan 18: Attempted Cargo Theft near Lagos.  A tanker at anchor in position 06°19’00”N  03°20’00”E reported two robbers boarded the vessel and attempted to install hoses to steal cargo. Both robbers jumped overboard when challenged.

Indian Ocean – Maritime Security Incidents

02 Jan 18: Suspicious Approach in Bab el Mandeb Strait. An MV in location 12°13’00”N 043°29’10”E was approached by two small vessels with five persons aboard each with their faces obscured. Approach was aborted at approximately 500m.

South East Asia – Maritime Security Incidents

08 Jan 18: Attempted boarding in Samarinda Anchorage. Duty personnel spotted a number of persons trying to climb a bulk carrier’s anchor chain from a small boat at 0°16’15”S, 117°43’01”E. The robbers fled as the foghorn was sounded.
Click link to Download PDF: 20180115 – Solace Global Maritime Security Snapshot – Week 02 A roundup of maritime security incidents – an easy to read format collating suspicious approaches, vessel attacks, boardings, hijacks and media reports. The week 50 Maritime Security Snapshot was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 02

Headlines From This Week

  • California Mudslide – At least 17 people were killed by mudslides on 09 January in Santa Barbara County, California. On 12 January, the search for survivors entered a fourth day; the number of missing could be as high as 43 according to local officials. A mandatory evacuation zone has been put in place.
  • Protests Against Ex-President’s Pardon – Protests have continued this week in Peru after the decision to pardon ex-President Alberto Fujimori. Fujimori was convicted of human rights’ abuses and corruption. Protestors have also called for the resignation of incumbent President Kuczynski who granted the pardon; Kuczynski has been accused of granting the pardon in return for support against an impeachment vote.
  • Deadly Protests in Tunisia – Protests against the government’s 2018 budget bill have turned violent this week. The government has reported that 21 people have died but some rights groups suggest that the real number could be more than double this. Security forces have so far reported 778 arrests. Further protests are expected, partly in response to the government’s reaction to the protests.
  • ELN-Government Talks Breakdown – This week marked the end of negotiations between the guerrilla group, the National Liberation Army (ELN), and the government. The move comes after the rebel group conducted a series of attacks immediately after the ceasefire between the two entities expired on 10 January.
  • ‘Bread Protests’ in Sudan – Reports suggest that at least three people have been killed in ‘bread protests’ in Sudan. Protests occurred after the government decided to cut subsidies, which led to price rises. Protests have been ongoing since 07 January and look set to continue.
  • East China Sea Maritime Incident – An Iranian-owned oil vessel has been ablaze since 06 January after it collided with another vessel in the East China Sea. It has since drifted into Japan’s exclusive economic zone (EEZ). The vessel was en route to South Korea with almost one million barrels of oil aboard. One body, believed to have been one of the vessel’s crew has been recovered; the other 32 sailors remain missing.
  • Iran Sanctions – President Trump looks set to renew the Iran nuclear deal according to officials in Washington DC. However, his administration is expected to add economic sanctions on Iranian businesses and individuals for support of terrorist groups across the Middle East and other misconduct. The United States’ European partners had been keen to see the deal continue, causing some cross-Atlantic friction since President Trump took office.

What To Look Out For Next Week

  • Pope Francis to Visit South America – Heightened security and travel disruptions are expected during Peru’s papal visit between 18 and 21 January. Pope Francis is due to visit Lima, Puerto Maldonado, and Trujillo. Before Peru, Francis is set to visit Chile, with Santiago, Temuco, and Iquique the primary locations of his visit.
  • Australian Tennis Open Begins – The first of four ‘Grand Slams’, the Australian tennis open is due to take place between 15 and 28 January. The event takes place in Melbourne Park, Melbourne. Enhanced security measures and travel delays should be expected in the area. Protests are also possible given that one stadium which is hosting matches is named after Margaret Court who has been criticised for having homophobic views.
  • 2018 Women’s March – An anniversary event for the 2017 Women’s march is set to take place on 20 January. The primary event is set to take place in Las Vegas in the United States, with sister marches occurring in Europe, South America, Asia, and Australasia. While disruption is likely, protests are not expected to turn violent.

Significant Dates & Events

  • 13 January – Separatist groups plan strikes in Jammu and Kashmir
  • 13 January – Airport workers are to rally in Nadi, Fiji
  • 14 January – Hindu festival of Makar Sankranti
  • 14 January – Christian Orthodox New Year
  • 14 January – Revolution and Youth Day, Tunisia
  • 14 January – Day of Defenders of the Motherland, Uzbekistan
  • 14 January – Tamil Thai Pongal Day, Sri Lanka
  • 15 January – Martin Luther King Day in the United States
  • 15 January – John Chilembwe Day, Malawi
  • 16-17 January – Heroes’ Day in the Democratic Republic of the Congo
Click the following link to download this report as a PDF: Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 02 The Weekly Risk Roundup highlights significant events from the last week and what to look out for next week. Week 02 Weekly Risk Roundup was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

Week 01 – Maritime Security Weekly Snapshot

Gulf of Guinea – Maritime Security Incidents

01 Jan 18: Robbery in Apapa, Lagos.  A Tanker awaiting cargo operations was boarded by four men whilst berthed. The robbers escaped with two jerrycans of grease when the alarm was raised. The shore watchman was found to have abandoned his post. All crew were reported safe.

Indian Ocean – Maritime Security Incidents

07 Jan 18: Saudi Led Coalition Sank Houthi Vessel. Unconfirmed reports suggest that the Saudi-led coalition may have sunk a Yemeni patrol boat operated by Houthi rebels near the Yemeni port of Al Hudaydah. 06 Jan 18: Three Suspicious Approaches reported in the Red Sea. Three merchant vessels reported suspicious approaches by three grey, rigid-hulled boats, carrying weapons and at least six persons on board. Suspicious vessels approached to within 200m before changing course. All vessels reported safe.

South East Asia – Maritime Security Incidents

06 Jan 18: Tanker Collision in East China Sea. An oil condensate carrier collided with a grain carrier off of the Yangtze Delta. The tanker remains on fire, with a significant risk of explosion, and the state of the 32 crew is unknown. 21 crew members were rescued from the grain carrier. Multinational efforts to resolve the situation are ongoing. 05 Jan 18: Attempted Boarding of Bulk Carrier near Port Dickson. The crew of a bulk carrier noticed a small speedboat with five persons onboard attempting to fix a hook to the vessel at 02°27’04”N, 101°39’11”E. Vessel crew mustered with firehoses and the suspicious boat moved away. 03 Jan 18: Japanese Coast Guard Enhance Missile Warning System.  In response to the increased threat of North Korean ballistic missile tests, the Japanese Coast Guard has implemented a partially automated alarm system in order to speed up the process of warning vessels in Japanese waters. Previous missile tests have landed in the Japanese exclusive economic zone. 03 Jan 18: Attempted boarding in Samarinda Anchorage. Duty personnel spotted five persons trying to climb a bulk carrier’s anchor chain from a small boat at0°16’22”S, 117°36’11”E. The robbers fled as the alarm was raised.
Click link to Download PDF: Solace Global Maritime Security Snapshot – Week 01 A roundup of maritime security incidents – an easy to read format collating suspicious approaches, vessel attacks, boardings, hijacks and media reports. The week 50 Maritime Security Snapshot was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 01

Headlines From The Week

  • Positive Moves on the Korean Peninsula – In a surprising move, President Kim stated his intention to consider opening dialogue with South Korea to cover North Korea’s involvement in the Pyeongchang Winter Olympics which begin in February 2018. North Korea’s involvement in the Games is likely to decrease the possibility of military tests or an attack during the event. Planned US-South Korea military drills which were due to take place during the Games have been postponed; Pyongyang views these annual drills as provocation.
  • Unrest in the DRC – An estimated 12 people were killed in renewed protests in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC). Dozens more were injured and more than 120 arrested in widespread anti-government protests, as demonstrators called on President Kabila to step down and respect a 2016 political agreement in which he had pledged to allow for new elections before the end of that year.
  • Storm Grayson Strikes the USA – Storm Grayson has caused hazardous travel conditions along the eastern seaboard of the United States. The storm has brought strong winds, heavy snowfall, and freezing conditions. At least 12 deaths have been attributed to the cold, more than 2,700 flights have been cancelled, and tens of thousands have been left without power. States of emergency have been issued in certain locations.
  • Iranian Protests Continue – Violent protests have continued throughout Iran, with unrest reported in more than 70 cities. More than 20 people have said to have been killed, though security forces have been relatively calm in their response, compared to previous cases of unrest, refraining from widespread aggression.
  • Brazil Prison Break – At least 77 inmates escaped from a jail in the central state of Goias in Brazil on 01 January. The breakout occurred after a riot in the jail between two rival criminal gangs; nine prisoners were killed and 14 injured. Brazil’s jails are notoriously overcrowded with violence an endemic issue.
  • Kabul Terror Attack – At least 20 people were killed and 30 more were killed in a terror attack in the Afghan capital of Kabul on 04 January. Authorities have reported that a suicide bomber targeted police officers who were handling a protest. The Afghan affiliate of Islamic State claimed responsibility for the attacks.
  • US Security Aid to Pakistan Cut – The US government announced plans to cut almost all of its security aid to Pakistan, claiming that it has failed to deal with terror groups operating within its borders, despite Pakistan being a key regional ally. The move has been praised by India and Afghanistan; though China, which has invested heavily in Pakistan, has come to its defence.

What To Look Out For Next Week

  • Orthodox Christmas and the Epiphany – Orthodox Christians are to celebrate their Christmas on the 06-07 January. This may cause some disruptions in Orthodox countries, notably in Eastern Europe. Other Christians around the world also celebrate the Epiphany religious holiday on the same dates, this is likely to cause limited disruption.
  • North-South Korea Talks – The first of high-level talks between Pyongyang and Seoul since December 2015 are set to take place at the ‘truce village’ of Panmunjom on 09 January. These talks, proposed by Seoul after President Kim’s new year message, are set to cover the potential for North Korea’s involvement in the upcoming Winter Olympics, to be held in Pyeongchang, South Korea in February. The participation of North Korea is set to improve the security of the Games. It is also hoped that other issues can be discussed during this meeting. It is unclear, at present, why President Kim offered this olive branch in his New Year’s Day message.

Significant Dates & Events

  • 06 January – Pro-Kurdish march to take place in Paris.
  • 06 January – Anti-Corruption march to take place in Tel Aviv.
  • 07 January – Northern Cyprus elections.
  • 07 January – Victory over Genocide Day (Cambodia).
  • 08,10,12 January – South Western Railway (UK) walkouts.
  • 09 January – Martyrs Day (Panama).
  • 11 January – Proclamation of Independence Day.
  • 11 January – Air France Pilots threaten walkout.
  • 12 January – Zanzibar Revolution Day
  • 12-13 January – Czech Republic Presidential Elections.
  • 12-15 January – Hungarian Civil Service plan to strike.
  • 12 January – Norway’s FlyViking airline to cease operations.
Click the following link to download this report as a PDF: Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 01 The Weekly Risk Roundup highlights significant events from the last week and what to look out for next week. Week 01 Weekly Risk Roundup was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

January 2018 – Monthly Election Guide

Click link to Download PDF: Monthly Election Guide – January 2018 The Solace Global Election Guide is issued monthly in order to highlight the planned elections over the coming year and the threat of unrest or disruption in relation these events.  The January 2018 Monthly Election Guide was produced by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 52

Headlines From This Week

  • Coptic Church Attacked in Egypt – Gunmen opened fire on a Coptic church in Helwan, south of Cairo on 29 December. Preliminary reporting suggested that ten worshippers were killed before police shot and killed the attackers.
  • Explosion in Saint Petersburg – An explosive device was detonated in a Perekrestok supermarket in central Saint Petersburg on 27 December. At least 13 people were wounded in the explosion which the Russian authorities are treating as a terrorist incident. No group has claimed responsibility for the attack.
  • Liberian Election Results Announced – George Weah was announced as the winner of the Liberian presidential election following a delayed and protracted vote-counting process. Provided his inauguration in January occurs as planned, it will mark Liberia’s first democratic and peaceful transfer of power.
  • 41 Killed in Kabul Suicide Bombing – The Islamic State’s Afghan off-shoot claimed responsibility for a suicide attack at a Shi’ite event in western Kabul. The attack resulted in at least 41 killed, and over 80 wounded, the majority of which were civilians. Two other explosions followed the attack in an apparent effort to target emergency responders and those fleeing the first blast.
  • Venezuelan Diplomatic Crisis – The Venezuelan ambassador to Brazil was declared persona non-grata by Brazil following Venezuela’s expulsion of Brazil’s ambassador over the Christmas weekend. The Canadian ambassador was also expelled from Venezuela due to Canada’s imposition of sanctions. Canada is likely to reciprocate and expel the Venezuelan mission.
  • Iran Protests – Several hundred protesters demonstrated in Mashhad against high prices and the government’s foreign policies. At least 52 people were detained by police, who deployed teargas and water cannons against the crowds. Clerical officials have called for harsh treatment of those arrested.
  • South Korea Seized an Alleged North Korean Smuggling Vessel – The South Korean authorities seized a Hong Kong flagged tanker which had illegally conducted ship-to-ship transfers of oil to North Korean tankers in defiance of international sanctions. The vessel’s owner remains unclear, however senior members of the United States’ administration have accused China of assisting North Korea in circumventing the sanctions.

What To Look Out For Next Week

  • Gregorian New Year – New Year’s celebrations are planned across the world for 31 December to 01 January. Many nations have national holidays over these dates and travellers should expect reduced provision of services across most industries, in addition to disruption due to festive events. Travellers should remain aware that New Year’s celebrations have previously been targeted by terror groups seeking mass casualties, as well as criminal groups focused on robbery or sexual assaults. Major cities, including London, New York, Istanbul, and Berlin have implemented substantially heightened security measures.
  • Continued Protests in Lima – Civil unrest in Peru’s capital, Lima, is highly likely to continue following the pardoning of a former president who was jailed for corrupt practices whilst in office. The current president, Pedro Kuczynski, recently avoided impeachment due to corruption charges. His use of the pardon in this instance reignited substantial public anger.

Significant Dates & Events

  • 31 December – New Year’s Eve
  • 31 December – Workers to stage 24 hour strike on London’s Docklands Light Railway and Southwest Rail
  • 01 January – New Year’s Day
  • 01 January – Cuba celebrates Liberation Day
  • 01 January – Haiti celebrates Independence Day
  • 01 January – Sudan celebrates Independence Day
  • 04 January – Railway staff to strike in Eindhoven.
Click the following link to download this report as a PDF: Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 52 The Weekly Risk Roundup highlights significant events from the last week and what to look out for next week. Week 52 Weekly Risk Roundup was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 51

Headlines From This Week

  • Ramming Incident in Melbourne – 19 people were injured after a car driver deliberately drove into pedestrians on a busy street in Melbourne, Australia on 21 December. Police have said the driver, who has been arrested, had a history of mental illness and drug abuse but no known extremist links.
  • Houthi Rocket Shot Down over Riyadh – Houthi rebels in Yemen fired a rocket at the Saudi Arabian king’s residence in the capital Riyadh on 19 December. The rocket was intercepted by the Saudi air force south of the capital. This marks the third such rocket attack by the Houthis on Riyadh in the last month and increases tensions in the region; Saudi Arabia accuses Iran of supplying the Houthis with sophisticated weaponry.
  • Regional Elections in Catalonia – A snap election for the regional parliament in Catalonia was held on 21 December. Despite pro-independence parties gaining a slim, and reduced, majority in the assembly, a prounion party gained the largest share of the vote. It is unclear who will be tasked with forming a government.
  • UN Vote on US’ Recognition of Jerusalem as Israel’s Capital – The UN General Assembly overwhelmingly backed a resolution which called on the USA to withdraw its recognition of Jerusalem as Israel’s capital. 128 states, include the four permanent members of the UN Security Council besides the US, voted to approve the non-binding resolution, with 35 abstaining, and nine (including the US, Israel, and a host of smaller countries) voting against. The US Ambassador to the UN, warned that “the United States will remember this day.”
  • Clashes Continue in Anglophone Cameroon – This week saw continued clashes in the English-speaking region of Cameroon. Armed separatists killed four soldiers after attacking a military installation in Kembong and reports emerged of villages being set ablaze. 30,000 refugees have fled to Nigeria from the region.
  • Two Tropical Storms Strike Southeast Asia – Over the last week, Tropical Storms Kai-Tak and Tembin have made landfall on the Philippines and impacted other countries in the region. Dozens have been left dead by landslides and flooding. Kai-Tak’s path went across the Visayas whereas Tembin’s route crossed Mindanao in Philippines south. A state of emergency was declared in the wake of Tropical Storm Kai-Tak.
  • Peru President Survives Impeachment Vote – Congress in Peru has voted not to impeach President Pedro Pablo Kuczynski over alleged corruption. The opposition wanted to impeach him for allegedly receiving illegal payments from Brazilian construction firm Odebrecht; other political leaders in the region have been brought down by the ongoing scandal.

What To Look Out For Next Week

  • Liberia Presidential Election – After a delay of more than a month due to a legal challenge, the runoff vote for the presidency of Liberia is due to occur on 26 December. The contest pits George Weah, a retired football player and junior senator, against Joseph Boakai, the incumbent vice president. Weah garnered more votes in the first round, having a 10 per cent advantage over Boakai.
  • Further Anti-Corruption Protests in Israel – Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu remains under pressure to resign over corruption allegations. Protestors are due to continue their demonstrations with a rally outside Tel Aviv’s Independence Hall on 23 December at 2000 hours local time, and further gatherings in Paris and Zion Squares of Jerusalem from 1700 and 1800 hours respectively.
  • Anti-Corruption Protests in Romania – Anti-corruption activists are to rally in various cities of Romania on 23 December. Rallies are due to occur between 1400 and 1600 hours local time, with the largest protest due to begin in Bucharest’s Victory Square. Protestors are opposing judicial reforms proposed in Romania.
Significant Dates & Events
  • 23 December – Sindh sugar cane workers to protest
  • 23 December – Anti-US protests outside US Embassy in Prague. Czech Republic
  • 23-24 December – UK CrossCountry Rail staff to strike
  • 25 December – Christmas Day
  • 26 December – Boxing Day
  • 26 December – Macedonian railway workers to strike
  • 27 December – Greater Anglia staff to strike in the UK
Click link to Download PDF: Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 51 The Weekly Risk Roundup highlights significant events from the last week and what to look out for next week. Week 51 Weekly Risk Roundup was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

Week 50 – Maritime Security Weekly Snapshot

Gulf of Guinea – Maritime Security Incidents

17 Dec 17: Ship Boarded at South of Lagos. A vessel was boarded by two men whilst conducting a shipto-ship transfer 3nm south of Lagos. The men escaped in a wooden boat when the alarm was raised. No thefts or injuries were reported. 14 Dec 17: 10 Crew Members Kidnapped from Underway Vessel. Six pirates attacked and boarded an underway bulk carrier around 32nm south of Brass, Nigeria. Ten crew members were reported missing. Remaining crew guided the vessel to a safe port. 14 Dec 17: Cargo Vessel Reported Attempted Boarding. A cargo vessel around 19nm south of Brass, Nigeria reported that four to five pirates approached in a small wooden boat an attempted to board the vessel. The master of vessel was able to take measures to evade the pirates.

Indian Ocean – Maritime Security Incidents

12 Dec 17 – Saudi-Led Forces Began New Hodeidah Assault – The Saudi-led coalition in Yemen’s civil war announced a new offensive against Yemen’s main port of Hodeidah. This followed the defection of those loyal to the deceased former president Ali Abdullah Saleh to the Saudi-led alliance. 14 Dec 17: Suspicious Approach reported in Gulf of Aden. A suspicious approach was reported by a vessel transiting the Gulf of Aden, approximately 60nm South East of Mukallah. Three skiffs, carrying three to four persons each, approached the vessel. The vessel was reported safe.

South East Asia – Maritime Security Incidents

07 Dec 17: Armed Thieves Boarded Vessel at Galang Anchorage. Four thieves armed with knives boarded a vessel at Galang Anchorage, Indonesia. The alarm was raised and the thieves escaped. No items were reported stolen. 07 Dec 17: Armed Thieves Stole from Vessel at Galang Anchorage. Thieves boarded a vessel at anchorage in Galang. They escaped once the vessel’s alarm was raised. Ships stores were reported stolen. 08 Dec 17: Container Ship Boarded in Manila. An anchored container vessel was boarded at Manila South Harbour. Robbers escaped with ship’s property. 13 Dec 17: Thieves Stole from Tanker in Singapore Straits. Four robbers armed with knives boarded a tanker underway in the Singapore Straits. They assaulted the duty oiler before escaping with stolen engine parts.
Click link to Download PDF: Solace Global Maritime Security Snapshot – Week 50 A roundup of maritime security incidents – an easy to read format collating suspicious approaches, vessel attacks, boardings, hijacks and media reports. The week 50 Maritime Security Snapshot was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 50

Headlines From This Week

  • Failed Terror Attack in New York – Five people were injured after an individual detonated a pipe bomb below the Port Authority Bus Terminal in New York City on 11 December. The attacker, a Bangladeshi immigrant who had reportedly entered the US on an immigrant visa, pledged allegiance to Islamic State and claimed the attack in response to Israeli actions in Gaza. The two explosive devices on his person did not explode as had been intended.
  • Terror Attack in Mogadishu – At least 18 police officers were killed and 15 injured after an Al Shabab suicide bomber blew himself up inside Somalia’s main police academy in Mogadishu, on 14 December. The attacker reportedly disguised himself as a police officer to gain entry to the academy. This attack comes just two months after an Al Shabab bombing killed more than 500 people and levelled buildings in the Somali capital.
  • Deadly Airstrike on Houthi Prison – At least 30 prisoners were killed after Saudi coalition airstrikes on the city of Sanaa, which is controlled by the rebel Houthi forces. Local media reported that dozens were injured in seven raids targeting facilities controlled by the Houthis. The prison attacked by Saudi-led airstrikes housed 180 prisoners at that time.
  • Martial Law Extended in Mindanao – On 13 December, the Philippines Senate and House of Representatives voted in favour of approving a request by President Duterte to extend martial law in Mindanao until the end of December 2018. Martial law was initially implemented in May 2017 as a measure to control the rise of Islamic militants in the area. The move has been criticised by rights groups, including Amnesty International, who claim that human rights abuses have flourished in the area under the shadow of martial law.
  • Russia Announces Withdrawal from Syria – President Putin announced a “significant” withdrawal of Russian troops from Syria. Despite initial suggestions by the US that Moscow would find itself “stuck in a quagmire”, it seems to have been successful in its intervention in the Syrian Civil War, namely through the maintenance of ally Bashar al-Assad as President. Russia will keep two military bases in north-western Syria.
  • Peruvian President Resists Pressure to Resign – Peru’s president Pedro Pablo Kuczynski is under serious pressure to resign due to the ongoing corruption allegations involving Brazilian construction firm, Odebrecht. Kuczynski was allegedly paid US$5 million in advisory fees while in a previous government role. The Odebrecht corruption scandal has impacted many political leaders across Central and South America. Indeed, the company was fined a record US$3.5 billion by the US in 2016 for bribing officials; ‘advisory fees’ was one such method used by Odebrecht to bribe public officials.

What To Look Out For Next Week

  • ANC National Conference – South Africa’s ruling African National Conference (ANC) are set to elect a new leader at their national conference in Johannesburg between 16 and 20 December. While Jacob Zuma will remain as president, the new ANC leader will spearhead the election campaign in 2019. Corruption allegations have blighted Zuma’s leadership; the new leader will face the challenge of uniting a party with deep divisions. The two favourite candidates are Cyril Ramaphosa and Nkosazana Dlamini-Zuma.
  • Christmas Transport Strikes in Europe – Transport workers across Europe are due to participate in various strikes next week. This includes security staff at Madrid Barajas Airport (from 22 December), Iberia Staff at Barcelona’s El Prat Airport (from 21st December), and baggage handlers at Paris’s Orly Airport (from 22 December). Travellers should contact their operators to understand if or how they may be impacted by these strikes.
  • ‘Million March’ against US in Karachi – The Jamaat-e-Islami party have announced their intention to march on 17 December against the US’ recognition of Jerusalem as Israel’s capital. The march is set to occur in Karachi and is likely to cause extensive travel delays. This is just one of a host of anti-US protests to have been organised in response to the United States’ new Israeli policy.

Significant Dates & Events

  • 16 December – Bahrain National Day
  • 16 December – Kazakhstan Independence Day
  • 17 December – Bhutan National Day
  • 17 December – Icelandic air Engineers threaten strike
  • 17 December – Major infrastructure work begins on Singapore’s MRT
  • 18 December – Niger Republic Day
  • 18 December – Qatar National Day
  • 20 December – Irish Ryanair pilots to srike
  • 20 December – Macau Special Administrative Region Establishment Day
Click link to Download PDF: Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 50 The Weekly Risk Roundup highlights significant events from the last week and what to look out for next week. Week 50 Weekly Risk Roundup was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.