Login

Solace Global – Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 29

Headlines From this Week

  • Israel Approves Jewish Nation-State Bill – The Israel parliament, or Knesset, approved a controversial bill which categorises Israel as a Jewish state and elevates the Hebrew language over Arabic. The passing of the bill saw furious scenes in the parliament building. This move is likely to bring protests not only within Israel but also on the borders of the Palestinian territories of Gaza and the West Bank.
  • Trump and Putin Meeting Fallout – President Trump faced widespread condemnation from across the US political spectrum for statements made after meeting with Russian President Vladimir Putin in Helsinki, Finland. Trump has fluctuated between stating that Russia did and did not meddle in the 2016 election. A further meeting between the two, which has also seen widespread opposition, has been penned for Autumn 2018.
  • 48 Dead in Mongolia Flooding – Widespread flooding, notably in the capital Ulaanbaatar and in provinces of Bayan-Ölgii, Khovd, Uvs, and Govi-Altai, have left at least 48 people dead in Mongolia. The adverse weather conditions have led to evacuations, damage to travel infrastructure, and power outages. Further heavy rainfall is forecast in parts of western, northern, and central Mongolia in the coming days, with the potential to exacerbate flooding and cause further disruption and risk to life.
  • Protests Continue in Iraq – Protests, which began in the southern city of Basra 08 July, have continued this week. At least 11 fatalities have been reported as the unrest over a lack of basic services, namely electricity shortages, has spread from Basra all the way to the capital Baghdad. 500 injuries have also been reported (including 300 members of the security forces) Demonstrators have also voiced grievances with corruption, unemployment, and water shortages. Security personnel have used live ammunition and water cannons to disrupt protests and telecommunications have been intermittently suspended.
  • Deadly Flooding in Niger – At least 13 people have been killed nationwide after heavy rainfall and flooding in Niger, with the most affected areas being Maradi, Agadez, and Diffa. In total, the adverse weather conditions have affected more than 17,000 people. Further rainfall is expected over the coming days.
  • Nicaragua Government Occupies Masaya – Pro-government forces retook the opposition stronghold of Masaya on 18 July after nearly 24 hours of skirmishes. Protesters and barricades have been cleared from the streets. Three fatalities were reported as a result of this operation. Unrest is set to continue nationwide.

What To Look Out For Next Week

  • Pakistan General Election – The 2018 general election in Pakistan is set to be held on 25 July. The election may prove to be only the second democratic transfer of power in the country’s history. Former-Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif has been banned from running in the election over corruption charges. The campaign period has seen a number of terror attacks targeting rallies and politicians. Pakistan’s security forces, a powerful political element in the country, have been accused of actively favouring the candidacy of Imran Khan and his Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf party
  • Anti-IMF Protest in Argentina – Activists have planned another protest against the International Monetary Fund (IMF) to take place in the Argentine capital, Buenos Aires, on 21 July. The demonstration has been arranged to coincide with the visit of IMF chief Christine Lagarde. Activists are set to gather at the intersection of the Pueyrredon and Las Heras avenues starting at 1100hrs local time. It is unclear how many attendees should be expected but previous anti-IMF unrest has seen violence.
  • Mali Presidential Election – Mali will elect a new president on 29 July 2018. President Ibrahim Boubacar Keita has announced he will be running for a second term. The president of Mali is elected via a two-round system, with the victor requiring at least 50 per cent of the vote to win a five-year term in office. There are more than a dozen other candidates in the running for Mali’s top post. The election period is likely to lead to a spike in civil unrest and terrorism – much of Mali remains outside of the control of the central government in Bamako. Mali is also one of the world’s poorest countries and corruption is endemic.
  • Elections in Cambodia – Cambodia goes to the polls on 29 July 2018 to elect members of the sixth National Assembly. There are 125 seats to be contested with 63 required for a majority. The ruling party, the Cambodian People’s Party led by Hun Sen, is expected to win as the opposition and free media has been decimated by the government. Demonstrations are certainly possible before the election on 29 July but are more likely to be in favour of the regime. Travellers should avoid discussion of the alert as it may lead to arrest or a forceful response from local security officials.
  • Les Fetes de Bayonne – Bayonne Festival, dubbed the largest festival in France, is set to take place between 25 and 29 July in the French Basque city of Bayonne. The event is inspired by the Festival of San Fermin in Pamplona, Spain. A series of events occurs over these days and the city is expected to be crowded with tourists – this raises the potential for criminality.

Significant Dates and Events

  • 07 to 29 July – France – Tour de France Cycle Race
  • 19 to 22 July – United States – Summer X Games in Minneapolis
  • 19 to 22 July – United Kingdom – The Open golf championship at Carnoustie
  • 20 to 22 July – United Kingdom – Baggage handlers plan to strike at London Luton Airport
  • 20 to 22 July – Germany – Formula One race weekend near Heidelberg
  • 24 July – Ireland – Ryanair pilots to strike
  • 20 to 22 July – United States – Rugby World Cup Sevens in San Francisco
  • 21 July – Belgium – National Day
  • 21 July – Guam – Liberation Day
  • 21 July – Germany – Pro-refugee rally in Dusseldorf
  • 21 July – France – Planned anti-violence march in Beaumont-sur-Oise
  • 21 July to 05 August – United Kingdom – Women’s Hockey World Cup, London
  • 21 and 25 July – Bangladesh – Garment rallies in Dhaka
  • 22 July – Gambia – Revolution Day
  • 22 July – Israel – Pro-LGBT nationwide strike
  • 23 July – Egypt – Anniversary of the Revolution
  • 23 July – Papua New Guinea – National Remembrance Day
  • 23 July – Philippines – Anti-Duterte rally planned in Quezon City
  • 23 July – Oman – Renaissance Day
  • 23 and 26 July – Guinea – Further nationwide strikes scheduled for 23 and 26 July
  • 25 July – Puerto Rico – Constitution Day
  • 25 July – Spain – Ambulance workers in Malaga to strike
  • 25 July – Cuba – National Revolution Day
  • 25 July – Tunisia – Republic Day
  • 26 July – Liberia – Independence Day
  • 27-29 July – Hungary – Formula One race weekend in Budapest
  • 28 July – Peru – Independence Day
  • 28 July – United Kingdom – Eurostar staff at St Pancreas station to strike
  • 28 July – Russia – Anti-pension reform rally planned in Yuzhno-Sakhalinsk
Click the following link to download this report as a PDF: Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 29 The Weekly Risk Roundup highlights significant events from the last week and what to look out for next week. Week 29 Weekly Risk Roundup was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

Week 28 – Maritime Security Weekly Snapshot

Indian Ocean HRA – Maritime Security Incidents

11 July 18: Suspicious Approach near Hanish Islands, Southern Red Sea. A merchant vessel sighted a group of skiffs at 13°22’N 042°45’E. One skiff, carrying eight persons, approached to within 0.2nm of the MV, and ladders were sighted. Embarked security personnel displayed their weapons and the skiff moved away.

Mediterranean – Maritime Security Incidents

17 July 18: Libyan Coastguard Reportedly Destroyed Migrant Vessel. At least three people were reported to have died after refusing to board a Libyan Coastguard vessel after the Coastguard took action to scupper their boat and return the occupants to the Libyan shore. Details remain sparse, however accusations have been made against commercial ship operators for failing to rescue the group, with some Non-Governmental Organisations suggesting that these deaths are directly tied to the Italian Government’s recent practice of barring ships carrying migrants from their ports.

Gulf of Guinea – Maritime Security Incidents

03 July 18: – Late Report – Tug Approached South West of Beyelsa,  Nigeria. A tug boat was approached by a fishing boat and skiff. At 01°49’N 003°12’E. The skiff approached to within 0.5nm, but repeated attempts to come alongside were prevented by heavy swell and evasive actions. After five hours, the skiff moved away.

South East Asia – Maritime Security Incidents

06 July 18: – Late Report – Theft from Tug in Pulau Batam. Four coils of towline were stolen from a Singapore-flagged tugboat operating near Pulau Batam between 0130LT and 0330LT. Coastguard reported that the tug appeared to be followed by two Sampans for approximately two hours before the theft was discovered. All crew were unharmed 10 July 18: Theft at Anchor, Sandakan, Malaysia. An unknown number of robbers boarded a berthed tanker in Sandakan and escaped with ship’s properties. The theft was later discovered by duty crew members. Vessel and crew otherwise unharmed.
Click link to Download PDF: Solace Global Maritime Security Snapshot – Week 28 A roundup of maritime security incidents – an easy to read format collating suspicious approaches, vessel attacks, boardings, hijacks and media reports. The week 28 Maritime Security Snapshot was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

Solace Global – Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 28

Headlines From This Week 

  • Nawaz Sharif Returns to Pakistan and Election Update – The Pakistan election season is in full swing. The former Prime Minister, Nawaz Sharif, will return to the country late on 13 July after a court in Pakistan found him guilty on corruption charges which he argues are politically-motivated. His arrival will be met by a large crowd of supporters. In a separate incident, an election event in Peshawar held by the leftist, secularist ANP was attacked by the Pakistani Taliban. 20 were killed including a leader of the party. Further violence has occurred and should be expected until the 25 July polling day.
  • Unrest in Haiti – The poorest country in the Americas faced days of unrest after a 50 per cent hike in the price of fuel. Protesters set cars alight in the capital and other cities, resorting to looting in places. At least four people have been confirmed dead and many others injured. Despite the price hike, agreed with the IMF, being scrapped, protests look set to continue and further violence may also occur. A vote of no-confidence in the prime minister is set to be held on 14 July.
  • NATO Summit – President Trump publicly recommitted US support for NATO at the annual summit this week, though it was a tense affair given Trump’s recent actions and rhetoric. Indeed, behind closed doors, Trump reportedly ruffled a number of feathers, notably those of German Chancellor Angela Merkel. There has also been some disagreement over the commitments to be made regarding defence spending. President Trump followed the trip to Brussels with his first to the United Kingdom, where he has been greeted with protests. He has also induced friction with Prime Minister Theresa May, criticising her plans for Brexit and praising the former foreign minister, Boris Johnson, who left his post earlier in the week.
  • Unrest in Northern Ireland – 12 July marked the annual commemoration of the Battle of the Boyne in 1690, with marches by Orangemen in various locations across Northern Ireland. The marches were preceded with days of unrest. In Belfast 13 vehicles were set on fire, while there were five nights of violence in the Bogside area of Derry, including the throwing of petrol bombs at police. Police also warned that the loyalist paramilitary force the Ulster Volunteer Force (UVF) planned to “orchestrate and participate in serious disorder” in east Belfast. While unrest was expected, events were more violent than in 2017.
  • Flooding in Japan – More than 200 people were killed and 54 are missing after heavy rains led to flash floods and landslides across central Japan. Those most severely hit were villages in the countryside and the area was unprepared for a series of meteorological phenomena all occurring at the same time.

What To Look Out For Next Week

  • Putin and Trump to Meet – The long-awaited meeting between Presidents Trump and Putin will take place from 16 July in the Finnish capital of Helsinki. President Trump has already said that the meeting with Putin may be his easiest while in Europe. Some American policymakers have reported fears that the US president will be outmatched by his Russian counterpart. Issues of Russian involvement in the 2016 US election, Ukraine, Syria, Iran, sanctions on Russia, and perhaps North Korea will feature heavily at the summit.
  • FIFA World Cup Final – After a month of competition, the 2018 FIFA World Cup in Russia comes to end as France plays Croatia on 15 July. The game will be played at the Luzhniki Stadium in Russia’s capital, Moscow, beginning at 1600hrs local time. Travellers can expect disruption in this area, and in France and Croatia where the game is likely to be most closely followed. The competition has been spared many of the security threats that were expected beforehand, though isolated incidents have occurred.
  • Bastille Day in France – France celebrates its national day, also known as Bastille Day, on 14 July. It marks the storming of the Bastille prison, where political prisoners were held, by rebels in 1790. This began an uprising which led to the overthrow of the monarchy. In Paris, the day is celebrated with a military parade from the Arc de Triomphe to the Place de la Concorde where President Macron will be assembled with other dignitaries. In 2016, a terrorist drove into crowds along the Promenade des Anglais. Bastille Day will also be celebrated in French overseas territories, including French Guiana.
  • Sandinista Revolution Anniversary – Nicaragua commemorates the victory of the National Liberation Army over the Somoza dictatorship on 19 July. This is likely to have greater meaning and impact this year as the country is in the throes of a civil uprising which has been ongoing since 18 April 2018, during which time at least 264 people have been killed in clashes. Unrest is ongoing, with the 19 July expected to be a day of heightened protest as it is the third and final day of a general strike.
  • Protests in Guinea – Protests are set to take place in Conakry, Guinea on 16 July. Previous protests have been deadly. It is strongly advised to avoid all large gatherings and maintain heightened levels of situational awareness in Guinea at all times. Travellers can also expect heightened security measures and travel disruption. It is unclear how well attended any demonstrations will be.

Significant Dates and Events

  • 07 to 29 July – France – Tour de France Cycle Race
  • 14 July – Italy – Pro-migrant rally to take place in Ventimiglia
  • 14 July – Iraq – Republic Day
  • 14 July – Israel – Anti-Netanyahu rally in Tel Aviv
  • 14 July – South Korea – Anti-refugee rally in Seoul
  • 14 July – Serbia – Anti-corruption march planned in Belgrade
  • 14 July – Spain – Pro-Catalan independence march in Barcelona
  • 15 July – Brunei – His Majesty the Sultan’s Birthday
  • 15 July – Turkey – Democracy and National Solidarity Day (Anniversary of 2016 attempted coup)
  • 16 July – Chile – Virgen del Carmen Day
  • 16 July – Brazil – Doctors to strike in Porto Alegre
  • 16 to 17 July – Botswana – President’s Day
  • 17 July – Lesotho – King’s Birthday
  • 17 July – South Korea – Constitution Day
  • 18 July – Uruguay – Constitution Day
  • 18 July – Argentina – Anniversary of the 1994 terror attack on the Jewish community centre, Buenos Aires
  • 19 to 22 July – United States – Summer X Games in Minneapolis
  • 19 to 22 July – United Kingdom – The Open golf championship at Carnoustie
  • 19 July – Myanmar – Martyr’s Day
  • 20 July – Greece – Rail workers to strike
  • 20 to 22 July – United Kingdom – Baggage handlers plan to strike at London Luton Airport
  • 20 and 24 July – Ireland – Ryanair pilots to strike
  • 20 July – Spain – Security staff to strike at Ibiza Airport
  • 20 to 22 July – United States – Rugby World Cup Sevens in San Francisco
  • 20 July – Colombia – Independence Day
  • 21 July – Belgium – National Day
  • 22 July – Gambia – Revolution Day
  • 23 July – Egypt – Anniversary of the Revolution
  • 23 July – Oman – Renaissance Day
Click the following link to download this report as a PDF: Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 28 The Weekly Risk Roundup highlights significant events from the last week and what to look out for next week. Week 28 Weekly Risk Roundup was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

Week 27 – Maritime Security Weekly Snapshot

Indian Ocean HRA – Maritime Security Incidents

04 July 18: Suspicious Approach ENE of Muscat. Two white-hulled skiffs approached to within 500m of a merchant vessel at 24°02’N 059°55’E. Vessel and crew were reported safe. 04 July 18: Merchant Vessel Fired Upon in the Southern Red Sea. A merchant vessel transiting northwards in the Red Sea was approached by three high-speed skiffs at 13°33’N 042°40’E, near the Hanish islands. Each skiff contained up to eight armed persons, who fired upon the MV as they closed. Armed security personnel returned fire and compelled the attackers to abort their approach. Vessel and crew were reported safe.

Mediterranean – Maritime Security Incidents

08 July 18: Italian Interior Minister to Bar Access to Rescue Vessels. Matteo Salvini, the Italian interior minister, announced his intent to close Italian ports to vessels conducting rescues of migrants in the Mediterranean. It remains possible that such a bar may extend to commercial vessels which rescued migrants under SOLAS obligations.

Gulf of Guinea – Maritime Security Incidents

03 July 18: Vessel Boarded in Lagos,  Nigeria. A vessel anchored at 06°16’N 003°11’E was boarded by a lone intruder using the cover of darkness. The intruder was spotted by duty personnel and escaped in a small boat moored to the anchor chain.

South East Asia – Maritime Security Incidents

03 July 18: Vessel boarded in Chittagong, Bangladesh. Eight robbers boarded a bulk carrier anchored at 22°19’N 091°43’E. They tied up the duty watchman, and escaped having stolen the aft mooring rope. 03 July 18: Tug and Barge Boarded near Tanjung Piai. A tug boat and barge carrying a cargo of scrap metal was boarded by 10 individuals from six sampans at 01°12’N 103°33’E. The perpetrators stole cargo from the barge and fled as the alarm was raised.
Click link to Download PDF: Solace Global Maritime Security Snapshot – Week 27 A roundup of maritime security incidents – an easy to read format collating suspicious approaches, vessel attacks, boardings, hijacks and media reports. The week 27 Maritime Security Snapshot was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

Solace Global – Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 27

Headlines From This Week 

  • Terror Attack in Mali – Insurgents in northern Mali conducted a significant improvised explosive attack against French and Malian forces in the Gao region. At least four civilians were killed and numerous civilians and soldiers were wounded during a direct attempt to destroy French armoured fighting vehicles. This attack may represent a step-change in insurgent capabilities in the region.
  • China Floods – At least 16 people have been killed and 10 others are wounded after heavy rainfall led to flooding in southwest China. Rains struck the provinces of Guangxi, Yunnan, Hunan, and most notably Sichuan. In Sichuan province alone, seven people have been killed, 120,000 impacted, and thousands forced to evacuate. Flooding has also been reported in Shaanxi in northwest China, the reservoir at the Three Gorges Dam is set for the first flood of the year.
  • Mexican Election – The Mexican General Election was held on 01 July and resulted in a resounding victory for the leftist candidate, Andres Obrador. Between 100-200 candidates were killed during the campaign season, particularly those standing for local administrative positions. It remains to be seen whether this violence will persist in the aftermath of the vote. The election itself took place relatively smoothly, with minimal disruption, and no noteworthy unrest. The new president’s focus against corruption is likely to face staunch resistance from lower levels of government where the influence of drug cartels is pervasive and widespread.
  • Malaysia’s Ex-Prime Minister Arrested – Najib Razak was arrested on 03 July, two months after losing a re-election bid, following widespread allegations of corruption and misappropriation of funds. Investigations into Razak, his wider party, and family are ongoing, with further arrests likely due to the theft of at least $4.5 billion dollars, laundered through a minimum of six other countries. No noteworthy unrest has yet occurred in response; however, if the investigation appears to become politically motivated, Razak’s supporters may be motivated to resist the investigation.
  • Rioting in Nantes – The French city of Nantes experienced two nights of rioting following the police shooting of a man during a stop and search. Rioters and police exchanged stones and teargas in the city centre on Wednesday and Thursday evenings, with public buildings, a community centre, and several vehicles set alight. Arrests are likely to follow. The police initially justified the shooting by claiming that the victim attempted to run officers down, however eyewitnesses claim the vehicle was static at the time of the shooting. The police officer who fired has been taken into custody whilst the investigation is ongoing and may face criminal charges.

What To Look Out For Next Week

  • Typhoon Maria – Typhoon Maria is anticipated to strike the southern Japanese island of Okinawa as a category four storm between 09 and 10 July. This classification means that the island is likely to be struck with winds of up to 156 miles per hour, as well as significant and violent rain. The outer edges of the storm are likely to cause disruption to air and sea travel to surrounding nations, including China, Taiwan, and mainland Japan.
  • President Trump to visit Europe – President Trump is scheduled to undertake a tour of Europe, attending a NATO summit in Belgium, a working visit to the UK, and a one-on-one meeting with Russia’s Vladimir Putin. President Trump’s itinerary is almost certain to attract widespread disruption and protest due to a widening gulf between Trump’s policy measures and the political positions of the European population; permits have already been issued for extensive demonstrations in London.
  • Naadam Festival in Mongolia – The national holiday of Naadam is scheduled to take place in Nepal between 10-13 July. The festival attracts extensive crowds to engage in and spectate competitions of wrestling, archery, and horse racing. The largest event is due to be held around the capital of Ulaanbaatar, however smaller events are likely to be held in most regions throughout the country. Normal services and business activities are likely to suffer extensive disruption.
  • Orange Parades in Northern Ireland – The anniversary of the Battle of the Boyne on 12 July is scheduled to be commemorated with widespread parades by the Protestant Orange Institution. The parades remain highly contentious in an environment where religious and social divides remain apparent after centuries of unrest and conflict. Travel disruption around urban areas is highly likely, and violent unrest remains a possibility. Overtly heightened security measures are likely to be in place.
  • Cambodian People Party Rally – The Cambodian People’s Party (CPP) has planned to hold a rally in the Koh Pich (Diamond Island) area of Phnom Penh on 07 July. Preliminary estimates suggest that this pre-election rally is likely to attract upwards of 100,000 people from its start time of 05:30 locally. Traffic disruption and delays should be expected around the city, including around the airport. Several processions will take place to and from the event from various areas of the city until around 14:00. Other rallies will be held between now and the general election on 29 July 2018. Avoid large gatherings, demonstrations and political meetings.

Significant Dates and Events

  • 02 to 15 July – United Kingdom – Wimbledon tennis tournament
  • 06 to 08 July – United Kingdom – Formula One race weekend
  • 06 to 12 July – Japan – Dozens of ANA flights cancelled due to engine inspections
  • 06 to 13 July – Spain – Festival of San Fermin in Pamplona
  • 06 to 07 July – Nicaragua – Opposition groups plan 48-hour general strike
  • 07 to 29 July – France – Le Tour de France cycling race
  • 07 July – United Kingdom – London Pride Parade
  • 07 July – Cote d’Ivoire – Independence Day
  • 07 July – Tanzania – Saba Saba Day
  • 07 July – Spain – Madrid metro workers plan to strike
  • 07 July – United Kingdom – Far-right group plan rally in Leeds
  • 07 July – South Korea – Pro-Choice rally in Seoul
  • 09 July – Argentina – Independence Day and Anti-IMF protest planned in Bueno Aires
  • 09 July – South Sudan – Independence Day
  • 09 July – Croatia – Croatia Airline staff to strike
  • 10 July – Bahamas – Independence Day
  • 10 July – Mauritania – Armed Forces Day
  • 11 July – Belgium – Day of the Flemish Community
  • 12 July – Sao Tome and Principe – Independence Day
  • 12 July – Ireland – Ryanair pilots in Ireland to strike
  • 13 July – Montenegro – Statehood Day
  • 14 July – France – Bastille Day
  • 14 July – Italy – Pro-migrant rally to take place in Ventimiglia
  • 14 July – Iraq – Republic Day
  • 15 July – Brunei – His Majesty the Sultan’s Birthday
  • 15 July – Turkey – Democracy and National Solidarity day (Anniversary of 2016 attempted coup)
  • 16 – 17July – Botswana – President’s Day
  • 16 July – Brunei – Sultan’s Birthday, national holiday
  • 17 July – Lesotho – King’s Birthday, national holiday
  • 18 July – Uruguay – Constitution day
Click the following link to download this report as a PDF: Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 27 The Weekly Risk Roundup highlights significant events from the last week and what to look out for next week. Week 27 Weekly Risk Roundup was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

Week 26 – Maritime Security Weekly Snapshot

Indian Ocean HRA – Maritime Security Incidents

28 June 18: BMP5 Replaced BMP4. Counter piracy and maritime security best practices have been updated, with BMP 5 being issued in response to the evolution of the threat picture in the Indian Ocean High Risk Area. Whilst region specific, a number of the guidelines and measures are applicable to vessels transiting other regions. 23 June 18: Unilateral Humanitarian Ceasefire. Internationally supported Yemeni government forces have conducted a unilateral “pause” in their offensive operations in Al Hudaydah, ostensibly to provide a window for humanitarian relief efforts. Initial estimates suggest a resumption of combat operations in early July, unless a significant breakthrough in negotiations follows. There is a possibility that the UN may seek control over the port as a neutral party to ensure continuing aid supply.

Mediterranean – Maritime Security Incidents

25 June – 02 July 18: Over 160 Migrants Rescued off Spain. At least 160 migrants were rescued in a series of operations off the Spanish coast as the so-called “western route” to Europe appears to become more popular with traffickers. This may, in part, be a direct response to Italy’s recent efforts to halt the flow of migrants between itself and Libya. The sea journey between Africa and Spain is also significantly shorter than the Libya-Italy route, although Algeria and Morocco are less permissive to traffickers than the failed Libyan state. This increase in traffic may lead to increased disruption to commercial vessels as SOLAS obligations may force diversions and delays to rescue those in need.

Gulf of Guinea – Maritime Security Incidents

01 July 18: Vessel Attacked South of Bonny Island, Nigeria. A vessel came under attack by pirates at 04°08’N 006°57’E, 20 nm from Bonny Island, at 1040hrs. The vessel and crew were later reported safe. Further details of the attack remain unclear.

South East Asia – Maritime Security Incidents

27-29 June 18: Joint India-Bangladesh Naval Exercises. India and Bangladesh conducted their first joint naval exercise in the Bay of Bengal. The aim of the exercises were to enhance cooperation and interoperability against maritime crime and militancy in the region. 02 July 18: Human Trafficking Vessel Capsized off Penerang, Malaysia. An overloaded speedboat containing at least 44 illegal immigrants capsized 6nm off the coast of Penerang, southern Malaysia. At least one died, with a further 18 missing. Recovery and law enforcement operations led to an increase in air and marine traffic in the area.

General – Maritime Security Incidents

Maritime Global Security. A series of international shipping organisations have launched www.maritimeglobalsecurity.org to act as a repository for resources and information relating to maritime security threats and mitigations strategies around the world. This was launched concurrently with the issue of BMP5 for the Indian Ocean HRA.
Click link to Download PDF: Solace Global Maritime Security Snapshot – Week 26 A roundup of maritime security incidents – an easy to read format collating suspicious approaches, vessel attacks, boardings, hijacks and media reports. The week 26 Maritime Security Snapshot was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

Solace Global – Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 26

Headlines From This Week 

  • Possible Assassination Attempts in Africa – On 23 June, two possible assassination attempts occurred in African nations. In the morning, two people were killed and dozens more injured at a rally held by Ethiopia’s reformist prime minister Abiy Ahmed in the capital Addis Ababa. In the afternoon, an explosion occurred at a rally in Bulawayo, Zimbabwe, where President Mnangagwa had spoken. The president has accused a group with links to the former first lady, Grace Mugabe, for the attack which killed two and injured many more.
  • Ceasefire in South Sudan – South Sudan President Salva Kiir and his rival Riek Machar have agreed to a “permanent” ceasefire, which is due to take place within 72 hours of the agreement of the deal on 27 June. While both leaders have vowed that this ceasefire would be permanent, other such agreements have been broken. This agreement does form a foundation on which to build a lasting peace in the war-torn country.
  • Vietnam Flooding – Floods and landslides in northern Vietnam have left at least 22 dead and 11 more missing. Lai Chau and Ha Giang are the hardest hit provinces. Millions of dollars of damage have been reported. While rescue efforts are underway, access to many of the worst hit areas has been cut off.
  • Protests in Tehran – Iran’s capital has been beset by unrest this week over a dramatic depreciation in the value of the country’s currency, the rial. At one point, protesters shut down Tehran’s Grand Bazaar, an economic centre and a place which gained notoriety in the 1979 revolution. Economic and labour protests are likely to continue or intensify as the reinstatement of US-led sanctions takes hold.
  • Herders in Nigeria Conduct Further Attacks – At least 86 people were confirmed dead after clashes between nomadic Fulani herdsmen and villagers in Nigeria’s Plateau State. In response to the violence, a curfew has been implemented between 1800 and 0600hrs local time in the state. Issues related to overpopulation, ethnicities, religion, and climate change have contributed to the conflict. The death toll from herdsmen attacks since 2015 has exceeded those inflicted by the Islamist terror group Boko Haram for the same period.
  • Mass Shooting in Maryland, USA – The 154th mass shooting in the United States this year took place on 28 June at the Capital Gazette newspaper headquarters in Annapolis, Maryland, in an attack which killed five people. The attacker was subsequently arrested and is alleged to be an individual with a personal grievance with the newspaper; police are yet to confirm this. In the aftermath of the attack, the New York Police Department deployed a counterterrorism team to protect media outlets including the New York Times.

What To Look Out For Next Week

  • Continued Protests in Nicaragua – Activists are set to rally in Managua on 30 June in opposition to what they see as repressive government policies – at least 285 have been killed, 1500 injured, and 156 reported missing in more than two months of protests. The protest is set to begin in morning hours, with thousands expected to attend. While it is intended to be peaceful, clashes with security forces are possible, meaning that all gatherings should be avoided. Activists have also accused the government of using paramilitary groups to help carry out its repressive measures.
  •  Hong Kong Special Administrative Region Establishment Day – 01 July marks the transfer of Hong Kong from British to Chinese control on the same date in 1997. It is common for this day to be met with protests by civil and human rights groups demanding universal suffrage and other democratic norms. Clashes and disruption are possible this year as activists will march from Victoria Park’s football pitches, then head down Hennessy Road towards Admiralty. Authorities in the Chinese territory had previously ordered that the protest takes place at Victoria Park’s Central Lawn.
  •  Wimbledon Tennis Tournament Begins – The annual Wimbledon tennis championship begins on 02 July ending on 15 July. Security is set to be at its highest level ever in 2018, with staff trained in ‘behaviour detection’. Armed police officers will patrol the All England Club, and thorough searches will take place at all gates. Those attending the event should allow plenty of time to pass through security checks.
  •  Pamplona Bull Run – The Festival of San Fermin, known by many as the Pamplona Bull Run, takes place between 06 and 13 July 2018. In the 2017 event, five men, known as the “wolfpack”, were accused of raping an 18-year-old woman but were only convicted of sexual abuse. The ruling, and the subsequent release of the men, was met by significant unrest. The 2018 event is likely to be met with protests in locations across the country including in Pamplona; demonstrations by animal rights activists are possible too.
  •  Le Tour de France Begins – The most prestigious annual cycling event, the Tour de France, begins on 07 July in Noirmoutier-en-L’île. The 105th edition of the event will finish on Paris’s Champs-Elysees on 29 July after 21 days of racing. Unusually, all stages of the race will occur in France, minus a 15km entry into Spain during a day in the Pyrenees. The event often leads to road closures and travellers can expect enhanced security measures, especially at the final stage in Paris.

Significant Dates and Events

  • 25 June to 02 July – Mauritania – African Union summit in Nouakchott
  • 29 June to 01 July – Austria – Formula One Grand Prix
  • 30 June – Norway – Oslo Pride parade
  • 30 June – DR Congo – Independence Day
  • 30 June – Sudan – Revolution Day
  • 30 June – Seychelles – Independence Day
  • 30 June – Ecuador – LGBT Pride Parade
  • 01 July – Hong Kong – HKSAR Day and Pro-democracy rally
  • 01 July – Mexico – General Election
  • 01 July – Russia – Protests planned nationwide
  • 01 July – China – Chinese Communist Party founding day
  • 01 July – Canada – Canada Day
  • 01 July – Ghana – Republic Day
  • 01 July – Rwanda – Independence Day
  • 01 July – Somalia – Independence Day
  • 01 July – Turkey – LGBT Pride Parade in Istanbul
  • 02 – 03 July – Zambia – Heroes’ Day followed by Unity Day
  • 03 July – Belarus – Independence Day
  • 04 July – Rwanda – Liberation Day
  • 05 July – Algeria – Independence Day
  • 05 July – Armenia – Constitution Day
  • 05 July – Venezuela – Independence Day
  • 05 July – Czech Republic/Slovakia – Saints Cyril and Methodius’ Day
  • 06 July – Comoros – Independence/National Day
  • 06 July – Lithuania – Statehood Day
  • 06 July – Malawi – Independence Day
  • 07 July – Cote d’Ivoire – Independence Day
  • 07 July – Tanzania – Saba Saba Day
  • 07 July – Spain – Madrid metro workers plan to strike
  • 07 July – United Kingdom – Far-right group plan rally in Leeds
  • 07 July – South Korea – Pro-Choice rally in Seoul
Click the following link to download this report as a PDF:  Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 26 The Weekly Risk Roundup highlights significant events from the last week and what to look out for next week. Week 26 Weekly Risk Roundup was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

Week 25 – Maritime Security Weekly Snapshot

Indian Ocean HRA – Maritime Security Incidents

19 June 18: CMF Releases Bulletin to Shipping Industry. In response to two recent attacks on 3 June on WHO vessel VOS Theia, and 13 June attack on a Saudi warship, both of which occurred off the coast of Al Hudaydah, a bulletin was released to inform shipping operators of the risks on merchant vessels transiting the High Risk Area. Since the attack on the MV Ince Inebolu, there have been no further reports on merchant vessels. The more recent attacks on the aforementioned vessels are due to their being involved in or affiliated with the conflict. Although the risk to merchant vessels not involved in the current Yemeni conflict remains unchanged, there is potential for the conflict to spill-over. The risk of being misidentified, or being susceptible to collateral damage, is a realistic possibility. Vessels are recommended to utilised the Maritime Security Transit Corridor and maximise the distance from Yemen’s islands and coastline. Vigilance should be maintained and be supported by timely reporting of encounters or incidents to the UKMTO. 26 June 18: Suspicious Approach in Bab El Mandeb, Red Sea. The vessel was approached by two speedboats in position 13°30’24N, 42°43’42E at 0708UTC. Each carried 8-10 persons on board. The embarked armed security team showed weapons and the speedboats departed. Speedboats had previously approached two other MVs in the area.

Mediterranean – Maritime Security Incidents

June 18: Merchant Vessel Caught in Migrant Dispute with Italy, with 113 Migrants Onboard. Due to SOLAS, captains of merchant vessels are required to rescue individuals in distress at sea. Media reports the container Alexander Maersk remains anchored off Pozzallo, Italy after responding to an emergency call and rescuing 113 migrants. Italy’s ports currently remain closed even to military vessels of NATO allies which have migrants on board. The USNS Trenton was delayed off Augusta, Sicily and could not bring 41 rescued migrants ashore. As the political debate continues, there are likely to be further costs and delays to merchant shipping.

South East Asia – Maritime Security Incidents

18 May 18: Late Report of Armed Robbery on Bulk Carrier; Tarahan Anchorage, Indonesia. Five robbers armed with knives boarded an anchored bulk carrier in position 5°32’S, 105°18’80E at 1935UTC. They took hostage the duty man and threatened him. The robbers stole ships property and engine spares and escaped. The duty man was able to free himself and raise the alarm. The crew mustered and a search was conducted on the ship.
Click link to Download PDF: 20180625 – Solace Global Maritime Security Snapshot – Week 25 A roundup of maritime security incidents – an easy to read format collating suspicious approaches, vessel attacks, boardings, hijacks and media reports. The week 25 Maritime Security Snapshot was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

Solace Global – Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 25

Headlines From This Week 

  • Flooding in Abidjan – At least 18 people have been confirmed dead after heavy rainfall overnight on the 18-19 June in Abidjan, Cote d’Ivoire. The government has called for evacuations from flood-prone areas of the city after flood waters rose to 2.5 metres in places. The military has been deployed to undertake disaster relief. Cote d’Ivoire is currently in its rainy season, with heavy rains forecast until the end of the month.
  • Push for Peace in South Sudan – President Salva Kiir and his former deputy turned rebel leader Riek Machar held face-to-face talks on 20 June in Addis Ababa, brokered by Ethiopia’s new prime minister, Abiy Ahmed. The two South Sudanese political heavyweights last met at the outbreak of deadly fighting in Juba in July 2016. Machar has since been living in exile. South Sudan has been in a state of almost consistent civil conflict being formed in 2011.
  • Significant Earthquake in Japan – Three people were killed after a magnitude-6.1 earthquake struck Osaka prefecture on 18 June. A further 350 people were reported injured. While no tsunami warning was issued in the aftermath of the quake, fears remain that there will be stronger seismic events in the coming weeks which could cause cataclysmic damage.
  • Macedonia Naming Deal – On 17 June, Macedonian and Greek leaders agreed to end a 27-year dispute regarding the name of Macedonia, with the Former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia (FYROM) changing its name to the Republic of North Macedonia. The dispute has been bitter and has prevented Macedonia joining NATO and the EU. The Greek Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras narrowly survived a vote of no-confidence due to the deal, which still needs to be ratified by both
  • Death Sentence for Aman Abdurrahman – On 22 June 2018, a court in Jakarta found Aman Abdurrahman guilty of inciting others to commit terrorism and sentenced him to death. He stands accused of being the leader of an Indonesian affiliate of Islamic State. This act may cause Aman to become a martyr in the eyes of many radical Muslims in Indonesia and further afield, increasing the potential for retaliatory terror attacks.
  • Tit-For-Tat Trade Tariffs – The EU retaliatory tariffs on a series of US imports, issued in response to President Trump’s tariffs, came into effect on 22 June. Meanwhile, India has announced it will raise taxes on 29 US products from 04 August. There is a significant potential for a trade war between the United States and its traditional allies, further damaging the post-World War Two western alliance system.

What To Look Out For Next Week

  • General Election in Mexico – The Mexican general election is to be held on 01 July, electing thousands of positions from local councillors to the president. Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador, a leftist populist, is most likely to win the presidential election, heading a politically-mixed coalition. The campaign period has been beset by unrest and violence, with at least 100 political candidates killed.
  • Nationwide Local Elections in Indonesia – Local elections are due to take place in Indonesia on 27 June. The elections come on the back of recent terror attacks in the country and there is the potential that militants will seek to disrupt the vote. Political unrest may occur nationwide, with a heightened risk in Papua, Maluku, and West Kalimantan provinces.
  • Unions Call for General Strike in Argentina – The largest union in Argentina, the Confederación General del Trabajo (CGT), has announced plans to launch a general strike on 25 June. The move comes in opposition to the economic policies of President Macri, who recently agreed on a multibillion-dollar loan with the International Monetary Fund. Public demonstrations have not been planned at this time. Travel to, from, and within Argentina is expected to be significantly disrupted around this date.
  • AU Summit in Mauritania – 31st Ordinary Session of the African Union Summit is due to take place in Nouakchott, Mauritania between 25 June and 02 July. Increased security measures and travel restrictions should be expected across the city, notably at the Conference Centre located within the vicinity of OumTounsy Airport. France’s President Macron is set to visit during the summit, departing on 03 July.
  • General Strike in Costa Rica – Labour unions are planning a general strike to take place on 25 June. Those in the country can expect extensive travel delays and the potential for related protests, with the capital San Jose likely to be most significantly affected. If the general strike does take place, it is expected to cost the economy somewhere between $10 million and $15 million dollars.
  • Alexei Navalny Plans 01 July Protests – Russian opposition politician Alexei Navalny is urging Russians to take to the streets on 01 July in response to the government’s plans to increase the retirement age. Navalny has filed requests for demonstrations in 20 cities but they are not set to conflict with any FIFA World Cup matches. Russian authorities are likely to make arrests before and during the protests; violence is possible.

Significant Dates and Events

  • 22-24 June – France – Formula One Grand Prix
  • 23 June – Estonia – Victory Day
  • 23 June – Finland and Latvia – Midsummer’s day holiday
  • 23 June – Luxembourg – National Day
  • 23 June – Ethiopia – Pro-government rally in Addis Ababa
  • 23 June – Burkina Faso – Opposition rally planned in Ouagadougou
  • 23 June – United Kingdom – Pro-EU “People’s Vote March” in London
  • 23 June – Angola – Protest planned in Uige province
  • 23 June – United States – Pro-immigration rally in San Francisco
  • 23 June – United States – Anti-poverty rally in Washington DC
  • 23 June – Kazakhstan – Anti-Nazarbayev rallies planned
  • 23 June – Portugal – Festival of Sao Joao de Porto
  • 23 June – South Korea – Anti-North Korea protest in Seoul
  • 24 June – Philippines – Manilla Day
  • 24 June – Turkey – General Election
  • 24 June – Niger – Unsanctioned anti-finance law protest in Niamey
  • 25 June – Croatia – Statehood Day
  • 25 June – Mozambique – Independence Day
  • 25 June – Canada – Anti-Trump protest in Montreal
  • 26 June – Azerbaijan – Armed Forces’ Day
  • 26 June – Madagascar – Independence Day
  • 27 June – Djibouti – Independence Day
  • 27 June – Sri Lanka – Poson Full Moon holiday
  • 27 June – Tajikistan – National Unity Day
  • 28 June – Ukraine – Constitution Day
  • 28 June – France – Potential general strike
  • 29 June – Seychelles – Independence Day
  • 29 June to 01 July – Formula One Grand Prix
  • 30 June – Norway – Oslo Pride parade
  • 01 July – Hong Kong – HKSAR Day and Pro-democracy rally
Click the following link to download this report as a PDF:  Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 25 The Weekly Risk Roundup highlights significant events from the last week and what to look out for next week. Week 25 Weekly Risk Roundup was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

Week 24 – Maritime Weekly Security Snapshot

Indian Ocean HRA – Maritime Security Incidents

13 June 18: Houthis Report Strike on Coalition Warship. The location of the incident is unknown, local Yemeni media stated the warship was seen burning and rescue operations were conducted for the crew. This incident is unconfirmed. 18 June 18: Houthis Detain French Sailor in Hodeidah Port. According to regional media reports, a French sailor has been detained for two weeks by Houthi forces in Hodeidah, although this is unconfirmed. He was forced to call at the port after a storm led to a technical malfunction on his sailboat MY Jehol 11. 18 June 18: UN Aim to Control Hodeidah Port, Yemen. Hodeidah is the main distribution point for commercial and humanitarian supplies to Yemen. The Saudi-led coalition hopes to seize the port militarily from the Houthis; however, a UN envoy is aiming to broker a deal for the port to be administered independently.

Gulf of Guinea – Maritime Security Incidents

09 June 18: Tanker Boarded in Lagos. At least one robber was reported to have boarded a tanker in position 6°27’00N, 003°22’18E. A hose was inserted into a cargo tank. After being seen, the robber escaped the vessel and into a nearby speedboat. 13 June 18: Supply Vessel Boarded in Takoradi Anchorage. Robbers boarded a Singapore-flagged supply vessel anchored at 4°53’60N, 1°42’30W at 0245UTC. Watchmen shouted at the robbers and raised the alarm. Seeing the alerted crew the robbers escaped. 18 June 18: Militant Groups Threaten to Attack Oil Facilities in Niger Delta. Niger Delta Activists Forum have warned of planned attacks on oil facilities belonging to Agip. These threats were made in response to the group’s claim that previous agreements have not been implemented, as well as pollution of the area.

South East Asia – Maritime Security Incidents

31 May 18: Tanker Boarded Near Mersing, Malaysia. A late report was released of an oil tanker that was boarded whilst at anchor in position 2°25’30N, 104°25’11E at 0104UTC. Fourteen robbers stole personal belongings from the crew and fled via a stolen vessel. Malaysian Special Forces were able to track and apprehend the robbers who were armed with knives and machetes. Two crew members were injured during the attack.
Click link to Download PDF: 20180618 – Solace Global Maritime Security Snapshot – Week 24 A roundup of maritime security incidents – an easy to read format collating suspicious approaches, vessel attacks, boardings, hijacks and media reports. The week 24 Maritime Security Snapshot was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

Week 18 – Maritime Security Weekly Snapshot

Indian Ocean HRA – Maritime Security Incidents

CTF 151 Seeks to Engage Non-Commercial Seafarers. Combined Task Force 151 has launched an effort to actively engage with non-commercial vessels transiting the HRA. Previous efforts have focused on countering piracy towards commercial shipping, and the new effort is aimed at filling a perceived gap in coverage. Pakistani Vessels Provide Logistical Support. Pakistani warships assigned to CTF 151 reported providing assistance to both a stranded fishing boat with a mechanical issue, and a yacht which ran out of fuel and food due to recent adverse conditions in the region.

Gulf of Guinea – Maritime Security Incidents

06 May 18: Attempted Boarding near Port Harcourt, Nigeria. Six persons onboard a skiff attempted to board a merchant vessel at 03°37’N, 006° 16’E. Vessel and crew reported safe.

South East Asia – Maritime Security Incidents

06 May 18: Attempted Boarding at Chittagong, Bangladesh. Robbers aboard a small wooden boat boarded a bulk carrier at 22°15’N 091°45’E using a rope and hook. The crew raised the alarm and robbers left the vessel empty handed. 06 May 18: Attempted Robbery at Muara Berau, Indonesia. Robbers aboard a small boat boarded a bulk carrier at 00°14’S 117°34’E. The crew raised the alarm and   robbers left the vessel empty handed. 29 Apr 18: Vessel Boarded at Tanjung Berakit, Indonesia. Robbers successfully boarded a heavy lift vessel anchored at 01°25’N, 104°47’E. They broke several stores throughout the vessel, but investigation reported nothing stolen.
Click link to Download PDF: Solace Global Maritime Security Snapshot – Week 18 A roundup of maritime security incidents – an easy to read format collating suspicious approaches, vessel attacks, boardings, hijacks and media reports. The week 18 Maritime Security Snapshot was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

Solace Global – Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 18

Headlines From This Week 

  • Dust Storms in India – At least 125 fatalities have been reported after dust storms hit northern India, notably Uttar Pradesh and Rajasthan. High-speed winds and lightning have brought down buildings and led to dozens of injuries. Dust storms are expected to continue, and the death toll is predicted to rise.
  •  Terror Attack in Tripoli – On 02 May, Islamic State militants attacked Libya’s electoral commission headquarters in Tripoli. At least 12 people have been confirmed dead as gunmen and suicide bombers attacked while officials registered voters for elections that it is scheduled to be held this year.
  •  Dozens Dead in Boko Haram Attack – Reports suggest that 60 people were killed in a twin suicide attacks on a mosque in Mubi, Adamawa state while afternoon prayer was being held. Dozens more were injured in the Boko Haram attack. Violence by the terror group has killed around 20,000 people since 2009.
  •  17 Dead in Mali Islamist Attack – At least 17 people were killed after Islamist militants attacked two villages in Menaka region, Mali on 01 May. The local affiliate of Islamic state has been blamed for the attack which targeted members of the Taureg community. This incident is a further example of Mali’s instability at this time.
  •  Morocco Cuts Ties with Iran – On 02 May, Morocco severed diplomatic relations with Iran after reporting evidence of their support for rebels in the disputed Western Sahara region. Morocco claims that the Iranian-backed Hezbollah militant group has provided training and financial support to Polisario Front independence fighters. This is further evidence of the battle lines being drawn in Middle East and North Africa.
  •  Terror Attacks in Afghanistan – Jihadists launched a series of deadly attacks across the country after the Afghan Taliban announced its annual spring offensive. On 30 April, a coordinated double suicide bombing killed at least 25 people, ten of whom were journalists. The initial suicide bombing near the NATO headquarters and US Embassy was followed 20 minutes later as another attack targeted first responders. Dozens of other terror incidents have occurred across the country this week.
  •  Evacuations in Hawaii – Mandatory evacuations have been issued in areas of the island of Hawaii after Kilauea volcano erupted, spewing lava into a residential area on 03 May. At present 1,700 people of Leilani Estates are affected by the evacuation order but this may increase depending on the activity of the volcano which is unpredictable at this time, according to officials. More than 6300 hectares have been closed off to the public due to volcanic activity.

What To Look Out For Next Week

  • Malaysia General Election – Malaysians are set to go to the polls to elect a new parliament on 09 May. The 2013 vote was met with cases of violence, including an improvised explosive device at a rally for the ruling party. Opposition parties also criticised the fairness of the election claiming that the ruling party enjoyed an unfair advantage, with opposition rallies disrupted and internet speeds slowed down for those critical of the government.
  • Giro d’Italia Begins – The annual tour of Italy begins on 04 May. The first stage takes place in Jerusalem with two further race days in Israel before the race reaches Italy on 08 May. The final stage takes place in Rome on 27 May. Travel disruption should be expected during this period.
  • Lebanon Legislative Elections – Elections are set to occur on 06 May after years of delays. The political system has historically been unstable, and this looks set to continue. Prime Minister Saad Hariri recently resigned before retracting his resignation. Religious and ethnic traditions influence the political system. There is the potential for unrest or terror incidents, especially given regional tensions and active terror groups.
  • Iraq Elections – Parliamentary elections are due to be held on 12 May 2018. The vote is being held against the backdrop of a defeat of Islamic State in Iraq. However, ethnic strife, criminality, and terrorism continue to blight the country’s security profile. It is also unclear what involvement Iraqi Kurdistan, which voted for independence in late 2017, will have in the election. In 2014, as members of the security forces voted, six polling stations were hit by suicide bombers with at least 27 deaths recorded. Violent unrest and terror attacks are highly likely in the election period.
  • Anti-Macron Protests – On 05 May, protesters will take to the streets of Paris and Lyon to voice opposition to President Macron and the French government. In Paris, demonstrators are expected to rally from 1200hrs at Place de l’Opéra, before marching to Place de la Bastille. Protesters in Lyon will gather at 1400hrs at Place des Terreau. Security is set to stepped up as violence occurred at 01 May protests and 109 people were arrested. Macron has so far been reluctant to make any concessions to continuing protesters.
  • Unrest to Continue in Israel – Yom Yerushalayim or Jerusalem Day on 12-13 May is an Israeli national holiday which celebrates the establishment of Israeli control over the city after the June 1967 Six-Day War. This celebration, with the planned opening of the US Embassy in Jerusalem on 14 May, means that violent unrest is set to continue.

 Significant Dates and Events

  • 04-20 May – Denmark – World Ice Hockey Championships
  • 05 May – Ethiopia – Patriots’ Victory Day
  • 05 May – Israel – Anti-government protests in Tel Aviv
  • 05 May – Peru – Anti-abortion rally to be held in Lima
  • 05 May – Ireland – Pro-Palestinian rally planned in Dublin
  • 05 May – Guyana – Arrival Day
  • 05 May – United Kingdom – Pro-independence rally in Glasgow
  • 05 May – Kazakhstan – Constitution Day
  • 05 May – United States – Kentucky Derby
  • 05 May – Japan – Constitution Memorial Day and Children’s Day
  • 05 May – Kyrgyzstan – Constitution Day
  • 05 May – Mexico – Cinco de Mayo (Victory Over French, 1867)
  • 05 May – Spain – Nationwide protests over pension reform
  • 05-07 May – France – Transport strikes affecting Marseille Province Airport
  • 06 May – Russia – Left Front activists to rally in Moscow
  • 06 May – Canada – Toronto Marathon
  • 06 May – Bulgaria – George’s Day
  • 06 May – Tunisia – Municipal Elections
  • 06 May – Thailand – Environmental activists to protest in Chiang Mai
  • 06 May – United States – Anti-National Rifle Association rally in Dallas, Texas
  • 07 May – Kazakhstan – Defender of the Fatherland Day
  • 08 May – Georgia – St Andrew’s Day
  • 08 May – Turkmenistan – National Heroes Commemoration Day
  • 08 May – Italy – National air traffic control strike
  • 08-09 May – Various – Victory in Europe Day
  • 08-19 May – France – Cannes Film Festival
  • 09 May – Kosovo – Europe Day
  • 09 May – Uzbekistan – Day of Remembrance of the Victims of Political Repressions
  • 10 May – Various – Christian festival of the Ascension
  • 11-13 May – Spain – Formula One weekend in Barcelona
  • 12 May – Timor-Leste – General election
Click the following link to download this report as a PDF: Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 18 The Weekly Risk Roundup highlights significant events from the last week and what to look out for next week. Week 18 Weekly Risk Roundup was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

Solace Global – Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 17

Headlines From This Week 

  • Ramming Attack in Toronto – On 23 April, a lone individual killed ten people, and left a further 15 wounded, when he crashed a hired van through pedestrians in Toronto. A disproportionate number of victims were female. The attacker had an extensive history of mental health and learning difficulties, in addition to a discharge from the Canadian army 16 days into training. Present evidence suggests that the attacker was self-radicalised based on active participation in a range of alternative and misogynistic online communities.
  • Nicaraguan Protests – Anti-government protests, triggered by proposed changes to social security measures, expanded and widened even after the government submitted to initial demands. Tens of thousands continued to protest daily in Managua, now apparently focused on breaking President Ortega’s 30-year monopoly on power. Violence occurred frequently as pro-government counter protesters and police sought to quell the unrest, and residents near the protests sought to defend their properties. Unrest is highly likely to continue.
  • Kenya Flood Risk – Severe rains in western Kenya have led to widespread flooding, forcing approximately 200,000 people to evacuate their homes. Key highways have been submerged, hindering emergency responses. Numerous landslides have been reported. The rainfall was sufficient that two dams near Mount Kenya, the Masinga and Kamburu, are at risk of failure. Significant populations down-river from them have been advised to evacuate to high ground.
  • Madagascar Protests – Madagascar has seen a series of opposition-led protests against the Government’s attempt to implement new electoral laws which are likely to bar a number of candidates from the upcoming presidential election. At present, opposition leaders remain steadfast in their refusal to re-enter negotiations and the government has relied on security forces to disperse protests. At least two people have been killed, and tear gas has frequently been employed to scatter crowds.
  • Greek Ultranationalists beat Migrants – Supporters of Greek far-right political groups clashed with a crowd of migrants in the main square of Mytilene on Lesbos overnight on 20 April. The migrants had been peacefully protesting the poor living standards in official government-run refugee camps, and persistent delays in the processing of asylum claims. Over 30 people were hospitalised following the clash, which involved thrown bricks and flares; and police detained over 120 people before evacuating the migrants back to an official camp.
  • Leaders of North and South Korea Met in South Korea – President Kim became the first North Korean leader since the war to cross the Demarcation line into South Korea during a diplomatic meeting with the South’s President Moon. The meeting, on 27 April, resulted in a declaration that the two states would seek complete denuclearisation of the Korean Peninsula and a phased reduction in conventional arms. North Korea has routinely discarded earlier treaties; this meeting goes toward setting the stage for the meeting between Kim and US President Trump before the end of June 2018.

What To Look Out For Next Week

  • Mayday or Labour Day – Known by several names, depending on region, most Western and former-Soviet states hold a public holiday in early May. The specific date of the celebration may vary from country to country, however travellers should expect disruption to travel caused by rallies, parades, or protests which typically accompany the celebrations. The date’s affiliation with labour movements in many countries may lead to strike action or industrial disputes around these dates. Monitoring of local media is recommended in order to minimise disruption.
  • Rallies for former President in Seoul – Supporters of the ousted South Korean President Park are due to hold rallies in Seoul on 28 April. These rallies are likely to be extensive as Park’s conservative party also directly opposes the foreign policy priorities of the governing Democratic Party, which have come to a head with the recent face-to-face meetings with the North Korean Leader, Kim Jong-Un, and South Korean President Moon. Previous protests by the Conservative Party resulted in thousands of protesters obstructing the streets of Seoul and a series of violent clashes with riot police which left at least one person dead, and many in hospital.
  • Saleh al-Sammad’s Funeral in Sanaa – The funeral of Saleh al-Sammad, the leader of the Houthi rebel’s Political Council, is due to be held in Sanaa, Yemen’s capital, which is presently under rebel control. The Houthi group have previously been known to launch rocket, drone, and mortar attacks against Saudi assets in response to attacks on their territory or personnel. The killing of such a prominent figure in their organisation by a Saudi airstrike is likely to elicit a similar response. Saudi-flagged vessels in the Red Sea, or major cities in Saudi Arabia may be directly targeted with missiles during or immediately after the funeral.
  • Indian National Congress Rally in New Delhi – The Indian National Congress (INC) opposition party has scheduled a national rally in New Delhi’s Ramlila Maidan. The INC is affiliated with a wide number of trade and labour groups, which it intends to leverage to create maximum attendance at the rally. The chosen venue has a capacity of approximately 100,000 people, however estimates of crowd size range from 30,000 to 60,000. Significant travel disruption in the immediate area of the rally should be expected. Although the INC has no intention of inciting violence, increasingly polarised national politics means that isolated clashes with counter protesters are probable.
  • More Protests Likely in Armenia – Talks between the Armenian government and the de-facto leader of the recent protest broke down when the acting prime minister allegedly refused to meet directly with the opposition leader. The Armenian Parliament is due to select its new Prime Minister on 01 May through an internal ballot; opposition leaders have renounced this in favour of a new general election, provided it were certified as free of the voting discrepancies reported in previous polls. Earlier protests saw small numbers of troops joining the demonstrators, however as the protests continue, there remains a realistic probability that violent clashes may occur.

 Significant Dates and Events

  • 27 April to 08 May – Thailand – Disruption at Phuket Airport due to maintenance work
  • 28 April – Afghanistan – Mujahideen Victory Day
  • 28 April – Ukraine – Memorial marches to the World War Two-era “Galica” division planned in Lviv
  • 28 April – Gabon – Legislative Elections
  • 28 April – Barbados – National Heroes Day
  • 28 April – Italy – Sardinia’s Day
  • 29 April – Japan – Showa Day
  • 30 April – Mexico – Teachers to commence a 72 hour strike and protest action
  • 30 April – Sri Lanka – Vesak Full Moon Poya Holiday
  • 30 April – Vietnam – Reunification Day
  • 01 May – Various – Mayday or Labour Day, frequently a public holiday
  • 01 May – Marshall Islands – Constitution Day
  • 01 May – Poland – National airline workers due to strike
  • 01 May – Denmark – Anti-fascist groups to rally in Copenhagen
  • 01 May – Greece – Trade unions to rally in Athens
  • 01 May – Bangladesh – BNP trade union affiliates to rally in Dhaka
  • 02 May – Iran – Imam Mahdi’s birthday, national holiday
  • 02 May – Bangladesh & India – Shab e-Barat
  • 03 May – Poland – Constitution Day
  • 03 May – Japan – Constitution Memorial Day
  • 03 May – Cambodia – Royal Ploughing Ceremony, national holiday
  • 04 May – Japan – Greenery Day, national holiday.
  • 04 May – Latvia – Declaration of Independence Day
  • 04 May – Namibia – Cassinga Day
  • 04-20 May – Denmark – World Ice Hockey Championships
  • 05 May – Ethiopia – Patriots’ Victory Day
  • 05 May – Guyana – Arrival Day
  • 05 May – Kazakhstan – Constitution Day
  • 05 May – USA – Kentucky Derby
  • 05 May – Czechia – March planned in Prague supporting Marijuana legalisation
  • 06 May – Russia – Left Front activists to rally in Moscow
  • 06 May – Canada – Toronto Marathon
 Click the following link to download this report as a PDF: Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 17 The Weekly Risk Roundup highlights significant events from the last week and what to look out for next week. Week 17 Weekly Risk Roundup was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

Weeks 15 & 16 – Maritime Security Weekly Snapshot

Indian Ocean HRA – Maritime Security Incidents

Apr-May 18: Coalition Preparing Operations Against Al-Hudaydah. Yemeni government forces, supported by the Saudi-led Gulf coalition appear to be preparing for a direct offensive against the Houthi-held port of Al Hudaydah. Previous operations in the area have been countered by attacks against Saudi shipping by shore-based missile systems, and waterborne IEDs. It is highly likely  that future offensives will see a similar response.

Gulf of Guinea – Maritime Security Incidents

21 Apr 18: Vessel Boarded off Bonny Island, Nigeria. Preliminary reports suggest a merchant vessel was attacked and boarded at 03°33’N 007°02’E, approximately 40nm south of Bonny Island.

South East Asia – Maritime Security Incidents

18 Apr 18: Robbery At Anchor  in Samarinda Indonesia. A vessel anchored at 00°15’S 117°38’E discovered the forecastle store had been broken into. Robbers were believed to have boarded via the anchor chain. 17 Apr 18: Attempted Theft at Anchor in Chittagong, Bangladesh. Six robbers attempted to board a vessel at 22°11’N 091°42’E. One crew member was threatened with a knife before the alarm was raised and the attackers fled. 12 Apr 18: Theft at Anchor in Chittagong, Bangladesh. Robbers boarded a vessel at 22°13’N 091°45’E, assaulted the vessel’s watchkeeper, and fled with ship’s stores. 05 Apr 18: Suspicious Approach against Sailing Vessel, South China Sea. A small vessel containing two men approached a 14m catamaran at speed to within 200m at 17°16’N 111°16’E. The catamaran issued a Mayday and was responded to by a cruise liner. The suspect vessel moved away.
Click link to Download PDF:  Solace Global Maritime Security Snapshot – Week 15 & 16 A roundup of maritime security incidents – an easy to read format collating suspicious approaches, vessel attacks, boardings, hijacks and media reports. The week 15 & 16 Maritime Security Snapshot was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

Solace Global – Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 16

Headlines From This Week 

  • US Attacks Syrian Government Targets – On 14 April 2018, the United States, with the support of France and the United Kingdom, launched a missile attack on Syrian government targets. The attack was ostensibly in response to a chemical attack on civilians in Douma, east of Damascus, believed to have been conducted by the Syrian government. This attack is likely to have significant implications for global and regional relations, further damaging the relationship between the West and Russia.
  • Protests in Armenia – Protests broke out on 13 April in Yerevan, Armenia’s capital, in response to parliament’s decision to appoint former President Serzh Sargysan as prime minister. Due to significant constitutional reform in 2015, the position of prime minister has become more significant than the presidency. Thousands have taken to the streets and dozens have required hospitalisation. Further protests are planned.
  • Pompeo Visits Kim Jong-un – It was revealed this week that President Trump’s nominee to take over as Secretary of State, Mike Pompeo, visited Kim Jong-un in North Korea to lay the groundwork for a summit between the US and North Korea. According to South Korea’s President Moon, Kim has dropped his longstanding demand for US forces to be removed from the Peninsula in exchange for denuclearisation.
  • Labour Unrest in France – Unions have continued their disruptive protests in France in opposition to planned reforms by President Macron. Scuffles were reported in a number of locations but largely remained non-violent. Dates for further four-day strikes by railway workers from April to June have been released. Attendance at this week’s rallies were down compared to previous stoppages in April.
  • Deadly Attack in Timbuktu – 15 Islamist militants were killed after attacking a United Nations military base in Timbuktu, Mali. The attack, on 14 April, led to the death of one UN peacekeeper with seven others wounded as well as two civilians. The attackers reportedly infiltrated the base dressed in UN uniforms.
  • President Erdogan Calls Snap Polls – Turkey’s next general election has been moved forward by around 18 months after Turkey’s President Recep Tayyip Erdogan announced snap elections on 18 April. The next general election will take place on 24 June. The elections will be the first since a referendum in 2017 gave the presidency new, sweeping powers. Turkey is still in a state of emergency which was implemented in July 2016 in response to a failed military coup.

What To Look Out For Next Week

  • Anzac Day – Anzac Day 2018 will be observed on 25 April and marks the contribution of servicemen and women from Australia and New Zealand. The national day of remembrance is also observed in the Cook Islands, Niue, Pitcairn Islands, and Tonga. Commemorative events are also set to take place in Gallipoli in Turkey and Villers-Bretonneux in France. Travellers should expect enhanced security measures around these events.
  • Earth Day 2018 – 2018’s Earth Day is set to take place on 22 April 2018. Rallies will be held across the globe, for the 48th anniversary of the event, with organisers predicting as many as one billion people could be involved in events in more than 192 countries and territories. The largest events are set to take place in the United States. For more, see https://www.earthday.org/ or social media sites.
  • Elections in Paraguay – Paraguayans are due to elect a new president, legislature, and local representatives on 22 April 2018. Incumbent President Horacio Cartes has announced he will not run again. Previously, there has been known to be political violence conducted against members of the press and political opponents, due to a close relationship between politicians and organised crime. Observers judged the 2013 election to be fair.
  • Hitler’s Birthday – 20 April 2018 marks Adolf Hitler’s birthday. This day is often commemorated by far-right, Neo-Nazi marches around the world. A notable rally is set to take place in the town of Newnan in Georgia, USA on 20 to 21 April. This rally is expected to be greeted by a substantial security provision and counter rallies, with significant potential for violence. Another Neo-Nazi event is taking place in Ostritz in Germany. Similar conditions should be expected at both events.
  • Unrest in Togo Continues – Opposition groups have called for further protests in Togo between 23 and 27 April. Among other things, protesters are demanding a return to the 1992 constitution. Dates and locations of protests have not been released. Reports suggest that in the 11-14 April wave of protests, one person was killed and 174 more were wounded. Expect heightened security measures in Lomé especially.
  • National Assembly Elections in Gabon – The members of Gabon’s National Assembly are due to be elected on 28 April. Elections were previously planned for December 2016 and July 2017 but were postponed due to a lack of funds, and to further enable political dialogue. After the presidential elections in August 2016, widespread protests occurred. Supporters of opposition leader, Jean Ping, clashed with police believing that they had achieved victory. At least five people were killed and more than 1,000 arrested. During the unrest, authorities blocked the internet in Libreville. Further unrest is likely around this election.

 Significant Dates and Events

  • 21 April – Brazil – Tiradentes Day
  • 21 April – Spain – Copa del Rey Football Final in Madrid
  • 21 April – Ghana – Anti-US protest planned in Tamale
  • 21 April – Hungary – Anti-government protest in Budapest
  • 21 April – Israel – Anti-corruption march in Tel Aviv
  • 21 April – New Zealand – Nurses to rally in Palmerston
  • 21 April – Madagascar – Opposition protest to be held in Antananarivo
  • 22 to 27 April – Senegal – Saint Louis International Jazz Festival
  • 22 April – United Kingdom – London Marathon
  • 22 April – Chile – Nationwide No + AFP marches
  • 23 April – United Kingdom – St George’s Day (England)
  • 23 April – Spain – Castile and León Community Day
  • 23 April – Turkey – National Sovereignty and Children’s Day
  • 23 April – Namibia – Taxi drivers in Windhoek plan to strike
  • 23 April – India – DMK activists to rally across Tamil Nadu
  • 24 April – Armenia – Genocide Memorial Day
  • 24 April – Niger – Concord Day
  • 25 April – Costa Rica – Union leaders plan general strike
  • 25 April – Italy – Liberation Day
  • 25 April – Egypt – Sinai Liberation Day
  • 25 April – North Korea – Military Foundation Day
  • 25 April – Portugal – Freedom Day
  • 26 April – Tanzania – Union Day
  • 27 April – Denmark – General Prayer Day
  • 27 April – Netherlands – King’s Birthday
  • 27 April – Slovenia – Resistance Day
  • 27 April – South Africa – Freedom Day
  • 27 April – Togo – Independence Day
  • 27 April – Finland – National Veteran’s Day
  • 27 April – Sierra Leone – Independence Day
  • 27 to 29 April – Azerbaijan – Formula one race weekend (road closures to occur in Baku)
  • 27 April to 08 May – Thailand – Disruption at Phuket Airport due to maintenance work
 Click the following link to download this report as a PDF: Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 16 The Weekly Risk Roundup highlights significant events from the last week and what to look out for next week. Week 16 Weekly Risk Roundup was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.

Solace Global – Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 15

Headlines From This Week 

  • Tensions Rise in Syria – International rhetoric on planned actions in Syria have heated up this week after a suspected chemical attack by the Syrian government on the city of Duma on 07 April; at least 40 fatalities were reported as a result of the attack. The US (and its allies) have vowed to respond to the chemical attack as it did in 2017. Russia, Syria’s closest ally, has warned that any US attack on Syria could lead to open conflict between the two countries. Airlines are avoiding Syrian airspace due to the fears of a missile strike by the US.
  • UN Mission Clashes in Bangui – The UN peacekeeping mission to the Central African Republic were involved in a series of clashes in the capital Bangui this week. UN forces were conducting operations in PK5, a Muslim area of the predominantly Christian city, when clashes occurred. One Rwandan UN soldier was killed, and eight others were wounded. Nine people in PK5 were killed. This led to hundreds of protesters outside the UN headquarters in the city, where they also laid the bodies of those killed.
  •  Nawaz Sharif Given Lifetime Political Ban – Former Prime Minister of Pakistan, Nawaz Sharif, has been disqualified from holding public office in the country for life. Sharif was dismissed from office last year over corruption allegations. He had hoped to make a political comeback in time for the general elections in July.
  •  Police Officers Killed in Antioquia, Colombia – Eight police officers were killed after an explosives attack in the village of El Tomate, San Pedro de Uraba, Antioquia Department. No group has claimed responsibility, but the most likely culprits are the Gulf Clan, a criminal drug gang who are active in the region. The group act as a paramilitary force in many places and appear to have benefited from the security vacuum left behind from the disbanding of the FARC rebel group.
  •  Tropical Cyclone Keni Hits Fiji – Fiji has been struck by a second tropical cyclone in just over a week. Kaduva has borne the brunt of most of the damage, with winds wiping out homes, uprooting trees, and capsizing boats. At the height of the storm, more than 6,000 people sheltered into evacuation centres. No fatalities were reported. Keni is now heading south but is unlikely to make landfall on New Zealand.
  •  Security Situations in Germany – Security forces thwarted an attempted attack at the Berlin half-marathon on 08 April 2018. Six people were detained over plans to attack runners with knives after German authorities were given a tip-off from a foreign intelligence service. The arrests came just a day after what transpired to be a non-terror vehicle ramming attack in Münster which killed two people and injured at least 20 more.

What To Look Out For Next Week

  • Yom Ha’atzmaut – Israel will celebrate its Independence Day or Yom Ha’atzmaut on 19 April. Travellers can expect travel disruption in Israel and in other locations with significant Jewish populations. Palestinian activists have vowed to protest the day. Violent clashes have been ongoing on the Gaza-Israel border since 30 March 2018. Reports suggest that there have been at least 34 Palestinian deaths and 3,000 injuries during this period.
  • Referendum in Guatemala – On 15 April, Guatemalans will be given the opportunity to vote in a referendum on whether the government should request the International Court of Justice finally resolve the territorial dispute between itself and Belize. It is possible that this vote could lead to some disruption in Guatemala, but unrest is unlikely to be aimed at the government. There is also potential for clashes on the Guatemala-Belize border.
  • Handover of Power in Cuba – For the first time since before 1959, the Caribbean island of Cuba is set to be led by a non-Castro as Raul Castro stands down as president on 19 April. While his successor is not assured, it is expected to be the 57-year-old Vice-President Miguel Diaz-Canel. It is as yet unclear how the change of leadership will impact Cuba’s economic policies or the future of Havana-Washington relations.
  • Arab League Summit in Riyadh – The 2018 Arab League Summit is due to be held in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia on 15 April. The Summit was delayed from March after it clashed with the Egyptian presidential elections. The issue of Palestine is set to be high on the agenda, while ongoing relations with Qatar are not. Travellers in the Saudi capital can expect high levels of security as regional leaders head to the city.
  • Funeral Service for Winne Mandela – Winnie Mandela, the ex-wife of Nelson Mandela, is due to be buried on 14 April at Fourways Memorial Park in Craigavon, Johannesburg. There are planned road closures in place for the funeral procession of the former civil rights leader from 1230 until 1430. Reports suggest that there may be protests en route by residents unhappy with a stalled development plan.
  • Isra and Mi’raj 2018 – Known as the Prophet’s Ascension, this Islamic festival is celebrated in a series of Muslim-majority countries between 13 and 15 April. The event is likely to cause travel and business disruptions in these locations, including the closure of government offices.
  • Anniversary of the Eldorado dos Carajas Massacre – 17 April marks the anniversary of the Eldorado dos Carajas Massacre. On this day in 1996, 19 farmers were killed by military police in Pará state, after they invaded a private ranch. The anniversary often leads to violent protests; large gatherings around this date should be avoided.

 Significant Dates and Events

  • 14 April – United Kingdom – Grand National Horse Racing at Aintree
  • 14 April – Israel – Anti-corruption rally in Tel Aviv
  • 14-16 April – Pakistan – Nurses to strike in Peshawar
  • 14 April – Germany – Far-right rally planned in Cologne
  • 14 April – Italy – Formula E event in Rome
  • 14 April – Honduras – Pan America Day
  • 15 April – Slovakia – Protests in Humenne and Bratislava
  • 15 April – North Korea – Celebration of Kim Il Sung’s birthday
  • 15 April – Montenegro – Presidential elections
  • 15 April – Uruguay – Montevideo marathon
  • 16 April – United Kingdom – Commonwealth Head of State meeting in London
  • 16 April – Puerto Rico – Jose de Diego’s birthday
  • 16 April – United States – Boston Marathon
  • 16 April – Moldova – Memorial/Parents’ Day
  • 16-17 April – Portugal – Train staff to strike
  • 17 April – American Samoa – Flag Day
  • 17 April – Syria – Evacuation Day (Syrian national day)
  • 17 April – Pakistan – Tribal leaders to rally in Islamabad
  • 17 April – Venezuela – Healthcare workers to strike
  • 17 April – Belarus – Radonista (Commemoration Day)
  • 17 April – Gabon – Women’s Day
  • 17 April – Iraq – Food and Agriculture Day
  • 18 April – Zimbabwe – Independence Day
  • 19 April – Nepal – Bisket Jartra Festival (New Year)
  • 19 April – Venezuela – Independence Declaration Day
  • 20 April – United Kingdom – Docklands Light Railway staff to strike
  • 21 April – United States – Neo-Nazi group to rally in Newnan, Georgia
  • 21 April – Brazil – Tiradentes Day
  • 22 April – Paraguay – Presidential, legislative, and local elections
  • 23 April – United Kingdom – St George’s Day (England)
 Click the following link to download this report as a PDF: Weekly Risk Roundup – Week 15 The Weekly Risk Roundup highlights significant events from the last week and what to look out for next week. Week 15 Weekly Risk Roundup was compiled by Solace Global’s in-house intelligence team.